Spot the Differential
15 January 2021 658 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Double Gameweek 19 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Fulham and Leicester, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the players must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Hakim Ziyech

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £8.1m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: ful + lei | WOL | BUR | tot | shu

Despite a stop-start few months at Chelsea, largely due to injury, Hakim Ziyech (£8.1m) has been one of the club’s top performers this season.

Prior to his latest setback in early-December, the Moroccan looked sharp, scoring one goal and assisting three more in four matches.

That coincided with the Blues hitting form and climbing to the top of the table.

However, with Ziyech out they struggled, winning just one of their six matches.

That run has threatened to derail their season, but now with all of their attackers fit and available, they have an opportunity to get back on track.

Last weekend’s convincing 4-0 win against League Two side Morecambe at least offers some encouragement.

Though not on the scoresheet, Ziyech provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£5.7m) strike, while he was also involved in the build-up to Timo Werner’s (£9.2m) goal.

His crossing ability was again on show, and I expect we’ll see plenty of those trademark diagonals to the opposite flank, and in particular Ben Chilwell (£6.1m), in the coming weeks.

Frank Lampard is now heading into a defining period of Chelsea’s season, with games at Fulham and Leicester City in Gameweek 19 followed by Stamford Bridge encounters with Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley.

Ziyech has had a testing start to his Chelsea career, but has excelled when fit, and could be key to unlocking the Blues attacking potential again.

Ademola Lookman

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: CHE + MUN | bha | wba | LEI | WHU

We’ve been big fans of Ademola Lookman (£5.0m) for a while now, having included him in this column back in October.

Now, with an appealing set of fixtures which include a double in Gameweek 19, we think he’s worth talking about again.

Against Tottenham Hotspur in midweek, Lookman impressed.

Fresh off the bench, he put in a great cross for Fulham’s equaliser and went on to create three chances in just 23 minutes.

Following that assist, he’s now been directly involved in five of Fulham’s 11 league goals since making his first appearance back in October.

During that time, he also leads the way among teammates for shots, attempts in the box, chances created and expected goal involvement (xGI), highlighting his importance to the team.

Fulham’s recent upturn in form has seen them put together a six-game unbeaten run, and the evidence suggests that they have overcome their recent COVID-19 outbreak.

Up next is a tricky double against Chelsea and Manchester United, but to be fair to Scott Parker’s side, they have already proven they are capable of competing against the top teams this term.

However, the real appeal lies in the games to follow, with trips to Brighton and Hove Albion and West Bromwich Albion looking key.

Panenka aside, Lookman has looked good since arriving at Fulham on loan from RB Leipzig.

He is fast becoming essential to their survival hopes, and given their schedule, could offer FPL managers real value in the coming weeks.

Harvey Barnes

Barnes matches Vardy's output over last four ahead of Double Gameweek
  • FPL ownership: 4.2%
  • Price: £6.8m
  • GW19-23 fixtures: SOU + CHE | eve | LEE | ful | wol

In recent matches, Harvey Barnes (£6.8m) has established himself as one of Leicester’s main attacking threats.

The 23-year-old has now netted three times in his last four appearances in all competitions, and is starting to add more end product to his game.

The potential has always been there, but now with added consistency, he has become a regular starter on the left flank under Brendan Rodgers.

Barnes has now scored nine goals in 23 appearances this term, his best campaign for The Foxes, and the numbers have caught the eye, too.

In the last four matches, Barnes has taken more shots (12) than any of his team-mates, including Jamie Vardy (£10.1m). In fact, that total ranks fifth among all midfielders, while his final-third touches, take-ons and penalty area touch tallies are also in the top 15.

Leicester currently sit fourth in the Premier League with a favourable run of fixtures, including a double in Gameweek 19 and games against Leeds and Fulham to follow shortly after.

They are in good form, too, as they are now unbeaten in five in all competitions, scoring 11 goals during that run.

Along with James Justin (£5.0m), Barnes has arguably been Leicester’s most improved player this season, and could be a nice punt for those in search of midfield differential.

658 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    *DGW

    Johnstone*
    Dallas, Robbo*, Balbuena*
    Salah*, Bruno*, Grealish*, KDB*, Raphinha
    Bamford, Watkins*

    McCarthy, Adams, KWP, Taylor*

    BB worth it?

