Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gunneryank
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Only 24 hours until team sheets lads! It'll be fine lol.

    1. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Now you've gone and jinxed it. Great.
      😉

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Even less.

  2. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    With it sounding like Son not going to be fit:

    A. Son + Ings > Ronaldo + Gray. No Jota unless downgrade Bruno next week

    B. Bruno + Ings > Ronaldo + Jota. Livramento starting and then Son to a mid priced midfielder next week or potentially keep.

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A.

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      b

  3. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Already on a -4

    Which is best?

    A: Gilmour

    B: Ayling

    C: DCL (another -4)

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      c

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      c, tempt a wc?

      1. xHaTr
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        was tempted before but given my team for gw5 would look pretty much identical to a wc team anyway i think i can just ride it out

  4. jackruet
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ole Gunnar Solskjaer on Cristiano Ronaldo’s role for #MUFC against #NUFC: “He's been having a good pre-season with Juventus, he’s played for the national team, he’s had a good week with us here. He will definitely be on the pitch at some point, that's for sure”

    sub appearance for ronaldo ?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      absolutely not. he's starting. the comments all but confirm it knowing Ole.

    2. jay01
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sounds like a sub appearance but at the same time i wont be surprised if ole is bluffing

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah sub appearance

    4. rnrd
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I mean, not trying to be biased here but "at some point" seems quite clear to me. It means not 90.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        what's he meant to say?

    5. Jack Burton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Wishful thinking but, I reckon he doesn't want to spoil the suprise, I think he starts

    6. jackoasean
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Clearly he’s on the bench

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        ok.

    7. Gunneryank
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Someone on the last page made a good point. Why reveal it to your opponents? No reason to tip off Newcastle. Make it as vague as possible. Information is valuable, every little percentage helps. From a competitive gaming perspective, it's the best strategy.

    8. JammySprat
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      There's no way the tracksuit kid is benching the best player in the world. He would have some sort of inferiority complex if he did.

  5. JUNITED
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Aubameyang is really too much risk of pick. His value is just not worthy to get at the moment. He scored hattrick bs west Brom though.

    1. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      how about pepe?

      1. JUNITED
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Rotation risk. Only saka is nailed on in arsenal front four.

  6. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Dam Ole just tell us if he will start or not?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not Ole, no manager names whether someone is starting.

      1. Khark
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Agreed. Literally everybody is forgetting this.

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yup.

        2. Gunneryank
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah it's just strategically disadvantageous.

          1. Gabbiadini
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Absolutely. It is why we have teamsheets and not managers announcing their selections days before a game.

      2. Joey Jo-Jo Junior Shabadoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Bielsa says hi

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Bielsa or the translator...?

          1. Gabbiadini
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            To back my point strictly it's not Bielsa 😉
            But you can understand, it is not common practice by any measure.

  7. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How nailed is Duffy? Would you get him before Williams?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would yes, his fixtures rotate well against other 4s, particularly this week.
      His form has been so good he's now a starter, just have to listen to Potter's comments.

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers Gabbs…

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          No worries, also fairly strong showings for Ireland considering some of their performances.

  8. Christina.
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ali could be a decent punt.

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Have fun with that

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I’m thinking Bergwijn could be as well for .5 less

  9. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Tsim Barnes Ings to Williams Jota Jim -8 crazy?

    Or Banres Ings to Sarr Jim/Traore DCL -4? Not sure about DCL tho...

  10. cjhewitt92
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Norwich have let in a lot of goals so far this season. Which Arsenal attacking asset is best for a one week punt.

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Really bad covid outbreak just before the start of the season and games against Liverpool, City and Leicester.
      It's a very easy comment to make on the surface.

  11. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Oh god so we do we go dcl on wc or not?

    Apparently he’s been ‘training with pain’

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Put more sunscreen on.

    2. ivantys
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Think I'm still going with him. Already have Bamford and don't like anyone else around his price range.

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Jimenez could be good

        1. ivantys
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Jimenez's not a good placeholder for Lukaku though, would want to hold him longer and I'm sure DCL will play next 2 even if he ends up missing this one.

    3. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If it’s just a pain issue then he will play

    4. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      He was flagged for a reason

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah but nothing about it is obvious.

  12. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I was planning on wildcarding next week.. 1 FT 0.4 any idea with what I should do?

    Sanchez
    Webster TAA Shaw Tsmi
    Son Bruno Salah Greenwood
    Toney Antonio

    4.0,Brownhill,Ayling,Scarlett

    1. Mcgugan
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Son out since he is injured. If it is 1 week only then take your pick of midfielders (I like Jota but you cangamble on anyone)

  13. bigben10
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    For the next 3 GW's (currently on a WC)

    A) Lukaku + Greenwood
    B) Ronaldo + Mount

    Thoughts greatly appreciated

    1. 2999 - Lady of Legend
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm about to transfer in B so will say B lol 🙂

  14. cjhewitt92
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    With Allison and Fabinho possibly out for Liverpool, speculation at VVD. Do we think Liverpool vs Leeds will have goals.

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      there were rumours of Robbo too.
      could def see 3-4 goals but would back both teams to score

    2. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      VVD is fine. I expect about 3-1 to Liverpool.

