Pro Pundits
14 December 2020 2522 comments
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Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

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  1. E25
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on these options for a hit...
    A) Jota, Vardy, Robertson -> KDB, Wilson, Dias
    B) Jota, Vardy, Bissouma -> KDB, Brewster, Soucek

    McCarthy
    James Robertson Konsa
    Salah Bruno Grealish Jota
    DCL Vardy Bamford

    Forster Taylor Bissouma Douglas
    2FT 0.7ITB

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      do you need the third transfer to fund kdb? if not just do the two

    2. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      neither

      I would just do Jota and Vardy to KDB &wilson (or someone else same price range as wilson fixtures getting bad)

  2. trafalgarlaw
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    GTG ? 1FT ITB

    McCarthy
    Konsa Cancelo Ayling
    Salah Bruno KDB Son
    DCL Wilson Bamford

    Nyland Justin Bissouma Mitchell

    Bruno or KDB to captain ?

    1. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      KDB

  3. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Gtg? Saving FT....0 itb

    McCarthy
    Chilwell Cancelo Konsa Lamptey
    Salah KDB Bruno Grealish
    Werner Bamford

    Peacock-Farrell Soucek Taylor Davis

    1. trafalgarlaw
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      nice team

  4. Plant Based FPLer
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I voted De Bruyne for best captain but Vardy 2.5%?? Did not expect that. 25% maybe.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Probably because everyone has got rid 😀

      1. Plant Based FPLer
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Everton, you and the rest WILL BE CRUSHED!

        Actually, about 10% to 15% would've been... more accurate. I was thinking de Bruyne would be 70%, then Fernandes deserved some votes but I guess I wasn't thinking about him.

  5. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    What do you think about my team?

    Mendy
    Chilwell, Cancelo, Targett
    Salah, KDB, Bruno, Grealish
    DCL, Bamford, Giroud

    Soucek, Coufal, Justin

    Big question: KDB or Bruno for the armband?

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I went with KDB

    2. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I’d be afraid to leave Soucek and Coufal on the bench

  6. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Madness to captain Bruno ahead of KDB?

    1. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      nope. stats better for bruno.

    2. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No

    3. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yes, complete madness to captain the guy with more FPL points than Salah and zero blanks away since he joined the PL against the PL team with 1 point in 12 games

      My pick is a clear KDB but Fernandes will probably haul too

    4. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Of course NOT

    5. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      why madness? Madness would be Walker(c).

    6. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Safer, higher EO for Bruno....but I wonder who in the top 10K will go with if they own both

  7. Bobby's Teeth
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Son to Bruno for the next 2. Yay or Nay?

    1. Dthinger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No

      1. Bobby's Teeth
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Was thinking of getting United coverage for the next 2, esp considering Son's fixtures. Thoughts?

    2. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      yay

    3. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on the value you will lose because you will most definitely want him back within 2 gws.

      1. Bobby's Teeth
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Hardly any value tied up in him for me

        1. sunzip14
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          In that case, getting Bruno is a sensible move.

  8. Dthinger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    I’m thinking about benching Watkins and playing 4-5-1. Thoughts?

    Leno
    Robbo Zouma Fofana Targett
    KDB Bruno Son Grealish Bowen
    DCL

    Button Watkins Brewster Neco

    1. FantasyHero
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      nope
      watkins over fofana/targett

    2. Scratch
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      You're backing a few dodgy defenses ahead of a striker.

      1. Dthinger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Watkins is averaging about 1 pt per week since I bought him. But I see your point. Should I bench targett or Fofana?

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          You back Watkins in v Burnley

    3. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah, I think most would go Watkins over Fofana

  9. Ando
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on the following transfers?

    Podence and Cancelo âž¡ Grealish and a defender 4.9m or under for -4

    or

    Play Cancelo and Lamptey (with Justin and Podence on the bench as cover) and save my FT.

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Woulnt look to sell Cancelo

    2. Scratch
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I'd hold, decent bench. I sold Cancelo when it looked likely he'd be rested for Fulham after playing CL, kicking myself.

  10. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    G2G?

    Martinez
    Dias Coufal Dallas
    KDB (c) Bruno Grealish Salah Soucek
    Vardy DCL
    - Justin Brewster 4.0

    1. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Excellent team!

  11. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    All set?

    Torres let's have it son!!!

    Martinez
    Robbo Chilwell Coufal
    Son Salah(v) Grealish Torres(c) Mahrez
    Kane DCL

    Martin Bednarek Kilman Brewster

    1. Party time
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Captain Salah in my opinion

      1. Stupendous
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Had it on him until yesterday but I fancy a big Torres breakout performance today.

        Salah is an amazing differential as it is but he hasn't been lighting it up and it is a stingy Spurs up next.

    2. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Torres (C), wow! and why?

