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Wisdom of the Crowd – Gameweek 30

Each week we are reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).

And don’t forget there is £20,000 on offer every week if you get a full house of predictions.

GAMEWEEK 29 REVIEW

Brighton’s big win over Arsenal was the big surprise of Round 29, much to Jonty’s delight, and the 11% that predicted it on Superbru.

Here are the Gameweek 29’s results in descending order of predictability:

Oliver Brown won the Yellow Cap in the Fantasy Football Scout league with a full house of predictions, which is usually unheard of!

It was yet another strong week for Mr Crowd Wisdom – using the aggregated predictions of the crowd – who remains in 12th place in the FFS pool, out of over 460 people.

The aggregated predictions of the community are making better predictions than most individual players in the game, suggesting that there is credibility in the Wisdom of the Crowd concept.

The crowd’s average picks have now taken the Crowd Wisdom user into the top 3% on the global leaderboard!

GAMEWEEK 30 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in Gameweek 30:

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

It’s Man City back at the top of the predicted goals chart, with a visit to Stoke on Monday night.  They put seven past them in October, and have scored 15 goals in their last four meetings with The Potters.

Tottenham are second on that table, so poll favourite Harry Kane should be a good pick for the captaincy, but those that captain Sergio Aguero could be rewarded for taking the risk on him starting the match.

City are also expected to keep a clean sheet, whilst Chelsea, Leicester, Tottenham and Arsenal are worth considering in defence.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter for Mr Crowd Wisdom this week.

Is there anything that catches your eye in these predictions?

Good luck!

8 Comments Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Cheers. Good job I hung onto my City assets - could be a bumper away day for them.

  2. asquishypotato
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Surprised at the lack of clean sheets, but that’s the curiosity with this week.

    Can’t see Shaqiri breaking any hearts, can see De Gea doing that.

    1. RedLightning
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The figures actually predict that 8 teams (Man City, Chelsea, Leicester, Spurs, Arsenal, Newcastle, Everton and Arsenal)should concede 6 goals between them, but only Man City are considered to be slightly more likely than not to keep a clean sheet.
      So probably at least 2 clean sheets.
      This happens every week - Mr Crowd Wisdom is forecasting the results of each individual match, not the number of clean sheets.

  3. Stat Sloth
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    These articles are always appreciated. Aguero captain it is.

  4. the Penman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Nice work, thanks. I can’t shake the niggling feeling that Stoke will turn up as a different outfit to the one who conceded 15 in 4 against City so far...

  5. DGW blindness is for Kinnea…
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I just discovered this article a couple of weeks ago. It's my new favourite article of the week.
    Bolivian Seamen used to do something similar.
    Thanks Hutch James. Keep it up

  6. The Orienteer - find me in …
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Nice analysis. Thanks

  7. Steve
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I like these articles. I liked “what the bookies say” but that seemed to stop abruptly. Thus is a decent replacement.