Moneyball – Ricardo Vaz Te
Filed under: Members - Posted by: Chris Glover
In a new series of articles for members, we explore those unfashionable, unwanted and unexciting players who don’t necessarily come with You Tube clips or Armani ads but deliver that all important quantity which drives the “Moneyball” strategy: comparative value.
The term “Moneyball” found its way across the Atlantic for many with the arrival of John Henry, whose Fenway Sports Group added Liverpool to their holdings list alongside Henry’s great pride: the Boston Red Sox. Henry’s Red Sox failed in a bid to hire Billy Beane, the general manager of the Oakland A’s and chief proponent of the so-called Moneyball strategy but, using Beane’s approach to player acquisitions, went on to deliver their first championship in 86 years. Henry’s attempts to replicate his success on Mersyeside by applying certain principles to player analysis under Damien Comolli failed to have the desired effect, however.
Despite popular opinion, the lessons of Moneyball do not start and end with saving money or looking for one particular attribute in players, but rather looking for players discarded by the wider market, either because they succeed in an uncommon way or because they do so in a particularly unfashionable manner.
Given that most Fantasy managers spend a large portion of our money on just a handful of players, we, too, are forced to invest for value at the bottom end of our squad and in that arena we have to accept imperfection if we’re going to achieve success. Finding the right assets to fill the budget gaps in our squads can prove vital; the Moneyball series is here to help – to investigate the lower end market and attempt to find diamonds in the rough.
Using the Moneyball concept and the data available to our Members, we’ll attempt to identify and analyse players who perhaps appear “imperfect” solutions but, in fact, offer strong potential for those with limited funds.
About The Author
“Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice.”
Chris Glover @plfantasy
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September 14 at 11:08 pm
Mull says:
Hello.
September 14 at 11:08 pm
Milanista says:
Evening!
September 14 at 11:10 pm
Mull says:
So we’re in the ‘hideout’ again
September 14 at 11:10 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Welcome good sir the the FFS alley. What happens in this article, stay in this article
September 14 at 11:09 pm
spectrum says:
Going away from Football for a minute, I see Ricky Hatton is making a comeback with a face like his cant look any worse with a few more punches lets face it, but if he was to cross paths with Amir Khan who do we think would be victorious?
September 14 at 11:08 pm
Mull says:
Hatton.
September 14 at 11:19 pm
spectrum says:
Well that went well didn’t it I thought that would stoke up a bit of a debate
September 15 at 11:06 am
mowzer says:
Hatton. Definitely Hatton.
September 14 at 11:11 pm
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Has anyone seen GF recently?
Or did Now Back to Me scare him off?
September 14 at 11:16 pm
Ginkapo-Rule No.1: wwkd? says:
The latter I suspect
September 14 at 11:17 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
On twitter. Girlfriend trouble again …
September 14 at 11:17 pm
Ginkapo-Rule No.1: wwkd? says:
Did he headbutt her again? Cant believe he was proud of that
September 14 at 11:19 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
Dunno. Didn’t really pay attention … she seems a handful, though.
September 14 at 11:33 pm
Frei in Ma ColeHole says:
Can’t defend violent behaviour though…:?
September 14 at 11:35 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
No. But she seems to instigate a fair bit.
September 14 at 11:11 pm
CABAYE4 says:
About to hit the button on getting Snodgrass in for N’Zog on a 1 week punt.
Has the two week break sent me totally mad?!
September 14 at 11:12 pm
Mull says:
I’d get Nolan. Good form and nice fixtures coming up.
September 14 at 11:12 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Morrison!
September 14 at 11:13 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
+12
September 14 at 11:12 pm
CABAYE4 says:
Less of a threat minus Carroll.
I want Morrison but don’t fancy them this GW, probs would be better to go straight to him but Snodgrass has tempted me.
September 14 at 11:15 pm
Mull says:
Morrison also looks good. I’d bring him in this week because you don’t want to waste two transfers going from N’Zog
Snodgrass 
Morrison.
September 14 at 11:21 pm
CABAYE4 says:
My head says that sounds like the right thing to do, I could even save the transfer and just play Cuellar this week.
But I’ve just got a hunch that Snodgrass will deliver the goods this GW! I shouldn’t need the transfer next week for anything else bar injuries, and I’ve had enough of them to last a season!
September 14 at 11:13 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
Yes. Morrison ftw.
September 14 at 11:12 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
+1242434343567880
September 14 at 11:13 pm
CABAYE4 says:
See above.
I want Morrison but from next GW. And I can’t go 2 weeks without a transfer, I just can’t!
September 14 at 11:15 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
Two old drunks can’t be wrong …
September 14 at 11:23 pm
CABAYE4 says:
Is that what you tell yourself?!
September 14 at 11:26 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
Nope. It is what I know …
September 14 at 11:17 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Patience Grasshopper… patience.
September 14 at 11:23 pm
CABAYE4 says:
Never! I wan’t to ‘hop’ from N’Zog onto Snodgrass!
September 14 at 11:13 pm
Hungry says:
Evening all. Just how much of a mistake am I making with my wildcard team?
Cech (Jaask)
Vermaelen-Baines-Bertrand (Demel-Figueroa)
Pienaar-Michu-Cazorla-Hazard-Yaya
Fletcher-Tevez (Vaz Te)
Van Persie’s been giving me nightmares, including him unbalances the team too much IMO. Any thoughts appreciated.
