Spot the Differential
29 April 2022 491 comments
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Gameweek 35 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Everton, Burnley and Crystal Palace who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

ANTHONY GORDON

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £4.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: CHE | lei + wat | BRE + CRY | ars

Anthony Gordon (£4.6m) has undeniably been one of Everton’s standout players this season, and with six fixtures in the final four Gameweeks, is one of the best budget midfielders on offer.

The 21-year-old has shown he can be equally effective playing on either flank, but has mostly been used on the right of late.

And in terms of match-ups, that looks ideal for Gameweek 35 and beyond, with Marcos Alonso’s (£5.6m) defensive weaknesses well documented throughout the campaign. Added to that, Watford have also been particularly susceptible to conceding chances down that side, which we discuss in more detail below.

His crossing ability could also be key, given that forthcoming opponents Leicester City and Crystal Palace have had issues defending set pieces all season.

“He is growing all the time and we saw that – going and playing against one of the best teams in the world, standing up and going past people and showing energy and quality and dedication. The next bit for Anthony is the end product of goals and assists – and he is desperate for it. It will come for him, he needs to stay cool with that – because every day he works on it, he does the right things. He is going to be a huge player for us and a huge player for his country.” – Frank Lampard on Anthony Gordon following Everton’s defeat to Liverpool in Gameweek 34

Since Frank Lampard’s first match in charge in Gameweek 24, the youngster has posted league-leading totals amongst sub-£5.0m midfielders for goal attempts and shots on target, whilst his 16 chances created is a top-three tally, strengthening his claim as the best all-round budget midfielder for the run-in.

In a disastrous season, Gordon has been a rare bright spark for Everton, and if they are to stage a great escape, it’s highly likely he’ll be heavily involved.

DWIGHT MCNEIL

Overlooked Armstrong can benefit from Southampton’s appealing fixture run 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: wat | AVL | tot + avl | NEW

Dwight McNeil (£5.5m) has raised his game under interim boss Mike Jackson, impressing in his new-look roaming role.

It’s fair to say the 22-year-old has struggled to live up to expectations in 2021/22, but playing on the right has allowed him to cut inside onto his stronger foot to cross and shoot.

“He has given me the confidence back and got me believing in myself a bit more. He’s given me some guidance and a bit more freedom to go and get on the ball. I still know what I have to do out of possession but it has been a really great week.” – Dwight McNeil on life under Mike Jackson

In his last three matches, McNeil has racked up six goal attempts and created one big chance, whilst also posting team-leading totals for touches and successful passes in the final-third. That’s coincided with very good displays in the wins over Southampton and Wolverhampton Wanderers, which have propelled Burnley out of the Premier League relegation zone.

Key to his appeal is this weekend’s opponents Watford, given that no team has conceded more chances from their left since the turn of the year. Across the 2021/22 season, they have also allowed 387 crosses from that flank, more than any other side bar Burnley themselves.

McNeil has now produced decent back-to-back performances, and if he can carry on that form, could be a real differential pick for those on the lookout for a new budget midfielder.

MARC GUEHI

Who are the best Crystal Palace players to own in FPL ahead of Gameweek 12? 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.8%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: sou | WAT | avl + eve | MUN

Monday’s goalless draw with Leeds United marked Marc Guehi’s (£4.5m) tenth clean sheet of the season, ahead of an appealing run of fixtures that sees Crystal Palace take on Southampton (a), Watford (h), Aston Villa (a) and Everton (a) in Double Gameweek 37, plus Manchester United (h) on the final weekend.

That promotes Guehi – who has missed just one Premier League match all season – as an interesting budget differential at the back.

The former Chelsea man has produced a couple of goals from 14 shots in the box this term. However, it’s his ability to rack up baseline bonus points (BBPS) that is key to his appeal, largely thanks to his pass completion stats, with his total of 437 only beaten by Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.4m), Marc Cucurella (£4.9m) and Virgil van Dijk (£6.8m) among all defenders.

Palace’s defensive numbers also stand out. Across the season so far, only Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea have posted lower expected goals conceded (xGC) tallies, with just 43 big chances conceded in that time.

