Spot the Differential
30 November 2021 993 comments
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Gameweek 14 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, West Ham United and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JADON SANCHO

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW14-18 fixtures: ARS | CRY | nor | bre | BHA

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) has struggled to make much of an impact since his summer move to Manchester United, but has now scored in back-to-back matches under Michael Carrick, with goals against Villarreal and now Chelsea.

As a result, the former Borussia Dortmund winger is an intriguing differential for Fantasy managers, who under the guidance of Ralf Rangnick, has the potential to shake up the current midfield template.

Against Chelsea on Sunday, United opted for a safety-first approach involving Nemanja Matic (£4.5m), Fred (£4.9m) and Scott McTominay (£5.4m) screening the back four. That allowed a more mobile front trio of Marcus Rashford (£9.4m), Bruno Fernandes (£11.6m) and Sancho, with the latter putting in a particularly exciting shift, showing real composure for the visitor’s opener.

Notably, Sancho has all the attributes to thrive in Rangnick’s set-up, via his pressing ability, speed, direct running and off-the-ball movement. In fact, the German tactician spoke fondly of the winger just last year, when he suggested he was a unique talent: “I don’t see any other player with his combination of pace, being dangerous in front of goal and ability to get assists. He’s one of the best talents in Europe.”

United’s forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that he can kick on. Between Gameweeks 14 and 27, the Red Devils face just one side currently nestled in the top four, with particularly appealing matchups against Crystal Palace, Norwich City, Brentford, Brighton and Hove Albion, Newcastle United and Burnley before the end of the year.

Sancho is one of the Premier League’s brightest young stars, and with an ownership of just 2.1%, is a tempting midfield differential.

JARROD BOWEN

Is Jarrod Bowen the best FPL midfielder under £6.5m? 1
  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW14-18 fixtures: BHA | CHE | bur | ars | NOR

We’ve been big on Jarrod Bowen (£6.4m) for a while now, having included him in this column ahead of Gameweek 3. Now, after producing two goals and six assists in the 11 matches that followed, we think he’s worth talking about again.

Since his first attacking return of the season – an assist against Manchester United back in September, Bowen ranks joint-tenth amongst all players for expected goal involvement (xGI). Furthermore, his 24 goal attempts, 19 shots in the box and three big chances created are all also top 10 totals, which suggests he can offer real value in the coming weeks.

Corner-taking duties are another route to points for Bowen, which is especially relevant given that the Hammers’ are one of the deadliest sides in the division from dead-ball situations, with their total of six goals from set-plays only bettered by Liverpool across the opening 13 rounds.

As for the schedule, David Moyes’ side do have a couple of trickier-looking fixtures to navigate next, though it is worth noting that Brighton and Hove Albion have failed to win any of their last eight matches, while the schedule from Gameweek 16 right through until 27 is excellent. That includes games against Burnley, Norwich City, Southampton and Watford in December, all of which are particularly appealing for attackers.

Bowen has thrived as a winger for West Ham this term, and could be an effective differential for the festive period and beyond.

JAMES MADDISON

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.6m
  • GW14-18 fixtures: sou | avl | NEW | TOT | eve

James Maddison (£6.6m) was one of Leicester City’s standout performers during their 4-2 win over Watford on Sunday, producing the game’s decisive moments.

The playmaker was rewarded for his performance in the Foxes’ 3-1 UEFA Europa League win over Legia Warsaw – when he also scored and provided an assist – by retaining his place in the starting XI in Gameweek 13. Pushed up into a no. 10 role, he was excellent throughout, making a smart run and composed finish for the opener, before then adding two assists for Jamie Vardy (£10.6m). He went close to more attacking returns too, ending the match with four goal attempts and five created chances, which suggests he could be a huge Fantasy differential in the coming weeks.

It was a really encouraging display from Maddison, who has struggled to live up to expectations in the early part of the season, with his manager heaping further praise on him after the match:

“It was great, you can see his quality, he was a real inspiration for us. We always have a point to prove every single day. For him it was looking at his game, he knows this is a game and a level where you are always looking to prove yourself. You can never be calm with that, you always have to be intense. You are seeing the work, not just with him but the confidence returning to the team. It’s not about the one player, it’s about the team but he was excellent today.”

As a result of that win, Leicester now sit five points adrift of the top four, with an appealing trio of fixtures up next: Southampton (a), Aston Villa (a) and Newcastle United (h).

