Pro Pundits
27 May 2023 328 comments
FPL_Sonaldo FPL_Sonaldo
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Our top team of Pro Pundits and Hall of Famers write about all things Fantasy Premier League (FPL) throughout the season.

Only Premium Members are able to read every single one of these pieces, so sign up today to get full access not just to the editorial content but all of the other benefits, from hundreds of Opta stats to a transfer planner.

Here, Burning Questions co-host Sonaldo (aka Andy) delivers his final thoughts on the season.

The FFS Pro Pundits 38

In this final article of 2022/23, I want to touch on what I think might be a largely overlooked aspect in assessing your FPL season.

LOOKING BEYOND THE RANK

A majority of our time as super-engaged FPL managers is spent behind the scenes, in the days leading up to a Gameweek deadline. Yet, our Gameweeks and overall season are defined by the number shown in the rank. 

Like in any sport or competition in life, an objective rank is still a very important marker because we as FPL managers inherently love the competition and want to beat everyone around us. If that drive and competition didn’t exist, we wouldn’t be so obsessed over those tiny jerseys shown on our phones. After all, my main objective is to get the highest rank possible and win all my mini-leagues. 

However, I believe pulling back the curtain and shedding some light on the process is also important. Simply looking at our ranks and giving a judgment on whether we did good or bad doesn’t tell the full story. Every competition and game has its own set of challenges, and FPL is no different. While football itself is a game played against a single opponent, FPL is unique in two ways; first, there is no correlation between how hard you try and how well you do, and second, you’re essentially playing a game against millions of opponents.

MANAGING EXPECTATIONS

FPL Gameweek 28 differentials: Havertz, Ouattara + Buendia 2

Thus, managing expectations is something I especially learned this season. As I gain more experience playing this game, I keep getting reminded that most decisions don’t pan out the way you expect them to. On top of this, you naturally will miss out on other points and players as well. You can’t have them all.

For example, my season was damaged greatly by not owning Ollie Watkins (£7.3m) during his super-hot streak. While it was a brutal swing indeed (I opted for Kai Havertz (£7.4m)), looking back I realized that my inherent decision-making process for picking Havertz over Watkins was flawed. I didn’t necessarily believe in the player (Havertz) but wanted to pick him just because I felt I needed an edge on my Wildcard and thought this was a gamble worth taking. In essence, the pick was largely based on the idea of being a little bit ‘different’ from the template Wildcard team. Lesson learned: pick players you think will score the most points!

FLEXIBLE GOALS

Managing expectations comes with having flexible goals throughout the season as well. We obsess so much about a top 10k rank but what do you do if you have five straight red arrows? Or if you begin the season 40 points behind the pack? These things are bound to happen (maybe not as drastically) so it’s important to set new goals throughout the campaign. This can be a rank-focused goal but it should come with realistic targets and letting the opportunities come to you. There is a fine line between forcing decisions and making smart calculated risks when the opportunities present themselves. 

THE THRILL OF THE CHASE

There is also the idea of learning to enjoy the process (or the chase). If you’re taking the time to read this article, that probably means you’re like me – an FPL manager that enjoys consuming content. Yes, that one casual player might spend less than 20 minutes a week on his FPL team and might have a better rank (hopefully not), but that shouldn’t take away from our enjoyment of prepping days in advance for a decision we make close to the deadline. Even if a last-minute move is made, the process, as in, the process of watching games and players, consuming content and formulating our decisions is something we enjoy as well. 

FEAR OF MISSING OUT (FOMO)

FPL opinion: Assessing Grealish, Gundogan + Man City

Finally, I really hope to eliminate ‘FOMO’ from my decisions next season. While there is a difference between a defensive transfer and a FOMO transfer, some of my moves this season were dictated by the fear of missing out. I bring this back to the point that most decisions should be made on who you want based on the idea that you believe that play will return the most amount of points. This FOMO decision-making process really takes out the joy of FPL as well. 

With that being said, it has been a fun season for me still. I’m looking forward to the final Gameweek and currently sit at 29k in the world. As much as I would like to finish strongly, I’ve reminded myself that this final Gameweek will be absolute carnage. Good luck to us all!


A final thank you to everyone at Fantasy Football Scout for their support this year and especially Neale for all of his help. Thank you to Pras for another great season of Burning Questions podcasting as well. Also, thank you to all in the Fantasy Football Scout community for their continued support. It means the world! Have a great final Gameweek and catch you next season! 



328 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. AutoFill 2021
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Is there any pressers today?

