634x258 Preamble
24 May 2015 3813 comments
Mark Mark
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What a difference a year makes.

Just under twelve months ago I was lamenting my worst ever campaign in eight years of playing the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. I’d limped over the line, recording a rank of 192,837 – a pretty miserable result for someone who sleeps with the fixture list etched onto the back of his eyelids.

While there was no obvious excuse, it’s fascinating to reflect on the lessons I’d identified back then. It’s even more enlightening to see if I’ve really learnt anything from those struggles, and whether that’s helped me turn things around.

React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
The stubbornness which prompted the slow reaction to the form of Aaron Ramsey and Yaya Toure last season was well documented. This term I’ve been fortunate in that there have been no real equivalents.

I got on Harry Kane in Gameweek 15 and he scored 17 goals in the following 14 weeks. I guess I can take some credit for that. Other than Kane, it’s difficult to identify a bandwagon that got close to surprising us by maintaining form over a long spell. Charlie Austin is probably one I missed for a while – more on him in a moment.

It would have been interesting if, for some reason, I’d resisted Kane, missed the early goals and then allowed my stubborn nature to keep me from acquiring him. That might still be a weakness of mine – this season didn’t really test that too much, although the Austin situation hints that I’ve still got work to do.

As for hits, I’ve certainly used them sparingly, taking just three all season. I’ve no doubt that they can be effective and, as I wrote last weekend, coupling them with a banked transfer to make three changes will be a tactic I will definitely take into next season.

Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
I have had more conviction with my hunches. I backed Sadio Mane the moment he arrived and, while it took me some weeks to acquire him, once he was in, he stayed in. We know how that worked out.

Similarly, I adopted his team-mate Dusan Tadic off the back of his impressive early season statistics and held him long enough to ride out that Gameweek 8 haul.

These were both major turning points in the season but behind all that, my conviction that Eden Hazard would eventually surpass Cesc Fabregas and faith in Branisalv Ivanovic, Diego Costa and early investment in Kane, meant that I ticked over.

I still bought Aleks Kolarov for one Gameweek – just as a Christmas treat.

Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
For a few weeks, I thought I’d made the wrong decision on Fabregas but Hazard did, by Christmas, emerge as the better option.

I missed some opportunities but, in the main, I jumped on bandwagons around the right time and never really suffered from missing huge hauls.

Charlie Austin hurt me for a while – I was slow on that one, mainly because I felt that, eventually, he and QPR would be worked out. I was right to an extent, but I still missed out on some value hauls that would have probably benefited my season.

I’m not convinced I’ve learnt this lesson yet, then.

Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
I think this made an impact. The Gargatron tells me that I used just 10 different captains this time around, indicating that I’ve been more cautious.

For weeks I kept the armband with Diego Costa, lured in by his consistency. It hurt me on occasions and benefited me on others. Following his departure, I’ve largely turned to Sergio Aguero and Eden Hazard.

I think I’ve taken risks two or three times with the armband – it’s hard to say if that’s been a factor in the turnaround. Despite lacking the Luis Suarez option, I’ve been surprised that the captaincy has seemed to be a straightforward decision in the main. With Hazard around, it may well be even easier next season.

Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers
Sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
These two combine and, in many ways, highlight how a subtle change in rules can change the FPL landscape.

For a good part of last season, I’d backed the attacking full-back over the dominant centre-back and was punished by the bonus system which clearly favoured the latter. I actually doubled on Southampton (Calum Chambers and Luke Shaw), only to eject that tactic when it was clear it was failing miserably.

A year on, the double Southampton full-back has undoubtedly been one of the key strategies when forming our defences. For a good portion of this season, having both Nathaniel Clyne and Ryan Bertrand proved a mini-league game changer.

Overall, the bonus point system was tweaked, raiding full-backs no longer suffered heavily from failed dribbles and, suddenly, there was bonus balance at the back.

I didn’t have to adjust my tactics – the FPL put things right on my behalf.

There’s the new lesson to consider: if there are rule changes for next season, don’t underestimate how they can influence our strategies – however subtle they appear to be.

Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
Defenders scored 104 goals last season, which has declined to 90 so far this term.

The Chelsea pairing of John Terry and Branislav Ivanovic have benefited most from their attacking menace at set-plays and, by owning the latter all season, I guess I put this one straight.

By prioritising full-backs last season, I turned my back on the points earned from set-piece threat. Given that Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines have declined in goal output this season, there’s good reason to say that this has been more important than ever.

Arguably I made the right choice. Ivanovic has had that threat at set-plays, whilst also being an attacking full-back providing crosses. With Terry ageing, the Serb will be one of the first names in my 2015/16 squad.

If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.
I need to remind myself of this one over the summer: my Diego Costa habit almost de-railed my season at one point. Eventually, the Chelsea man repaid my faith but, at several stages, I questioned whether I was making a fatal error by holding him too long. I got away with it. Just.

I’ll resist Costa next season. I certainly won’t touch Daniel Sturridge.

Of course, as I also stated this time last year, every season hands us a set of different challenges that will ultimately decide the fate of our campaigns.

Sometimes single transfers like Mane and Tadic can make a major difference, sometimes it’s having conviction in a player like Ivanovic or Hazard that tips the balance. Alongside this, we have to enjoy some fortune – the right injuries at the right time, penalty saves, points from the bench. These can all conspire for and against us and sometimes, they just fall in place.

I’m not sure how much of my season has been down to this luck over my own judgment. I do know that it’s followed on from my worst ever campaign and that, in some ways, that may have helped. Perhaps this will come as some comfort to those who look on this season’s rank and flinch.

While I’ve spent this morning reflecting on the story of my own campaign, much of my focus today will be on the very top of the FPL rankings. Once again, we’re blessed with seeing members of our community competing for the top prize.

Simon March, aka “Dufflinks”, looks well placed to seal the title as he seeks to protect a 34-point lead. The likes of Kev Gleave, Jack Wain, Jon Sumner, Stuart Greenacre and AbuBakar Siddiq give chase – all either members of the FFS Leagues, posters on our pages or both.

It’s this that makes me most proud and convinces me that 2014/15 has been a season to savour.

I’ll be pre-ambling your way again in August.

Good luck to all.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. FPL Gossip Blogger
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    My entire starting XI is at home and my entire bench is away.....

    1. The_Colonel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Snap!

  2. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Costa captain anyone?

    Even if not chasing

    1. Lawrø
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Doesn't he have a 12pts maximum limit as captain?

  3. The_Colonel
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Scrap my last post, Hazard is staying put and Kane is going.
    So it comes down to the exciting choice of

    Ndoye or Jelavic

    What do you guys reckon?

    My life is so rock and roll!

    1. The Iron Tulip
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Jelavic

    2. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      n'doye for me, jelavic needs to go to specsavers

  4. PMz
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Best midfielder for 7.5 and under?

    1. Billy Gilmore
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Mirallas

      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Mirallas over Mata?

    2. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Mirallas

    3. Hamstergod
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Milner/Adam/Sigurdsson

  5. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Özil to:

    A) Mata
    B) Walcott
    C) Someone else?

    1. FPL Gossip Blogger
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

  6. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Schmeichel
    Terry Ivanovic Koscielny
    Cazorla Silva Bolasie Sanchez
    Aguero (c) Benteke(v) Kane

    subs: Pants Henderson PVA Bruce

    Do I look all set?

    1. Snapes on a Plane
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      caz> mata maybe

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Should have said it's for a hit.

  7. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    GTG?
    Whom to captain?
    Correct bench order?

    Mignolet
    schlupp koscielny terry
    sanchez bolasie mata silva
    Augero ulloa lukaku

    (jagielka,wasilewski,boyd)

    1. Snapes on a Plane
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      reply fail 🙁

  8. MrT123
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Do i start hazard or swap him out???

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Start, he's playing

      1. Annie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        he isn't

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Start, assuming you have cover on bench

    3. The_Colonel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Start him

    4. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I've sold but not confident with it.

