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Scoutcast Episode 267 – Lucky

12 September 2018 1509 comments
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Do we make our own luck? Or are there unforeseen events that can conspire to ruin even the best Fantasy managers’ seasons?

In this week’s Scoutcast, David, Andy and Az join me to discuss the role of fortune in Fantasy football as we look to introduce a ‘luck league’.

This is one of a number of new and revamped features we trialled following the international break.

This saw the return of old favourites, including Rough with the Smooth and clean sheet predictions, as well as a new version of Fantasy Island Risks that focuses purely on low-owned gems.

Our Community section has undergone a late spring clean too, focusing on the week’s key teams, players and talking point to allow us to have more in-depth discussions.

But as with all trials, some things don’t quite go as planned.

The introduction of forfeits for the Scoutcaster with the lowest monthly score and an unexpectedly controversial quiz proved to be more works in progress, which will be put back on the shelf for the time being.

Among all the upheaval we also find time to ponder going without Liverpool’s pricey talisman Mohamed Salah and frisk the fixtures to analyse the teams with the best upcoming run of games.

This Scoutcast was first beamed live via our YouTube channel on Tuesday evening. Be sure to subscribe to get notice of future live episodes.

If you’re a traditional type, you can acquire the mp3 audio version via this link on the first player below, or take in the full visual experience via the second player below.

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1,509 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. smix
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pereyra or Maddison?
    Form vs fixtures ?

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    1. Demel
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mad for me every time. But I have a man crush on him and he has been in my team since GW2.

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    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pererya for me.

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  2. Demel
    8 years, 1 month ago

    My team is...

    Ryan
    Alonso - Mendy - Robertson
    Fraser* - Hazard - Maddison - Salah - Pogba
    Aguero - Jimenez*

    Button - Docherty - AWB - Kamara*

    1 FT
    0 ITB

    If Fraser & Jimenez are out I could be in a mess. I would be 1 dropped player away from only fielding 10 players. One option is this trade...

    Pogba & Jimenez > Hojberg & Vardy (-4)

    It gives me an extra sub option this week and a differential in Vardy before his great run of fixtures. Any thoughts?

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    1. mikess
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't say you need an extra sub option. You have two solid options. Can't see any of the others not getting significant minutes. I would get shot of Pogba eventually tho but maybe after this run of fixtures

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      1. Demel
        8 years, 1 month ago

        The original plan wqa to find a way to upgrade him to KDB. An upgrade to Silva is another option. It even a downgrade to Rich. It may be sensible to wait a week and reassess.

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        1. mikess
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I have the same midfield except Mkhi over Pogba. I can't find the cash at all to upgrade that spot once you add the 3 premium left backs and Aguero

          I'm looking to jump on Richarlison either in 6/7. Might 1 week punt on Mkhi > Pedro

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          1. Demel
            8 years, 1 month ago

            It's an odd bracket. Like you said it is finding the cash. I can't downgrade Jinenez/Docherty/Fraser without weakening my squad. Richarlson looks the obvious player. I might wait a week and reassess. It would allow me to potentially switch Jimenez to potentially Wilson as well.

            If you want Rich I would be tempted to hold this week and make the straight trade next week.

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            1. mikess
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I can't see Mkhi playing so I'm think less than 10 mins again

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              1. Demel
                8 years, 1 month ago

                And you can probably get at least 2 weeks from Pedro.

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          2. Demel
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Although bringing Rich in for Arsenal away isn't ideal.

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  3. SpaceCadet
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Better option?

    a. holebas pedro mitrovic billing
    b. cook dsilva ings hojberg

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    1. mikess
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A for me

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    2. korbendallas82
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

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    3. Demel
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I prefer B.

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    4. Hunter23
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

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  4. Alex Hunter
    8 years, 1 month ago

    anyone here know where to view price history for a player and/or what you purchased them at?

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    1. Oven Glover
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Transfer page. Details.

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      1. Oven Glover
        8 years, 1 month ago

        List view*

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      2. Alex Hunter
        8 years, 1 month ago

        ty

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    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      FPL site. Transfers page. Click list view.

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      1. Alex Hunter
        8 years, 1 month ago

        ty

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  5. Pjanić At The Disco
    8 years, 1 month ago

    On a WC, good to go?

