Spot the Differential

Budget FPL defender Davies offers cheaper route into Spurs backline

Gameweek 15 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United and Arsenal, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

BEN DAVIES

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: NOR | bha | lei | LIV | CRY

Budget defender Ben Davies (£4.4m) could be set for a new lease of life at Tottenham Hotspur under Antonio Conte.

The 28-year-old started the season as back-up at Spurs, which limited him to just one league start up until the Italian’s arrival in Gameweek 11. However, the Welshman has since completed 90 minutes in each of Conte’s three league matches in charge, which has coincided with his side keeping two clean sheets.

During that time, Davies’s role on the left of Spurs’ three-man defence has seen him regularly burst forward and contribute in the final third, linking excellently with wing-back Sergio Reguilon (£5.2m). That was evident against Brentford on Thursday, when he forced the own goal that put his team ahead, before later sending another header at goal that was saved by Alvaro Fernandez (£4.5m). His defensive work was notable, too, with two interceptions, four recoveries and a couple of successful clearances.

Up next for Tottenham is Norwich City, who rank bottom for non-penalty expected goals (non-pen xG) and who have found the net just eight times across their 14 outings this term, while appealing fixtures against Brighton and Hove Albion (a), Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a) and Watford (a) follow prior to the January break.

Davies has had an up and down career at Tottenham to date, but there is hope Conte can coax the best out of him, and if he does, FPL managers will be handed a budget route into Spurs’ backline.

MARCUS RASHFORD

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £9.4m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: CRY | nor | bre | BHA | new

Following the inclusion of Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) in last week’s column, this time it’s the turn of team-mate Marcus Rashford (£9.4m).

The England international has had a frustrating campaign so far, mainly due to injury, but has scored two goals and provided an assist in his six Premier League appearances since returning from shoulder surgery, despite featuring for over 60 minutes just three times.

Against Arsenal in midweek, he appeared a little isolated but did deliver at a crucial moment, when he produced the cross for Cristiano Ronaldo’s (£12.3m) strike, while prior to that, his pressing ability was key to his team’s performance at Stamford Bridge.

Now, with Ralf Rangnick installed, he will surely be handed further opportunities to kick on, with his manager’s comments about wanting to control games and play on the front foot hugely encouraging for Manchester United’s attacking assets.

The Red Devils’ forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that Rashford can deliver, with games against Crystal Palace (h), Norwich City (a), Brentford (a), Brighton and Hove Albion (h), Newcastle United (a) and Burnley (h) before the end of the year. In fact, the next time they face one of the ‘traditional’ big six is in March, against rivals Manchester City.

Rashford has all the attributes to thrive in a Rangnick system, and could be a nice pickup for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential.

TAKEHIRO TOMIYASU

Budget FPL defender Davies offering viable route into Spurs backline 2
  • FPL ownership: 4.1%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW15-19 fixtures: eve | SOU | WHU | lee | nor

With six clean sheets, an assist and three bonus points in his 11 Premier League appearances since joining Arsenal, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Takehiro Tomiyasu (£4.6m) could be a solid under the radar pick in December.

Unlike Nuno Tavares (£4.3m) and Kieran Tierney (£4.7m) on the opposite flank, the Japan international has established himself as first-choice under Mikel Arteta, and was arguably the best player on the pitch during their 3-2 loss at Manchester United on Thursday, when he almost won a penalty after Harry Maguire (£5.4m) pulled him down.

The 23-year-old’s creativity is on the up, too. Having started the season slowly in an attacking sense, he has recently started to contribute more in the final third. In fact, over the last four Gameweeks, Tomiyasu has posted team-leading totals for successful crosses and chances created, while his 0.68 expected assists (xA) total ranks eighth amongst all defenders.

However, the real appeal lies in the Gunners’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against Southampton, West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers before the end of the year, plus away trips to Everton, Leeds United and Norwich City, further shut-outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.6m, Tomiyasu is a cheap route into Arsenal’s defence, and could be a nice set-and-forget option given his security of starts and increased attacking potential.