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      All yesterday / late on Thursday

  2. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    16 points behind my rival with similar teams. I reckon there's a 50% chance he brings Kane in and 10% chance he brings Son in. Who to bring in and captain?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Son and captain

  3. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    DDG
    Estupinan Trippier Dias
    Mitoma Salah Mac Rashy Bruno
    Haaland Isak

    Subs - Kepa, Ake, Greenwood, Botman

    Thinking - 4 for Salah, Greenwood, Isak to Kane (C), Eze, Watkins

    1. El Presidente
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Taking out Salah????

      1. kellamergh
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Will, likely, be rested but wouldn't make that move without leaks or confirmation.

  4. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Son , foden, watkins or maddison for captain?

    1. DannyDrinkVodka
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Is Foden going to be risked? Maddison could be gold

  5. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Best move with 1 FT, 2.0 ITB?

    A) Shaw to VVD/Tsimikas
    B) Grealish to Eze
    C) Something else?

    DDG
    Trippier Botman Shaw
    Salah Rashford Mitoma Grealish
    Haaland Wilson Watkins

    Kepa MacA Estup Henry

    1. Under my Cucurella
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I'm also considering B

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        My defence is awful and I do think Grealish should start

        But the Eze FOMO is real

  6. El Presidente
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    So it's likely we have leaks from City and Liverpool right ... maybe also Man United....

  7. kellamergh
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    I'm currently 20pts ahead in one of my cash leagues.

    Would you...?

    A)Haaland & Mitoma out, Kane & Eze in (-4)

    B) Haaland & Mahrez out, Kane & Odegaard in (-4)

    C) Other

    Raya
    TAA Shaw Trippier
    Mahrez MacAllister Bruno Rashford Mitoma
    Wilson Haaland

    Kepa Jota Botman Estupinan

    1ft

    1. darkmatt3r
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Would rather do
      Mitoma and Mahrez to Eze and Odegaard

  8. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Son (c) anyone?

    1. SouthCoastSaint
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Chasing big lead and rival has kane so I’m close

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes, definitely thinking of it. If Son was in last year’s form it would be a no brainer with what’s at stake and uncertainties with other teams

    3. Dunster
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I’m doing it on FH

  9. SouthCoastSaint
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Can’t believe my season has come down to who to bring in and captain between Son, Eze and McNeil

  10. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Just seen the team news on here has Wilson not stating folks, have a missed something?? Do we not think he starts??

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I think it's more to do with ASM and others getting a start on the wings. A lot of Newcastle fans have been expecting Wilson to revert to the subs bench with Isak up front for a few weeks now.

      I don't think there has been any indication of Wilson being injured, so all guesswork.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Ah cheers mate!! Thanks for this!! Hmm I have the exact money to do Wilson and Mahrez to Son and Ensico!!… interesting!!

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I'm not sure what the reason for that is but I think he starts, unless I missed something from the presser

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers mate!! Yeah I would think he would start too, although stranger things have happened!! Especially on the final day of the season

    3. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      May be me hoping cz I own him but he’s bang in form why compared to Isak so why would he be benched.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Agreed mate!!! I’ve got both so obviously hoping both start but If I wanted just one to start it would be definitely Wilson for sure

  11. Mini League Fatigue
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Head : stay off of FPL / FFS - no point reviewing content when you know you need to wait for team leaks

    Actuality : read every article / comment & create 6,000 team combos !

  12. pnitishmk
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Any suggestion guys with the FT and nothing itb?

    Kepa
    TAA, Trippier, Shaw*
    Mac, Mitoma, Bruno, Mahrez
    Kane, Haaland, Wilson
    (Steele, Mings, Botman, Martinelli*)

    1. darkmatt3r
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Mac or Martinelli to Eze

  13. darkmatt3r
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Anything here wort an hit? 50 points in front in main mini league, rival has a wc left.

    Ederson (Iversen)
    TAA Shaw Estupiñán (Botman Williams)
    Salah Rashford Bruno Eze (Mitoma)
    Haaland Alverez Wilson

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      No, you are fine.

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Rival has WC left in GW38?!

      1. darkmatt3r
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        I couldn't believe when he didn't attack the doubles, I'm not even sure he knows he has it 😀

  14. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Going for differential central on my FH, nothing to lose, rank is horrendous:

    Johnstone
    Tsimikas Mina Lindelof
    Salah Son Bruno Odegaard Eze
    Kane Vardy

    (Forster, Watkins, Kiwior, Lewis)

  15. The Mighty Hippo
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Ederson
    Trippier | Estupinan | Schar
    Salah (c) | Mahrez* | Bruno | MacA* | Mitoma
    Haaland | Isak
    ----------------------------------------------------------
    Kepa | Solanke | Shaw | Henry

    Is this worth a -4?
    Mahrez + MacA --> Maddison + Eze

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Just mahrez to or Mac to Eze I reckon

  16. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Who to bring in between

    A Eze
    B Ødegaard

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      A

  17. Dunster
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sonaldo does a great job on Burning Questions. I’m on a FH this week so will bring in Son and captain him in tribute!

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Hows your rank?

