Captain Sensible
6 May 2023 421 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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With two goals, four bonuses and a combined 16-point haul preceding a hugely favourable encounter against Leeds United, record-breaking Erling Haaland (£12.4m) is the clear favourite for Gameweek 35’s Fantasy Premier League (FPL) armband.

Nevertheless, the Captain Sensible article is here to consider any chinks in his robotic armoury, whether the red-hot home form of Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) can challenge the Norwegian and also run the rule on some usual suspects and differential punts.  

These alternative armband options might be all the more important, should we get any pre-deadline heads-up on a benching for Haaland.

First, we will assess the fallout of the captain poll, before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings ahead of Saturday’s 13:30 BST deadline.

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Haaland dominates the poll, backed by just under three-quarters of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

No other player has garnered more than 8% of votes, with Salah providing the Norwegian’s main competition. Jack Grealish (£7.3m) occupies third place with 3.69% of the vote, closely followed by Julian Alvarez (£6.0m) and Kevin De Bruyne (£12.2m).

THE CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/JULIAN ALVAREZ

Haaland’s deft chip against West Ham United on Wednesday night gave the Norwegian his 35th goal, already breaking the single-season Premier League record.

The Manchester City marksman received a guard of honour from teammates in acknowledgement of his superb debut season, with early-season questions about his suitability for Pep Guardiola’s system and the Premier League now a very distant memory.

While it’s almost churlish at this stage to examine Haaland’s recent underlying data, the Norwegian continues to dominate the majority of key metrics.

Over the last six matches, Haaland’s non-penalty expected goals (NPxG, 4.80), 13 big chances and 13 shots on target are all division-leading

Above: Erling Haaland leads the division for big chances (13) and shots on target (13) over the last six matches.

In his current form and with a hugely favourable fixture, how do you oppose him?

A strong indication from Guardiola that the Norwegian will be preserved for Real Madrid – or a trusted team leak that he’s benched – represents the only opportunity without committing Fantasy suicide.

Man City’s title ambitions are firmly in their own hands, holding a slender one-point lead over Arsenal with a game in hand.

It’s no secret that Guardiola’s pursuit of Champions League glory has been a high priority for their Abu Dhabi ownership, so resting Haaland could be on the cards after three successive 90-minute outings.  

Meanwhile, Alvarez produced a 12-point haul at Fulham last weekend, scoring a screamer from 25 yards to put Man City on top. With possible rotation taking place, the Argentinian may be afforded another opportunity to impress and continue his recent run of form. Again, we await a possible team leak.

Since Premier League action resumed in Gameweek 17, Alvarez has scored five goals, supplied three assists and collected seven bonus points – averaging 7.33 FPL points per start.

City’s opponents Leeds are under the new stewardship of Sam Allardyce but face an uphill battle for top-flight survival that starts at the Etihad Stadium. A five-game winless streak hastened the departure of Javi Gracia and, without a clean sheet in ten, their underlying defensive numbers look ominous.

The last half-dozen matches have seen Leeds concede the most goals (19) of everyone, ranking second-worst for non-penalty expected goals conceded (NPxGC, 12.52).

MOHAMED SALAH/TRENT ALEXANDER-ARNOLD



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

421 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start Watkins or Martinelli??

    Steele
    TAA Tripp Mings
    Salah[vc] Rashford Mitoma March
    Haaland[c] Watkins Isak

    Kepa Martinelli Gabriel Neco

    Am thinking to hold ft this week and then make 3 for -4 next...

    Gabriel, March, Watkins - out
    Shaw, Bilva, Wilson - In

    That should see me through?

    Thoughts please... cheers

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I’m giving Watkins a final chance

  2. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Clean up on Aisle 5

  3. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start two

    A: Jota
    B: Grealish
    C: Isak

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      B and C

    2. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm almost in same position like you...obviously isak and jota

      Either way I think jota get some mins

  4. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Morning,

    What to do with jota? I have triple city and a poor bench...

