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Pro Pundits - Holly July 23

The player and team stats that could shape your Free Hit squad for Gameweek 38+

1,681 Comments
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Holly from Fantasy Football Community looks at some of the key numbers from our Members Area over the last four Gameweeks.

The final Gameweek of the season is here and I’m taking a look at the underlying statistics from the last four Gameweeks, in a bid to sort out those transfer and Free Hit dilemmas going into Gameweek 38.

Note that some players will have seen more minutes than others over this period.

Holly, the founder of FPL Community, has two top 10k finishes in five FPL seasons, is a regular guest on the FPL Show and recent addition to the Scoutcast line-up.

1,681 Comments Post a Comment
  1. InvertedWinger
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Assuming confirmed starts for all involved, Which scores more?
    A) Pulisic, Jesus
    B) Mahrez, Kane

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    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      B

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    2. Notorious
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      B

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    3. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      jesus and Mahrez can be the same. the q is kane or pulisic. im thinking kane

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    4. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      if you have Sterling and Dilva, id be tempted by Puli and Kane

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    5. The Senate
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      B

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    6. InvertedWinger
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Thank you all

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  2. DaveZubie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    How does this look? (for free)
    Antonio, Jesus -> Sterling, Nketiah

    Salah, De Bruyne, Sterling (c), Pulisic, Fernandes
    Ings, Greenwood (Nketiah)

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    1. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Personally, wouldn't want to lose Antonio. I'd probably prefer KDB->Sterling, downgrade Jesus if you need to.

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      1. DaveZubie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Possibly, however rival just behind me in ML has Salah, De Bruyne and Fernandes
        So thinking of it as a blocking move as well.

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  3. Adzy
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Predict your winner?

    A)
    Martinez
    TAA maguire aurier
    Salah kdb Bruno dilva(C)
    Wood rashford ings

    Rival 7 points behind
    B)
    Lloris
    TAA maguire tarkowski
    KDB Bruno sterling(C) Pulisic
    Ings vardy greenwood

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    1. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Close, but B may have it. Sterling (C) scaring me and I tink Vardy/Greenwood has it over Rashford/Wood. I'm wary of captaining Dilva, though I have him.

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  4. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Birmingham retiring Bellingham's shirt number after one season has to be the most embarrassing thing I've read in 2020. And I was following Boris and Trump's daily corona briefings every day for a couple of months

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    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Just seen this - it’s absolutely ridiculous isn’t it

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    2. THAT'S LIFE
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Only one shirt number needs retiring this week - it's one number less than that one...

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  5. TheDragon
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Is Jesus the forgotten city asset this week?

    Great option or KDB, Sterling, Silva , Mahrez all better options?

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    1. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      he flatters to decieve

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    2. PlayPercentage
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      He's getting plenty of gametime from Pep, but not scoring.

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    3. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      He's forgotten but I think he might do well. Norwich are particularly leaky against CFs.

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      1. Lucky Z
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Sterling can be CF

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    4. DaveZubie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Feeling he's benched this week

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  6. Champions united
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    In FH
    Kdb + foden > silva+mahrez
    Yes or no

    martinez
    vvd pieters brad aurier
    sterling kdb foden bruno,martial
    auba kane

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    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      100% yes

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    2. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      yeah

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    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Wait for early team news before pulling the trigger.

      It is Pep after all.

      Imagine Sterling benched LOL

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      1. Champions united
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Both gonna rise tonite 100%
        I have to bring salah as well

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    4. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Yes - unless we find out for sure Silva or Mahrez don't start.

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      1. Champions united
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Also if I play sterling silva kdb

        That too much money on one team

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        1. Better off with a pin and a…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          Money doesn't matter. MCI are most likely to be the highest scorers this week. It's very hard to pick who will get the points for them (or even who will play!), but having 3 likely scorers is a good thing. Best guess of who will score most (in order) is probably Sterling, D.Silva (we love a good story), Mahrez/KDB/Jesus, but it could be any of them or Bernardo or Laporte or Foden. On a FH make sure you have 3 and you should get good points from someone; all 3 if you're lucky.

