Pro Pundits
12 July 2022 733 comments
Lateriser 12 Lateriser 12
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With Fantasy Premier League (FPL) live for 2022/23, we’ll be welcoming back our stellar team of Pro Pundits and Hall of Famers for the new campaign.

We’ll be hearing from a different writer every day in the aftermath of the FPL relaunch, to get their initial thoughts on the pricing and rule changes.

Our writers will be providing regular articles and team reveals throughout the new season, with only Premium Members able to access every single one.

Next up is three-time top 200 finisher and two-time champion of India, Lateriser, who will be writing for us every Gameweek throughout the season.

How the unlimited World Cup transfers have changed Lateriser's strategy

And we’re back!

It feels like only yesterday that we closed the curtains on what was a marathon season, given the number of curveballs and Double Gameweeks we had.

On a personal note, I was delighted with how things panned out as I finished in 1,047th place overall. Gameweek 38 was very kind to me as both purchases – James Maddison (now £8.0m) and Callum Wilson (now £7.5m) – brought in double-digit hauls that led to 100 points and a 16k Gameweek rank.

Looking back over last season, I pretty much stuck to a pre-decided strategy. Having had a horrendous 2020/21 campaign, I realised that the times when I go against the crowd usually occur in the second half of the season, with regular Gameweek ranks under 50k.

This meant that I curbed my instincts during the first ten Gameweeks and stuck to a template, keeping with the crowd until at least ten weeks of subconscious data and eye tests get stored in my head, ready to go against the curve.

An opportunity to play aggressively

Auto Draft 29

Before the game’s recent launch, it’s what I thought I would do again. Once I had a look at the fixtures, I realised that the best two teams have a great start to the season. It would be quite logical to go along with the template and play the ‘long game’ with these value picks – as already discussed online, the premium full-backs offer immense value.

Then the game launched and this little paragraph really caught my attention:

‘Unlimited free transfers can also be made between Sat 12 Nov 19:00 and Mon 26 Dec 19:00 when the Premier League season has been adjusted to accommodate the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022.’

This is quite a big macro factor. Essentially, we don’t have to think beyond Gameweek 16 at all and have two bites at making a team until then.

Then there is an extra Wildcard that everyone has to use in the gap before Gameweek 17. Given this added rule, there are a few trickle-down effects.

In a normal season, when deploying our Wildcard anywhere between Gameweeks 2-10, we’re building a very long-term team. One that will stick for at least 20 rounds until we usually use the second later on, around the Double Gameweek season.

This time, no matter what, you don’t need to look past Gameweek 16. The only things to carry forward, post-World Cup, are your team value and remaining chips.

For me, this means I can start the season more aggressively, target some fixtures and go ‘haul-chasing’. If things don’t work out, I’d then have no qualms deploying the Wildcard very early on. Additionally, as each team can now make five substitutions in a Premier League match, you can even look to ignore the bench early season and build unbalanced, lopsided teams that focus on targeting particular occasions.

Tread with caution with Chelsea

Whilst it would now take a lot to lead Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers away from ‘big at the back’ with explosive premium defenders, it’s worth noting that the game has also given us some cheap defensive assets who offer immense value.

It is way too early to be discussing a set-and-forget draft because we have so much to learn in pre-season: Manchester City will be playing with a proper number nine, Liverpool have a new-look front three, Chelsea are seemingly losing their entire defence and Manchester United have a new manager at the helm.

All things considered, I still see myself starting with five players from Man City and Liverpool but there are a couple of things that have caught my attention in terms of ‘opportunity’ and ‘tread with caution’.

For example, be careful with Chelsea’s defence. They have lost their best centre-back to Real Madrid and are seemingly going to lose a couple more from their backline. Due to this, there are murmurs of Thomas Tuchel potentially reverting to a four-man defence.

All things considered, their full-backs still offer tremendous value at £6.0m but the early fixtures don’t exactly scream ‘clean sheet’ to me. I am also questioning Chelsea’s elite defence status, given the huge reshuffling of personnel and system.

Thomas Tuchel is a manager not historically known for supreme defences and applied a ‘horses for courses’ approach when he first arrived at the club. Now he may look to evolve their tactics. I’ve nothing against Chelsea here, it is just something I’m monitoring closely.

Target the strong Spurs start

Check out more initial reaction from Lateriser and co on The FPL Wire here.



733 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Ser Davos
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Sancho the only 7.5 mid along with Gundogan

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Will be the assister of the assister, Martial Bruno Rashy will be the main options imo

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Great timing, Martial goal

    2. Ser Davos
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Last year 7.5s were all the rage

      Greenwood
      Jota
      Gundogan
      Barnes 7

  2. NotNowKato
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Fred goal!.

    Essential *koff*

  3. Andy_Social
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Fred's the 5.5 mid for the Neto-haters.

    Martial scores!

  4. Hobo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Martial with a drive and goal

    1. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Good pressing from Martial (who'd have thought). Won ball and solo break and put through Allison who didn't do anything wrong closing down.

  5. Ivan Toney Soprano
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Fred essential

  6. @persecuted_by_mods
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Martial Ice cold! One bad season isn't enough to write people off as new Dele Alli's

    Get rid of the Portuguese winker and the team improves

    1. ilikewud
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Stop. Martial is not good.

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Don't get him then

  7. Andy_Social
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Let's just say Van Dijk, Trent and Robbo won't be losing their places any time soon!

  8. Critical Observer
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    ManU triple-up essential, the problem is which three to cop.

  9. Bartowski
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Jesus and Martial are gonna mess up everyone's 532 and 541s aren't they?!

    1. UnluckyXI
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Return of the 3-4-3 with midfielders 3-5 being bargain basement

  10. Hobo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Dalot is a bad defender but if he ends up the starting RB for United he would be amazing value at £4.5m

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Barring a signing he will as AWB doesn't know how to play football

      1. Hobo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Sigining doesn't look likely at RB though I think AWB can be salvaged. Problem may come if Ten Hag rotates them depending on opposition

  11. Andy_Social
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Fabrizio Romano
    @FabrizioRomano
    ·
    Official, confirmed. Watford sign Rey Manaj from Barcelona on permanent deal, agreement done and signed after medical tests in London.

    If Watford can sign a Barcelona player, what's keeping United?? 😉

  12. Bambi
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Best defence rotations with NFO?

    1. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      rotation is so early 2000's

    2. The Mentaculus
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Better off buying in GW6 tbh. Otherwise you're kinda looking for someone to cover 1, 2, 4, 5

  13. Casualspotted
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Rashford is terrible even vs 7th Liverpool team. He should makes sandwiches and retire from football

  14. GREEN IS GOOD
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Neto (22.5%) and Bruno Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (21.7%) are very popular picks.

    What's the reason? Genuine question, I'm out of the loop.

    1. Brehmeren
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Being discussed at every page

      1. GREEN IS GOOD
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Very helpful, thanks for taking the time to say that

        1. Brehmeren
          • 16 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          I thought your genuine question deserved a quality answer.

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Don't get in the loop. Avoid

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Cheap

    4. capoultra
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Toon fan here, Bruno G is the man. Saved my team last season with his goals at the backend of last season.

      He didn't have a history of scoring til he came to us, so there is a good argument he over-produced, but he's in my first 11 regardless.

      1. GREEN IS GOOD
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Thanks

    5. TwiggsJameson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Good value.

  15. The Train Driver
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Klopp making weird early mad subs when being 0-3 down to make it look he doesn't take this game seriously....

  16. Cheeky Onion
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    How's the threemium team? It leaves 0.5m ITB so I can jump on an early 4.0-4.5m bandwagon which will be needed with this setup.

    Raya
    Robbo - Cancelo - Lamptey - Tomiyasu
    Salah - Son - Martinelli - Andres
    Haaland - Jesus

    4.0 - Neco - 4.5 - 4.5

    1. Bambi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Feel confident starting andreas and 2x 4.5's every week?
      A few downgrades here and there can go a long way, for example Jesus to Wilson will allow you to upgrade Lamptey to Trippier for example.

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Andres is a punt but should get minutes at Forrest and happy enough with Tomiyasu. Lamptey could be switched out with any other 4.5m def - who'd be your pick outside of Arsenal?

    2. 3 A
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Dont like Martinelli, rotation risk.

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Not a big fan of him either, what sub 6.0m mid would you go for? Could jump on the Neto bandwagon

        1. 3 A
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          I like Guimares, but New fixtures is not so good.

          1. Cheeky Onion
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 12 months ago

            I've had BrunoG in a couple early drafts, but worried he'll be playing a little deeper this year. Certainly one to watch in that bracket though

    3. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Son over Kane makes it a slightly different 3mium to the others, but it leaves you with Lamptey as a weakness in defence that that 0.5 + the 0.5 in the bank would plug.

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Agreed about Son v Kane. I guess it's a choice between Son & Jesus or Kane & Saka +0.5m which can be used to do Lamptey > Cash

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Cash would be better, or Trippier. Or stick with a 4.5 and go for Wolves' early fixtures.

          1. Cheeky Onion
            • 8 Years
            3 years, 12 months ago

            Who's your pick between Jonny or Ait-Nouri? Leaning Jonny myself

            1. Andy_Social
              • 13 Years
              3 years, 12 months ago

              Jonny for now, but plenty of time to see who's more secure.

          2. Andy_Social
            • 13 Years
            3 years, 12 months ago

            * think I meant Targett there. Or double up with Gabriel for Arsenal's opening fixtures.

    4. NotNowKato
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      The fact you think Andreas might get minutes at Forest might be your downfall bearing in mind he okays for Fulham

      1. NotNowKato
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Plays!

  17. 3 A
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Bowen is fixture proof. He score two against City, the strongest team last season.

    How? Because he play as CF. Not because Antonio injured but the manager want to play 4312.

    Bowen score two and Antonio have 1 assist.

    I'm not gonna say he will definitely this time but there is a chance and there is a reason why he 0.5 mil more.

    If u buy him, it'll be easy to downgrade but if u limit just only to 8.0 mill mids, its quite hard to get Bowen if he start sprinting.

    1. ilikewud
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I'm not too concerned

  18. Burfwizard
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    First post - Your thoughts

    Raya
    Cancelo - Robbo - Mings - Tierney
    Salah - Diaz - Martinelli - Moutinho
    Haaland - Kane

    Balcombe - Andreas - N.Williams - Greenwood

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Mourinho in your starting 11? 😯

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Welcome.

      It's an interesting 3mium with an 8m mid there as well.
      Moutinho sits too deep to be FPL-friendly. I'd go for a more offensive option.

      1. Burfwizard
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Any suggestions for Moutinho replacement

  19. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Has the optimal United triple up been established yet?

    1. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Yes, 0 x any 3 😉

  20. bv57
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Don't read anything into this game at all, the three Utd goals were gifts. Not heard of some of these Liverpool players.

    Only real takeaway is that Rashford still not done anything despite playing against 5th choice right back.

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      They're mostly kids, 17-year-olds. Won't meet defences like that in the Premier League.

    2. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I would also apply the same to the first half clean sheet. At least two breaks would have been put away with ease by a normal Liverpool side. There was one in particular where McT got drawn into a battle he didn't need to and left the space exposed for the break.

  21. OShaughnessy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Penny, for your thoughts on something a lil' less 'template.'

    - GK -
    * Ramsdale
    (Unsure with their sched & his talent, why more have not chosen him?)

    - DEF -
    * James & Chilwell
    (Seeing how CHE line-up in the preseason will influence the final decision but, IMO too much attacking upside to ignore.)

    * Trent, Cancelo, & N. Will
    (Not much needs to be said.)

    - MID -
    * Grealish, Rashford, Martinelli, Neto, & Andreas
    (I accept Pep roulette.
    I like that Rashford is a higher variance play.
    I'm aiming to make strides up the ranks & welcome a reasonable amount of risk to capture upside.)

    - FWD -
    * Haaland, Kane, & Jesus

    Captain Rotation
    GW 1, Kane - SOU
    GW 2, Haal - BOU
    GW 3, Kane - WOL
    GW 4, Kane - nfo (or Haal CRY)
    GW 5, Haal - NFO
    GW 6, Kane - FUL

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      like this a lot

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      You've thought it out; can't argue with it. I do agree Ramsdale is a better pick for the first 8 than Mendy, the popular 5m GK choice is.

    3. MJF
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Midfield looks like a WC waiting to happen! But then you can afford to be more risky as LR says.

    4. LangerznMash
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      I like it a lot but only one Liverpool player is a huge concern.

    5. Cheeky Onion
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      That is such a high variance midfield - 90% chance it'll be a bust, 10% chance of an absolute masterstroke that opens up the rest of your team to premiums. Personally I'd do the following moves:

      Chilly/James > 4.5 def (Tomiyasu, Jonny etc.)
      & either
      Martinelli > Saka
      OR
      Rashy/Grealish > Diaz

      1. OShaughnessy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        I think you're saying 'Switch to' when you use ">"?

        If that's the case, I'd try ---> next time.

        It'll make it easier to understand bc it is really easy to confuse that with 'Greater Than' instead.

        1. JELLYFISH
          • 14 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Nice appreciation there to a poster that has gone out of his way to offer you advice!

  22. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Meslier (4.0)
    Trent Cancelo Trippier Tomiyasu (Williams)
    Salah Diaz Kulusevski Martinelli (Andreas)
    Haaland Jesus (4.5)

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      All good except, for me, the keeper. I considered him due to great early fixtures, but in all the metrics last season he came out as by far the worst keeper. Injuries in defence account for a lot, but for me, he needs to prove himself and there are plenty better candidates at 4.5.

      1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        thanks, appreciated.
        Who would you say is the best 4.5 option? Raya?;

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          I'm on Raya. Sanchez is also a good option. Whoever gets the gloves at Palace and Henderson at Forest could be good, but I wouldn't start with them.

          1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 12 months ago

            Cheers mate!

  23. MJF
    3 years, 12 months ago

    I wish you wouldn't have mentioned being cautious on Chelsea, was hoping to see loads of people load up on Chelsea defence then see them ship four to Spurs in GW2.

    1. RichardNixon
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Reports coming through in the last hour that Chelsea close to agreeing deal and personal terms for Koulibali. Excellent player. Other CBs also being targeted. Chelsea will have five or six new players once the transfer window closes. Time will show how the players will gel but I think we'll be fine.

      Koulibaly and Ake for Rudiger and Christensen would be quality replacements.

  24. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    #KloppOut

  25. Irish Villan 1985
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Thoughts? Too light at the back?

    Meslier

    TAA, Romero, Mings, Tomiyasu

    Salah, Coutinho, Neto

    Haaland, Kane, Jesus

    Subs: Reya, Andreas, Williams, Winks

  26. _Greg
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Luis Diaz...back in my draft. sharp as a razor.

  27. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Chelsea trying to sign Gnabry now after missing out on Raphinha

  28. Bambi
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    No love for Soucek? Seems pretty decent at 5.5 if you are looking for a starter every week. Problem with Soucek was always predicting when he'd score, but if playing every week could be a decent punt

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      First time here I've even seen him mentioned! Had a poor last season compared to '21.

      1. Bambi
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        1 poor season shouldn't discredit his entire playing career. Man has scored goals whereevere he has been. 18 goals in PL career over 7523 mins isnt bad

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 12 months ago

          Sure, but after a poor season, I'd want to wait and see rather make a leap of faith.

    2. Brehmeren
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Rumoured to be heading out the door as part of a breakdown in contract negotiations

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Prefer Rice at 5m

  29. Cheeky Onion
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    I'm torn between going Kulu on a balanced team or Kane/Son on a Threemium.

    How much will Richarlison affect Kulu's minutes/haul potential?

    1. Bambi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Some talk from Spurs fans seem to think it is Kulu's spot to lose, though expect against stubborn defences that Kulu may drop back to right wing back as has been talked up by Conte last season

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        I think he'll affect Son more, but there is enough doubt in my mind for me to swerve Kulu.

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Going Mount over Kulu atm.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 12 months ago

        Mount, Saka, Maddison, Diaz should all be a little more secure, minutes-wise.

  30. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 12 months ago

    Collins to Wolves done deal, new bargain coming

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Kilman killed?

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 12 months ago

      Don’t think so. He’ll likely be £4.5 and I don’t see how that will be a bargain compared with some of the £4.0 and other £4.5m defs.