Sunday’s performance was the best game we’ve seen from Maddison for some time, and given his kind price tag of just £6.6m, could be a nice differential option for our midfield set-ups.

993 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. tim
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale
    Dias Cancelo James Taa
    Foden Salah(C) Son Jota
    Toney Wilson

    Foster, Brownhill Livra Davis

    GTG right?

    Good luck peeps!!

    1. tim
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe Livra first sub?

      1. sully29
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yep.

      2. DycheDycheBaby
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes

  2. GreennRed
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bamford played for U23s last night. Should be in squad for Brentford game on Sunday.

    https://www.leedsunited.com/news/academy/29122/u23s-live-updates-manchester-city-v-leeds-united

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wow good news that.

  3. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you start Livramento ahead of Foden, fearing a cameo from the later?

    1. Ze_Austin
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah. I don't think Leicester will stroll through them like Liverpool did, and Pep's comments point at a possible 1-pointer

      So I now have Livra first sub, Foden second

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Wat did Pep say?

        1. Ze_Austin
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Pep Guardiola on Phil Foden/Jack Grealish: "Maybe tomorrow can play but not a lot of minutes."

          https://twitter.com/FFScout/status/1465676675757350920?s=20

  4. Ze_Austin
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    https://twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/1465686682624266245?s=20

    Moyes on the performances of Ben Johnson. "He got his opportunity and he's been great. We've been really pleased, and he had a really good game against Raheem Sterling. He's started the season really well. He's earned the position and the chance to get that jersey."

  5. Longlatini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What’s the James yellow flag about?
    (Sorry if been asked loads already)

    1. JBG
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A doubt... But he trained today, so weird to put it on him still

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Flags come once "doubt" and "maybe" appear. Sometimes in silly ways

      2. DycheDycheBaby
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah what is this knock he has then?

    2. Longlatini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks both

  6. antis0cial
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Benrahma to Gundogan (up to 7.5)
    B) Benrahma + Foden to Son + Bissouma/Hojbjerg (-4)
    C) Foden to anyone up to 9.5
    D) Save

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Jota Foden Raph
    Jime Antonio

    Foster Benrahma Toney Livramento

  7. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A. Guaita
    B. Sanchez
    C. Ramsdale (-4)

    Option gives me Williams instead of Duffy on my bench!

  8. sully29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which move to free up funds?

    A) Toney > Pukki
    B) Raph > Gallagher

  9. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Did Sancho come off injured vs Chelsea or was it just fatigue?

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He was fine. Just a regular old sub I think.

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just remember the commentator saying he looked like he pulled up

    2. Mattias
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Was tactical

    3. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looked like a pre-planned switch to Ronaldo. Wasn’t a great move if you as me. Ronaldo wasn’t needed in that game when United were 1-0 up.

      1. JBG
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Should have brought off Rashford for CR and kept Sancho.

    4. scubasmithy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      tactical move - wanted Ronaldo on for height as much as anything

  10. The Tinkerman
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hold FT here? 1.4M ITB

    Sa
    James, TAA, Cancelo, Semedo
    Salah, Jota, Raph, Gallagher
    Kane, Antonio

    4.0; Livra, Allan, 4.4fwd

    Tempted to hold on for 2FT then look to move Sa and Semedo to Alonso and a new keeper next week. Honestly tempted by DDG.

  11. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sounds ominous for James and Lukaku

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yup. James definitely getting rested.

  12. GCM0803
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench 1:
    Toney (tot)
    Johnson (BHA)
    Raph (CRY)
    Gallagher (lee)

    1. Bury94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Toney

    2. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If Johnson isn’t completely nailed, then him. Otherwise maybe Toney

    3. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Easy one, Toney. He did absolutely nothing against Everton, was lucky to get the penalty.

    4. shortbanana
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Johnson, Gallagher, Toney, Raph in that order.

      Gallagher will be CDM v Leeds, Toney will be ST v Spurs. Sanchez Dier Davies won't keep too many clean sheets this season...

  13. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Just did Foden to Jota for a hit. Foden definitely starting now.

    1. scubasmithy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      no chance - I did the same move last week, you won't need foden till 16 at earliest

  14. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    The final bit of Tuchel's comments on Alonso:

    Tuchel: "We still have Callum [Hudson-Odoi] who can play on the left side as a wing-back and we have some other ideas that we can maybe try. But first of all, Marcos is the one in charge - he's the specialist, he will prove how much he can bring to the team."

