Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA / Shaw / White (Livra/Williams)
    Salah / Son / Raph (Gilmour/Sissoko)
    Ronaldo / DCL / Antonio

    what do we reckon guys?

  2. pakornk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    If you had to choose just one - Lukaku or Ronaldo?

    1. Puntillimon
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronaldo for now

    2. Kitman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Now - Ronaldo
      3 weeks time - Lukaku

      Ronaldo has fixtures and lukaku is currently carrying some sort of injury

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        This

    3. shanebuckz
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Lukaku

    4. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If cant have both 🙂 Then CR7 now

    5. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronaldo.

      In fairness, you can cover Kaku to a lesser degree with Mount.

      However, you get the feeling that Ronaldo is just going to want to do everything so it will be harder for other United assets to get much of a look in now, especially the mids.

  3. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sissoko or Gilmour? Cheers

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Im going sissoko but i reckon could flip a coin

    2. shanebuckz
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sissoko

    3. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The one that plays for the better squad.

  4. Mince n Tatties
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Manchester United have just announced that Solskjaer will now face the media at 13:30 BST.

  5. masonwt
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on this draft

    Sanchez 4.0
    TAA Shaw Duffy Livramento Williams
    Salah Jota Torres Raphina 4.5
    CR7 DCL Antonio

    Is it too risky ?

    1. Puntillimon
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pretty good

      1. masonwt
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        My main concern is rotation of Torres and Jota and also having to start one of the 4.0 defenders each week

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      nice balnce

    3. shanebuckz
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Poor defence

  6. chrislt4
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    1 Free Transfer

    A) Son > Jota (If son confirmed out)

    B) Kane > Ronaldo

    C) Both -4

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A I think

  7. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Are the press conferences broadcasted on any channels? I can post snippets of info if it is. Just checked MUTV for United's and it's not on there.

  8. Test Eagles
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is DCL going to play this weekend? Still has the yellow flag.

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Rafa's press conference in 5 mins, so hopefully find out then

  9. That Fantasy Guy
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts appreciated. I know squad is thin but starting 11 is nice for who I have in there
    Otherwise I need to ship Salah or do a Jota + Shaw + Semedo to TAA + Tanganga( or other 4.5) + Sarr

    Sanchez
    Duffy - Shaw - Semedo
    Jota - Salah - Torres - Gray
    CR7 - Lukaku - Antonio

    Steele - Sissoko - Williams - Livarmento

    1. JoeShmoe
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      very similar to mine

  10. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Aubameyang competing with Lacazette who was better than him last season. Saka, ESR, Omergerd and Tierney are all much better options imo with potentially ridiculously low price tags.

    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Auba on penalties and always pops up with a goal against the lesser teams

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If arsenal can pull it together agreed

    3. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      ESR's injury is very frustrating for us ESR owners though!. Still not decided on whether to start him or bench him (starting him stinks of a 1 pointer!).

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I would have thought a cameo is unlikely. It's not like a lack of match fitness after injury. But I could be misguided, there. I'll start him I think.

  11. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which ?

    A) bruno barnes ings -4 to ronaldo sarr traore
    B) bruno barnes ings tsi -8 to ronaldo jota sisoko christensen
    -Gw5 toney benrahma -4 to dcl raph (in both)
    C) toeny ings bruno -4 to sar/traore dcl ronaldo
    -Gw5 barnes tsi -4 to raph coady

  12. shanebuckz
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Saka or traore? Or who else around this price bracket in midfield

    1. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think Traore is a great option, but Saka is greater

  13. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Annoying Auba been added to this report. He’s going in my team as an easyish enabler to Lukaku later on

  14. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Would you rather

    A) Ronaldo (+ Jimenez from next GW)
    B) Lukaku (+ DCL from next GW) (+0.3m)

    1. shanebuckz
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Lukaku + DCL

  15. EL tridente
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who to captain?
    A) Lukaku
    B) Salah

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      b

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A if clear evidence shows he will start

  16. No Kane No Gain
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Too Risky to captain lukaku was this week?!

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I dont think so depends who else you have

    2. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nah man. I think you're good for that. He will be my choice unless Ole gives some hints that CR7 will start.

  17. ClassiX
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Does Klopp's comment about Firmino imply that if not for the injury he (and by inference the other Brazil players) would have been available?