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  7. Pickle juice
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone on mahrez as diferential capt ???

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  8. JONALDINHO
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    TC Sterling or Dilva?

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    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Sterling

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  9. toerag
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    wolves cannot get themselves into europe i take it. only if chelsea win the cup??

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    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      They could win Europa

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    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      They are guaranteed EL if they beat Chelsea

      They are guaranteed CL if they win EL

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    3. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      thanks

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    4. Rover
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      No this is wrong. As it stands, they qualify for the Europa League qualifying rounds. A win against Chelsea will seal it. If Spurs cross them then they will be hoping Chelsea win the FA Cup.

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  10. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    KDB, Foden to Mahrez, Dilva for free?

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    1. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      aye

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  11. That Was Easy!
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Who to captain from this lot? Chasing a 30-pt lead, set up my team so 11/16 (including BB + Captain) are different from rivals 13 players (he's playing TC), figured that's the only way with such a big gap.

    1) Mane (Rival doesn't own)
    2) Silva (Rival doesn't own)
    3) Salah (owns)

    Henderson McCarthy
    TAA Aurier Pieters Doherty Stephens
    Salah Mane Silva Foden Soucek
    Vardy Rashford Ings

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    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Silva.

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      1. That Was Easy!
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Silva, even though me catching up on the leader (Sterling, Foden, KDB) essentially relies on City not smashing / points being spread out?

        I was leaning towards a Pool man in that sense, that if they can smash Newcastle and City fails of some sort, that it might be the only scenario where I can catch him.

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        1. Camzy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          True. Alright then Salah. He's gonna captain Sterling surely.

          I will say if opponent has Sterling, Foden, KdB you're very unfavored with a 30 point deficit.

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    2. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      2

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  12. rjcv177
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Afternoon guys.
    Congrats to all that got green arrows since the restart, and all the others that tried hard but couldnt lololol

    Last moves with nothing to give a f.. Lost ML and bad OR. only thing for last gw is fun vs frustration
    A) fun (Sterling C and Kane points after hit to bring)
    B) frustration (sell kdb and Jesus and see them haul)

    Good luck to all that have ML for grabs and also to Chris, joshua, Aleksander and Magnus for that #1

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    1. That Was Easy!
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      I think, and hope, you see A happen. I'd go for it.

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  13. Strchld
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Would you rather have:
    Have also Greenwood and Kane

    A) Bruno
    B) Martial
    C) Son

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    1. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Eye test B

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    2. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      im haviing b

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  14. FPL Maldini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Is Kane a trap now he has got his two braces back to back?

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    1. fc_skrald
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      They are All traps, Kane included

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    2. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Finish that job with a hatty

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    3. Rover
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Over the last 3 seasons, Kane has scored a brace and a hattrick on the final day of the season. And on the third occasion, he was injured.

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  15. BEEZUS
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    For a -4:

    KdB, Jesus, Bruno out

    Sterling, Dilva, Nketiah in (will bench Nk)

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    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      thinking exactly the same thing with Sterling TC

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    2. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Sure

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    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Actually thinking similar except Wood instead of Nketiah

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  16. PortoGuy
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Hi lads,

    Martinez
    Doherty TAA Digne
    Salah Bruno D.Silva Sterling
    Greenwood Jimenez Rashford

    Stekelenburg Simpson Taylor Guendouzi

    Best TC?

    A.Sterling
    B.Salah
    C.Bruno
    D.Rashford
    E. Guendouzi... lol

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    1. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      The dude that's scoring for fun

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    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Gotta be A

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  17. fuzzymike
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Play Foden or Saka??

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    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe Saka

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    2. fuzzymike
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Is Foden likely to get much pitch time??

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  18. Captain_Shirokov
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    1) TAA, KDB, Greenwood
    2) Aurier, Ings, Jesus

    Which one?

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    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      I would rather play 1

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    2. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Jesus owner and afraid of all the starts in a row...and 90 last game

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    3. SuperHam
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      1 - but would rather have sterling than KDB this week if chasing

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      1. Captain_Shirokov
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Have him too.

