Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Townsend gonna start?

  2. Lucas World Conquest
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Man City keeping a clean sheet against Leicester?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Na, Barnes haul incoming

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Unlikely if it's Carson v Vardy.

  3. Karan14
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Great work from Ole & Rafa
    Creating doubts around Ronaldo & DCL starting

    Nice differentials to own this week!

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Just how I like it

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Tempted by both below 🙂

  4. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is Richarlison the best replacement for Callum Wilson?
    Any better picks?
    Cheers in advance 🙂

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Jiménez is a much better option

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I was considering him but wasn't sure how he has been doing this season

        1. KenyaDigIt
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Jiménez has a great run of fixtures ahead of him... and has been creating changes, however, do note he has only had 1 shot on target from 11/12 shots. Overall for the 7.5 and under, Jiménez is one of the best punts. You other option is Pukki

          1. nico05
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Thank you very much I'll go with Jiminez

  5. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Is it too big of a risk to go without Shaw?
    I mean if he gets a good return, you drop 200k

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      That’s not how it works but it’s fine to go without him.

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Let's be honest he is massively over rated and overpriced

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        not overpriced.

        1. WVA
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          We'll see, potential for 5 assists a season at 5.5m....

          1. Gabbiadini
            • 6 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            not priced fair?

    3. 2001: A Space Origi
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I have Cresswell at that price, but Shaw is on my Watchlist!
      There are some good defenders around that price mark, so it's a tough choice.

    4. The Rock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not a risk at all.. Utd have a tough run of fixtures, especially after the next 3.

  6. Thejimbola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Traore, Trincao or Sarr?

    1. Bury94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Traore

    2. KenyaDigIt
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sarr! Traore just can't score and until he does, consistently, his amazing runs and wild shots mean nothing.

  7. Malkmus
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A'noon all. Already done a -8 to give me this:

    Sanchez (Steele)
    Coufal - Trent - Shaw (Williams - Amartey)
    Salah - Greenwood - Torres - Benrahma (Bissouma)
    Ronaldo (c) - Antonio - Toney

    A - Stick
    B - WC - Coufal, Trent, Greenwood, Benrahma and Toney to Semedo, James/Christensen, Gray, Raph(?), Lukaku

    Any thoughts?

  8. Deulofail
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Have I got the bench and captains right?

    Bachmann
    TAA Shaw Tierney
    Grealish Torres Jota(v) Odegaard ESR*(NOR)
    (K)ane Jimenez

    Foster | Livramento (WHU), Ings (che), Ayling (LIV)

    0FT. 3.6 ITB

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Maybe Livramento over Grealish, that's about it

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Whaddup with Grealish Holmie?

        1. Holmes
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Nothing really, just can't see more than 2-3pts for him vs Leicester.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      G2G

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      If you had one option between Odegaard & ESR, which one would you go for?

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        This week, Odegaard. In general, ESR for the time being, since he's proven he can get FPL returns and often finds himself close to goal

    4. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Do not bench Ings

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Why not?
        Who would you bench?

        1. Warby84
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          One of the Arsenal ESR.. Ings could score vs anyone

        2. Warby84
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          At least put as 1st sub

          1. Deulofail
            • 8 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Why? They could score against Norwich. Ings could score against Chelsea. But I think multiple returns from Odegaard and multiple returns from ESR (if he plays) are both more likely than multiple returns from Ings, for example. I put Ings first sub now!

  9. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Long post sorry. Looks like Wilson might need to go now. Which option is best?

    A. Wilson+Barnes >> Bamford+Benrahma
    B. Wilson+Barnes >> DCL+Sarr
    C. Wilson+Barnes+Bruno >> Ronaldo+Jota+Sarr (-4)
    D. Wilson+Barnes+Bruno >> Lukaku+Jota+Torres (-4)

    Sanchez
    TAA. Shaw. White
    Salah. Bruno. Raph. Barnes
    Ings. Antonio. Wilson
    (Foster, Livramento, Gilmour, Ayling)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Or D which I quite like too

        1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Yup

        2. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Cheers! No Ronaldo then?

    2. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      This is a long post? I don't read anything short than this!

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Haha 🙂

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      D has best upside

    4. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like D, but I would consider Saka over Jota and either keep the money or get Ronaldo over Lukaku. Otherwise B, but I'm not sure about Sarr. Maybe Odegaard or ESR, but I'm clearly an Arsenal fan

      1. Deulofail
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Jota a good placeholder for Mount, though, if you want him, so that's a good thing too. I decided to wait on Lukaku given the bum fixtures after this week.

    5. Karan14
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like C

  10. Purse83
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Took a -4 to do Bruno & Ings > Jota and Ronaldo only to see Son is a doubt.

    Considering a Wildcard to change from:

    Sanchez Steele
    Shaw Dier TAA White Livramento
    Salah Jota Raphinha Son Brownhill
    Ronaldo Antonio Perica

    To:

    *Sa* Steele
    Shaw Dier TAA *Semedo* Livramento
    Salah Jota *Sarr* Raphinha *Allan*
    Ronaldo Antonio *Jiminez*

    Thoughts?

  11. The Train Driver
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who's taking a risk and still capping Ronaldo?

    1. Zimo
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      #yoco

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      My captain, no 2nd thoughts whatsoever

    3. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Home v Newcastle, Ronaldo only needs 5 minutes for a hattrick

    4. moment
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      This week owning him is enough.

  12. seanmcging
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who would you pick to replace Son, 7.4 to spend?

    1. Manani
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres

    2. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres or Raphina

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Raphinha probably won’t play.

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres

      1. seanmcging
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Sorry, other than Torres, I was thinking Gundogan?

  13. Mufc202020
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    A) Jota & Auba for Son & Ings (-4)
    B) Jota & Jiminez for Son & Ings (-4)
    C) Jota for Son - start Ings

    Repost! Thanks in advance appreciate the help!

    1. Manani
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      i am doing Jota+DCL for Son+Ings

      1. Eddie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        B or C

  14. Lucas World Conquest
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    How good has trincao been at creating chances and shooting a chance?

    1. Thescaff
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ok

  15. Super John McGinn-
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sanchez, Foster
    TAA, Shaw, Ayling, Livramento, Tsimikas
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Raphinia, Gilmour
    Ings, Antonio, 4.5

    2 FT 0.5 ITB

    A) Tsimikas + Bruno + Ings > White + Jota + Ronaldo (-4)
    B) Bruno + Ings > Torres + Ronaldo
    C) Son + 4.5 > Traore + DCL
    D) Wildcard.

  16. Manani
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    gtg?

    Sanchez
    TAA White Coufal Digne
    Mahrez Benrahm Salah Jota
    DCL Antonio

    (Barnes Livermento 4.5fwd)

  17. 420king
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I got 1FT and 0.0 ITB, which means I'm 0.1 short to get Ronaldo and Greenwood/Jota for Bruno and Ings (for -4)

    A) Save FT and wait a week
    B) Ings to someone (8m and below) for free
    C) Ings and Bruno to Ronaldo and Benrahma (-4)

  18. Kane Train
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which team?

    A) Wildcard
    Sanchez
    TAA / Dier / Shaw
    Salah / Jota / Greenwood / D.Gray
    DCL / Ronaldo / Antonio

    B) Bruno & Ings > Jota & Ronaldo -4
    Or Ings > DCL for free
    Sanchez
    TAA / Digne / Shaw / Dier
    Bruno / Salah / Greenwood / Benrahma
    Ings / Antonio

  19. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Tsimikas, Son, Ings > Varane, Jota, DCL -8?

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Son to jota only

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah.

      2. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks, but no.

  20. Emiliano Sala
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    I think I might end up picking lukaku over ronaldo
    “At some point” is definitely a sub cameo right?!

    1. DIMITRIS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ole is notorious for never telling anything on his presser. Don't trust him one second. Ronaldo will start 1000000%

      1. The Rock
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        It's not even 100% sure.

        Just accept there is a 10% chance he may not start. Ole was slow bringing Sancho and Varan into the team. And Cavani deserves a start after missing the internationals, giving up his squad number and even agreeing to stay another season. I can't see Ole not starting him. Greenwood will start as well out right. Lets not forget how good Cavani was for us last season.

        Besides, what a welcome CR7 wil get coming on as a sub not to mention a game change if Utd are struggling. Plenty reasons to start him from the bench in this one.

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Thanks for this. Clearest, most reasonable case I’ve seen made for Ronaldo coming off the bench.

          Think I’m going to captain Salah.

          1. The Rock
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            No prob TS.. I've been saying it all week he isn't nailed and even more so after Ole's press conference. He still could well start but nobody can say he's nailed.

            It's a good way for even Ole to show he's the "boss" and is strong enough to even bench CR7.

            I was thinking Salah as well, but I see this being a tough game for Liverpool. So might just stick it on Bruno. Salah VC though.

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 14 Years
              2 years, 7 months ago

              If Cavani had been away on international duty then I think it would be almost certain he starts.

              Makes sense to start with Cavani and bring Ronny on to a standing ovation in the second half.

        2. DIMITRIS
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          He will start because he's fit and ready to go. He will get his standing ovation when he scores. If there is a player not to be benched ever it's him or Messi.

          1. The Rock
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Messi came off the bench for his debut for PSG.

  21. DIMITRIS
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on Saka ?
    6.3 , probably nailed and has a nice run of fixtures up ahead.

    1. The Rock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Decent option alright, and a nice differential. Arsenal can only improve from here too.

  22. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    my front line is:
    ESr, Bruno, salah, greenwood raph
    Ings , Toney, Antonio
    2 FTs but Assuming Raph out but ESR ok, is the sensible transfer ings to Jimi then bench raphinha?

  23. bOttOmEdpOstrEpliEr.
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    James and Chilwell the new taa+robbo , next year they will be priced 7 and 7.5.

    1. Thescaff
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Possible but unlikely

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No chance of that, with tuchel rotating at will

      1. 2001: A Space Origi
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Could agree with you more Pep. They will score, but there is always going to be that rotation and probably when you least expect it. If TAA and Robbo can play every game, they will!

  24. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Mount or Torres on wc?

    1. Thescaff
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres

    2. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sure

    3. The Rock
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres

    4. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Torres

  25. Zimo
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ronaldo will outscore everyone even in 30 minutes. Its Newcastle. Only Arsenal have a worse expected goals conceded

  26. squ1rrel
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Get James on WC now and play Livramento or get Rudiger and save 0.1 for the FT?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      a

    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Sod it and get him now.

    3. Manani
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      would just get James

  27. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC?

    Sa
    Trent • Shaw • Rudiger
    Salah • Jota • Sarr • Gray
    Ronaldo • DCL • Antonio

    Bench: Steer • Livramento • Williams • Gilmour

    1. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      nice.

  28. The Mighty Whites
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Benrahma, Sarr or Traore on WC?

    1. Lucas World Conquest
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Benrahma all day

  29. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ings to luk and son to traore for 2ft?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yup but prefer Sarr

    2. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I personally prefer Trincao but Traore has the stats

      Anyway go for it

  30. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Assuming I own DCL already with Livramento / Williams bench backup?

    A) Christensen and Traore

    B) Rudiger abs Gray