Spot the Differential

Low-owned FPL pick Aubameyang can exploit Norwich in Gameweek 4

Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Whits
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    A. START BARNES ( V CITY)
    B. START RAPH (V LIV)
    C. BARNES TO SARR/SAKA/TRAORE/BENRAHMA FOR -4?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      -4

      1. Traore
      2. Sarr
      3. Benny
      4. Saka

      Would be my personal ranking

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A

    3. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Start Raph, Barnes first bench.

      If Raph can’t play then Barnes is fine.

      No need for a hit for me.

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        This. No way anyone on that list is worth a hit

    4. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A

  2. Etern007
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Which would you drop to get Ronaldo in your team:

    a) Salah
    b) Bruno
    c) Neither, are you crazy?

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      c

    2. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      B

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      B or C

    4. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      b

    5. 2001: A Space Origi
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      C, wait to see if he starts!!

    6. Etern007
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks. I was thinking it might be split between B & C!

  3. Energetics
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sanchez (Steele)
    Taa Shaw Semedo (White/Livra)
    Salah Jota Torres Traore (Sissoko)
    Cr7 DCL Antonio

    This ia the team I want but I’m 0.7 short.

    Where do I make the saving?

    1. mr messi
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Jimenez over DCL?

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Probably the one I’m considering most!

        Just not sure on a Wolves triple up

        1. 2001: A Space Origi
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          The only thing worse than a Wolves triple up is an Arsenal triple up...

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      DCL > Jimenez (think that’s 0.7)

      Or Torres > Sarr (90 minutes locked and pens).

      1. Energetics
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        If I did DCL to Jimi could do Traore to Sarr instead.

        Just have a gut feeling Traore is going to haul big soon

        1. RogDog_jimmy
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Yeah that’s fair, I think Traore is a decent shout.
          You got options which is good.

  4. bazbestos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Bruno is gonna go mental tomorrow.

    1. Pep's Money Laundry
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Like he did the last couple of games

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Like he did in his last home game 😉

    2. Kane Train
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Hope so. Could be a good differential with everyone trading him out. Considering keeping him over Ronaldo

      1. The Kopite
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        I am keeping and considering to captain him 🙂

  5. LordEllison
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    2 FT and 0.0 Itb..

    Sanchez Steele
    TTA Shaw White Ayling Livra
    Salah Greenwood Bruno(C) Benrahma Mahrez
    Antonio Toney Perica

    A) Bruno & Toney > Ronaldo & Gray
    b) or Mahrez to Jota and have 2 Frees next week?
    been bugging me all week, Thanks!

  6. Weeb Kakashi
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Pick one to play

    A Marcal Toney
    B Lukaku Gray -8
    C Auba Torres/Greenwood -8

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A. Both have good fixtures

  7. OneArseneWenger32
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    which combo scores more long term... Trent and Sarr or Robbo and Raph?

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Trent and Sarr

  8. Laalman
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    What to do with DCL and raphina on wildcard? Want them but not sure they play this week

    1. KenyaDigIt
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      DCL will play... No one trains and then chills on the bench 3/4 days before a match.

  9. Ibralicious
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Which 2 to start from these?

    A) Tierney (NOR-H)
    B) Dier (CRY-A)
    C) Cresswell (SOU-A)

    Cheers and good luck lads!

    1. ivantys
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      AC

    2. KenyaDigIt
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      AC

    3. 2001: A Space Origi
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      AC

  10. Fpl_Ludwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC?

    Sanchez
    TAA - Coady - Duffy - Shaw
    Gray - Salah - Jota
    Ron - Rom - Antonio

    Bench: Steele - B.Williams - Allan - Mendy

    Will Torres play? If he does i would get him instead of jota and get a 4.5 instead of B.Williams

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      having to play three of Gray, Duffy, Williams, Coady and Allan each week is going to feel horrible very quickly

      1. Fpl_Ludwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Definently possible, do you reckon i should downgrade shaw to a 5 mil def and get a 4.5 instead of Williams?

