Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Malinwa
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Best 5.0 defender? Semedo? Good fixtures coming up...

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Prolly

    2. DF
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I'm into Tierney. Nice fixtures, class player. And whilst I enjoy arsenal being terrible, I reckon they'll be alright from here

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Arsenal have 4.3 guaranteed starter to cover though

        1. Deulofail
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Does he cover Tierney's goals, assists and bonus?

          1. Energetics
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 6 months ago

            No but i think Semedo can match him and Wolves don’t hve 4.3 cover

      2. polis
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Great player but loves an knock/injury.

        1. polis
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          *a

    3. Boly Would
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Cucurella on my watchlist. Brighton defenders were popular pre-season and he looks pretty attacking.

  2. Brad1807
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Lloris foster
    Arnold , Shaw, semado ,dier,liverminto

    Salah Torres jota benrahma boussama

    Ronaldo, Antonio, Dennis

    0.7 in the bank can someone help me just in defence or any suggestion for my team.

    City and Chelsea defenders are hard too hard to choose because of rotation so I've transferred out regulion for dier for extra cash. And got semado.

    Any help is appreciated.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Not keen on Spuds def double, MF a bit flakey too

    2. polis
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      No need to spend 5.5 on a keeper even more so if it's a spurs double up.

      Lloris to a 5.0, Dier to Reg.

      1. Brad1807
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah , lloris has had mad scores in opening games.. would be silly to drop points ??

        I was thinking Christensen from Chelsea but means if have no spurs defender.

        City and Chelsea defence is hard die to rotations

  3. Stupendous
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    We still captaining Ronny?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

    2. OLLY G
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Getting cold feet.

    3. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Best scorer in history ofc

    4. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      If you already own him you might as well double down and captain imo

  4. Salah(c)
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Final WC team would appreciate any suggestions

    Bachman 4.0 (who?)

    TAA digne rudiger duffy liv

    Salah jota torres benrahma sissoko

    Lukaku(c) antonio DCL

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Madness being on a wildcard and not getting CR7 or Wolves

  5. Catastrophe
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Advice greatly appreciated! A, B or C chaps?

    A) DCL, Jota, Greenwood, Gray, White (Sissoko, Williams)

    B) Jota, Greenwood, Raphinha/Benrahma, Traore, Semedo (Dennis, White)

    C) Lukaku, Benrahma, Traore, Gray, Coady (Allan, Williams)

    Cheers!!

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. Boly Would
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Probably C

  6. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Jimi and Raph

    Or

    Bam and traore

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Bam and Traore

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Not this

        1. james 101
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Not. Like. This.

  7. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Last of my wildcard decisions:

    Sanchez Steele
    Taa Shaw Semedo (White Livra)
    Salah Jota Traore ***** (Sissoko)
    CR7 Antonio *****

    A. Keep Benrahma get DCL
    B. Torres and Jiminez

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Sa Ayling over Sanchez Semedo?

      No point wildcarding and not getting Torres, Benrahma has one more game I reckon

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Had considered this. I feel like Semedo has more attacking threat than Ayling but could def be an option.

        Think Ayling rotates well with White too?

        Was set on Torres until he played all 3 international games

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          I'm not sure what the stats say but from watching them Ayling offers far more attacking threat and was very unlucky last season. Not really much competition between Sa and Sanchez although Sanchez is outscoring him lol.

  8. WVA
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Any reason people are over looking Murphy (New)? 5m, nailed, goal and assist already and great fixtures after this week.

    Sa
    TAA Shaw Christensen White
    Salah(VC) Greenwood Jota Torres
    Ronaldo(C) Antonio
    4m Murphy Ayling Scarlett

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      No Wilson = no goals

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Fair point I guess

    2. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Why bother with a 5.0 on the bench when you can have a 4.5 who starts.

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Because I have Greenwood Jota Torres, Murphy offers far more than any of the 4.5s,

    3. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Nowhere to go at the 5.0 bracket.

      Would rather a 4.5 sub and a 6.0+ starter

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        You can always go down to a 4.5 lol

    4. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Just he's in the POO bracket, classed as a midfielder, playing as a defender

      1. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        I guess but doesn't seem to be affecting his output

  9. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Jimenez or Traoré?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Jim

  10. winchester
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    hi lads. 2ft and 0.5m ITB. (tsimi blocking jota..) cheers

    sanchez
    taa shaw livramento
    benrahma salah bruno esr son*
    ings antonio

    ings -> ronaldo
    son -> a) torres b) sarr c) traore

  11. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Ings son esr to auba jota traore for -4?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Personally don’t trust Auba at all

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Its jus my punt on him.

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Read somewhere that ESR is fit

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Where u read it, show me

    3. winchester
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      esr should be fit? (wouldn't get rid of him)

      1. Letsgo!
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Oh is there news on him being fit?

        1. winchester
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Pep Roulette posted this earlier: https://twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/1436329450040446976?s=19

  12. Karan14
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Keep or sell DCL?

    1. Letsgo!
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Isnt dcl fit? Sell for what lol

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        No. Hence the question

    2. Boz
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Keep

    3. jb1985
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Had him since the start myself but unsure of the injury news or what to take of Rafa comments. If i knew he was defiantly out and Raphinha is confirmed to play i would swap out Torres & DCL for them on my WC as their both nailed. Saves me a transfer down the line.

