Scout Notes
8 May 2023 503 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 35 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Monday matches – Fulham v Leicester City, Brighton and Hove Albion v Everton and Nottingham Forest v Southampton.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




This bank holiday bonanza brought a whopping 21 goals in three matches, with big consequences for the battle to stay up.

Everton and Nottingham Forest secured important victories but Leicester’s position is even more worrying and the Southampton relegation is almost mathematically official.

MARCH BENCHED THEN INJURED

For the 60% of top 100k managers that own Brighton’s Solly March (£5.3m), his starting spot wasn’t supposed to be in jeopardy. All league matches had been started until Thursday night’s win over Manchester United and, surprisingly, he was again left on the bench for Everton.

Pre-match, Roberto De Zerbi simply said March was “not in his best moment” but there was an even worse moment later on. Already 3-0 down, March was one of four substitutions made by De Zerbi at half-time.

Before long, the winger was the epicentre of Brighton’s comeback attempt, creating two chances, totalling five penalty area touches and producing one shot on target. Yet he hurt his hamstring whilst chasing back for Everton’s fourth goal and had to be replaced immediately.

The timing of this is unlucky for owners, as the Seagulls are about to have successive double gameweeks. Perhaps March’s new rotation threat would’ve already seen sales take place but the bad-looking injury will escalate these.

MITOMA AND MAC ALLISTER COMBINE

Selling him for Alexis Mac Allister (£5.5m) may be dismissed as a sideways move but similarly-priced alternative replacements seem limited. Here, the Argentine hit the crossbar and soon combined with template choice Kaoru Mitoma (£5.6m) to score a consolation goal, just days after his stoppage-time penalty defeated Man United.

Since Gameweek 23, no Premier League player has taken more shots than Mac Allister (50) and, even though moving backwards into central midfield was expected to limit his threat, the World Cup winner is only bettered by Erling Haaland (£12.4m) since Gameweek 31.

ABOVE: Most goal attempts since Gameweek 31

Owning a penalty taker that takes so many shots is highly appealing, especially one with five fixtures during the final three gameweeks.

DOES STEELE KEEP HIS PLACE?

It’s a bad night for those with both March and cheap goalkeeper Jason Steele (£4.0m). Brighton’s defensive assets lost their clean sheet after just 34 seconds, with Steele later beaten twice at his near post as well as being the victim of an own goal.

As a team, Everton’s expected goals (xG) total was just 2.24 but Abdoulaye Doucoure (£5.3m) and Dwight McNeil (£5.1m) both netted twice to pull off a huge south coast shock. In fact, McNeil’s pair of assists means it’s a brilliant 21-point haul – the winger’s best-ever in FPL.

So does this embarrassment mean Steele goes back to Brighton’s bench for Double Gameweek 36? If so, Robert Sanchez (£4.5m) awaits.

MORE RETURNS FOR MADDISON

Meanwhile, the lunchtime match brought a 5-3 goal-fest between Fulham and Leicester. There was previous popularity for James Maddison (£7.9m) ahead of a generous-looking Double Gameweek 29 that preceded Bournemouth at home. He duly blanked in all three and missed the Wolverhampton Wanderers match due to illness.

Yet FPL managers may want to put faith in Leicester’s talisman when he faces the untrustworthy defences of Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Attacking returns have arrived for him in three consecutive matches, with both a goal and an assist at Craven Cottage. Furthermore, Maddison should be back on penalty duties – having missed from the spot last Monday, Jamie Vardy (£9.1m) failed this time before the 26-year-old had some redemption 15 minutes later.

ABOVE: Maddison leads several ‘goal threat’ metrics during the 5-3 defeat

Leicester’s furthest forward player on the average position map, he led the way for shots, chances created, penalty area touches and expected goal involvement (xGI) in this match. No bonus points though, just like two-goal team-mate Harvey Barnes (£6.6m), who remains without any throughout the whole campaign despite netting 12 times.

SCINTILLATING GIBBS-WHITE

Finally, on a day of double-digit totals for McNeil, Doucoure, Barnes, Willian (£5.5m), Tom Cairney (£4.7m) and James Ward-Prowse (£6.1m), three such individuals belong to Nottingham Forest.

