Goonsquad245
  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
  • 4 Years

Comments (Last 30 Days)

  1. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 11 hours ago

    You’re going to sell Alli before Southampton and Auba before West Ham....for a hit? » Read

  2. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 20 hours ago

    You won’t get many agreeing with you in these parts. I’m personally ecstatic that so many are prioritising Bruno over Salah - I think you should be too! » Read

  3. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 21 hours ago

    Definitely not son. Bruno Fernandes for me (for points anyway - he’s underpriced for demand!!) » Read

  4. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 22 hours ago

    Chelsea treble up feels like a question of when, not if » Read

  5. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 22 hours ago

    In your opinion - just giving a different view. » Read

  6. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 22 hours ago

    What you’re talking about is variance reduction/risk management, not whether a decision is mathematically sound or not. For that, the player’s long run points expectation for that week is all there is. » Read

  7. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 22 hours ago

    Please stop. » Read

  8. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    When I say long run though, I mean long run points expectation *in that single gameweek* - clearly what actually happens is just a single outcome of many possible. There is merit to what you’re saying because it reduces variance, but for me whether that 8 point expectation is realised by the player scoring 8 100% of the time or 14 50% of the time and 2 50% of the time (to give a really simple, crude example) doesn’t matter. I definitely agree with your point that premiums don’t score well as often as people think, but it’s possible for it to simultaneously be a mathematically sound decision and only be actually profitable a very small % of the time. » Read

  9. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    Yeah obviously his fitness is a caveat, but if he’s OK I’d expect him to comfortably out score Martial this season. The reclassifications will really make a difference IMO. » Read

  10. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    Just checked them. They look OK to me unless he is the worst finisher of all time (I don’t think he is) » Read

  11. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    Depends on your risk appetite. If a player has a long run points expectation of 8 in a given fixture (for example) - it shouldn’t matter in the long run whether he gets there with 8,8,8,8 or 14,2,2,14 but in the former you win small all of the time whilst in the latter you’re out of pocket half the time but win big half the time to make up for it. To me the two are equal and I’d be equally likely to take either bet, but I understand that for some its a different story. » Read

  12. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    Not at all. Prefer Rashford though » Read

  13. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    There is an opportunity cost to booking in a FT. It might or might not be 4 points, it might be a move you choose not to make instead or it might be a hit further down the line. Saying it’s nonsensical pessimism is just rude and shows a lack of willingness to understand another’s perspective. » Read

  14. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 20 days, 23 hours ago

    Who is your GW2 captain? If I were you, I would start with both Salah and Auba and downgrade Auba in GW3. » Read

  15. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 21 days, 2 mins ago

    Yes, because people do well in games of probability by looking on the bright side. » Read

  16. The best strategies to navigate FPL Blank Gameweek 1 with or without chips 21 days, 5 mins ago

    Nailed it. » Read

  17. Can Thiago Silva improve Chelsea's defence and become a viable FPL asset? 21 days, 3 hours ago

    It's really close. Can't go wrong with either. Salah for me I think. » Read

  18. Can Thiago Silva improve Chelsea's defence and become a viable FPL asset? 21 days, 5 hours ago

    There's a lot wrong with that first sentence, and quite a bit wrong with the second. » Read

  19. Can Thiago Silva improve Chelsea's defence and become a viable FPL asset? 21 days, 5 hours ago

    Antonio if they stick him out on the wing, Mitrovic because Mitrovic. McCarthy if he loses his place somehow. Also have Werner/Soucek but think they are pretty solid picks regardless of outcome - won't feel silly for picking either. » Read

  20. Can Thiago Silva improve Chelsea's defence and become a viable FPL asset? 21 days, 5 hours ago

    Both will likely end up being the way » Read