    Ryan | Button
    Alonso | Robertson | Mendy | AWB | Peltier
    Hazard | Salah | Maddison | Pereyra | Hojbjerg
    Aguero | Mitrovic | Wilson

    0.3 ITB- Plan is to bring in Richarlison for Pereyra

    G2G?

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    1. Holmes
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good, I guess Bennett over Peltier is not possible?

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      1. Pjanić At The Disco
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Sadly not possible if I want Richarlison 🙁

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    2. Tempestic
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hojbjerg to Odoi, peltier to Bennett?

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  6. SpaceCadet
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Best 4.5m gk to go along with Patricio? Thanks

    Patricio 4.5m
    Alonso mendy holebas awb bennett

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    1. BigAsGiroud_
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hart or Foster

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    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I started with McCarthy and Fab and could keep both but probably Fab>Patricio. Heaton has said he wants his spot back and Hart is still junk

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      1. SpaceCadet
        8 years, 1 month ago

        So Patricio and Mccarthy?

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  7. Alex Hunter
    8 years, 1 month ago

    is Sonny boy cleared to start/play, any news?

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    1. Oven Glover
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ready for Pool. Who knows, he might even get some minutes.

      http://www.espn.com/soccer/tottenham-hotspur/story/3631342/tottenhams-son-heung-min-on-two-tournament-summer-fatigue-is-an-excuse

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  8. smix
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Patricio
    Alonso Mendy Doherty
    Hazard Mane Pedro Moura Maddison
    Aguero (c) Wilson
    Foster Mitro AWB Holebas

    Thinking of doing Pedro to Richarlison next week. Also going for squad depth to manage the congested schedule

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    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Very nice I have 12 the same. Who says Rich will be any better than any you currently have??

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  9. arndff_
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Start one:
    A) Fabianski(eve)
    B) Foster(MUN)

    1) Hughes(MUN)
    2) AWB(hud)

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    1. SpaceCadet
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A
      2

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    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A 2

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  10. Murder On Zidanesfloor
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hows this WC team looking?
    Patricio
    Alonso Mendy Chilwell
    Hazard Mane Maddison Pedro
    Aguero Lacazette Mitro

    Hamer Holebas AWB Hojberg

    Any more lacazette punters here? A bit hesitant to bring him in on WC. Can stretch to Lukaku by doing
    Holebas > Doherty
    Pedro > Fraser
    Laca > Kaku

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    1. Oven Glover
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Like it and I would do those moves to get Lukaku.

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      1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks! Definitely considering it

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    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I prefer Laca punt and can assess Lukaku. Watford v good defence so far. I'm not feeling the Leicester love otherwise I have similar WC

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      1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Whats your WC looking like?

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        1. Kiwivillan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          8 years, 1 month ago

          If I was going to save now would be

          McCarthy Patricio
          Mendy Alonso Holebas Doherty AWB
          Hazard Mane Pedro Moura Hojbjerg
          Kun(C) Laca Mitro

          0.0 itb

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          1. Kiwivillan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            8 years, 1 month ago

            *0.1 if Hojbjerg

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          2. Murder On Zidanesfloor
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Very similar! your team value is higher so you can afford the 2 GKs

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            1. Kiwivillan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I like 2 good 4.5s

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            2. Kiwivillan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I want option of Holebas to Shaw when back though

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              1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
                8 years, 1 month ago

                yeah definitely a good shout

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  11. joeydelucchi
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which 2 to bench this week from this lot? :

    - Robbo (spurs away)
    - holebas (United home)
    - gundogan (Fulham home)
    - wan bissaka (hud away)

    Can’t decide which 2 please?

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    1. Duffy Dunk
      8 years, 1 month ago

      GundoWan

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  12. fpork
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Auba->Lukaku on a FT?

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    1. jia you
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I've done it for a hit

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      1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        8 years, 1 month ago

        What

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        1. jia you
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Yup, Wally + Auba to Maddy + Kaku, long term transfers. Had to make it early beacuse onece Wally drops I'll be priced out.