  13. Super John McGinn-
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sanchez, Foster
    TAA, Shaw, Ayling, Livramento, Tsimikas
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Raphinia, Gilmour
    Ings, Antonio, 4.5

    2 FT 0.5 ITB

    A) Tsimikas + Bruno + Ings > White + Jota + Ronaldo (-4)
    B) Bruno + Ings > Torres + Ronaldo
    C) Son + 4.5 > Traore + DCL
    D) Wildcard

  14. Seekers of Glory
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Help needed given the press releases, really think that Son needs to go given fixture turn and injury so:
    What move to do?

    A) Son, Ings > Sarr, Lukaku
    B) Son, Ings > Gallagher or 4.5 (who has to play), Ronaldo
    C) Son, Bruno, Ings > Sarr, Greenwood, Ronaldo (-4)

    Will captain either Ronaldo or Lukaku

    Thanks in advance

    1. Dezzler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Either if your first two options. The 3rd seems a waste as there is as much chance that fernandes gets you points as greenwood.

  15. Big boy Bowen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Son start tomorrow?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Dosen’t look like it

      1. Big boy Bowen
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Still in predicted lineup on here?

        1. Costa Nostra
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Predicted lineups here are worthless.

        2. Drexl Spivey
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Last updated 2nd September.

          1. Big boy Bowen
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 6 months ago

            Ah yes cheers

    2. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      No

    3. Costa Nostra
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Nope

      1. Big boy Bowen
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Ok thanks - the one player who has performed for me so far and he’s crocked, typical

  16. King of Kings.
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Keen to get a second opinion please guys.

    Traore, Trincao or Sarr?

    1. Leaf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Sarr

    2. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I've gone for Traore. He must get something from those fixtures

  17. jblakes
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    How nailed is Marçal, or shall I get semedo. But would mean swapping DCL to rich?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Coady and DCL

      1. jblakes
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Problem with coady is not really a attacking threat

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Not worth sacrificing dcl for. Marcal is fine

  18. LordEllison
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    2 FT and 0.0 Itb.

    Sanchez Steele
    TTA Shaw White Ayling Livra
    Salah Greenwood Bruno(C) Benrahma Mahrez
    Antonio Toney Perica

    A) Bruno & Toney > Ronaldo & Gray
    b) or Mahrez to Jota and have 2 Frees next week?
    been bugging me all week, Thanks!

  19. EL tridente
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Who to captain?
    A) Salah
    B) Lukaku

  20. fuzzymike
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Assuming Arsenal will start playing soon, who are the first choice defenders?? Got 4.4m left so looking at White, Cedric, Chambers or Holding.

    1. King of Kings.
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      White is the most nailed from that lot.

      1. Leaf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        The others won’t play much

        1. fuzzymike
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          cheers.

  21. james 101
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    WC. How does she look?

    Sanchez (Steele)

    TAA Christensen Coady (Williams Livra)

    Salah Jota Benrahma Greenwood (Allan)

    Ronaldo Antonio DCL

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Almost identical to mine (I'm Torres/Traore over Greenwood/Benrahma), therefore I approve.

      Good luck

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        I’ve considered Torres vs jota all week mate.

        Could be you’re right!

      2. jblakes
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Is christensen nailed? Could be a great pick is so

        1. Scots Gooner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Not nailed, but reckon he'll play most

  22. IamthenextTeemuPukki
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    If I make transfers this GW and and end up taking a hit, but then decide to wildcard during the same GW, do I get the 4 points back from the previous transfers?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      yes

  23. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Would you still have dcl on a wc after injury update or plump for jimi or bam?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Sticking with him for now. Hopefully he lasts 3 more gw then prob bringing bamford in after dcl v norwich

  24. davewg59
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Chelsea fans

    Will TT stick with Alonso at present?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Leeds fan but monitoring this closely as Im also a huge fpl fan of chillwell... i would say chilwell is about 60-70% to start against villa as tuchel has declared him ready & is in the predicted lineup here. Going forward they will surely be rotated. On the basis of last season chilly will likely play 2/3 - 3/4

  25. Manani
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    which 2 to ditch? (or all 3 for a hit??)

    A. Son
    B. Barnes
    C. Ings

    1. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      AC, Barnes vs Carson in goal for City? Might just get something there and then it's Brighton, Burnley & Crystal Palace next 3, could be a savvy hold when a lot have already ditched? I'm holding anyway!!

  26. Tommo1212
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    ESR trained this morning ….good to go

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Hi I have been trying to work that out as I saw pictures but wasn’t sure if he was there ? Do you have one / article etc please ?

  27. R.C
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Why is DCL still flagged???

    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Cos he’s carrying an injury

  28. checkit_j
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    I'm not gonna WildCard and hoping this is strong enough:

    Sanchez
    Taa - Shaw - Digne
    Salah - Benrahgma- Bruno - ESR
    Toney - Jimi - Ant

    Raph - Amartey - Livra

    Fingers crossed and good luck to you all

  29. Salah(c)
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Few details left in my wc

    A)4.0 gk
    B)4.5 mid
    C) 10.0 for a gk and a starting def

    On gunn sissoko bachman and rudiger rn thoughts?