Scout Notes
8 May 2023 503 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 35 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Monday matches – Fulham v Leicester City, Brighton and Hove Albion v Everton and Nottingham Forest v Southampton.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




This bank holiday bonanza brought a whopping 21 goals in three matches, with big consequences for the battle to stay up.

Everton and Nottingham Forest secured important victories but Leicester’s position is even more worrying and the Southampton relegation is almost mathematically official.

MARCH BENCHED THEN INJURED

For the 60% of top 100k managers that own Brighton’s Solly March (£5.3m), his starting spot wasn’t supposed to be in jeopardy. All league matches had been started until Thursday night’s win over Manchester United and, surprisingly, he was again left on the bench for Everton.

Pre-match, Roberto De Zerbi simply said March was “not in his best moment” but there was an even worse moment later on. Already 3-0 down, March was one of four substitutions made by De Zerbi at half-time.

Before long, the winger was the epicentre of Brighton’s comeback attempt, creating two chances, totalling five penalty area touches and producing one shot on target. Yet he hurt his hamstring whilst chasing back for Everton’s fourth goal and had to be replaced immediately.

The timing of this is unlucky for owners, as the Seagulls are about to have successive double gameweeks. Perhaps March’s new rotation threat would’ve already seen sales take place but the bad-looking injury will escalate these.

MITOMA AND MAC ALLISTER COMBINE

Selling him for Alexis Mac Allister (£5.5m) may be dismissed as a sideways move but similarly-priced alternative replacements seem limited. Here, the Argentine hit the crossbar and soon combined with template choice Kaoru Mitoma (£5.6m) to score a consolation goal, just days after his stoppage-time penalty defeated Man United.

Since Gameweek 23, no Premier League player has taken more shots than Mac Allister (50) and, even though moving backwards into central midfield was expected to limit his threat, the World Cup winner is only bettered by Erling Haaland (£12.4m) since Gameweek 31.

ABOVE: Most goal attempts since Gameweek 31

Owning a penalty taker that takes so many shots is highly appealing, especially one with five fixtures during the final three gameweeks.

DOES STEELE KEEP HIS PLACE?

It’s a bad night for those with both March and cheap goalkeeper Jason Steele (£4.0m). Brighton’s defensive assets lost their clean sheet after just 34 seconds, with Steele later beaten twice at his near post as well as being the victim of an own goal.

As a team, Everton’s expected goals (xG) total was just 2.24 but Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.3m) and Dwight McNeil (£5.1m) both netted twice to pull off a huge south coast shock. In fact, McNeil’s pair of assists means it’s a brilliant 21-point haul – the winger’s best-ever in FPL.

So does this embarrassment mean Steele goes back to Brighton’s bench for Double Gameweek 36? If so, Robert Sanchez (£4.5m) awaits.

MORE RETURNS FOR MADDISON

Meanwhile, the lunchtime match brought a 5-3 goal-fest between Fulham and Leicester. There was previous popularity for James Maddison (£7.9m) ahead of a generous-looking Double Gameweek 29 that preceded Bournemouth at home. He duly blanked in all three and missed the Wolverhampton Wanderers match due to illness.

Yet FPL managers may want to put faith in Leicester’s talisman when he faces the untrustworthy defences of Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Attacking returns have arrived for him in three consecutive matches, with both a goal and an assist at Craven Cottage. Furthermore, Maddison should be back on penalty duties – having missed from the spot last Monday, Jamie Vardy (£9.1m) failed this time before the 26-year-old had some redemption 15 minutes later.

ABOVE: Maddison leads several ‘goal threat’ metrics during the 5-3 defeat

Leicester’s furthest forward player on the average position map, he led the way for shots, chances created, penalty area touches and expected goal involvement (xGI) in this match. No bonus points though, just like two-goal team-mate Harvey Barnes (£6.6m), who remains without any throughout the whole campaign despite netting 12 times.

SCINTILLATING GIBBS-WHITE

Finally, on a day of double-digit totals for McNeil, Doucoure, Barnes, Willian (£5.5m), Tom Cairney (£4.7m) and James Ward-Prowse (£6.1m), three such individuals belong to Nottingham Forest.

A quickfire Taiwo Awoniyi (£5.6m) double put the hosts 2-0 up, with Danilo (£4.5m) setting up the second and then bagging one for himself after a delicious backheel from Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m).

Additionally, the former Wolves midfielder bagged a first-half spot-kick and could’ve added another assist late on had Felipe (£4.5m) not been ruled offside. A wasted acrobatic celebration from the Brazilian centre-back.

He is quietly having a brilliant FPL season and is now on 15 goal contributions. His last four matches have brought three goals and three assists, with Chelsea, Arsenal and Crystal Palace to come. He’s an extremely interesting differential option, especially for March sellers.


