Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Mo Mane No Problems
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Semedo or Tierney? No Arsenal or Wolves players currently.

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Semedo

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Semedo

    3. JUNITED
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Tierney. More chances to get assists imo since Arteta likes to use his left flank.

    4. Exeterslowly
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Me too mate. Arsenal are just a mess but wolves have been a bit unlucky and they have the fixtures. I just don’t trust any of their players. Besides I cannot afford any of them.

    5. Liberate HK - antichinazi
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Tierney can haul, Semedo can't

  2. Emiliano Sala
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    With the way ole talked about ronaldo, Now I guess he is more likely to come as sub

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      a more unique Ronaldo than possible, thank you Ole.

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      That is one interpretation.

    3. Joey Tribbiani
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      dont think so, he just doesnt want to reveal before the game.
      When has manager confirmed that certain player starts? It is very uncommon

      1. Emiliano Sala
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Wishful thinking?

        1. JUNITED
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Why should manager reveal it?

    4. Piggs Boson
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ole tends to be quite deceptive in conferences. I would put little weight on what he says.

      Nuno has been the same too. So wouldn't trust his Son comments either.

      They love to mislead. Both have burned me before.

      1. CrouchDown
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        When has Ole misled before?

        1. JUNITED
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Ole said Sanchez will come back to join us for new season, a week later he joined Inter permanently. You don’t take manager’s word. If you know player has been training for days then he is fit to start. Unless if you have been out for months.

  3. Eleven Hag
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Best Wolves defender to get in the draft league?

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Semedo

  4. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Have to bring in either Ronaldo or DCL for Ings and have no clue now after those press conferences…

    1. swobe
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      why do you have to? What's the rest of your team?

    2. Exeterslowly
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would ship out ings at least given villas fixtures but it depends on how much you have left and whether you are willing to take a hit. I think Kane is a good bet and he seems to have fallen under the radar a little.

    3. Nanoelektronicar
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same, I am leaning towards DCL because it will be for free. He's not ruled out, and considering Ings has Chelsea, the risk is not that big.

  5. Smokey_Lowkey
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA Shaw Duffy Coady Tsimi
    Salah Bruno Greenwood Benrahma Gilmour
    DCL Iheanacho Antonio

    2FT 0.5ITB

    Plan: Iheanacho + Bruno - > Ronaldo (c) + Torres for free.

    Best use of FTs?

    Cheers,

    Smokey

    1. TheBiffas
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      torres is a mid

      1. TheBiffas
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        oh shoot nevermind

    2. Exeterslowly
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Fernando Torres left years ago haha

  6. 03farmboy
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Bruno and Ings out
    For
    Ronaldo and Torres

    Good move??

    1. Will Kane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'll tell you on Monday

  7. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Torres or Greenwood?

    1. nalas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Pondering the very same question. Replacing Bruno with either of them to enable Ings to Ronaldo.

  8. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Best option here?

    Sell Bruno and Ings for:

    A. Jota and CR7
    B. Mahrez and Lukaku

    Or a combo of the cheaper mids. I guess really I'm asking Lukaku or CR7...

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Definitely A for fixtures

  9. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Cap salah or Bruno? Tronaldo can wait…..

    1. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm capping Bruno

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bruno

    3. Will Kane
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Salah for me. I am tempted by Bruno but the current stats and eye test tell me Salah is more likely to haul

  10. Jimmy Boy
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone considering bringing in Kane instead of Ronaldo/Lukaku? Guaranteed start, great fixture and a huge differential at the moment. Easy switch to either Ronaldo or Lukaku later if needed.

    1. KING KOUNDER
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would bank the transfer, no thanks.

  11. KING KOUNDER
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    That Bruno to Ronaldo for a hit looks a bit iffy now !

  12. HollywoodXI
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which WC team is best?

    A: Raya
    Trent Duffy Livramento
    Salah Jota Torres Benrahma
    Ronaldo DCL Antonio

    Gunn Raphinha Williams Amartey

    B: Raya
    Trent Shaw Christianson
    Salah Jota Raphinha Benrahma
    Ronaldo DCL Antonio

    Gunn Gilmour Duffy Livramento

    1. KING KOUNDER
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If you want help, it would be better to just state the differences..
      Anyways B for me, I dont trust Pep.

  13. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    This is probably a really stupid question but....

    On a WC, have Trent & Jota. Is that enough Pool coverage for now to sacrifice Salah to (say) Greenwood. This will then enable Lukaku and Ronaldo and not have a terrible budget team everywhere else. Just means not having Salah.

    1. The Point About It Is
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No Salah is brave

  14. RogDog_jimmy
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Looking forward to all the “100% Ronaldo starts” crowd twisting Ole’s words to mean anything but what they probably mean.

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      The fact you're making this post says enough.
      A comment like that in a press conference holds absolutely no weight either way.

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        It might. It might not.

        But that’s not really the point. Countless people on here been banging on that he starts no matter what - and giving advice to people based on that, and shooting down anyone who suggests otherwise.

        1. JONALDINHO
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          “iT’s rOnAlDo “

    2. Nanoelektronicar
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I am thinking he doesn't start, but it could be that he bluffed on purpose. "At some point, he he he", and then he puts him right from the off.

    3. The Point About It Is
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Fact is we don't know if he starts this week. My guess is he has cameo. We do know he starts from next week.