A quickfire Taiwo Awoniyi (£5.6m) double put the hosts 2-0 up, with Danilo (£4.5m) setting up the second and then bagging one for himself after a delicious backheel from Morgan Gibbs-White (£5.5m).

Additionally, the former Wolves midfielder bagged a first-half spot-kick and could’ve added another assist late on had Felipe (£4.5m) not been ruled offside. A wasted acrobatic celebration from the Brazilian centre-back.

He is quietly having a brilliant FPL season and is now on 15 goal contributions. His last four matches have brought three goals and three assists, with Chelsea, Arsenal and Crystal Palace to come. He’s an extremely interesting differential option, especially for March sellers.


GAMEWEEK 35 LINE-UPS

Fulham XI: Leno; Tete, Adarabioyo, Diop (Duffy 77′), Robinson; Palhinha, Reed (Lukic 77′); Wilson (Kebano 82′), Cairney (De Cordova-Reid 82′), Willian (Solomon 82′); Vinicius

Leicester City XI: Iversen; Castagne, Faes, Soyuncu, Kristiansen (Thomas 76′); Tielemans (Ndidi 60′), Soumare (Dewsbury-Hall 76′), Praet (Tete 46′); Maddison, Vardy (Daka 76′), Barnes

Brighton and Hove Albion XI: Steele; Gross, Dunk, Webster (Colwill 46′), Estupinan; Caicedo, Mac Allister; Buonanotte (March 46′ (Gilmour 77′)), Undav (Enciso 46′), Mitoma; Welbeck (Ferguson 46′)

Everton XI: Pickford; Patterson, Tarkowski, Mina, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Onana 87′), Garner, McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Maupay 87′)

Nottingham Forest XI: Navas; Aurier (Worrall 64′), Felipe, Niakhate, Lodi (Toffolo 82′); Danilo, Mangala, Yates (Kouyate 70′); Gibbs-White; Johnson (Boly 82′), Awoniyi (Surridge 82′)

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Maitland-Niles, Bella-Kotchap (Lyanco 38′), Bednarek, Walker-Peters; S Armstrong (Edozie 76′), Ward-Prowse, Lavia, Alcaraz (A Armstrong 76′); Walcott (Sulemana 61′), Adams (Onuachu 76′)



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

503 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. SKENG
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    DDG
    Trippier Botman Estupinan TAA
    March Salah Rashford Fernandes
    Isak Haaland

    Raya MacAllister Chilwell Greenwood - 2 FTs, 0.1M ITB

    Any early thoughts on this team?

    A) MacAllister & Chilwell - Mitoma & Akanji (play Mitoma ahead of TAA)
    B) Chilwell - Stones/Akanji and save the other FT
    C) smth else?

    1. SKENG
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Sorry, I'd be selling March not MacA obviously.

    2. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      B. IMO you need to play taa against Lei.

  2. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Dont make sense to do march to mac right?ytd his goal was just plain lucky
    Or i can just start solanke vs crystal?

    1. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Per the article above, Mac has taken the most shots of anyone in the league since GW 23 and he’s on PKs and he has 4 fixtures in the next 2 GWs. If you have a FT he’s a good bet. He and Caicedo are Brighton’s two best players IMO. Gross is healthy again and if Veltman heals up Mac could be back in the 10 role also.

  3. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Capt isak for gw36?

    1. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Good shout. I will if I think he starts vs Leeds in the 9 role. Mac my VC

  4. sminkypinky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Bottomed

    I’m .1 short of March to Mc. 2ft and need of advice.

    Ederson (Kepa)
    Trippier Schar TAA (Estu Shaw)
    Salah Rasford Bruno Mitoma March*
    Haaland Isak (Greenwood)

    1. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Atm I’m thinking it has to be Salah to kdb (just for the odds of playing more at gw37) to fund March to Mac.

      I would appreciate your thoughts.

      1. Nanook
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I agree with your thoughts as the Salah to KDB is the move in 37 anyway. Only hang up is if KDB doesn’t play against Everton in 36 but you could have Shaw/Estu subbing then.

      2. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I would keep Salah and sell one from ManU

  5. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    No sure on the March > Mac move?

    Current transfer plan.

    A. Wilson > Isak
    B. March > Mac
    C. March > Eze
    D. Something Else

    Current Team

    Kepa

    Estupinan / TAA / Trippier

    Rashford / Mahrez / Salah / Mitoma / March

    Haaland / Watkins

    Raya | Solanke | Schar | Zinc

    Thanks

    1. Heavy Cream
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Assuming you mean Watkins to Isak then A for me

      1. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        🙂 - Yes I did.

    2. Nanook
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I would do A + B probably in your case. Possibly play Schar over Estu also.

      1. DavvaMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks.

  6. Heavy Cream
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Kepa
    Estu Stones Burn
    Salah Rashford Mitoma Mahrez Marti
    Haaland(c) Welbeck

    Raya Isak Mee Mings

    Bench headache here. Who to drop for Isak please? Any other tips?

  7. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    March to willock for a punt?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yes

    2. Stimps
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm doing this

  8. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone fancy a Joelinton captain punt over Wilson/Isak? Nailed on to start both and get good mins, stats looking good as well

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      No no no no no ooohhhh no no no ooohhh no no no

      1. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Reached that stage of the fpl season where I am genuinely very tempted

    2. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I'm kind of tempted to bring him in for March. Would let me keep Jota and mahrez but will mean no Isak or Wilson so there's a potential to get destroyed

      1. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Agreed..that's a risk..If Wilson starts vs Leeds think I will just get him in and captain him might go the Joelinton route if Wilson is benched

  9. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Which 2 sgw players do I bench to make way for the one of Isak or Wilson I’m getting in for Watkins?

    A) TAA
    B) Salah
    C) Martinelli
    D) Rashford
    E) Solanke
    F) Haaland

    1. Heavy Cream
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A E

    2. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      E or C

  10. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    What about Steele, he lost his spot?

    1. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Nothing confirmed yet. He was just poor yesterday.

    2. Bada Bing
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I have him and I have a nasty feeling he's going to be dropped and replaced by Sanchez for the rest of the season. I don't think Brighton are going to keep a clean sheet in the upcoming dgw anyway, so I will probably replace him with Pope.

  11. Wirtzel Gummidge
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    TAA or Trippier ??

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      TAA

      1. Wirtzel Gummidge
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks, thinking the same 🙂

  12. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    35pts behind the ML leader, neither of us have any chips left... 2 FT 0.5 ITB, not sure who to get?

    Kepa Raya
    white tripp shaw veltman mings
    salah rash marti mac mito
    haaland jota isak

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Not about who to get but where are the differences, need differential players to win.

      Some didn’t score 35 this week with few games left.

      1. tibollom
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        yea thats true.. we have quite a few similar players but his main diff are grealish, toney estupinan ederson whereas mine are mac, white, jota

  13. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Guys seeking help, 2ft 0.1m itb.

    Raya kepa
    Estu trip botman robbo shaw
    Bruno salah mitoma rash march *
    Haaland Watkins greenwood

    A) Watkins to isak /Wilson bench march and play shaw and nxt week salah march robbo to kdb mahrez 4.9m defender for a hit.

    B) Watkins march to isak /Wilson macallister free and nxt week salah robbo to kdb city defender for a hit.

    1. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Leaning towards A atm
      I have the same issue.

  14. Manumana
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    1ft. 0.2itb

    1. March to Gross
    2. Save & play March - Shaw 1st off the bench
    3. March to ? 5.4 to spend

    Thanks

  15. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    1FT, 3.8M ITB.

    A. Watkins -> Wilson/Isak?
    B. March -> Mitoma

    Kepa
    Trippier Estupian White
    Rashford Salah March Mac10 Martinelli
    Watkins Haaland

    Raya Toney Mings Pinnock

  16. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Morning All,

    What to do with March?

