Spot the Differential
18 March 2022 813 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Blank Gameweek 30 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brentford, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

CHRISTIAN ERIKSEN

  • FPL ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: lei | che | WHU | wat | TOT

Christian Eriksen (£5.5m) has been instrumental in Brentford’s recent wins over Norwich City and Burnley.

The Dane joined the Bees on a six-month deal after his release by Inter Milan and made his first appearance as a substitute last month.

He has since played the full 90 minutes in successive victories, producing the assist for Ivan Toney’s (£6.6m) opener in the 2-0 win over the Clarets last weekend, before he later provided the pass that led to the forward being fouled for his injury-time spot kick.

Brentford’s improved form has coincided with Thomas Frank’s decision to move from a 3-5-2 to a more attacking 4-3-3 formation, with the creativity of Eriksen in a deeper midfield role key, where he can set the rhythm of his team’s attacks. Already an important part of their approach, the playmaker has amassed 80 opposition-half touches in his last two matches, at least 11 more than any team-mate.

Eriksen has produced three shots and created a modest three chances in his 218 minutes of pitch-time so far, but his dead-ball prowess is a key factor behind his appeal this week, given opponents Leicester City’s tendency to concede from set-plays, which has been apparent all year. The scheduling of the match also favours the visitors: the Foxes were in France on Thursday evening before facing the Bees on Sunday, so Frank’s side may fancy their chances at the King Power.

Brentford’s performances of late suggests they are building some momentum, and as Eriksen settles into his new surroundings, he could be a smart budget differential for our Fantasy teams.

JONNY CASTRO OTTO

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: LEE | AVL | new | MCI (tbc) | bur

Following last weekend’s win at Goodison Park, Wolverhampton Wanderers have now produced successive victories and clean sheets, which has coincided with the return of Jonny Castro Otto (£4.5m) from injury.

And one of the biggest positives from those displays have been the performances of the Spaniard, who ranks joint-third and fifth among defenders for chances created and final-third touches in that time.

Additionally, only Leander Dendoncker (£4.7m) and Raul Jimenez (£7.6m) took up a more advanced role last time out.

Due to injuries to Nelson Semedo (£4.8m) and Ki-Jana Hoever (£3.9m), Bruno Lage doesn’t currently have an experienced alternative to Jonny at right wing-back, with Chiquinho (£5.5m) stepping in during the closing stages of the Watford win, which would seemingly ensure his place in the starting XI for Blank Gameweek 30 at least.

Now, Wolves face Leeds United on Friday and are looking to make it three wins on the spin. There are appealing fixtures to follow, too, with matches against Aston Villa, Newcastle United and Burnley in the next five.

Heading into Blank Gameweek 30, it looks like Jonny will be one of the first names on Lage’s team sheet, and could be a nice differential pick for FPL managers on the lookout for a budget defender.

YOURI TIELEMANS

Tielemans a FPL differential for Gameweek 21 and beyond 2
  • FPL ownership: 3.9%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BRE | mun | CRY | new + eve | AVL

Belgium international Youri Tielemans (£6.4m) has developed into one of the best box-to-box midfielders in the Premier League since his move to Leicester City.

Across his 19 league starts in 2021/22, he has produced six goals and two assists, averaging 4.7 points per match.

Notably, he has also posted team-leading totals for chances created and expected assists (xA), while his all-round ability lends itself to bonus points, with only eight midfielders bettering his tally of 13 across the season.

The injury situation at Leicester certainly isn’t ideal, but in the absence of Jamie Vardy (£10.3m), it may give Tielemans’ prospects a further boost, as it’s highly likely he will be on penalty-taking duties this weekend.

Despite suffering back-to-back defeats against Arsenal and Rennes, Brendan Rodgers’ side had previously won four in a row, and now have an appealing run which includes home matches against Brentford and Crystal Palace, before a confirmed Double Gameweek 33 which involves trips to Newcastle United and Everton. They also have two outstanding fixtures that still need to be accommodated somewhere during the run-in.

Tielemans has been a crucial player for a while now, and having been handed a breather at the Emirates last weekend, should be raring to go in Blank Gameweek 30.

813 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Dan D
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Would you choose

    Regulion PLus Coutinio or Kulu + Terney ?

  2. Vlad Tepes
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Schmeichel and Jonny or Sa and Pereira?

    1. Dan D
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Sa and somebody else ...not sure Pereira min

  3. JayJ
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsdale,
    Doherty
    Saka Ramsey Kulasevski
    Laacazette Kane Hwang

    Dubravka Rudiger James Cancelo Salah Willock Robertson

    8 playing with 1FT and 0.6 ITB
    BB and FH chips left.
    Not considering playing the chips yet. One or the other to be played in 31 and 36.

    Thoughts from you guys please?

    1. Belli2007
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Willock to someone perhaps? If you have him at current value of 5.8 you could take a punt on someone like Tielemans, Benrahma or Fornals?

      1. Belli2007
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I was all set on using my remaining FH but I am now thinking there is more to be gained from getting DGW players using it than a couple of blanks due to non-players this week......

        I have 8 and that includes Smith Rowe (probably come off bench) and Raph who there has been some chat about

        1. JayJ
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Cheers for that.

          Don't think I'd want to keep on with Tielmans (sporadic minutes), Benrahma or Fornals past this gameweek though.

          Same with FH but with the doubles left I decided against.

          Can't see anyone that would justify using a FT and without having to take a minus hit for so think I'm going to roll.

  4. MannionUK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Broja to:

    A) Bamford
    B) Jimenez

    1FT.

    Thanks

    1. Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Bamford isn't nailed yet is he? Chance he'll have managed minutes. So Jimenez I guess.