Clean sheets have been harder to come by on the road (3/10), but two have arrived in their last five away outings, offering encouragement ahead of this weekend’s trip to Southampton and their double-header in Gameweek 37.

In a relatively short space of time, Guehi has proven he has the ability to thrive in the Premier League, and could be a useful budget option for our backlines for the remainder of the season.

491 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. One More Hit
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Gordon or Dewsbury-Hall? (Wildcarding to bench boost in 36)

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Gordon

    2. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Gordon

    3. Bavarian
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Gordon

    4. One More Hit
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks

  2. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Raphinha & Doherty to…

    A Zaha & Fofana
    B Coutinho & 4.2 max def
    C Ramsey/Gordon & Laporte
    D Ramsey/Gordon & Alonso

    1. Ëð
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I like the look of B. Slim pickings at £4.2m though.

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Same dilemma of Coutinho vs Alonso.

      I may cut C off first as Laporte is not explosive and potential of rotation.

    3. balint84
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I would try A

    4. dandalf
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B. Coutinho and Holgate.

  3. Ëð
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Save FT this week? Will be BB in 36. £0m ITB

    Foster
    Robertson, Cancelo, James, Alonso
    Salah (c), Son, Mount, Saka
    Pukki, Watkins

    Schmeichel, Dennis, KDH, White

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      That looks strong for this week.

  4. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Never considered Guehi. He actually fit my team well as Amartey’s replacement. But he looks not explosive type and, as I checked, got just 5 bonus points over the season.

    Btw, is it too late or risky to buy Alonso now?

    A : Amartey + Odegaard > Alonso + J.Ramsey
    B : Sanchez + Odegaard > 3.9 GK + Coutinho

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Not too late, A

    2. One More Hit
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Feels a bit like the Chelsea ship has sailed, who are your other defenders?

    3. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      If you brought in Alonso who would would you bench?

  5. Neevesy
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    With Kai, Mount, and Rudy, really struggling whether to keep all 3 for the run in (I'm BB 36 and FH37).

    Thoughts?

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Not urgent to sell, imo.

    2. slipthemonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Think I'm going to get rid of Rudi, Chelsea do not look great at the moment. Three Chelsea seems a lot on their current form.

  6. Return of the FF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Any Villa fans know if Ashley Young is nailed through the rest of the season? I need a cheap defender

  7. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Hold those knees and keep both Mount and Havertz at least one more week?

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Tough one, wouldnt hurt to lose one

    2. DavvaMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Same position, I would probably get rid of Mount before Havertz.

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Said that Mount had better stats and is on set pieces

        1. DavvaMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          Maybe, I just always see that Havertz has more goal threat. If he wasn't such a numpty last nigh he could have got at least 2.

    3. D.Glynn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Same here, after Tuchel comments I'm leaning towards selling Havertz

  8. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Coutinho or Maddison?

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Same dilemas here, regaurdless of FH plans Id say Maddison

      1. JIMMY TUGGINS
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Why? I think he's unlikely to start this week.

  9. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Random question but who scores more til end of the season?
    1 Foden

    2 Laporte

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      2

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks

  10. marcos11
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Schar>
    a) Dias
    b) Laporte

    Kulusevski> (5th mid)
    a) Ramsey
    b) Gordon
    c) KDH

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B
      B

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B B

    3. balint84
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I would save Kulu...

      1. marcos11
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Between losing him and Maddison, think a City defender will outscore either over next two gw

        1. D.Glynn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 2 months ago

          I'd still Maddy

    4. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      BB

  11. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    0.8m ITB - 1FT - BB36

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robbo Cancelo Laporte
    Salah Saka* Kulu Ramsey
    Kane Pukki

    Foster - Raph Doherty* Cucho*

    Who would you get in for Doherty and Cucho ahead of BB36?

    A) Konsa + Nketiah
    B) Cash + Jrod
    C) Davies/White/Palace Def + Dennis

    1. balint84
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

  12. balint84
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Mount or Haverz for the rest of the season?

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Mount

    2. CheesyZoot
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Mount

    3. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Mount

  13. CheesyZoot
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Save the transfer to have 2 to get city players for the double?