  9. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Hendo >

    a) Bolaise
    b) Siggy
    c) Young

    Giroud >

    a) Lukaku
    b) Benteke
    c) Gomis

    1. FPL Gossip Blogger
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A for both

      1. YouReds
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        thanks, would you (c) Lukaku or Aguero.. chasing 8 point gap

        1. FPL Gossip Blogger
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Lukaku- I'm captaining him if that helps.

  10. JAC THE CAT
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Should I sell PVA for a hit?

    Can afford anyone as a replacement

    1. Ed
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      If you were starting him, yes.

    2. Saint & Reevesy
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      defenders for hits rarely work out. even if they keep a CS you're just net neutral

    3. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No

  11. FISSH
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    No one replies to anyone in this time hah

    1. Efan Ekoku Pops
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Not true 😉

    2. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Looks like im n my own then 🙁

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      ­

  12. deppman007
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Caz -> Bollasie for free? I could get anyone.

    Already have Sanchez.

  13. mattzkn
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I have

    Cout : Silva : Sanchez : Haz
    Augero : Kane : Giroud

    1 FT, what will the best option be?

  14. Amateur Pundit Zan
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Left my team selections a bit late this week

    Who to Play
    Cazorla or Coutinho
    Skrtel or hutton

  15. #Swish41
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    21 ahead in ML do I:

    A. Giroud (both have) to Benteke

    B. Haz (only I have) to Coutinho (to cover)

    Leaning to A but b looks smart ( though he could easily get tekkers as well)

    Cheers all, and good luck

  16. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Looking forward to selecting my team for next week.

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      That's the best part of deadline day sometimes 🙁

  17. Kloppinho
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Play Dawson (already playing Myhill) vs Arsenal or Bertrand vs MCi?

    This could decide my ML!

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Bert good luck

  18. Wishdom Teeth
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    20 mins to go

  19. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    a) Keep Giroud then do Skrtel to Terry

    b) Sell Giroud for Benteke and play Ryan Taylor

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      You have Ryan Taylor?! Wow. Play him for sure, yeah.

  20. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone worrying a bit with the fact that they have 3 Arsenal midfielders...?! 🙁

    1. Lawrø
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      o/

      And triple Leicester defence

      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Haha, class. Pure ballsy. Have you played all 3 of them in the one gameweek? In the double? I'd be worried less as reckon 1/2 of my Arsenal players could potentially be rested or benched...

        1. Lawrø
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          I only had one Leicester in their double and only two Arsenal last week... Awful planning on my part! I have Sanchez, Rambo and Wally... Surely one of them won't make it?

    2. FPL Gossip Blogger
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No.

  21. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Playing Albright ahead of caz. Yes no?

    1. Red Star Toro
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      nope imo

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      YES

  22. Red Star Toro
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    LVG leaked anything about line-up? Should Young start?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I think I'm getting Young but as deadline approaches I'm a little worried....

      1. Red Star Toro
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        No reason for LVG to drop him as he's playing really well, right?

        1. andy85wsm
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Yup but he's not in the England squad because of some injury he's carrying

  23. Tommy J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Think my closest ML rival has just swapped Hazard to Young.....

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Thinking of doing same.

      1. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Wow-ok, I was worried about His Hazard playing as a differential to my Sanchez. I have Mata to cover off United angle.

  24. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Play one of these 3:-

    A) Cazorla
    B) Mahrez
    C) Young

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Mahrez for me. Young could have the pace to trouble a more adventurous Hull side on the break tho

  25. AlCapwnUK
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Big last week from Kane could send me back into the top 50k, which i'd be pretty happy with. Let's hope no oe has got the lasagna out at Goodison

  26. Saint & Reevesy
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    currently got Haz on the bench, do we think he'll play?

    1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Play him!!! If he's out a sub will come on.

  27. faux_C
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Who will concede more - Hull, Liverpool or Sunderland?

    1. Saint & Reevesy
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      hull

  28. MrT123
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Is Hazard gonna play?

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      maybe!

  29. fatherted
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Who is most at risk. Santi kos or Caz? ?

  30. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    with that news that hazard trained yesterday, will he start then?

    was he keen to maintain his record of 100% starts or just appearances?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      No-one really knows