  5. storr84
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Broja for Toney, or roll FT?
    Fielding 10 if not.

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      For free? Yeah, I'd probably do that

      1. storr84
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Damn, I can't afford by 0.1.

        Ignore me.

    2. NotsoSpursy
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Toney

  6. v3n0m
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    a) Jota -> Barnes/Maddison (10 players)
    b) Jota + Broja -> Tielmans + Laca to (-4 to field 11 players)

    1. Belli2007
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tielemans is on pens so b) is defo an option here

  7. Mooster©️
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Jimenez or Lacazette?
    Doherty or Otto?

    1. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Jimi
      Doherty

  8. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    1) rudiger + broja to Doherty + Toney (-4)
    2) rudiger + broja to Doherty + laca(-4)

  9. MidTableFantasy
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsey or Barnes on FH this week?

    1. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Barnes

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Barnes

  10. NotsoSpursy
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Cash or White?
    I have Ramsdale

  11. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Any of these worth it to get to 11?

    Dennis to Hwang
    Raphinha to Barnes

    1. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Wouldn’t sell Raph after the rebuff off the rumours

    2. Sid07
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

  12. Dan D
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Free hit :

    sa
    Tierney Thomas Saiss
    Saka Barnes Son Kulu Maddisson
    Kane Lacazete
    Bench
    Meslier Jimenes Cash Ayling

    OR

    sa
    Regulion Thomas( tierney ) Saiss
    Saka Barnes Son Maddisson
    Kane Lacazete Jemenez
    Bench
    Meslier Couthino Cash

  13. adstomko
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Trent & Broja > Reguilon & Bamford worth a -4??

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Could hugely backfire in GW 31

  14. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Good luck all, rocking 10 this GW:

    Ramsdale
    Saiss Doherty
    Saka Martinelli Raphinha Kulusevski Ramsey
    Kane(c) Jimenez

    Sanchez and the scousers

  15. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH looks decent?

    Sa
    Doherty, Tierney, Pereira,
    Son, Coutinho, Maddinson, Saka
    Laca, Jimenez, Kane(C)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah good enough

  16. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Livra & Willock > Jonny & Eriksen for -4?

  17. hannibalos
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Does anyone have any updates on Patson Daka please?

    Still considered unavailable or any Leicester fans know anything more?

    Thank you.

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Might still be ill, might not be. Game is on Sunday so you won't get any leaks today really.

      1. hannibalos
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Need to risk it then and bring him in. Hopefully he will start if fit since he had a rest. If not, a -4 will wait me unfortunately

  18. Lallana_
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH Team good to go?

    Jose Sa
    Reguilon Saiss Pereira
    Barnes (v) Maddison Coutinho Son Martinelli
    Lacazette Kane (C)

    Bench: Ramsdale, Toney, Cash, Coady

  19. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    TAA and Broja > Coady and Lacazette(-4) ?

    TAA selling price is 8.3m and so I don't lose much, and can get him in when he's fit, even if that's for Watford

  20. Kodap
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I'm so stuck on my FH, no idea who I want.. can't decide between having Arsenal, or Villa? What do people think realistically that game will finish like.

    Sa
    Cash - Pereira - Jonny
    Tielemans - Son - Kulu - Coutinho
    Kane - Jimi - Toney

    Raya - Tierney - Erikson - Amartey

  21. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Tierney or Reguilon?

    1. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Reguilon has better chances of clean sheet.

    2. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      For this week Reguilon. If for more than this week then Tierney

  22. Oh Dier what Can the Mata b…
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone know much about Brentford defence?
    Is Ajer likely to start?
    I need a 4.4 def to afford toney for Dennis.

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ait Nouri?

      1. Oh Dier what Can the Mata b…
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah good thought but he missed the last game vs Everton so not sure if he's playing this one either.

  23. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Score predictions for this GW's games please:

    Wolves v Leeds
    Villa v Arsenal
    Watford v Everton
    Leicester v Brentford

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      1-0
      0-1
      n/a
      2-2

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      2 nil
      3-2
      1-2
      Spurs 3-1 West Ham

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        * Leicester City 1-2 Brentford

        Big away win!!

  24. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Currently got 9 players playing (8 if Raph doesn't play)

    Is Digne to Amartey worth it for free, or roll transfer?
    I know Amartey may not play but the upside is releasing funds for future transfers

  25. estheblessed
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I only have 7 (potential) starters. I want to save my FH for GW33.

    Should I be taking any hits or just roll with it?

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on what the hits are. If its for players going forward i would do it. If its a downgrade for the future i would not

      1. estheblessed
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thats very sound advice and to be honest I think most of the ones I was thinking would be just for this gameweek!

  26. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Jimi or Laca?

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I would go laca

  27. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Kilman Doherty Tierney
    Saka Willock** Raphinha Coutinho
    Gelhardt Broja** Kane(C)

    Foster Rudiger TAA Salah

    1ft 3.3itb
    Thinking Toney for Broja and:
    Willock ->
    A) Kulusevski (triple-up)
    B) Barnes

    Will FH in 33

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  28. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    At what GW are we roughly expecting to know the doubles in 36/37?

  29. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who to start?

    A) Maddison
    B) Saka

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Maddisson i think

  30. rozzo
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Sa
    Ait Nouri
    Son Kulu Raphina Saka Ramsey
    Kane

    Ramsdale TAA Robertson Cancelo Laporte Broja Dennis

    0ft
    3.9 itb
    2 free hits available
    30k

    Any more hits needed here?

    Going to free hit in the double gamesweeks

    Thanks