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      i read it as the brazil stuff is still unclear but he's ruled out due to injury and likely to be out for champions league next week. After that, we don't have a timetable

  18. kfreeman93
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Out of curiosity, what are people's general thoughts on Richarlison? Putting the Brazil will they-won't they play situation aside for a second, with Everton's fixtures, is Richarlison considered an attractive option if DCL's price is out of reach?

    1. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      At that price point it's basically between him and Jimenez, and I'm not sure Rich outscore Jimi over the next 5 games

      1. kfreeman93
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Aye, very fair point. Cheers!

    2. TheBrat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I really like Rich as an option

  19. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Will Aubameyang start??

    1. Harry the Hack
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      why wouldn't he?

  20. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Not WC now and torn between who to pick first between Ronaldo and lukaku. i will have both in the WC.

    While Lukaku does not have the best fixtures, the price difference allows for a much superior second player, which makes it harder to choose.

    Can you guys help me decide?

    A/ Ronaldo + Traore (0.6 ITB)
    B/ Lukaku + Jota (0 ITB)

    Thanks

    1. Fpl_Ludwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  21. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A - Jota, Greenwood, DCL
    B - Gray, Traore (or Sarr), Lukaku

    Which combo would you pick?

    1. Malkmus
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think you need Lukaku from gw7 -11. Not sure if that helps.

      Maybe A for next 3 though.

    2. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A for the next 3

  22. Malkmus
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A'noon all. Already done a -8 to give me this:

    Sanchez (Steele)
    Coufal - Trent - Shaw (Williams - Amartey)
    Salah - Greenwood - Torres - Benrahma (Bissouma)
    Ronaldo (c) - Antonio - Toney

    A - Stick
    B - WC - Coufal, Trent, Greenwood, Benrahma and Toney to Semedo, James, Gray, Raph, Lukaku?

    Any thoughts?

  23. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Tsmi won’t play ?

    1. Harry the Hack
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      that ships been and gone. you didn't snag a lifeboat?

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yep and also a amartey owner too!

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Does this mean Rafinha will be available too?

      1. FPL Brains
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah if Wolves have agreed something with the Mexican FA it must mean Raphinha who is Brazilian must also be available too.

        Jeez.

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          There is a slight chance that PL has rejected all these requests altogether from Fifa?

          Jeez

      2. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Mexico has apparently allowed Jim. Paraguay has allowed Almiron

        Brazil seems to be very hesitant, probably because they have bigger names to throw their tantrum with. Klopp said negotiations are still ongoing higher up, so we don't know

        1. Eleven Hag
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Thanks mate will wait until the deadline tomorrow to make the move then, cheers

    2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Now we're cooking!
      Sorry Ronny, lost interest, it's JIMI time.
      The comments from Lage are vague af but I want those 2 pts v Watford dammit.

  24. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sorry also any news on ESR? Thanks

    1. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Still got a cold.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks really not sure what to do with him as maybe forced to sell

        1. CRAZY TRAIN
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          I've been deliberating this too (see above) but having already used my FT I am leaning towards taking the punt and playing him. My bench is well stocked to cover him, the risk is whether he comes on for a 10 minute cameo (my hunch is that he won't be in the squad).

    2. CRAZY TRAIN
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      As a fellow owner I've done some searching but nothing of any real value out there. Predicted team line ups that I have seen are leaning towards him missing GW4.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeh I can’t see anything either but sounds like could miss out

  25. Puntillimon
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    https://youtu.be/zjhBzJpsZug

    Bruno likes freekicks more than pens. Maybe he’ll take a few from Ronnie?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Thanks for sharing that. Pens to Ronaldo, we hope.

  26.  ⓖⓐⓩⓩⓐ™
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone going with Bruno and Ronaldo? If Sons confirmed out i will be

    1. ClassiX
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Could be gold if you can afford both, although there's pretty good analysis that shows Bruno and Ronny have never combined together for any goals for Portugal...

  27. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    why are people going sissoko as 4.5? Instead of gilmour. He’s one of the worst shooters and finishers to ever play in the premier league

  28. Firmino
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A) Tierney, Greenwood
    B) Benrahma, Sarr

    1. 15men1cup
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      b

  29. AD2110
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which option would you go for?

    Bruno + Toney to:

    A) Lukaku + Torres
    B) Ronaldo + Sarr