Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How’s my WC team:
    Sanchez
    TAA,Coufal,Christensen
    Salah,Jota,Raphinha,Benrahma
    Ronaldo,Antonio,DCL

    Steele, White,Livramento,Sissoko

  2. NWallis
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Today's been a real bad day. Again I was involved in an accident with my car but no one was injured!?

    1. KingBLAZE1986
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      he glad no one was injured and you're still breathing! 🙂

    2. Philosopher's Stones
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Glad no one was injured. But what do you mean by again?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        It’s happened before.

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Thanks, horse

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Say again.

            1. Philosopher's Stones
              • 3 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              Thanks, horse

              1. Rupert The Horse
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 years, 7 months ago

                Ha.

                1. Eddie
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  2 years, 7 months ago

                  My exchange of the day

        2. ClassiX
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Jeez, talk about having it set up perfectly for you...

          1. Rupert The Horse
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            It was generous.

    3. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I’m glad you are here and ok

    4. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      again? maybe driving is not your thing?

    5. One Man
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Everyone has an accident at some point. Confidence behind the wheel takes time. Prayer to ones guardian angel helps.

  3. I Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is it silly to go for Richarlison instead of DCL?

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      To be precise, yes.

      1. I Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Even though DCL is training with pain?

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          DCL is obviously the better pick, but even if he's possibly not available, don't go for Richarlison.

    2. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I did that end of last season and regretted it

    3. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would go as far as to say it's absolute turbo-lunacy

      The one/only thing Richarlison had going for him was penalties

      With that gone - he's now just an incredibly annoying imbecelic cretin who spends more time on the ground crying & complaining than actually trying to play football

      1. I Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        DCL is clearly the better pick it's only the injury concerns that made me consider Rich instead.

      2. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        But he makes a mighty fine cappuccino.

      3. ClassiX
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        But tell us how you really feel...

    4. Thomas Magnum
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I did it last year and it was so frustrating, Richarlison would look better for 90 mins and DCL would be quiet most of the day and pop up score a tap in from 4 yards out and get all the points

  4. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Those comments from Ole is enough for me to hold fire on CR7 for now.

    Does this sound sensible?

    Tsimi + Barnes > Livramento + Jota?

    Could also take a -4 and do Ings > DCL?

  5. drughi
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Son and Toney > Gray and Lukaku (C) for free ? no ronaldo but keeping bruno

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Looks good

      1. drughi
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        cheers tinker

  6. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Brazilian players are not definitely out on the weekend.
    Well, Firmino is.

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Looks like they play

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      In, out, shake it all about.

      Lets see if Pep plays his boys on Saturday, hopefully he does.

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think so too.

      What makes Fifa even dafter is that Brazil holds the cards officially, but still lets Richarlison play, whilst banning the other for the Olympics

      If it is really a Covid thing and not Political for Brazil to try and win a game because Argentina didn't play by the rules,this is idotic, as Richarlison would have been just at risk of catching/spreading covid as the others if they had traveled.

      It just doesn't add up.

      Fifa should ignore Brazil's request as the others have backed down

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        This whole Brazil thing utterly stinks. Something massive is happening. Pretty sure a major report will come out soon and their could be some pretty big consequences.

  7. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Were people actually expecting Ole to say Ronaldo will be starting? 😆

    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      yeah

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah. Plus full team sheet and tactics.

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        One day these managers will disclose the most important things for us FPL'ers...

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yeah, they never consider our feelings or how many transfers we have. Not to mention whether or not we have a strong bench.

    3. The Tinkerman
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Apparently...

    4. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes, why not?

  8. Jässi
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play:

    A) Duffy
    B) Veltman

    Duffy is more nailed to start after his good performances I guess, but Veltman could play as a wing-back?

  9. Cok3y5murf
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ronaldo or RoNOldo?

    1. Ragabolly
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      CristiaNo

    2. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      PenaldNO.

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No

    4. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      RonalDO or RonalDONT

    5. The Tinkerman
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Chryesrianyes ronyesaldyes

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        That his name in the new PES game?

        1. The Tinkerman
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          ChrPESianPES RonPESaldPES

          Am I doing this right?

    6. Jafooli
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not yet, but will knee jerk him in after his hatty vs Newcastle…

    7. Beatle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      RonalDo'h?

    8. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronaldo

      or

      RonaldNO

  10. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Best option here given recent pressers?

    A) Ings -> DCL
    B) Bruno/Ings -> Jota/Ronaldo(c) (-4)

    Sanchez
    Trent, Shaw, White
    Bruno, Greenwood, Benrahma, Barnes
    Kane(c), Antonio, Ings

    Steele, Veltman, Brownhill, Tsimikas
    Bank 0.3m, 1FT

  11. TheYogaDaddy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    best midfielder under 8.1 for next few GWs?

    1. JollyGoodYellows
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota

  12. ElChapo
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Put the below in order for this GW

    a. N Semedo (wat)
    b. Veltman (Starting Sanchez) (bre)
    c. Ings (che)
    d. Benrahma (sou)
    e. Harrison (LIV)

  13. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Wanna try a punt ings son esr to auba jota traore for-4?