  11. moment
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    The problem with a CR7 / Lukaku / Antonio frontline is one weak link in the 11. Who's it gonna be this week?
    A) Sissoko (WOL)
    B) Gilmour (ars)
    C) Williams (ars)

    1. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Derbz87
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Did you W/C to get that? That is going to be pretty grim most weeks but A this week for me. Put it this way if you get some bad luck along the way you could be fielding 2 or all of them.

  12. diplodocus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Undecided please help, 2 WC drafts, the Arsenal players are non-negotiable btw

    2 Big hitters:
    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA, Shaw, Semedo, Tierney, Livra
    Salah, Jota, Benrahma, Odegaard, (4.5 bench)
    CR7, DCL, Antonio

    Benrahma to Raphinha GW5
    Shaw to James GW7ish
    Jota to Mount GW7ish
    CR7 to Lukaku GW7ish

    -----------------------------------

    Or 3 big hitters:
    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA, Semedo, Tierney, Ayling, Livra
    Salah, Jota, Benrahma, Odegaard, Gray
    CR7, Lukaku (4.5 bench)

    Benrahma to Raphinha GW5
    Jota to Mount GW7

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Prefer the 1st draft. More balanced

      1. diplodocus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, yeah feel like 2 bit hitters is the more sensible option but tempted by 3

    2. Eewraks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      going with 3 big hitters but prefer 4-3-3 instead of 2 up front

      1. diplodocus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, dont really fancy any of the sub 6.5 strikers, think there's more value in Odegaard and Gray given fixtures

  13. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Hi...no idea what to do with my 2fts and 0.9mitb....was planning this move but open to suggestions.

    bruno ings and tsimikas to ronaldo (c) jota and livramento - 4?

    Sanchez
    Taa shaw ayling white tsimikas
    Salah bruno greenwood benrahma gilmour
    Ings antonio toney

    Thanks

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I like those transfers

    2. Energetics
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Like the siggested moves

    3. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Ings to DCL/Jim and float

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers....at this stage I'm likely to go ahead with the moves

        But may bottle it and captain salah....thanks

  14. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Need help guys.

    Bachmann
    TAA, Shaw, Duffy, (Amartey, Tsmikas)
    Salah, Bruno, Benrahma, Barnes (Brownhill)
    Antonio, Ings, Toney

    1FT or willing to -4! Any suggestions??

    1. james 101
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Many are doing Bruno and Ings to Ronaldo and a mid

      1. BrockLanders
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        I'm uncertain on that mid though. I've about 9m for one

        1. james 101
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Jota? Torres?

          1. BrockLanders
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 6 months ago

            Can't have Jota with Liverpool 3 already. Torres could be decent shout. Captain Ronaldo??

  15. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Hi All

    Don’t want to WC. Not sure what to do though. I have 3 options in my mind. I have 0.9ITB & 1FT.

    1 - Perica & Bruno to Ronaldo & Gilmore. 3-4-3 (-4)

    2 - DCL, Tsimikas & Bruno to Semedo, Jota & Ronaldo

    3 - Do nothing, bank the transfer & hide behind the sofa at 3pm tomorrow.

    Current team is;

    Sanchez
    TAA Shaw Coufal
    Salah Bruno Raphinha Greenwood Benrahma
    DCL Antonio

    Steele Armarty Tsimikas Perica

    Thanks.

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      2 is (-8)

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Similar above and hide ha

      1. Forever In Our Shadow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        It actually seems the sensible option. Normally I wouldn’t hesitate but feel different this season and being patient and something feels like being a sheep if I get Ronny in. But id was my first thought before I have slept on it for 2 weeks.

    3. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Honestly your team is great. I’d roll the transfer.

      But if you want to get Ron take the hit and do it. What’s the bigger regret for you? Doing it and it fails? Or not doing it and missing out?

      That’s a personal choice.

      1. Forever In Our Shadow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Jimmy great comment, thanks. Food for thought.

    4. cheeky moses
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      3

  16. james 101
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on my current main questions?

    A. Is Christensen nailed?

    B. Will Dcl play?

    C. Will Ronny start?

    Thanks!

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A semi nailed.
      B yes
      C No but could get 35mins in second half. Imo of course.