    Ramsdale,
    TAA, Alonso, Cancelo, White
    (S)alah, havertz, Kulu, Son, Saka
    Weghorst

    (Dubravka, Saiss, Broja, Hwang)

    0.6 ITB

    Then look to do Son > Foden etc next week?

    1. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Decent team, easy save

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Yep roll

    3. CheesyZoot
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers

  14. The Tinkerman
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Correct bench order, tough one with Maddison? I will FH36 since this side is well setup for GW37 already:

    Guaita
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Cash
    Salah (C), Son, Coutinho, Mount
    Weghorst, Mateta

    Sanchez; Maddison, Justin, Broja

    1. balint84
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Mateta to Maddison

      1. Gunners in Haaland
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        This

      2. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        This

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          4 years, 2 months ago

          These

    2. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      No chance Madders plays Vs Spurs so id start Mateta, otherwise you may get the dreaded one pointer. Justin will probably play though

  15. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Best option FH 36 or 37 with this squad?

    Pope
    Cancelo, Trent, Silva, Cash
    Saka, Kulu, C Salah, Mount
    Kane, Toney, Pukki

    Ramsdale, Toney, KDH, Justin,

    1.2

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      36 for me if you don't have BB

  16. balint84
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    On a wc, would you bring in nketiah?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Yes, or Denis

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      I'm not sure. I prefer Pukki but depends on what the price difference gets you

  17. Jones Kusi
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Pukki or Dennis?
    Dennis will let me go Doherty > Cancelo but I’m concerned that Dennis isn’t 100% nailed

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Dennis has played 87% of the total game minutes (90min per game) this season. Good enough.

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Dennis if it allows you to get Cancelo!

  18. Gunners in Haaland
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg?

    DDG
    TAA Cancelo James Cash
    Salah Son Coutinho Sterling Barnes
    Weghorst

    Sanchez Broja RAN Gelgardt

    Coutinho and Cash in for a hit.
    Will BB36 and FH37

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Nice

      1. Gunners in Haaland
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

  19. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Ah, I should have done Doherty to Alonso instead of Raph to Mount!!!! Oh well.

    GTG for this week?
    Sanchez
    TAA Robbo Cancelo James
    Salah(c) Mount Saka Ramsey
    Kane Mateta
    (Foster Martinelli Broja Doherty)

    Planning BB36, FH37 so thinking I'll save FT and sort my bench next week.

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Good to go. Nice team!

  20. balint84
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    A) Losing Robbo to get Cancelo but play Matip
    B) Robbo + Matip, no city def

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Tough. Wouldn't lose Robbo, so B

  21. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    On a wildcard:

    Laporte + Weggourst/Pukki
    Or
    5.3 defender + Jesus?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A with Pukki

      1. Bavarian
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        This

      2. D.Glynn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        This

  22. Bavarian
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Start
    A- Foster
    B- Schmeichel

    1- Dennis
    2- Pukki

  23. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Mount or Saka for the remainder

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Saka

  24. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    1ft and 0.1itb. Planning on saving the ft. BB36, FH37

    Ederson
    TAA Robbo Cancelo James
    Salah Havertz Mount Kulusevski
    Watkins Dennis

    Foster; Pukki, White, KDH

    Start Pukki or Dennis?

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Coutinho for Havertz as you own Mount

      1. aapoman
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 2 months ago

        Maybe. But that would mean I'll likely carry him over to GW38 where they play City away. Coutinho will be in my FH37 team for sure.

  25. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Might make a GK transfer Dubravka to:

    A. Guaita
    B. Schmeichel

    Thanks

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      B

  26. balint84
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    The most nailed leicester def?

  27. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Cap kdb or mane?

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      KDB

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Kevin

  28. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Morning All,

    Start 1?

    A- Nketiah
    B- Broja

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      A

  29. Gunners in Haaland
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Best captain?

    A) Sterling
    B) Son
    C) Salah
    D) Coutinho

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      Coutinho

    2. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 2 months ago

      C

  30. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 2 months ago

    Werner > watkins or hold?