GAMEWEEK 35 LINE-UPS

Fulham XI: Leno; Tete, Adarabioyo, Diop (Duffy 77′), Robinson; Palhinha, Reed (Lukic 77′); Wilson (Kebano 82′), Cairney (De Cordova-Reid 82′), Willian (Solomon 82′); Vinicius

Leicester City XI: Iversen; Castagne, Faes, Soyuncu, Kristiansen (Thomas 76′); Tielemans (Ndidi 60′), Soumare (Dewsbury-Hall 76′), Praet (Tete 46′); Maddison, Vardy (Daka 76′), Barnes

Brighton and Hove Albion XI: Steele; Gross, Dunk, Webster (Colwill 46′), Estupinan; Caicedo, Mac Allister; Buonanotte (March 46′ (Gilmour 77′)), Undav (Enciso 46′), Mitoma; Welbeck (Ferguson 46′)

Everton XI: Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Mina, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Onana 87′), Garner, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Maupay 87′)

Nottingham Forest XI: Navas; Aurier (Worrall 64′), Felipe, Niakhate, Lodi (Toffolo 82′); Danilo, Mangala, Yates (Kouyate 70′); Gibbs-White; Johnson (Boly 82′), Awoniyi (Surridge 82′)

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Maitland-Niles, Bella-Kotchap (Lyanco 38′), Bednarek, Walker-Peters; S Armstrong (Edozie 76′), Ward-Prowse, Lavia, Alcaraz (A Armstrong 76′); Walcott (Sulemana 61′), Adams (Onuachu 76′)



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

503 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Thanks FPL Marc

  2. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    2ft and 1.1itb

    Steele
    TAA Trippier Schär
    Salah Bruno Rashford Mac10 March
    Watkins Haaland

    Kepa Shaw Henry Greenwood

    Watkins+March to Wilson+Mitoma?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes but i would go Isak personally

  3. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    1 Grealish sgw
    2 Mac double

    ???

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      2

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      2

    3. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      2, Grealish may not even start

    4. Flying Dutchman
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Macdonald

  4. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    With 2 ft, March to Enciso/Mac or Ode?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Ode after today

  5. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    DDG
    TAA, Botman Estupinian, Botman (Henry)
    Salah, Bruno, Rashford, Mitoma (March)
    Haaland, Isak (Edouard)

    1FT 0.2m ITB

    A. Roll (see what happens to Brighton GW36)
    B. March to Eze, Bench Estupinian)
    C. B+Farguson -4

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A for me

      1. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks!

  6. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    £5.5m midfielder - last 4 GW - 12,7,5,11

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      MGW
      Forest will beat Chelsea next GW too IMO, so good chance of more returns

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      MGW!

      (got him in my draft team at least)

    3. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Gibbs White?

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yep.

  7. RogDog_jimmy
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts here?

    DDG
    Shaw, TAA, Botman*
    MacAllister*, Mitoma*, Rashford, Salah, March*
    Haaland, Toney

    Raya, Robbo, Stones, Solanke
    2ft, 0.5itb

    a/ March & Toney > Joelinton & Wilson
    b/ Robbo & Toney > Trips & Wilson (bench March)
    c/ March, Solanke, Toney > Isak, Wilson & 4.6mid (-4)

    Some other combo?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A but Joelinton was limping against Arsenal

      1. RogDog_jimmy
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Ah thanks! Also dang. Maybe Murphy is the answer to that....I like him too. And super cheap.

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Not sure of the Newcastle Mid prices but Almeron also??

  8. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier, TAA, Estupinan, Botman
    Salah, Bruno, Mac allister, March, Rashford
    Haaland (c)

    Raya, Shaw, Watkins, Greenwood

    0itb 2FT

    Have to exact cash to do March and Watkins to Isak and Mitoma.

    Good moves? Would you do this tonight or wait?

    1. Flying Dutchman
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I would wait, as TAA is going up anyway, but Isak will rise and March may fall tomorrow

  9. Flying Dutchman
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Watkins to Wilson good move this week? Isak in already

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I probably am.

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      After about 100 questions ask the same thing. i think so

      1. Flying Dutchman
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        lol thanks

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          no worries lol (I spent to much time on here lol)

  10. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    I guess he might start on the bench, but Mitrovic is back v Saints this weekend, right?

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes, and Palace (h) and Man Utd (a)

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        I mean I probably won't go there, but he's bound to score a couple.

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Grat punt GW36

  11. Crunchie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    The Bus team needs tinkering already 🙂

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Same 🙂

  12. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Start Shaw or Estu?

    Kepa
    TAA Trippier Estu/Shaw
    Salah Rashford Mitoma Mac Allister
    Haaland Isak Wilson

    Raya Grealish Zinchenko

    1. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Personally, i would start with Raya and Estu

      1. _Ninja_
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Roll the dice on the doubler over CB with one game

      1. _Ninja_
        • 15 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  13. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    21 goals today, that’s gotta be a record for a Monday or a 3 game day, or both!

  14. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    who will be your captain for next dgw?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Isak

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Whichever Newcastle forward starts against Leeds

      1. gart888
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        They're probably both going to start aren't they?

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          I don't think so. I think Howe will revert that idea back to plan B

    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Isak with Tripp VC atm

  15. Alan The Llama
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Seeing people who clearly know how to play FPL with 8 figure gameweek ranks is pretty amusing. Something sadomasochistic about this game.

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I just love how 3.6M this week is a big green arrow around 20k rank.