    A) -4 for Coufal or Stones
    B) -8 for Cancelo + Brewster or Coufal + Antonio

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Dont think so

  2. Nightcrawler
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    A) Dier ----> Cresswell

    B) Dier ----> Dias (have Stones)

    C) McCarthy ----> Mendy

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

  3. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Benching Son for Wilson cause of the double.

    1. mikess
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Bold

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        Or foolish - Rate my Team has Wilson higher though

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Newcastle have been boring. I'd play Son

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        Surely they were so boring they will have to come out and attack some more

        1. Bobby_Baggio
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 20 days ago

          Arsenal and Villa. I think they'll struggle

    3. Tomerick
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Damn son!

  4. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Holgate ----->

    a) R. James

    b) Coufal

    c) Justin

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      b

    2. Patson Dabaka
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Coufal

    4. All about the galacticos
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      C

  5. AdamJ91
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    BB looking good? Still have FH & WC aswell.

    1FT; 0.0 ITB

    Martinez - Ramsdale
    Cancelo - Dias - Dier - Holding - Coufal
    KDB - Son - Bruno - Raphinha - Anguissa
    Kane - Laca - Bamford

    Want to try fit Salah in aswell but not sure who for, I'd most likely have to lost the Spurs lads.

  6. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Been totally screwed by the Leeds/Saints P-P!

    So should I still bench boost with;

    McCarthy, Adams, Bamford & Raphinha?

    Yay or Nay

    1. Nightcrawler
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      U have 11 dgwers?

      1. Big Col
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        I will have once I've taken a -8

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Just get it played and be done with it

    3. elwardio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Depends what chips you have left

  7. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Would these moves be silly for -12 and using my BB? Robbo + Balbuena + Raphinha + Adams > Stones + Dias + Foden + Antonio.

    Johnstone - McCarthy
    Justin - Robbo - Coufal - Balbuena - Alioski
    Salah - Son - Bruno - Soucek - Raphinha
    Kane - Adams - Bamford

  8. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Either of these worth a hit?

    Zouma -> Stones
    Bamford -> Antonio

    Cheers

    1. aleksaa2
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Not for me

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Zouma > Stones is.

    3. Rochdale_Cowboy
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Bamford will outscore Antonio

  9. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Best move here?

    A. Kane > Vardy and maybe play TC chip on Mo or KDB
    B. Adams + Taylor > Watkins + Dawson(-4) and BB.

    Martinez
    Cancelo Stones Coufal Konsa
    Salah Bruno KDB Raphinha
    Kane Bamford
    Meslier Adams Anguissa Taylor

    1 FT 0.1 ITB. All chips left.

    1. JabariParkersEyelid
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

  10. Gold Coast
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Cancelo for a -4 or play Holding?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Holding

    2. Lemongrab
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      I'd get Cancelo in. Arsenal have been lucky not to concede the last few weeks and I think that move will pay off.

    3. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Cancelo

  11. Mondeo
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Hmmm who scores more you reckon?

    A) Grealish
    B) KDB (-4)

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B

      1. Mondeo
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        cheers

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B should but wouldn't surprise me if Grealish bosses it this GW

      1. CAPA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        Is Grealish ok for players?

        1. CAPA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 20 days ago

          *ing

      2. Mondeo
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        yah chances are I'll make the wrong decision either way haha

    3. Gold Coast
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

  12. All about the galacticos
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Son to
    a) Soucek for -4
    b) Play Son

    1. aleksaa2
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B

    2. Lemongrab
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B but like your thinking

      1. All about the galacticos
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        It's the DGW frenzy this week

    4. Gold Coast
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B

  13. HD7
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Is Mccarthy to Martinez (-4) okay?

    I think its worth it long term.
    The only thing that makes me hesitant is if Martinez is one of the ill players in Villa.

    Any updates?

    1. CAPA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Keen to know about Martinez too?
      And Grealish and Watkins.

  14. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Chelsea fan here.

    Besides Zuma, I don't see any other relevant options. Maybe Chilwell/James but not so sure on them atm

  15. Mr.K
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Is Lacazette & Mitchell -> Antonio & Chilwell for -4 worth the Antonio-risk?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Am doing Laca Holding > Antonio Chilwell

  16. Hulk Smash
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Would you play Watkins* over any of my starting outfield players?