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Probably
      Yes
      50/50

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      No
      Yes
      Yes but not start

  17. Johnny too hotty
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    so many hits to accommodate Ronaldo, I know he is part goat but surely not worth all these -8s.
    Bruno not even top 2 cap is mad, Ronaldo not playing 90 minutes and Utd are not even playing that well. He will not fix that.

    1. james 101
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      He doesn’t need to fix united

      He can just grab all the action that’s available and rack up a big score personally

      That said I’m not sure I’d -8 just for him

  18. The Mighty Whites
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    A - Benrahma and Williams
    B - Traore and 4.5 DF (if so who, already got Ayling and Coady)

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      sarr and williams?

  19. Dacra
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Am I good to go, or rip it up with hits/WC to get Ronaldo?!

    Sanchez (Steele)
    TAA - Shaw - Ayling/Amartey/Williams
    Salah - Greenwood - Grealish - Benrhama (Brownhill)
    DCL - Antoni - Lukaku

    0.4itb
    0ft

    Cheers

    1. Eastman
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Are you kidding? Good team

    2. King Kun Ta
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      GTG!

  20. PlayPercentage
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    After a few weeks, Ronaldo will be picking the team and telling Solksjaer who he wants to play alongside him. Isn't this what he does with the Portgual side?
    There will be no worries about whether he starts or not.

    1. Harry the Hack
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      After a few weeks Ronaldo will be telling the Board who he wants as coach for his teammates

      1. PlayPercentage
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        That is a likely scenario.
        Ronaldo probably carries more weight at board level.

  21. Atimis
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Jim or DCL?

    Jim worth punt?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

  22. squ1rrel
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    WC GTG?

    Sa
    TAA - Tierney - Livra (James - Williams)
    Salah - Torres - Raph - Trincao (Allan)
    CR7 - DCL - Antonio

    0.0 ITB

  23. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Bringing in Ronaldo with 2FT, for Ings and Fernandes.

    But who is the best mid to bring in (I have 3 pool players already so no Jota Unfortunately).

    Current plan is (A) Traore

    Sanchez
    TAA, White, Digne, Shaw
    Traore, Salah, Benrahma
    (R)onaldo, Antonio, Toni

    Steele, Barnes, Gilmour, Tsimikas

    Leaves me with 1.6m ITB

    GW5 - Barnes to Raphina
    GW6- Bank
    GW7- Look to bring in Chelsea assets

    This is the plan, but is (B) Torres a better option for Bruno?

  24. King Kun Ta
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Livramento or Williams? Ta!

    1. Deulofail
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Taa

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      liv

    3. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Livra

  25. Johnny too hotty
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sanchez
    Trent White Shaw Livamento
    Salah Mahrez Barnes Bruno
    Ings Antonio

    For this week would you do a double for -4:

    INGS > DCL or JIMINEZ
    BARNES > JOTA or ?

  26. zon
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    I'm confused. Is DCL fit or not?

    1. Harry the Hack
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Benitez on DCL: "He was not fully fit, he was making an effort to be on the pitch, he has been training with pain, so I'm really happy to see him trying in the training sessions even when he's not fully fit. And that is why I'm expecting even more [from him]

      1. zon
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah, that's the statement I'm confused about

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          He's still not fit but soldiering on.

          Likely to start.

    2. cheeky moses
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Fit enough to play, I reckon

      1. Eastman
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Managers are becoming politicians at avoiding straight answers

  27. cheeky moses
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Got 2FTs. Need some help lads:
    A) Wilson, Ings > Jim, DCL
    B) Wilson, Bruno > CR7, Torres (or other mid below 7.1)
    C) Wilson, Ings, Bruno > CR7, Jim, Jota (-4)
    D) Wilson, Ings, Bruno > Lukaku, DCL, Jota (-4)

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      prob A but dont hate D

      1. cheeky moses
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers. A) was the initial plan but CR7/lukaku are tempting

  28. xHaTr
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Still worth bringing Ronaldo in now im getting iffy on giving him the armband over his start risk?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Only if free

  29. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Torres or Greenwood on WC?

  30. gonzalocampos
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Whats is the final on Son? Out for Palace?