    A. Stick and play jota
    B. Wilson
    C. Isak

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I like C

    2. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Did B for a hit

  5. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Ederson
    TAA Shaw Estu
    Salah Rashy Grealish March Mitoma
    Haaland Watkins

    (Kepa Trippier Botman Gwood)

    Save FT this week?

    Start Shaw or Trippier?

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Save

    2. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I would get a Newc striker in for Ollie
      Play Trippy

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Wilson or Isak?

        1. n14mul
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Isak mins
          Wilson more clinical...

          Fancy Wilson personally

        2. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          Wilson for me, but both next week

      2. Karan_G14
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I’m tempted to get Wilson. But Wolves conceded 6 last week.

        Considering a hit for Fernandes also if we get news Jack is benched.

  6. Stockport Hatter
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Play Kepa or Raya?

    1. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Same issue ..I'm on kepa for some reason

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I’m on Raya for save potential currently. Sneaky feeling Bournemouth will beat Chelsea.

        1. n14mul
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 7 months ago

          I'm on same thinking but just hoping Chelsea cannot keep being this bad and surely they will just tighten up at some point

          1. Forgetmeknot
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 7 months ago

            Haha it’s the hope that kills. But I am also doing the same because of the same thoughts - more pain incoming!

  7. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Shaw for possible asissts

    1. rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Played CB last three, hasn’t he?

    2. Benster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      3 bonus points are same as 1 assist

  8. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Start Moreno ahead of my back 3?

    Trippier Shaw Estupiñian

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I’m starting Moreno ahead of Shaw

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Ahead of Shaw, one clean sheet away from home when he's played and he's playing CB which lowers his attacking threat, especially compared to Trip Est and Moreno

  9. Lucky Z
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Steele
    Estu Zinchenko Trippier
    Salah Saka Marti Rash Mitoma
    Haaland Watkins

    Iversen Toney Mee Pinnock

    Anything worth a hit with 0ITB?

  10. Benster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Surely on current form Wilson gets a start against Arsenal doesn't he, regardless of whether Isak is benched or moved to the left wing?

    1. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure because it's Arsenal. Reckon it'll be Isak-Murphy-Joelinton

      1. Weak Become Heros
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        If Longstaff is injured that pushes Bruno back and will probably put Big Jo back into midfield. Possibly Isak on LW.

  11. Dogs Of War
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Morning all

    Planning with next week in mind. Is it better to have 2 x Newcastle attackers or stick with the 2x defenders I currently have?

    For DGW36 I have Trippier, Botman, Isak, Dunk, Mitoma, March.

    Leaning towards the attackers currently.

    Thanks

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Of course it's better to have two attacker's for next week but it means selling Kane or Haaland so it might not be better for the season

  12. Milk, 1 Šuker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who bangs more this week? Isak or Solanke?

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Solanke

    2. Benster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure I can see either 'banging' this week, but maybe Isak will grab a goal

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on their respective missus or misses

    4. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Isak.

  13. Irish Villan 1985
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Guys, Grealish to March and Mings to Trent for a -4....Please help LOL!

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure about this one, I’d say no

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      No.

  14. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Would I be metal to bank on Porro and Son to close gap in my ML?

    1. camarozz
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Mental.*

    2. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Not mental, not hugely likely either but could well work. Differential double gameweek players probably more likely

    3. yeahbuddy
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Son decent punt
      Maybe not Porro

    4. Punty McPuntface
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Punty, maybe not the best punty, but still...punty

  15. focaccia
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Gtg? Rolling transfer this week and £1.2itb…

    Kepa

    TAA - Trippier - Estupinan

    Salah (v) - Rashford - March - MacAllister

    Haaland (C) - Watkins - Solanke

    Subs: Raya - Grealish - Zinchenko - Pinnock

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes looks good

  16. marcos11
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    GTG?