1,277 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Aubamewho
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Repost: Your thoughts are appreciated

    Ramsdale
    Cancello TAA James Alonso
    Raph Salah Jota
    Antonio Kane Hwang

    Foster, Mbeumo, Brownhill, Livra
    0.8 itb

    A) Mbeumo, Hwang > ESR, Dennis
    B) Mbeumo, Hwang > Madison, 4.5F to save up to move Raph out next GW

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A.

    2. Guru Mediation
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Are these moves for free? A if so

      1. Aubamewho
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes. 2FT

        1. Aubamewho
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Cheers both

    3. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. Chrisaa87
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play Antonio or Livra?
    Good luck all.

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’d play Livra

    2. drughi
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio

    3. Guru Mediation
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio - I've kept him throughout too. I just know that benching him will end in tears after all those blanks. Southampton aren't as solid as they were either

    4. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio

    5. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Liv

  3. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one of:-
    A)Pukki
    B)livramento
    I’m leaning towards A atm.

    1. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  4. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    2ft.
    A. Gallagher to 4.7
    (Allowing Kane, Davis > Ronaldo, King next week)

    B. Foden > Bilva/Gundo

    Guaita
    TAA Cancelo Reguilon James Livra
    Salah Jota Foden
    Kane Antonio

    Gallagher Gilmour Davis

    1. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B if Foden is confirmed benched

  5. TheYogaDaddy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play 2:

    a. Pukki (TOT)
    b. Livramento (BHA)
    c. Mbuemo (LEE)

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bench A

    2. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'll bench B

  6. Mozumbus
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on early GW16 WC:
    Guita* Bachman*
    TAA Cancelo Dias Rudiger Tomiyasu*
    Salah Jota* Bilva* Gallagher* Brownhill
    Antonio Toney Dennis*
    *are changes
    1.6ITB

    1. yanky
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      no manutd with those fixtures?

      1. Mozumbus
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. How about Sancho in place of B.Silva? already have two manc defenders.

        1. yanky
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          def a sexier pick, and sancho is on my watchlist, could work out and pep you know will rotate more over xmas

          1. Mozumbus
            • 2 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Makes sense, thanks again

  7. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    whats the best option THIS WEEK ONLY

    a) James + Saka + Toney
    b) Rudiger + Saka + Emerson Royal
    c) Rudiger + LucasMoura + Toney
    d) Rudiger + Bilva/Gundo + Toney (-4 pt hit).

    1. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      a

  8. Cok3y5murf
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is Cornet safe from AFCON until the end of December?

    1. Nightf0x
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      isnt AFCON on january

      1. Cok3y5murf
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Read that the players would have to leave by 27th December or something

  9. Bishopool
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    a) Son
    b) Jota

    1. Brazooka
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B for next couple of weeks (and lot of GWs).

  10. Bishopool
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Start one (other 3 benched)

    a) Jimi
    b) Gall
    c) Amartey
    d) Duffy

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  11. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What are these Foden comments?? Does he play or not?

  12. The Riders of Mohan
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gtg?

    Sanchez
    James TAA Cancelo Dias
    Salah Foden Jota Raph ESR
    ASM

    Foster, Livra, Toney, Antonio

    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeaj

  13. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    WC team

    X 3.9
    taa rudi X X X
    bowen esr salah jota X
    ronaldo denis X

    which?

    a) rams laporte/walker davies lamptey gundo/bernardo benteke
    b) ddg laporte/walker white dufy gundo/bernardo benteke (-0.1 for dufy to lamptey)
    c) rams dias dufy johnson benteke

  14. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    start toney or saka?

    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Saka

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Saka

  15. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one:

    A) Antonio
    B) Mbeumo
    C) Livramento

    1. Brazooka
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tonio.

    2. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

      1. FPL Alaska
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, that's who I'm currently on.

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  16. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Man those embargoed Foden quotes have really annoyed me. I really wanted to get Foden this week but it seems too risky now

    1. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Which quotes?

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Click on my profile and check my comments. I posted one on here a few hours ago

        1. Winston.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Thanks… do we think that Gundo will start? Gundo on penalties in that case?

          1. internal error
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            I think he does but it's a risk. I believe he will be on pens

  17. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Repost. Can't decide...pick one to play

    A. Antonio
    B. Dennis
    C. Gallagher
    D. White

    1. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D not a bad option imo

    2. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio

    3. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D has a decent chance of a clean sheet. Gallagher would be my next choice

    4. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers all

    5. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D or C. D maybe.