    4. Joey Tribbiani
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      What they probably mean then? You seem to know?

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I don’t know. And I’ve been comfortable telling people “we don’t know”.

    5. Enrico Palazzo
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I can see Cavani getting a start and Ronaldo coming on in the second half.

    6. Utopsis
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Only more day to wait until several people are disappointed

  15. Puntillimon
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Guess dcl won’t get Full 90. Ings to score then!

    1. Nanoelektronicar
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Don't say that please!

  16. 03farmboy
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone else thinking of going Kane this week instead of Ronaldo??

    Unsure ronaldo starts and Kane bs palace could score big

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Lukaku

      1. 03farmboy
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I really like Lukua but it means getting rid of a man United attaker unless I put Greenwood in with him

    2. Jimmy Boy
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Posed the same question above, personally reckon it's one to consider. Kane's ownership probably won't be this low for the rest of the season.

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not a chance.

  17. King Kun Ta
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA Shaw White (Coufal Tsimikas)
    Sarr Salah Bruno Benrahma (Gilmour)
    Toney Ings Antonio

    2 FT & 2 ITB

    Can't make a decision on the next options....

    A Ings -> DCL and roll over 1 FT
    B Ings, Bruno & Tsimikas -> Ronnie, Jota & Livra/Williams
    C Same as B but with Lukaku (unsure Ronnie starts)
    D Ings & Bruno -> Ronnie & Torres
    E other suggestions?

    Thanks for the help lads!

  18. ManUtdFan977
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is raphinha 100% out yet?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      no

    2. KING KOUNDER
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      As it stands, he's out.

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You’ll know when it happens. It’ll be international news. Remember it’s all Brazilians involved. So the big clubs like Liverpool will cause it to be a major story.

    4. No Professionals
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      no

  19. President Giggs
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Would you guys wildcard a team with Martinez, Tsimikas, Barnes, Son, Ings, Wilson and a pretty rubbish bench? I think I'd make 11 changes total.

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      11 changes... you answered it yourself.

      1. President Giggs
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah but a lot of those are luxury moves because I'd be on wildcard. I could take a -4 and get 11 players out.

    3. Harry the Hack
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      i think its probably worth a -40

    4. Nanoelektronicar
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes, definitely. Martinez, Son and Wilson out, Barnes vs City, Ings vs Chelsea.

    5. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    6. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Of course

    7. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sur

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        e

    8. Sad Ken
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Just take the points hit for those 11 players.

    9. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Take the -40. WC next GW.

  20. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ings to DCL?

    Recon he will play if he trains.

  21. The Mighty One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Hey mates. Last WC decision:

    A. Bennie and Livra
    Versus
    B. Sarr and White

    I have Torres and Jota so I need depth. Cheers!

    1. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sarr and Livra? A bit in the bank is always useful

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'd also go Sarr and Livramento.

      I also wouldn't go Benrahma on a WC and that's coming from an owner who started with him.

  22. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    So much uncertainty, maybe I should just save here...?

    1.4 ITB and 1 FT

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Webster
    Salah Bruno Barnes Raphinha Benrahma
    DCL Antonio

    Steele Ayling Tsimikas Perica

    1. Puntillimon
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Barnes out for jota don’t overthink it

      1. Puntillimon
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Damn Tsim blocker !

        1. Gazza2000
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yep 🙁 not worth a hit is it?

  23. cuppatea78
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Good move or not?

    Son & Ings > Jota & Ronaldo

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Banging.

    2. Nanoelektronicar
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If for free, no brainer.

  24. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    What's the deal with DCL? Read the training injured quote, does that mean he plays or not?

    1. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If he can train he can play

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I wish I knew. I say he starts.

    3. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      think he plays but worried about rondon long term for his mins

    4. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think it means he'll start.

  25. Catastrophe
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Advice greatly appreciated! A, B or C chaps?

    A) DCL, Jota, Greenwood, Gray, Coady (Sissoko, Williams)

    B) Jota, Greenwood, Raphinha/Benrahma, Traore, Semedo (Dennis, White)

    C) Lukaku, Benrahma, Traore, Gray, Coady (Allan, Williams)

    Cheers!

  26. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ings to Ronaldo, Bruno to who?

    A. Torres
    B. Pepe
    C. Traore
    D. Trincao
    E. Greenwood

    I own jota & benny so can't really gamble on another rotation risk player, right?
    I'm currently on Trincao

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Greenwood

    2. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Aren't these all rotation risks?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yep

      2. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        That's why I'm edging towards one of the wolves guys

    3. Threat Level Midnight
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres or Sarr

    4. Rog.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      One of the wolves boys for me

  27. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Better combo on wc

    A) Torres Dcl
    B) Greenwood Bamford

    1. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

  28. Threat Level Midnight
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    SIUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU

    Just practicing, carry on

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Bruuunooopp!!

    2. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      SIUUUUUBSTITUTE

    3. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Can someone explain what this thing means.

  29. Will Kane
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Wish there was a game tonight, I'm in the mood now. Birmingham vs Derby just not quite doing it for me.....

  30. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    If a Ronaldo benching is a possibility, it seems daft fo move out Bruno let alone for a hit or 2

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Agree.

    2. King Kun Ta
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      indeed

    3. Utopsis
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ding ding ding ding