      1. Dunster
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        About 71k. Highest was 59k last season so hoping for too 50k for first time

  18. Crouching Tiger
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Play Gabriel (Wolves at Home) if Shaw is out?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yeah

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

  19. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Best captain option here folks??? Don’t have Kane unfortunately!!

    A- Haaland
    B- Rashford
    C- Salah
    D- Eze

    Cheers everyone!!!

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      C for me

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      C followed by B.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers fellas!! On C captain currently!!

  20. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Mitoma or Mac out for Eze?

    1. AARON-1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Mac

  21. SKENG
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Only 1 point ahead of ML rival so looking to maximize points rather than find differentials/blocks.

    DDG
    TAA Estupinan Akanji
    Salah Bruno Grealish Mac10 Mitoma
    Haaland Isak

    Raya Trippier Botman Greenwood - 1 FT, 0.0M ITB

    Will obviously wait for teams, but what would you do if all look like starting?

    A) Isak > Edouard
    B) Grealish > Odegaard
    C) Haaland > Kane
    D) smth else, maybe a hit?

  22. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Which combo???

    1 Shaw Mac and Alvarez
    2 Estupinian Eze and Kane -8

    ???

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      1 easy if not hits involved.

  23. NumberSix
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Leicester fan here. Someone shake me and tell me Haaland to Vardy over Kane is the behaviour of a deluded dreamer

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I’m so sorry.

    2. Dunster
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      It’s always the hope that hurts the most

    3. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I'm captaining Vardy, so do it!

  24. Nomoredoubt
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    40 points a head of everyone in my mini league,
    Do you think guys I'm save on that point?

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Unless his captain is different and has a blinder I think you’re ok

      1. Nomoredoubt
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks Mike , I lead for a whole year (100 people )
        I don't want to lose in the last GW:)

        1. AARON-1
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 6 months ago

          Very difficult for him to score 41 points more than you.

  25. Mike82
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    With a 9 point lead in my ML is it worth taking a hit to block or just play my own game as it’s a slender lead?

    1. One for All
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Take the hit to block.

    2. Nomoredoubt
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Depends How many Free Transfers has your opponent as well,
      but try to cover his/her the main players

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        We both have 1 but he has no keeper to play so will be that transfer he makes. He has salah, gakpo, white, Alvarez vs my Bruno, rash, Isak, Wilson, Trent

  26. One for All
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    FH

    Iverson
    White, Tarkowski, Taa
    Salah, Eze, Son, Rashford
    Firmino, Kane, Wilson

    Ward, Shaw, Lewis, Dasilva

    1.4 ITB

    Any changes, should I get Jesus instead of Wilson?

    Thanks

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Solanke maybe Everton will prob go for it a bit, maybe Ings as Leicester the same.

  27. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Alisson
    Trippier Dalot Estupiñan
    Salah Bruno Mitoma MacAllister Mahrez
    Haaland Isak

    Raya Ake Schar Greenwood

    A Mitoma & Mahrez to Eze & Odegaard
    B Haaland & Mitoma to Kane & Eze/Ode
    C Bruno & Isak to Eze/Ode & Kane

  28. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Play
    A Kepa
    B Raya
    Cheers

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      Raya

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers

  29. Mike82
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    At this rate by KO haaland will be a differential, imagine Kane was benched lol

  30. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 6 months ago

    Sonaldo's article brings out the key thing in FPL. Timing of getting on and off the average players who are on a hot streak.

    Sonaldo is making Watkins vs Havertz an obvious choice in hindsight, but it wasn't *that* obvious because there was a significant chance that Watkins would go back to his normal form. You only have to see Watkins' form in his last 5 games to see what he is usually like. We're seeing the same with Eze now and saw it with Almiron before the World Cup.

    If you want an edge it in FPL, it is this area. Coming up with a reliable process for working out when an average player's hot streak has begun and when it will end. The process doesn't have to be 100% accurate, jut good enough. But coming up with that process will be difficult because you can't just rely on stats alone.

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      I was doing pretty well this season staying away from average, unproven players. Sure Watkins and Almiron were hauling every week, but I was moving up the ranks. Soon as I caved it was blank city for the pair of them.

      The pricing means you don't have to buy these type of player.

    2. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 6 months ago

      There's more to this than just Watkins VS Havertz. It's also Emery VS Lampard and we all know who is a much better coach and a manager. Aston Villa were on the up and Chelsea stayed mediocre. Ollie improved in all aspects since Gerrard was sacked and yes, he was on an amazing hot streak, but he still had a lot of chances even when he blanked. Meanwhile Kai stagnated or maybe even became worse in the same period.

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 6 months ago

        Otherwise I agree with your point and that (the right) timing is pretty much everything in FPL. Every FPL manager can and should try to make up ground this way. For me personally it's one of the best parts of this game.