    6. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C… or A

  18. sminkypinky
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench Vardy?

    With Daka predicted to start would you bench Vardy for
    A) Gray
    B) Antonio
    C) Gallagher

    or just start him?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thing is does he come on if starts benched? Probably does imo.

        1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yes he will. I see 0-0 or 1-0 in favour of Villa at 60 with him coming on.

    2. SoulShakinTex
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I am just starting him. And none of your other options are great this week either?

      1. sminkypinky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        True. Very true. Hence here deliberating.

    3. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      What changes should I make to my WC team? Thinking of putting To

      Dea Gea
      TAA Cancelo James Reguilon
      Salah Jota Esr Bernardo
      Kane Dennis

      Bench: Gunnerson White Davis Brownhill

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Oops my bad

        1. sminkypinky
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          No worries. Think I answered you on previous post regarding your wc team.

    4. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Start him other options aren't worth it

  19. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A. Gallagher (mun)
    B. Antonio (CHE)

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  20. SoulShakinTex
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Play two from these, please?
    1) Antonio CHE
    2) Livra BHA
    3) Gallagher mun
    4) Saka eve
    5) Gilmour tot

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      2 4

      1. SoulShakinTex
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks, on 1-4 at the moment with 2 first bench (again)

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      2 and 4

    3. Thomas Jerome Newton
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      2 and 4 for me

  21. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Guaita Foster
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon Johnson
    Salah Jota Gallagher ESR Brownhill
    Kane Antonio Toney

    Transfer ideas? 2FT's + £0.6m

  22. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    For the next 5 GWs:

    A) ESR
    B) Bowen
    C) Gallagher
    D) Maddison

    Thanks

    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bowen although I'd wait a week

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. Planning to do that.

    2. SoulShakinTex
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Agree, it’s close, but Bowen from next week. BADC would probably be my list.

    3. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Looking for Esr next week, Bowen the week after myself.

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

    4. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Bowen

  23. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Raphinha to B. Silva
    B) Save FT this week and reassess next GW

    1. SoulShakinTex
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B.

    2. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  24. marcus2704
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronaldo flagged? Bought him in this GW for a hit :/

  25. Bishopool
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    a) keep Jimi
    b) Wilson (-4pts)
    c) Watkins (-4pts)

    1. SoulShakinTex
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Did C myself, but not for a hit. So A

    2. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No hit. Just bench him if you have another decent option to play.

      1. Bishopool
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Gall, Duffy, Amartey on bench. A bit poor..

        1. FPL Alaska
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I would fo A and just play him then.

  26. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    please complete WC team

    3.9 X
    taa rudi X X X
    bowen esr salah jota X
    ronaldo denis X

    which?

    a) rams laporte/walker davies lamptey gundo/bernardo benteke
    b) ddg laporte/walker white dufy gundo/bernardo benteke (-0.1 for dufy to lamptey)
    c) rams dias dufy johnson benteke

  27. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Morning folks!

    Need to bench one from Livra (BHA), Gallagher (mun), King (MCI) - what do you think? I’m leaning towards Gallagher currently.

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      King for me
      Play the fixture

    2. Thomas Jerome Newton
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd benxh Gallagher from those.

  28. ZeBestee
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is it worth using 1FT to do Sanchez > Ramsdale?

    Arsenal fixtures are very nice til January and he has a lot of save points as well.

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Save the Transfer
      You’ll want to use those transfers on city united assets

      1. ZeBestee
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Ramsdale has played 990 min so far this season, with 57 points (5.18 points per 90). Sanchez has 47 points in 1170 min. (3.6 points per 90 min)

    2. SoulShakinTex
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not worth it, the FT is more valuable

  29. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    which in each

    a) walker or laporte
    b) for this gw only, watkins or toney or asm/wilson
    c) gundo or bernardo
    d) ddg white or rams davies

    1. Lord of Ings
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Walker
      Watkins
      Gundo
      Rams davies

  30. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one of
    A)pukki
    B)livramento

    1. SoulShakinTex
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A, I think

    2. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A just