  14. CrouchDown
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    All week I was of the opinion Ronaldo would be benched.

    If you actually watch the presser, Ole is smiling and giving all the reasons why he is ready to start the game. Then at the last second he realises that he can't reveal his starting XI.

    Ronaldo (C)

    1. El Presidente
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ofc he's gonna start

    2. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      😆

  15. DrunkPhilosophy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So going a bit wild this week with this -8

    Tsimi Bruno Son Percia —> Marcal Jota Allan Ronaldo

    I’m taking out three players that won’t start, this is me trying to convince myself with this -8!

    Question is Marcal or Coady?

    1. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Coady if you're going to hold for a while.

  16. KingBLAZE1986
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    best midfileder for 6.7m?

    1. CrouchDown
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Traore imo

      1. KingBLAZE1986
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        not rafinha?

        1. Letsgo!
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Why raphinha actually. Whats the hype on him lol.

          1. polis
            • 12 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            He's a steal at 6.5.

            Would want Raph from next week.

          2. KingBLAZE1986
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            think are an attacking team with him in it and there fixtures after the liverpool game looks good. oh also leed usually do well against liverpool 😛

        2. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Somebody that will definitely play.

          1. KingBLAZE1986
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            i'm only put off cause he might not play due to the 'brazil' thing. Traore is a good shout but wolves are still yet do to something. so its either between traore or rafinha...

  17. Hy liverpool
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Waiting for "Are you going to get ronaldo after ole's comments" hot topic.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Hulk

  18. 2hotty
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So is the general consensus to get big Ron just dont captain

  19. Boomerang V
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who os the best 5th mid?

    A) Alan
    B) Bissouma
    C) Sissoko
    D) other?

    1. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sissoko or Gilmour for me

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Dilmour

    3. xHaTr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Gilmour on corners nicks it for me

  20. Dacra
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Good to go, or rip it up with hits/WC to get Ronaldo?!

    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA - Shaw - Ayling/Amartey/Williams
    Salah - Greenwood - Grealish - Benrhama (Brownhill)
    DCL - Antoni - Lukaku

    0.4itb
    0ft

  21. jai1212
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So, now that Son is unlikely to play tomorrow, have to shift my plans a little bit.

    A. Bruno / Son / Wilson >> CR7 / Salah / Traore (-4)
    B. A + Ings >> DCL (-8)

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw White
    Son* Bruno* Mount Benrahma
    Wilson* Ings* Antonio

    Subs: Steele Webster Gilmour Tsimikas

    1. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A

  22. jackruet
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    with so many uncertainty and ronaldo isnt a viable captaincy option anymore,(sub app) think i will have to use wildcard... also there are son, raphinha, DCL and i am already on -8

    1. jackruet
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      not wildcard, free hit *

    2. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      WC in my opinion.

      1. jackruet
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        isnt freehit better than wildcard for me?

        1. polis
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          If you're already -8 and looking at further changes, that's a WC.

          Set yourself up for longer and save FH for a blank or double game week.

    3. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ronnie IS a viable captain. Don't use your FH, save it for a dgw or blank. WC is a much better option.

  23. cravencottage
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Im on a WC;

    A) Ronaldo, Christiansen, Sanchez
    B) Lukaku , James, Sa ( have White to cover James this week)

  24. JUNITED
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    On my WC, Greenwood or Jota?

    1. cravencottage
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jota for me

  25. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is it even worth owning Ronaldo if you wont captain him this week? Not going to Captain him in 5 or 6 anyway. Not sure if this makes Lukaku (C) over Ronaldo this week a better option. Or just captain him and hope for the best .

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No. Lukaku (C) GW 4, Salah GW5, DCL GW6

  26. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone think Greenwood is the best captain option ?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nope

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No

    3. Gunneryank
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Nope.

  27. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start Raphinha or Veltman? (there is a chance raph will play)

    1. Halftime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Raph

    2. GMBC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Raph - he definitely will not be subbing on so no harm putting him in the XI

  28. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I have punted on Auba so many times in the pat when Arsenal have had a decent fixture that I wouldn't trust him against the Royal Auxiliary Balloon Corp 2nd 11 (women's) team with a 4 injuries 🙂

    1. Gunneryank
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The ladies are top of their league though.

  29. Halftime
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Trincao or Traore?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Traore

  30. Holmes
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    No updates from Biesla yet?

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not that I’ve seen. Who you after?

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        🙂