    * = dgw

    Robertson* Dias* Stones* AWB* Dallas
    Salah* Bruno* Grealish* Son
    Bamford

    1. HaffNanner
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Watkins over Dallas

      1. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        +1

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      It's really just Bamford here I think. Tough call

    3. Captain Haddock
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Dallas

    4. Indpush
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Dallas

  17. 03farmboy
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Current team:
    McCarthy, meslier
    Chilwell, Justin, Kwp, alioski, balbuena
    Salah, Bruno, Son, Saka, soucek
    Kane, clavert Lewin, bamford

    Who to swap for Calvert-Lewin?? ( I’m thinking about bench boasting as well)

    Will balbuena play?

    1. HaffNanner
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Antonio

    2. All about the galacticos
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Alioski may miss out too

      1. 03farmboy
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        You not think it’s worth bench boosting then?

        1. All about the galacticos
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 20 days ago

          you need guaranteed starters to make BB worthwhile

  18. HaffNanner
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    0.1ITB 1FT
    Martinez // Button
    Robertson / Dias / Coufal // Dallas / Mitchell
    Salah / Fernandes / Grealish / Soucek // Stephens
    Kane / Vardy / Bamford

    A. Grealish, Kane > KDB, Antonio (-4)

    B. Robertson, Stephens, Kane > Cancelo, KDB, Brewster (-8)

    C. Keep Grealish and Robbo. Go without KDB.

  19. Luis Suarez Ate My Homework
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    A) Triple captain KDB
    or
    B) Bench Boost Mccarthy, El Ghazi, Lowton, Bednarek?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      A

    2. elwardio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      B

  20. Lemongrab
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Thoughts on Dier to Stones for a -4? No other City defensive cover.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Ok move

  21. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Is Adams to Watkins worth a -4?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Do it

    2. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Wish I had that 0.1...

    3. aleksaa2
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Had the same dilemma and decided against. Have no idea about the Villa Covid situation and taking a hit for a guy who returned 4 times all season put me against it.

  22. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Lookman is good.

    But Decordova-Reid is my differential.

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      What you seeing from Bobby DR?

  23. DonBenzema
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Don't own any City attackers. Which option is best?

    A) Son -> Foden (-4)
    B) Son and Rashford -> KDB and Foden (-8)
    C) Keep and pray for the best

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      C

      1. DonBenzema
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        Cheers - will need a big sofa to hide behind

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      C

  24. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Do you think this team for a -4 would be worthy of a bench boost?
    Annoyed I have Meslier now!

    Johnstone
    Maguire TAA Dias Coufal
    Salah Bruno Soucek Gundo
    Antonio Vardy
    Meslier Justin Bamford Son

    1. Kuzser
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Oh yes

    2. popcoin
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      yes

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Yep

    4. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      thanks all

    5. elwardio
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Easily

  25. popcoin
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Yay or nay?

    Kane -> Salah
    Raphinha -> Davis (-4) (would bench Raphinha anyway)

    1. popcoin
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      * Kane -> Davis
      Raphinha -> Salah

  26. teneighty
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Bellerin, Lewis, Son -> Cresswell, Stones, KDB (-8)

    Would you do the double hit to field this team?

    Johnstone
    Cresswell - Stones - Maguire - Dallas
    KDB - Salah - Fernandes - Grealish - Soucek
    Bamford

    Subs: McCarthy, Targett, DCL, Brewmaster

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Yeah looks decent

      1. teneighty
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 20 days ago

        Cheers!

  27. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Hi, best move here?
    A) Son and Firmino - KDB and Antonio (-4)
    B) Son and Robbo - KDB and Stones (-4)
    C) other?

    McCarthy Johnstone
    Robbo Cancelo Dallas Coufal Taylor
    Salah Bruno Son Raphina Soucek
    Firmino Wood Bamford

    1. teneighty
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Not a fan of B. A could pay off but Antonio is a huge gamble. Can't really see any other move I'd recommend.

  28. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    GTG?

    Anything for a hit? 0.0ITB

    Martinez
    Justin/Cancelo/Robo/Coufal
    Soucek/Bruno/KDB(c)/Salah
    Vardy/Bamford

    Martin/Dallas/Adams/Stephens

  29. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    Anyone looking at Castagne folks???

  30. claretparrot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 20 days ago

    McCarthy, Bamford, Raphinha, Dallas

    BB it, right?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Yeah

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Yep

    3. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Not a single one has a dgw game however Leeds play Brighton so could pay off yes.

    4. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 20 days ago

      Yeah