    A- March > MacAllister -4
    B- Play Shaw home to Wolves

    Currently keaning towards B

  17. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Start one this gw.

    a. shaw (wol h)
    b. zinchenko ( bha h)

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Zinch has had a few terrible games might get dropped for Teirney

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        A it is then, cheers

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      A

  18. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    A) March > Joelinton
    B) March > MacA

    * free hitting in GW37

  19. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    A) Play one of Grealish/Estupinan
    B) March -> McAllister

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      B

  20. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    2FT, any transfer recommendations?

    Steele*
    TAA Trippier* Estupinan*
    Salah KDB Grealish Rashford Mitoma*
    Haaland Isak*

    Raya White Coufal Greenwood

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Raya - pope
      White - 3.x

  21. Jengkreng
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    If u have steele and iversen...who u will play?...steele may lost his spot to sanchez with last night perfomance...how can he out position like that..so bad after 2 cleansheet...hope RDZ give him one more chance

  22. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Any transfer suggestions here? 2 fts. 0 itb. Thanks

    kepa
    trippier shaw dunk
    salah rashford march mitoma
    haaland toney watkins

    ederson grealish zinchenko mee

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Watkins+mee -> Isaak+Schar

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        That's an option. How about watkins toney > wilson isak?

  23. tibollom
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Looking to differentiaite myself from the ML leader who is 35pts ahead of me (got 2 FT 0.5), where to diff myself guys?

    His team:

    Ederson* Steele*
    Tripp Estupinan* Mee* Pinnock* Shaw
    Rash Salah Mito Grealish* Marti
    Isak Haaland Toney*

    My team:

    Raya Kepa
    Tripp Mings White Veltman Shaw
    Rash salah mito mac marti
    isak haaland jota

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Dunk (TC)

    2. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      First you must predict his move. Assuming that he is not "casual" in my opinion it colud be Toney to Wilson. So from your perspective I think it will make sense to get Joelinton or Pope. Other option for you is beting on SGW player like Mahrez or Gundogan

      1. tibollom
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        yea thanks mate, he is def not a casual.... ill have a look at that.. issue is i want to get rid of jota but he is a differnetial

  24. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    So Southampton vs Fulham is all-in game for Southampton? FH with their attack?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Soton are bottom because they are rubbish though.

  25. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Benching headache if I get a New forward.

    A) Get Isak Isak or Wilson for Watkins
    B) Roll and get in 2 more dgw players for dgw 37 instead

    DDG
    Trippier, Estu, TAA, Schär
    Martinelli, Salah, Mitoma, MacAllister, Rashford,
    Haaland

    Subs: Raya, Watkins, Solanke, Pinnock

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      One NUFC forward probably a good idea. Either is fine.

  26. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Botman / March / Jota to 3.9 / Mac / Wilson (have Isak) for -4?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah

  27. Manumana
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Hold March or sell ?
    5.4 to spend

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I’m planning to swap for Mac

      1. Manumana
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Good for you.ive already got him but can't afford Mitoma. Can afford Gross though

        1. Scots Gooner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          What about a punt on Murphy, if you have a Newcastle slot free?

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      I went Gross. Had a rest against Utd the other week; other right backs injured.

      1. Manumana
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        I've got 3 newc players already

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 9 months ago

          ? He is a swap of a Brighton player for a Brighton player though.

          1. Manumana
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 9 months ago

            I have Mac, Est & March

  28. Roysgotnoboys
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Wilson for the armband?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Are you sure that's wise, sir?

  29. Fulchester's New Centr…
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    Would you lose Jota or Watkins?

    Jota not guaranteed to start and Liv crap away but reasonable fixtures, Villa on the beach and tricky last 3.

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Seems like Villa's purple patch is over, admittedly have seen little football this week so I can't say for sure exactly how they've looked since results have started to turn but I think I'd go with Watkins out. Leicester were obviously dire yesterday but I watched them against Everton and I thought they were very poor, had much more of the ball but never looked like doing much with it, and they left so many gaps at the back, they have to keep going for it in the remaining games so I can see another heavy defeat incoming against Liverpool

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers ND

  30. tokara
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 9 months ago

    i got ft but not sure if play Mahrez or March to Mac?

    Any input

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 9 months ago

      Wait till after Champs league?

      1. tokara
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 9 months ago

        thanks