  16. Under my Cucurella
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A: Watkins Toney > Isak Wilson
    B: Watkins Henry > Isak Stones (exact money)
    C: Watkins Estupinan > Isak/Wilson Stones (can try and get March or 2nd Brighton attacker for 37)

    Steele Raya
    TAA Shaw Estupinan Trippier Henry
    Bruno Grealish Mitoma Rashford Gakpo
    Haaland Watkins Toney

    2FT 0.8ITB

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Go all in with A

      1. Under my Cucurella
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah I'm leaning towards this at the moment. No need to do tonight though as no price rises due by the looks of things. I'll probably lock it in after City play tomorrow

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Nice one

  17. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    March and Ake injured but I might still save my FT this week… saves me a Trent / Estu benching headache at least.

    Would you ?
    A) Roll
    B) March to Mac Allister (free)

    1FT 1.3ITB
    De Gea
    TRIPPIER SCHAR ESTUPINAN Trent
    Salah Bruno Rashford MITOMA
    Haaland ISAK

    Kepa MARCH* Ake* Grenwood

    Thanks

    1. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Roll.

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks

    2. The EJJ
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I've got both Ake and March and thinking of doing March -> Willock and Botman -> Shaw. I prefer newcastle attack and gets an extra DGW player for next week too

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  18. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Worth a -4?

    Martinelli, March -> Mitoma, Joelinton

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Joelinton only worth the punt if he plays LW. Need an update on Longstaff as Joelinton may have to play in midfield again if Longstaff is not available

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Don’t sell Marty

      1. sirmorbach
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        This.

  19. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    With1free transfer best move ?

    A Bench March as in team below, play Trent and carry
    B Use free transfer on March to MacAllister and play him ahead of 1Trent, 2 Estupinan or 3 Botman

    Kepa (Raya)
    Trent Trippier Botman Estupinan (Shaw)
    Salah Bruno Rashford Mitoma (March)
    Haaland Wilson (Greenwood)

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B & over 3

    2. sirmorbach
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd go A.

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'm currently on B2

    4. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If you do B, and I choose Wilson over Isak we'll have the same teams.

      I have no advice, just thought that was neat.

  20. Fake Madrid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    De Gea
    TAA / Shaw / Atones
    Salah / Grealish / Rashford / March / Mitoma
    Jota / Haaland

    Neto / Estupiñán / Isak / Tripper

    Did Jota and March to Wilson and Macalister.

    Correct decision

  21. snow pea in repose
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Can't believe I eked out a green arrow this week with a team full of BRI, MCI, MUN and NEW

  22. marpy016
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Current lineup:

    Kepa

    TAA - Trip - Estup
    Salah - Rashford - March - Mitoma - Grealish
    Isak - Haaland

    Raya - Shaw - Watkins - Botman

    Since I'm already maxed with Newcastle & Brighton, I was considering:

    Watkins & Botman to Wilson & Dalot

    or

    Watkins & Grealish to Greenwood & Bruno to setup for GW37

  23. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What to do here 1FT & 2.2 M
    Raya ( Kepa)
    Schär Tripper Shaw ( Chill Henry)
    Mitoma Salah Mahrez Martinelli Rashford
    Haaland Watinks ( Solanke)

  24. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Timely article for a March owner with 1FT

    DdG
    Trippier² Estupiñán² Botman²
    Mitoma² Salah Rashford Martinelli
    Haaland Kane Watkins
    -Kepa Guéhi Stones March²*
    1FT £1M

    What to do with 1FT this week.
    A) Watkins > Wilson
    B) March > MacAllister
    C) March > Joelinton or a differential pick £6.2M

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      D) March* Watkins > MacAllister Wilson -4

    2. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd do A ISak/Wilson depending on leaks. I am probably resisting MArch to Mac this week as I see Salah, Rashford and Martilinelli, Kane and Haaland getting more points

  25. Bob B
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Correct team order?

    Ederson
    TAA Trippier Estupinan
    Salah Mitoma MacAllister Rashford Murphy
    Isa(k) Haaland

    DDG, Robertson, Dias, Martial

    2FT also available, where would you make changes?

  26. FantasyClub
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    MacAllister saving the day again FPL wise

  27. Skout
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    March and Watkins to Mitoma and Wilson?

    2FT, 0.3 itb

    Kepa
    TAA Trip Estup
    MacA March Salah Rash Grealish
    Haaland Isak

    Raya Watkins Shaw Pinnock

  28. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    2.44% red arrow. Guess I'll take it. What an awful week for us all eh?

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure it works like that

    2. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I've had eight consecutive red arrows.. I just need one more to form a Diamond Nine formation.

  29. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    If you have those fantastic 5
    Rash Mitoma Mahrez Martinelli Salah
    would sell one of them for free to get DGW mid player ?

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      No

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thxx

  30. No Professionals
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Ederson
    Trent Trippier Botman
    Salah Mahrez Rashford Mitoma MacAllister
    Haaland Isak

    Kepa Estupinan Shaw Solanke
    1.2m 0ft

    Benching a double feels wrong, but don’t see much from Estupinan, could only really play him over mahrez

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Keep it like that

      1. No Professionals
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks