Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Hy liverpool
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Nuno on Son's injury: "Like some of our players, he came with issues. Sonny is not so well. Let's wait for the club to make the announcement. [Is it long-term?] I don't know. Let's wait and see. The doctors will make the analysis."

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Doesnt sound good does it. I was shifting him next week anyway so will just have to let him go a week early.

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Forgot Nuno is the manager after all

  2. Cok3y5murf
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ronaldo wildcarders in tears...

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Lol, I feel I’ve dodged a bullet here.

    2. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      will still haul even if 10 mins

    3. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronaldo starting?

    4. Yome
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Really? A wildcard wasn't used only to bring in Ronaldo. I am sure it is you who will end up in tears.

      1. Harry the Hack
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        theres alot here who did seem to

      2. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Maybe we'll all somehow end up in tears.

    5. FPL Brains
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      That Wilson transfer looks like it's already ended in tears.

    6. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would worry about my own side if I were you after that shocking Wilson transfer last week.

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How does this hit look?

    Wilson+Barnes+Bruno >> Ronaldo+Jota+Sarr (-4)?

    Sanchez
    TAA. Shaw. White
    Salah. Bruno. Raph. Barnes
    Ings. Antonio. Wilson
    (Foster, Livramento, Gilmour, Ayling)

  4. McSlu
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Jota or Greenwood??

    Sanch
    TAA, regulion, tierny (williams, livra)
    salah, benny, torres, X (allan)
    DCL, Ron, Antonio

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota

  5. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bench one:

    A) ESR* (NOR)
    B) Livramento (WHU)

    1. Flaming Flamingo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B probably

  6. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    any love for James Ward-Prowse??

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No

  7. SouthCoastSaint
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Greenwood captain anyone?

    1. JUNITED
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not worthy. Greenwood probably only going to give you 1 goal. You want someone who can produce hattrick.

  8. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any Son news?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      See top of this page

  9. Tomerick
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Manchester United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer on the return of Cristiano Ronaldo: "Everyone is very happy to have him back. Looking forward to Saturday. He has had a good pre-season and played for the national team. He will get on the pitch at some point that’s for sure.

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      90 mins

    2. Bartowski
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      So presented to the fans before the game and not even on the bench?!

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think he said “ be on the pitch.” Not “get”

  10. Christina.
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    lol
    We move.
    😎

  11. Top Lad Dakes.
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Stay of execution for Bruno then - pls don’t punish us, Cristiano.

    And Pep - please for the love of all things good, start Ferran Torres

    1. Walter White (WW)
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would trust a hippo over Pep

  12. Gunneryank
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I think Ole knows he just trolling FPL players.

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Surely he starts him.

    2. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      FPL is minuscule, compared with the eyes of the world on Ronaldo for his first game back.

      1. Gunneryank
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I know i was being facetious.

    3. JoeShmoe
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      100% he starts

  13. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which two of these problems would you address and play the third?

    a. Barnes
    b. Buendia
    c. Ings

    Gotta be B and thinking A...?

    1. Boly Would
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      They were my 3 problems too.

      Buendia is gone, now left debating Ings to DCL depending on fitness, or Barnes to Saka/Mount.

  14. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any news on Dcl do?

    1. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pictured in training yesterday

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      In training

    3. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Who knows?
      Benitez on DCL: "He has been training with pain. I am really happy to see him trying in the training sessions, even when not fully fit. That is why I am expecting more."

  15. I Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bruno Fernandes (c) one last time.

  16. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    ronaldo will to play >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> ole's authority as a coach

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronaldo starting no doubt

  17. tricpic
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Son to:
    A) Jota
    B) Torres

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      T

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  18. Rbyrne95
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    G2G?

    Sa (steer)
    TAA, Shaw, Semedo (Williams, Livramento)
    Torres, Salah(c), Jota, Benrahma (Allan)
    Jimenez, Ronaldo, Antonio.

    Can always change Semedo to Marcal and Torres to Mount.

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Will change someone to Raph next week.

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      7/10 G2G

      1. Rbyrne95
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        You reckon DCL over Jimenez? could downgrade Torres to Raph and semedo to Marcal.

  19. Tcheco
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Could be gamesmanship from Ole. Either way, Kane or Auba as Ronaldo placeholder for 1 week only?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronaldo starts

  20. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ole was never going to come out and say : " Yes I will definitely start Ronaldo on Saturday". Nothing has changed.

    1. Khark
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      This.

    2. Pavsboot
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Eh I agree with you but does show there's at least a risk of a sub appearance.

    3. Bartowski
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No razzmatazz in doing that.

  21. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    The Ole quotes are helpful imo.

    It'll put enough people off and meanwhile we know Ole is just trying to play it cool and will give him a cameo. Well I call bulls**t 🙂

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same, he's having fun with the media and everyone. He will start.

  22. Khark
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    "he will get on the pitch at some point"

    This does not mean in anyway shape or form Ronaldo doesn't start. Clever quote from Ole to be fair, changes newcastles thinking.

    1. Walter White (WW)
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah. Ronaldo will get 70 mins. Ole playing mind ganes

  23. LC1
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Does anyone know when the Everton presser is? Or any update on DCL?

    Thanks

    1. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pictured training & plays the late Monday game. I’m sticking

      1. LC1
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Ta pal

  24. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Lukaku+Torres or Ronaldo+Sarr?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. Laurel and Vardy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I am going for R/S

    3. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think it depends on wildcard strategy. Long Term the former, but for the next 4 I'd go the latter.

  25. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ings, son and Scarlett to Lukaku, gray and Jimi?
    -4

  26. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Seem sensible ings to Jimi GW4 then GW5 Bruno & Jimi to Torres (or another mid below 7.5) & ronaldo ?

  27. Threat Level Midnight
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    People comparing the CR7 situation to Varane or anything else just dont get it. He's been in Manchester before and does not need an unveiling of that sort to get acquainted. Ole's comments make me believe he will start. He's have a little play about with the media and everyone to build suspense.

    1. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Are you trying to convince yourself or?

  28. Hog Roast Junkie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    WC team:

    Sanchez, Steele
    TAA, Shaw, Tierney, Livramento, Williams
    Salah, Jota, Torres, Benrahma, —
    Ronaldo, Antonio, —

    Who for last 2 spots
    A) Sarr and Pukki
    B) Sissoko and DCL

    1. Hog Roast Junkie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B more template but A looks more fun

  29. Jordan.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    come on (h)arry ,nobodys watching ,34 points please whilst everybody gets 25mins and 2 points out of (r)onaldo...

  30. Hy liverpool
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Heung-min Son looks set to miss tomorrow's game against Crystal Palace. The forward will undergo further medical assessments before a verdict is given.
    @jonathandveal83

    Doesn't sound good... Might even WC now.