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    4. Hairy Potter
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      1

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  19. toerag
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Chelsea need to win to ensure CL, is that right??

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    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A draw will do.

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      1. toerag
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        but if leicester win will they not be above them if they draw

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        1. Captain_Shirokov
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          they will but United will have lost and they would be a point above united

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          1. toerag
            • 14 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            ahaaaa i thank you

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        2. Robson-Canoe
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah but United will be below them

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    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Draw is enough

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    3. rjcv177
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      No. Better result than Leicester is enough

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      1. toerag
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        this is what i thought - they will be fighting for a CL place then.

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    4. FPL Theorist
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      No, a draw is enough.

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    5. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      looking for teams with nothing to win/lose

      palace nothing, but spurs fighting?

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  20. fuzzymike
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    My available defense is TTA, AWB, Boly & Saiss. Is it worth 4 points to replace one with BUR player??

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    1. SuperHam
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      It's not ideal, given that all 4 of these should start, so if your replacement gets a clean sheet and the one you remove doesn;t, you have still only broken even on the hit.

      I'd advise against hits for defenders if only for one week

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      1. fuzzymike
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Good logic. Cheers

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  21. SuperHam
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    On FH:

    A. Greenwood + Aurier
    OR
    B. Wood + Branthwaite/Lamptey

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    1. Captain_Shirokov
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A

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    2. SAUCY SALAH
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A

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    3. toerag
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      a

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    4. Notorious
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A

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    5. SuperHam
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      heh- pretty unanimous then!

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    6. Hairy Potter
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A

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  22. That Was Easy!
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Maybe this is because we've not seen such a case for thinking about the mentality of specific players and their goals / the records they've been chasing, but has it been overdone this year? Specifically...

    - Sterling 20 goals
    - Salah 20 goals (not talked about as much)
    - Antonio 10 goals
    - KDB assist record
    - Gold boot for seemingly everyone with 19 goals or more

    Perhaps these things incentivize players more to shoot, etc. but are we considering that some of these players don't necessary produce quality when they're in their heads - i.e. Salah the last few games.

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    1. how now brown cow
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      If you think antonio will shoot more because he happens to have score 9 goals, I think that's overthinking it.

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      1. That Was Easy!
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Antonio apparently has a big bonus built in for 10 goals, granted he's already shooting like a mad man.

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        1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          Antonio already has 10 goals this season though.
          Or is the bonus for 11?

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          1. SAUCY SALAH
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            Would explain why he took the penalty other night

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    2. tokara
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Kane gg for 20 goals

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  23. SAUCY SALAH
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    On BB, worth a -16 or madness?

    Button to Reina
    Lascelles to Thomas (Leicester)
    El Mohamady to Branthwaite
    Bruno to Antonio
    Connolly to Ings

    Would leave me with:

    McCarthy | Reina
    Saiss | Kiko | Pieters | Thomas | Branthwaite
    Salah | Sterling | KdB | Martial | Antonio
    Kane | Ings | Greenwood

    Chasing an 18 deficit (minimum 34 if I do this) and Antonio and Ings would be a differential.

    Thanks

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    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Madness - absolute madness

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      1. SAUCY SALAH
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        4 of the 5 outgoing will likely score 0 though

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      2. TheDragon
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        The Reina and Thomas transfers are completely pointless for -4’s

        Everton has keeping clean sheets so that rules Branthwaite our for a -4

        Connolly -> Ings might be worth it

        you are only 18 behind - takiing a -16 gives you no chance

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        1. SAUCY SALAH
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          Thanks for you feedback, much appreciated.