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          1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Don't think auba to kaku with everton and Watford coming up at home is a good move.gl

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            1. jia you
              8 years, 1 month ago

              cheers, just feel that money is wasted on Auba but he could punish me for sure

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  13. Scotty B
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What pressers are on today please?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Great question, was waiting for you to post the times.

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      1. Scotty B
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Maybe you could get that on auto populate as well 😉

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          8 years, 1 month ago

          The 2 times you posted them were impressive.

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  14. That Fantasy Guy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 1 month ago

    This is my current squad:
    Fabianski - stekelnberg
    Mendy - Robertson - shaw - wan bissaka - peltier
    Odoi - salah - hazard - Walcott - Frazier
    Kamara - Aubumeyang - Aguero

    Resisted the wild card
    2ft. 0itb
    Suggestions? Thinking shaw (if injured) to alonso but who funds it?
    Also looking to get Kane soon.

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  15. arndff_
    8 years, 1 month ago

    At GW6:

    A) Kamara > Mitro
    B) Ings > Mitro

    Does keeping Ings make sense?

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    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Depend but atleast he's playing? Unless looking for bench fodder in kamara and funds are going elsewhere

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    2. We Go Again
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Depends what you do with the extra cash.

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  16. Maddamotha
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Struggling with this one! What would you do?

    Kepa
    Mendy, Robertson, Wan Bizzi
    Salah, Mane, Mhki, Bilva
    Aguero, King, Zaha

    Subs ; Hamer, Stephens, Peltier, Bednarek

    A) Save FT
    B) Bilva, Bednarek > 4.5mid, Alonso (-4)
    C) Mhki, Bednarek > 4.5mid, Alonso (-4)
    D) Salah > Hazard

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  17. Fork handles
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Fabianski
    Mendy - Alonso - Coleman* - Robertson
    Salah - Mane - Richarlison - Bilva*
    Aguero - King*

    Foster - AWB - Schneiderlin - Kamara

    2FT, 0.00itb

    Coleman injury, and lack of cleanies/returns so he's going.
    Bilva and King walking tightropes but both have good fixtures.

    A. Just Coleman -> Bennett (or other Wolves def) this week
    B. A plus Bilva -> Dilva?
    C. A plus King -> Mitro?

    Interested to hear any opinions if you had 2FT here. Cheers in advance

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    1. TRE2
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

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    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I did Coleman to doherty

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    3. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B I think that if u have 2 fts

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    4. gergin
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Same problem, made A.

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  18. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I am looking at a few factors pushing me towards Lukaku on my WC:
    -He is hitting form
    -He has the fixtures to do what he does best: bully weak sides
    -He is absolutely sure to start all games unlike the mcity mids
    -He may grab pens now Pogba has missed one
    -I feel that i am missing an obvious way to grab a differentiating heavy hitter by not getting him

    As such i have two options:
    A/ Kaku Option: Lukaku + Maddison
    B/ Balanced Option: Vardy + D Silva

    Any thoughts from other people?

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    1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
      8 years, 1 month ago

      leaning towards A. whats your wc looking like?

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      1. BBC_TF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Patricio - Ryan
        Mendy - Alonso - Holebas - Bennette - AWB
        Hazard - Mane - Maddison - Fraser - Billing
        Kun - Lukaku - Mitrovic

        Could do:
        Maddison/Holebas
        To
        Pereyra/Chilwell

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        1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I would keep maddison, atleast he is this same value as Rich, so easy swap

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        2. Murder On Zidanesfloor
          8 years, 1 month ago

          My team is currently looking very similar to yours

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    2. Whazza
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I agree. Vardy is the opposite regarding fixtures and D Silva isn't nailed unfortunately.

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  19. ooooo
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Patricio
    Mendy Robbo WB
    Salah Hazard Mane Fraser
    Aguero Arnie Ings

    Hamer Tomkins Peltier Stephens

    1ft 0.3itb
    Which one?
    A) peltier to Bennett
    B) Tomkins to Cedric
    C) Fraser(if injured) to Schurrle

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    1. Botman
      8 years, 1 month ago

      save the transfer

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    2. gergin
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

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  20. NUFCAndrew
    8 years, 1 month ago

    On a WC which do you prefer

    A: Patricio, 4.0 GK, Doherty
    B: Patricio, 4.5 GK, Bennett

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    1. Botman
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B.