  15. shanebuckz
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What two out of these 3 would ye pick and why?
    A) traore
    B) gray
    C) saka

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A and C because I think they'll score more.

      I think Gray's underlying numbers suggest he's overperforming. Other two have the fixtures.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Everton don't have the fixtures?

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sarr, nailed. penalties. good set of fixtures.

  16. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Now I am totally blank with my transfer plans

    1. CrouchDown
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same here

      I would just go with Lukaku (C) instead, but then do I want to lose Bruno before NEW with no Ronaldo in the team?

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Too many options have opened up now. I hate selling expensive players because the funds that come with it open up too many scenarios

    3. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      opposite. initial transfers have been reinstated.

  17. pBelck
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Whats the better pick, Christensen or Semedo?

    Both look good long-term, but with Semedo having better gw5/6 fixtures

    1. Thomas Magnum
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think Christensen the better long term option honestly. But yes Semedo if you only need him for 5/6 weeks

  18. rnrd
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Not a season defining choice there but trying to think ahead a bit.

    Which 4.5 player has the best probabilty to move to a more advanced role?

    I'm thinking Sissoko has proved himself in higher positions and could turn into a doucoure/capoue like player at watford?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes with the DM behind him he seems the most likely.

  19. Biggsy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Mount or Torres?

    1. rnrd
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Long term I think Mount could really benefit from Lukaku's style of play.
      Fixtures turn to green pretty soon for Mount and well, he has proven he could also return during big games (scored at anfield last year)

  20. Liberate HK - antichinazi
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Benitez on DCL: "He has been training with pain. I am really happy to see him trying in the training sessions, even when not fully fit. That is why I am expecting more."

    What does this mean?

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Without wanting to sound sarcastic, he is training but still in pain from his injury.

      Suggests unlikely to start, but its Monday so maybe time to get through the pain

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Don’t know but I’m now considering jimi

    3. NWallis
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think he's basically just saying he expects DCL to be even better when he is playing without injury?

  21. Penguin & Tonic
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Why have recommendations which are both very short term and expensive? Is the writer willing to include Auba in his own team?

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The "Spot the differential" article really needs an alternative title

      Something like "How to wreck your team and ruin your life"

      1. Firminooooo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Hahaha….then blame the article for making you captain Auba.

  22. Jafooli
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone else considering Bruno as captain?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No other option but to captain him

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Antonio? Salah?

        If Ronnie-less…?

        1. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Ronnie-less, yes

          Don't think Salah and Antonio will get much this week, expecting both games to be low scoring

          1. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Agreed…

    2. Fitzy.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      More than were an hour ago...

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Oh, what’s happen Fitzy?

        1. Fitzy.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          OGS comment on Ronaldo

          1. Jafooli
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Cheers fella…

    3. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      currently my default
      dont have a ron/rom and feel salah performances aren't as good without firmino
      plus it's newcastle

      1. Jafooli
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        The Newcastle thing is big for me. And at home and don’t have Ronnie…

    4. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      o/

    5. SouthCoastSaint
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      50/50 with Greenwood

  23. mcpoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So Son is injured?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Doubtful atleast

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nino said we’ll see. You’ve got to decide what that means.

    3. Thomas Magnum
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Would be very surprised if he plays, but I’m sure a lot of people said that when he was supposed to be ruled out with a hamstring last year. I’ll probably sell though regardless

    4. Philosopher's Stones
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Just got back from work and what I want to know as well.

  24. TomSaints
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is -8 worth a wildcard?

    With Son assumed out and already used my 2 transfers. I can:
    A) play Veltman
    B) son to Torres -4
    C) Ings to Ronaldo and cheap midfield -8

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      no other moves you can make on that -8?

  25. Mcgugan
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Will Sissoko be starting for Watford moving forward?

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Good chance

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      yes.

  26. AD2110
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I'm stuck in two minds about wildcarding or not. Would you pull the trigger with this team?

    Sanchez, 4.0
    TAA, Shaw, Dier, Tsimikas, Livra
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Raph, Benrahma
    Toney, Antonio, 4.5

    Original plan was to do Bruno + Toney to Sarr + Ronaldo but that Son injury really messed things up. Would you WC or risk it and hope Son plays?

  27. allaboutthemagic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    On my WC and one option remains
    Trent dier
    Robbo Christensen?!

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      TD

  28. AleksaMaster
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Tuchel: "Right now, Thiago is not officially out. The chairman is still in negotiations, I'm waiting for the final decision - for me, it's enough if I get the final decision tomorrow. We still hope he can play." - What doe this mean, he is going to leave the club?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      😆
      No mate, he’s Brazilian…

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Brazilian thing

    3. AleksaMaster
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ah yes, I forgot 🙂 Well it sound like he will be first choice if he is available to play, which means Christensen to bench in that case.

  29. SouthCoastSaint
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sorry but the people on here saying Ronaldo will definitely start/ definitely be on the bench is hilarious.

    Stop justifying your transfer/ non transfer.

    Speculation is fun but telling people they are wrong when you have absolutely nothing to back it up with is just so utterly boring

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Objectively saying he "definitely" 'has' to start. It's opinions.

  30. mcpoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I Raphinha definitely out for tomorrow?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      no.