          Funnily enough I have 1.6ITB and Bruno/Connolly to Antonio/Ings leaves exactly 0.
          So that’s one hit potentially worth it and with 0ITB it’s then whether or not it’s worth Lascelles and/or Elmo to other defenders

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          1. TheDragon
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            Realistically GW38 isn’t going to have many clean sheets as usually high scoring

            I 100% get that ‘wasting’ bench spots with players scoring 0 is annoying but taking a -4 for defenders this week can’t be a good idea in most cases. Attacking defender or Burnley defender maybe

            Lascelles -> Bardsley / Tarkowski/ Aurier/ Gomez
            Connolly -> Nketiah (if team news) or even Wood

            Losing Fernandes as part of a hit has so much potential downside

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            1. SAUCY SALAH
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 3 months ago

              Yeah it’s a risk, but at the same Bruno isn’t a differential and I’m chasing so tempted to go for it

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    2. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      madness

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      1. SAUCY SALAH
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Just feels so annoying to not exploit the BB

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        1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          totally understand that.
          But the five incoming ones would not produce enough to chase 34 gap + bruno.
          There must be a better way 🙂

          How much ITB do you have at the moment?

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        2. TheDragon
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          Yes agreed but you should have planned for it before.

          Can’t change the past so need to maximise based on current position.

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          1. SAUCY SALAH
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            I kind of did have it planned, but the Elmo and Lascelles injuries plus Connolly lack of recent gametime has now hindered me

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    3. Robson-Canoe
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Poor planning I'm afraid, how did you end up with that team with BB still in place.

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      1. SAUCY SALAH
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        I know, the Elmo/Lascelles injuries and Connolly being out of favour are the main reasons

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    4. That Was Easy!
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Look at the transfers individually, compare your bench then and now.

      Basically...

      1) Lascelles (0), Elmohamady (1-2), Connoly (1-2), Reina (2)
      vs...
      2) the new bench.

      When you view it like that, don't you think your transfers are getting off being used for high impact moves? I think Bruno > Antonio is a fine move if chasing, which would potentially free up a Lascelles > whoever move. How about Mendy/Digne?

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      1. SAUCY SALAH
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks, I think the best bet is Bruno/Connolly to Antonio/Ings so taking an hit to play 8 attackers essentially.

        That leaves 0ITB for maybe sorting out Lascelles

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        1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 3 months ago

          that sounds better.
          Lascelles to Pieters could work.

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          1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 3 months ago

            oh, looks like you already have him

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            1. SAUCY SALAH
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 3 months ago

              Yes, so maybe just the -4 for Antonio and Ings.
              Can’t see anyone worth replacing Lascelles for at 4.2, even if said replacement keeps a clean sheet I’d only be 2 points up

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  24. fuzzymike
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Got Boly & Saiss, play both against CHE??

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  25. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    I'm surprised to see Auba has only scored in 2 games since the restart, I'm beginning to think Ings is a better bet against shu who nothing to fight for

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    1. Iwantmorepointsthanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Auba might also be rested (coming from bench / subbed early) as FA cup final is important to Arsenal.

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  26. scouts honour
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Yes or No
    Put in Kane, David silva,Son for Mane,DCL,Bruno -4

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  27. Rinseboy
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Jesus owners talk to me? (those not on FH).

    You keeping and hoping he plays or gets something off the bench?
    Would need a major restructure for me to lose him now and still have 3 city attackers!

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    1. Flaming Flamingo
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      You'd be insane to get rid.

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    2. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      In limbo atm mate is my honest answer, at the moment I’m going to leave him in my team and pray for some early team news to see if he’s starting or benched, if he’s benched i plan to get in Sterling -4 and TC him!!!

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  28. Mini Mahouse
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Martinez
    TAA Pieters Branthwaite
    Sterling Mahrez Dilva Salah Martial
    Kane Ings

    3.9, Lamptey, Connoley, Williams

    How's this for FH?

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    1. Hairy Potter
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      Looks good

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  29. Andrew
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    A. Jesus Kane Ings
    B. Auba Kane Greenwood

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    1. Hairy Potter
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      A

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    2. Notorious
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 3 months ago

      It's close but I'd say B

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  30. Hairy Potter
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 3 months ago

    Any ideas on this lot?

    Henderson
    TAA, Doherty, Pieters
    Salah, KDB, Mahrez, Dilva, Martial
    Rashford, Ings

    Martin, Greenwood, Egan, Lascelles

    A) Doherty to VVD
    B) Doherty & Rashford (-4) to Bardsley & Kane

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