      1. Stupendous
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Boom!!! It's 2020!

        Game has got a bit boring for me lately with all the casual success, and VAR, no fans in real life until last week etc etc

        Fancy a haul for him! I have no KDB as you can see.

    3. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I have Salah and am currently thinking of changing to KDB (Sterling is also a possibility) or Bruno for a -4.

      1. Stupendous
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        A hit to remove Salah for 3 City none of which I can be sure will definitely play.

        Could backfire terribly. Like my captain I suppose.

        I was tempted to do Salah to KDB but for a hit and when I would want him right back? Nah!

        1. Goodricke
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          City are odds on for the win (2-17). West Brom are 30-1 against!

          KDB has played the last 6 in a row, he's as nailed on as a city player can be. Wonder if Kun makes an appearnace.

          Sheffield are only 7-1 against!

    4. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Interesting captain choice, I do hope it works out

    5. fzonhd
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Zaha or Grealish?

      1. Stupendous
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        What about them?

    6. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Very brave captain choice.

  12. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Play Coufal or Lamptey?

    1. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Coufal for the cleanie, Lamptey for the assist, which is more likely?

      1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Even Coufal has serious attacking threat though

        1. Rosey Palmer
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          Remember he's defending on the same side Eze and Zaha will be attacking....

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Palace will surely score imo

      1. Goodricke
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Zaha is due a return.

    3. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Lamptey

    4. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Coufal.

  13. davies
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    A) DCL + Dunne > Adams + James (-4)

    B) Kilman > Taylor

    1. West End Exile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      B

  14. Eleven Hag
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Is Bamford still the best fwd under 6.5?

    1. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Only when playing away. He's at home this weekend - I'm a Leeds fan.

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Thnx mate, good time to be a Leeds fan I reckon, you are breath of fresh air to the league

    2. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Adams is but those fixtures turn fast

    3. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yrs

  15. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts on Bowen + Vardy to Bruno + Welbeck/ Adams? (2FT)

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Bowen and Vardy can both do well...
      I would do it if you would captain Bruno

      1. Alisson WondHaaland
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        See this is the thing, virtually my whole team 'can do well' and Im a bit lost as to how I could use my FTs

        1. sminkypinky
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          Upgrade bench if needed

          1. Alisson WondHaaland
            • 10 Years
            5 years, 7 months ago

            Bench is BPF, Bissouma Taylor Ferguson. Not sure if I want to put any more money into the bench

            1. sminkypinky
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 7 months ago

              Seems fine.

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No

  16. sminkypinky
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Shame Dias has zero attacking threat. Could be in for a massive few weeks if he was more aggressive in offensive corners.

    1. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      He was close to scoring a few I thought

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      He had actually came close to scoring, unfortunately couldnt convert

      1. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Brought him in none the less. Hope he proves me wrong.

    3. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      He occasionally scores from set plays

    4. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      He should score very soon. Scored lots for Benfica and Portugal.

  17. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    2FT but not much to be done without coming off of Vardy. G2G or further change needed? Options B & C would only be for a few weeks until I use Vardy cash for Grealish/Zaha, but would prevent me losing any value on him should he drop.

    Is my bench order right?

    Martinez
    Robbo Zouma Lamptey
    Bruno(c) KDB Son Soucek
    Vardy DCL Adams
    (Forster Targett Barkley Kilman)

    A) G2G
    B) Barkley to Raphina, bench Soucek
    C) Barkley to Lookman, bench Soucek
    D) Other

    1. GoonSquad
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      What about Barkley and Kilman to Saka/Jones and Stones

      Bank some savings for Vardy out.

  18. Roy Rovers
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Play two from these (Zouma the 3rd)....

    A - Balbuena (CRY)
    B - Vestergaard (ars)
    C - Dallas (NEW)

    1. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Dallas
      Balbuena

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      ac

      1. GoonSquad
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        +1

  19. sminkypinky
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Also I’m a bit baffled projection tool tells to bench Zouma before Lamptey. I’m not but pondering.

    1. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I think the projection tool is missing a few factors this week....squad and bench is a headache

  20. klopp2567
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Evening chaps,

    Got 1 FT and really dont feel like rolling them is a good move but also dont know what to do?

    Johnstone
    James Chilwell Dallas
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish Lookman
    Kane Wilson

    Button KWP Mitchell Brewster

    0.0ITB

    The fact that I have absolutely nothing ITB doesnt help either.Please help folks.

    1. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      7.25 am here. Just getting out of bed.

      Imo you’re good to go. Feel City wont be such a success and pool may well open up for Spurs. Save and risk it.

    2. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Don't see anything obvious. Hold for me.

  21. Holmes
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Simply put, their is no right answer to Kevin and Bruno. One of those 50-50 decisions where you have to go with your gut feeling.

    1. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Agree. Risk taker vs risk averse!

    2. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      And Mo will probably outscore both. Seems like one of those weeks

      1. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Like Kane and Son too. Got rid of both weeks ago thinking this was the way forward. It wasn’t.