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    2. Whazza
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B assuming you will bench most weeks?

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      1. NUFCAndrew
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Good point.

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    3. Murder On Zidanesfloor
      8 years, 1 month ago

      depends on your 3rd defender after Alonso and Mendy

      if robbo, B
      if Pereira/Chilwell/holebas/rico/shaw, A

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      1. NUFCAndrew
        8 years, 1 month ago

        On Holebas at the moment, Chilwell is tempting me

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        1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Id like someone to rotate with either of them. So A

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  21. oah03
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on this team (plan to play wildcard).

    Fabianski Foster

    Mendy Robertson Alonso Wan-Bissaka Cook

    Hazard Pedro Mane Maddison Billing

    Aguero Wilson Ings

    *I've got £2.8m in the bank, so can rotate Hazard/Salah depending on fixtures.

    Not sure whether to have Pedro or Mkhi...

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    1. Botman
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think Joe made a good comment in the podcast when he said Pedro will play at least 20 minutes coming off the bench whereas Mhiki can be limited to 1 minute as we saw last week. So as midfielders go who are under rotation risk Pedro would be the better option.

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    2. Merlinho
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Very similar to mine except I have Dilva and Mitro ahead of Pedro and Wilson so a bit more money tucked away. I like the idea of keeping enough money aside to drop Salah in easily (I was thinking for Mane) but I can’t quite manage it without major trading down

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      1. oah03
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Good stuff - yeah, keen to find a way to put Mitro in while still having the funds for Salah...

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    3. Eze Really?
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I can't see you wanting to use a tfr each time you want Salah or Hazard.

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      1. oah03
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It's just for the next few games - Liverpool's fixtures are tricky compared to Chelsea, but keen to captain Salah against Southampton.

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        1. Eze Really?
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Kun and Haz have ok fixtures then too. Is it worth the -8 tfr equivalent and have 2.8 wasted in the wings just for that

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  22. PASTATOGEL
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Does Ramsey look sharp ??

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    1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
      8 years, 1 month ago

      looked sharp vs Westham and Cardiff

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      1. Murder On Zidanesfloor
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Sharp enough for clever flicks and passes. I don't think his goalscoring form is coming anytime soon though.

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  23. Murder On Zidanesfloor
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pedro vs Maddison as a placeholder for Rich for 2 GWs?

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    1. Botman
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Maddison

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  24. Pitch Perfect
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Has everyone gone off Bilva? Too prone to rotation? Could we see him back for Fulham at home?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      8 years, 1 month ago

      FPL points are the main issue.

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    2. Andy_Social
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For me, City's midfield is still too unreliable. I've tripled on more nailed options - Ederson, Mendy and Kun.

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    3. Differential C (Mark)
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hasn't been threatening enough from what I've seen. Especially with others in his price range delivering.

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  25. Merlinho
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Draft team

    Need to start 2 defenders from Robbo (tot), Young (wat), AWB (hud), Mustafi (new)

    Going on CS odds alone gives Young and Mustafi, but I’m not convinced. Any thoughts?

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd start the other 2 especially if Tomkins is available.

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      1. Merlinho
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Is he likely to be back? Missed that news.

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Pressers may tell us.

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    2. child of God
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No way arsenal keep a clean sheet

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      1. SINGH
        8 years, 1 month ago

        As an Arsenal fan I agree. We are too open at the back.

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  26. Eze Really?
    8 years, 1 month ago

    18 points over 302 minutes (average)
    Fixtures good
    Eye candy yes
    Stats good
    6.6 price tag (common price range)
    Still relatively unproven
    8 players have better numbers in his price range
    Does he deserve the hype?
    No IMO

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    1. SINGH
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ermm who are you talking about?

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      1. Eze Really?
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Work it out (smile)

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    2. Differential C (Mark)
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Im guessing this is Madisson?

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      1. Eze Really?
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Smile

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      2. Eze Really?
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I call it Az hype

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    3. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Completely agree.Overhyped

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    4. Ruth_NZ
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, it's a lot of hot air really. He might be good but there's not a lot to go on unless you include his record in the Championship (which doesn't always translate to the PL by any means).