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It’s his position to lose, but no doubt he (and basically everyone else) will get at least one rest during the Xmas period

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Think I’ll C him this week, short week so won’t have to look at the red arrow for too long

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Very tempted myself, although I don't have time to properly think it through so I think i may leave it

  15. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need some input please?

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo
    Salah Jota Son Gallagher
    King Kane
    Toney
    Foster Livra D. Luiz Manquillo

    1ft 0.4 itb
    A) Roll
    B) Toney and Manquillo to Alonso/ Reguilon and 4.4 fodder/Broja/Dennis(injured) for -4?

  16. Oooo Matron
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Foden to Jota? (2.5 itb & 1 FT)

    Ramsdale
    Trent Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Raphina Mbuemo Foden
    Kane Toney

    Subs: Foster, Livramento, Allan, Dennis

  17. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    After Tuchel's comments - Would you start Reece James and hope he doesn't come on or just start Lamptey/Livra?

    1. scubasmithy
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      start him - Livra is massively overrated in FPL terms, Lamptey is tempting, but it feels like James either starts or doesn't feature at all

      1. jason_ni
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        3.6 points per game after 13 gws for a starting 4.0 is massively overrated?

        Probably best value player in the game per million!

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’d start him. I don’t think he will start but if he does he will haul against Watford.

    3. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      James. For me, he has too high of a ceiling if he does start to take the risk of benching him. Could be an 18 pointer.

    4. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all

  18. Salah21
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Should I bring in Bernardo Silva for a -4...would it be worth it for a hit

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Who for? Not sure it's worth a hit.

      1. Salah21
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        For sissoko...already brought in Jota for mane

        1. Kay317
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Why not then, could pay off

  19. Kay317
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    With the high chance of benchings this week would you say a bench of Hwang, Livra and Luiz is ok?
    Or would you upgrade Hwang to Saint Max, Toney or Pukki, or Luiz to Mbuemo or Hudson Odoi?

    1. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would stick. Hwang and Livramento have good enough fixtures and the chances you’ll need the last bench spot aren’t high enough to warrant the transfer, unless you have two free ones and nothing else to do.

      1. Kay317
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Nah only one free so I think you're right. Be good to have two frees next week too.

  20. Jude Rooney
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I need the cash to upgrade Chilwell to James, this means downgrading Livramento.

    Long story short best defensive option for £4.0m

    A - Williams
    B - Johnson
    C - Anyone else

    1. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  21. southernrocker1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How essential is Jota now? Worth a -4 hit?

    Also, I have Cancelo and James: are they looking like they won't play this week, now?

  22. Moose™
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Catching 50 points in ML. Go safe with Salah © or get wild with Wilson © ?

  23. seewhyaxe
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Foden -> Maddison is it too maverick?

    1. jg7u
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wondering the same thing.

      1. seewhyaxe
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Really? I'm not the only one! What's your gut telling you

        1. jg7u
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          My gut says yes but I'm not the kind of player who makes moves based on my gut too often.. So I'm trying to figure out if it's actually smart or not

    2. Moose™
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Jota mate

      1. seewhyaxe
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I already have Jota mate, thanks!

  24. Irish Villan 1985
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lads, Christensen to Alonso a good move? Thanks.

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A very good move

  25. jg7u
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts on Maddison for Foden? Own Jota.

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Good move

  26. swanseag55
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    With James a potential doubt in a 4-3-3 formation I have ESR 1st sub over Livramento. Right call?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  27. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I think Salah will be rested this GW.

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      To keep him fresh for the dead rubber next midweek?

    2. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Perhaps but I don’t think so.

    3. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Because Klopp has dropped him before against Everton. I think because of the intensity of the game and worrying that Salah might get targeted. He’s also played a lot of games recently and has another one this weekend. He will definitely feature though.

        Obviously this is all a hunch and could easily be completely wrong.

  28. Viprin
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Broja or Dennis for budget third striker spot?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dennis if he’s fit

  29. Boom XhakaLacaSaka
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2FT 0.4 itb
    Guatia
    Taa james cancelo reguilon
    Gallagher salah(c) jota foden*
    Wilson Kane

    Foster Bissouma omo davis

    A) Foden> Gundo
    B) Omo > B.Johnson (1st bench Foden)

    1. Noisy Neighbour
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Tough one. I’d go with B. Good chance of a clean sheet this week and sounds like it’s his spot to lose now. You can always move Foden before the weekend if it still seems like he might not start.

  30. Well you know, Triffic
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone going to bench James and Vardy to avoid a 1 pointer?

    1. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No