      2. Pieterke30
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Mo will blank if he doesnt get a pen

    3. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I was all on KDB untill tonight when I checked out the stats. Bruno playing on thursday is one more reason to try it with him. As for taking a risk, which is more riskier? Bruno's got 40% ownership and KDB 26%. Maybe differential wise it would be better to captain KDB?

    4. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Agreed....for me it comes down to my ML ownership and tendencies. I'm the only one with KDB...everyone has Penandes. So risky play is cap KDB for a big boost...or play safe and cap Bruno because my KDB points alone will be a differential.

  22. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Is a backline of Chilwell, Robbo and Dias too expensive?

    Potentially thinking of downgrading and rotating 2 cheaper defenders

    1. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yupp

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yes.

    3. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yes...2 of those 3 would be plenty I think

    4. Flowsick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Currently on this exact back 3 until City have good fixtures. Potentially could downgrade Chilwell to James or get rid of Dias once the fixtures turn.

  23. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Best option for next few gameweeks. Have 2FTs. So either I burn FT or take out Son and improve Mitchell.

    A: Lamptey + Son...with Lewis and Mitchel sub
    B: Dias + Grealish..with Lamptey and Lewis sub

  24. Pieterke30
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A. Soucek (CRY)
    B. Lamptey (ful)

    1. Pukki Party
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. Party time
      5 years, 7 months ago

      B

  25. Pukki Party
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts here? 2ft 1.2itb

    Martinez
    Robbo Cancelo Taylor
    Fernandes Son Ziyech* Jota*
    Vardy DCL Watkins

    4.0 Soucek Lewis Ayling

    A) Jota, Vardy to KDB, Bamford
    B) Jota, Ziyech to Grealish, Mount
    C) Ziyech to Mahrez

    1. Pieterke30
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Jota and Ziyech to KDB and whoever you can get for the money you have

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Can't afford

    2. Wonderful Wizard Hazard
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      A or B. Vardy looking good and kdb/city not consistent.

    3. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Easy a for me

    4. GoonSquad
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Jota Ziyech to KdB Jones

      1. Party time
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Or this

    5. Party time
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I want to help but I don’t know as well. One thing I know for sure is that I wouldn’t ditch Vardy & wouldn’t bring in Mahrez( rotation issue but could haul).

      So maybe B even though one of them got no balls

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers. Don't really like the mid pticed midfielder options atm, Grealish is good long term, maybe just Jota to Grealish and save ft?

  26. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Are City or United more eager to trash their opponents this gw what do you think?

    1. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Bookies have West brom at 30-1 for a win, Sheff are 7-1.

      1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Checked that out. But City can play this for the bookies and win 2-0 just like vs Fulham.

        1. Goodricke
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 7 months ago

          It all depends when (or if?) West Brom's resolve breaks! If they can go to half time without conceding it would be a different game than if City score in the first 5 minutes. If the latter, they could get 5!

  27. BS03
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Who to bench from this front 8?
    kdb - bruno - salah - zaha - grealish
    adams - dcl - bamford

    1. GoonSquad
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Adams

    2. Rosey Palmer
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Adams this GW

    3. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      why do you have all 8 out of curiosity?
      Zaha or one of the strikers, flip a coin.

    4. West End Exile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Adams

  28. Man Chest Hair United
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Son to Rashford for free.

    Will reverse the transfer in game week 16

    1. Gobigorgohome
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      ohh same thinking

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      How much do you lose $ doing that?
      I'd lose 0.3 doing that.

      1. Man Chest Hair United
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Nothing lost in value

    3. GoonSquad
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldn't. Son seems fixture proof right now and Pool have no CBs. Rashford 1 goal in 7.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        I tend to agree.
        If Liverpool is to score first then we'll likely see Tottenham chase the game, the other way around and Jose low blocks.

    4. tokara
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Crazy move

  29. S3
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Who are you guys (C)?....my head tells KDB but my heart says Bruno

    1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No idea

    2. Gobigorgohome
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      dont know yet

    3. Goodricke
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Vardy has 6 goals and 4 assists against Everton. Better returns (against this week's opposition) than Salah, Bruno and KDB. Still scared to captain him!

    4. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Tough.
      Because I think the City scoreline will be greater than United's but Bruno has more influence on what his team does.

    5. sunzip14
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Opposite for me. I want to captain KDB but security of start points toward Bruno.

    6. GoonSquad
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      On Bruno simply for a Thursday captain and the heartbreak a KdB 3 pointer on Tuesday causes for 2 days.....flipside is KdB getting brace and assist with clean sheet for 19 points and staring at it for 2 days with armband on Bruno.

  30. Gobigorgohome
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Rashford anyone?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Not for me.
      I'm quite happy with Salah | KDB | Fernandes | Son | Grealish.

    2. Man Chest Hair United
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I will if you do! Big upside vs sheff U and all his points have come away from home