      Also, his xA according to FFS (which is a lot of what the hype is based on) is untrustworthy; other xA models give a much lower number. In passing, I actually think xA should be taken out of the FFS stats zone completely, it is a very imprecise calculation that is still very much a work in progress for OPTA and doesn't correlate well to actual assists. xG is simpler to calculate and much more trustworthy.

      Much depends for Maddison on the playing relationship he develops with Vardy. So far we have 92 minutes of evidence there, not enough to conclude anything from. So, over-hyped is correct in my view too.

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      1. Eze Really?
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Very well put.
        I just ask who i would rather have over a period:
        Mitro, Wilson Perreyra Richi just a few

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        1. Ruth_NZ
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Wouldn't mind any of those. 🙂

          I currently have Pereyra who was in my GW1 team. Will probably add Mitrovic next week unless Tosun gives me a good reason to keep him (which I'd prefer). Wilson is less likely for me because I much prefer Fraser and wouldn't double on attackers from a mid-table team without very good reason. Richarlison becomes an option for me if I remove Tosun and I do think that 6.6m is good value. Deeney also seems a live prospect in that band, there are solid reasons why he looks much better this season (he's fitter) and Schürrle is probably an 8m midfielder in disguise if he becomes established as clear 1st choice (not sure he will be, though, with Vietto and Sessegnon competing).

          Main thing is that Ings and Fraser are cheaper and better than all of them in my opinion. 🙂

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          1. Eze Really?
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Definitely on the same page. I want Mitro but waiting for fixture.
            I have Wilson and Pereyra Fraser and will get Richi

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            1. Kiwivillan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Mitrovic has scored last 3 games against Spurs with 2 different clubs. He's fixture proof

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          2. Eze Really?
            8 years, 1 month ago

            And have ings but might move him for Mitro

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  27. SINGH
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hello please RMT - on a WC

    McCarthy
    AWB Alonso Mendy
    Hojbjerg Moura Mane Hazard
    Laca Aguero Wilson

    Patricio Cook Bennett Richarlison
    0.5 ITB

    Cheers

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    1. Bunk Moreland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Lacazette is a risk too far for me, he's only started 1 in 4 matches so far. But if you are confident in him, go for it. Otherwise I guess Laca > Mitro and Mane > Salah would be an option if its affordable, but you probably have your reasons for shunning Salah.

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      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yet Emery raved about him last game and the formation

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  28. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Morning dzzz, been a while..have a few issues in my team. 1.3m itb

    Patricio -- Foster
    Alonso Mendy Shaw -- Robbo (tot) Wanbiss
    Salah Walcott* Pedro Mkhi* --- Stephens
    Aguero Zaha King*

    A: Walcott + Mkhi >> Maddison + Dilva (-4)
    B: King + Mkhi >> Wilson + Dilva (-4)
    C: Wally >> Maddison
    D: Robbo (will bring back on WC) + Wally >> doherty + Dilva (-4)

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    1. SpaceCadet
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C

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  29. SpaceCadet
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Better option?

    a. pedro mitro holebas
    b. moura ings shaw

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    1. child of God
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Long term I think A

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    2. Differential C (Mark)
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Love Ings, but you sure you're squad can hold him not playing the Liverpool match? Would say B if yes.

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      1. Differential C (Mark)
        8 years, 1 month ago

        From a, I'm only looking at Mitro. Pedro's place is still uncertain imo, and Holebas, well, good for his value, but Shaw could still outscore him long-term,.

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        1. SpaceCadet
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Pedro/ moura would make way for richarlison in a couple of gws

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  30. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Am i G2G? Saving my WC for another week or two if possible!

    Kepa
    Alonso Mendy Robertson Shaw*
    Salah Eriksen Mkhi Walcott*
    Aguero Zaha*
    Hamer Awb Hojbjerg Kamara

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    1. Bunk Moreland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 1 month ago

      GK, defense and attack look strong.
      Midfield, not so much, but I guess it's worth another gameweek to see if Mkhi reclaims his spot and if Eriksen can find some points. I don't think Eriksen is worth 9,5 though with the fullbacks stealing all his set pieces.

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