    Steele
    TAA Ake Lindelof
    Salah Grealish Rashford Mitoma
    Haaland Watkins Toney
    Raya March Trippier Pinnock

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

  17. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    DDG
    TAA / Dunk / Stones
    Salah / Rashford / Grealish / Mitoma / March
    Haaland / Kane

    Iversen / Trippier / Botman / Greenwood

    How’s this looking? Correct bench? Roll transfer?

  18. Tripleh123
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which goalie likely to haul more for this week?

    a. De Gea
    b. Navas

    1. Punty McPuntface
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'd like to think b

  19. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Who to bench? Have excluded Haaland, Salah and Rashford from the options.

    A) Grealish (LEE)
    B) Mitoma (EVE)
    C) Mac (EVE)
    D) Alvarez (LEE)
    E) Watkins (wol)

    Start?

    1) Kepa
    2) Raya

    1. Punty McPuntface
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      E 2

  20. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Alvarez surely will start for City over the next 2 PL games with the CL meaning games every 3 or 4 days

    1. Punty McPuntface
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      You'd think so...

  21. marcus2704
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Benching headache this week, does this look OK to you?

    Iverson (Raya)
    Estu | Shaw | TAA
    Rashford | KDB | Mitoma | Grealish
    Watkins | Wilson | Haaland (C)

    Subs - March, Trippier, Mee

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I think this should be a hot topic?

      A. March
      B. Watkins

      1. Trippier
      2. Shaw

      For me March has a far superior fixture but the second one is really tough!

  22. Tripleh123
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which Newcastle options better going foward?

    a. Trippier, Botman, Isak/Wilson
    b. Trippier, Isak, Wilson
    c. Trippier, Joelinton, Isak/Wilson

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Clearly it's B?

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      A will likely be the template based on past ownerships (including Schar in place of Botman).

      Wilson+Isak combo could continue to work well though.

  23. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Kepa (ew I know)
    TAA Shaw Moreno
    Mitoma Rashford Salah Grealish
    Alvarez Haaland Wilson

    Raya, Saka, White, Moreno.

    G2G?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Trippier starts ahead of Moreno*

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I'd start Moreno ahead of Trippier all day

  24. DropkickMurphys
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Sell jota or Watkins? And for Isak or someone else? Thanks everyone!

  25. Tripleh123
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which 2 to start out of the 3?

    a. Trippier
    b. Stones
    c. Watkins

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Only one I'd want to start is B

  26. Bavarian
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    G2G?
    DDG
    Trippier-TAA-Estupinan
    Salah-Rashford-Foden-Mitoma
    Haaland-Isak-Watkins

    Iversen-March-Shaw-Bueno

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I'm starting March over Watkins, what are your thoughts on that? March home v a porous Everton, Watkins away v Wolves who haven't conceded at home for a while and Watkins hasn't scored in a while.

      1. Quality Quality Qualit
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        I am doing the same with Watkins first on the bench.

  27. andre_c
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Gtg?

    Steele
    TAA - Robbo - Dias - Lindelof
    Salah - KDB - Rashford - March - Mitoma
    Haaland (C)

    Iverson - Bueno - Greenwood - Taylor

    1FT, $0.1ITB

    Captain depends on Haaland start.
    Thanks

    1. Punty McPuntface
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Looking good. Whose vc?

  28. Punty McPuntface
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Which Man City defender is the most 'nailed' for the next 3gw?

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      I went for Ederson lol and look how that went, personally I'd just avoid

      1. Punty McPuntface
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Ouch!

        Yeah, I'd never thought that would have happened

  29. mr_jones
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Neto
    Trippier - TAA - Shaw
    Rashford - Mitoma - March - Joelinton
    Watkins - Kane - Haaland (C)

    Kepa - White - Martinelli - Mee

    G2G?

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 7 months ago

      Linton ahead of Martinelli!?

      1. mr_jones
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 7 months ago

        Martinelli on Bench rumours say. But i know. Joe wont make so many Points back in central midfield

  30. it lies in the proles
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 7 months ago

    Any chance Darwin and KDB start? Will we know before deadline?