September 14 at 11:13 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
I’ve seen worse. RVP … is RVP.
Here: Gibbs, Baines, Assou-Ekotto, Demel, Clyne
Send me a nice bottle of wine.
September 14 at 11:17 pm
Hungry says:
You must have some serious firepower up front.
September 14 at 11:22 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
RVP, Adebayor … and Ruiz!
I have Vermaelen. He is not the threat I hoped for.
September 14 at 11:23 pm
Hungry says:
Yet.
September 14 at 11:24 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
He will not be, this Season. Mr. Bould says so.
September 14 at 11:19 pm
spectrum says:
Too much money invested in defence there for my likening, although the defenders you have are good for attacking returns, with clean sheets at a premium I think I would lose Verm and keep Baines, Arsenals fixtures are pretty dire apart from this week for the foreseeable future, then would upgrade Vaz Te a decent forward will always over the course of the season tend to outs core a decent defender.
September 14 at 11:21 pm
Hungry says:
Hmmm, Verm has tricky GW 5&6 agreed but I think he’ll outscore Baines over the season. Food for thought though, ta.
September 14 at 11:14 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
Evening all,
If you had to pick one, would you have Fletcher or Berbatov in your team?
Cheers
September 14 at 11:13 pm
Sean says:
Fletcher
September 14 at 11:14 pm
Hungry says:
Fletcher, just.
September 14 at 11:14 pm
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Berba!
September 14 at 11:15 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Fletcher by a Country Mile… and that’s a long one!
September 14 at 11:17 pm
Sean says:
You escaped the ffs uefa relagation zone!
Lucky P**ck
September 14 at 11:19 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Did I? I have been so woeful so far…. still, plenty to play for and i’ll be thrashing your sorry arses soon!
September 14 at 11:16 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
It depends.
September 14 at 11:17 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
Ok I’ll bite…..
Depends on what, Doosra-san?
September 14 at 11:23 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
Whether you have enough firepower elsewhere.
September 14 at 11:25 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
I’m afraid I don’t follow. If you are wondering if I have too many punts it is far too late to worry about that. I just want to know who you think is better
September 14 at 11:27 pm
Doosra - "Loyalty is the handmaiden to success" - A Noble Quote says:
Berbatov.
September 14 at 11:27 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
Cheers Doos
September 14 at 11:27 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
and thanks to everyone else too
September 14 at 11:35 pm
Frei in Ma ColeHole says:
From insomnia to I’m late, but I too say Berba, though Fletch does seem like the intuitively safer pick.
September 14 at 11:41 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
Ta Cole
I’m going Berba. I can always be safe (and boring) later on in the season when I’m trying to salvage a decent rank
September 15 at 12:32 am
Pepin says:
Berba
September 14 at 11:21 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
A or B, i’m very drunk so hopefully ths maes sense
Team A
Foster Begovic
Baines Boyce KOLAROV Demel Davies
Harard Cazorla MORRISON Michu Guthrie
RVP BERBATOV Tevez
Team B
Foster Begovic
Baines Boyce Demel Davies GORKSS
Hazard Cazorla BALE Michu Guthire]
RVP Tevez VAZTE
A. Kolarov, Morrison, Berba
B. Gorkss, Bale, Vaz Te
September 14 at 11:20 pm
Sean says:
Rate my reply:
B
September 14 at 11:23 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
- too much
September 14 at 11:24 pm
Sean says:
Only because I refuse to accept the berbatov regime
September 14 at 11:23 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Agreed…. but I’m quite pissed too!
September 14 at 11:27 pm
Sean says:
September 14 at 11:25 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
But Fulham’s stats…
September 14 at 11:27 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
They will do well… like Totty & Bale and his awesome stats. It’s just that I should have had Hazard instead….
September 14 at 11:28 pm
Sean says:
Don’t try,I’ll go off on a rant
September 14 at 11:21 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
A but there are better options. imho.
September 14 at 11:21 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
A.
What are you high on?
September 14 at 11:24 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Unfortunately nothing. I guess Kolarov is a risk, but he IS temporary until i get Sagna
September 14 at 11:28 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Yeah, I’m not too sold on Kolarov, but A looks better.
High on nothing?
September 14 at 11:25 pm
Milanista says:
A
September 14 at 11:24 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
This is what i wanted to hear
September 14 at 11:28 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
… but with Fletcher & Rafael
September 14 at 11:31 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Fletcher? i rate him as a VERY good striker. But Sunderland have been creating few chances compared to Fulham, and Berbatov is a very good player,
September 14 at 11:22 pm
spectrum says:
Ok I’m off to bed guys running on empty now, good luck to everyone tomorrow
September 14 at 11:21 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Night, good luck to you too
September 14 at 11:22 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Night…. all the best!
September 14 at 11:23 pm
Sean says:
Night
September 14 at 11:28 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Night night spectrum. http://gifs.gifbin.com/072010/.....kitten.gif
September 14 at 11:27 pm
Milanista says:
Ok, how is this:
Foster, Begovic
Baines, Boyce, Cuellar, Davies, Gorkss
Hazard, Cazorla, Yaya, Michu, Guthrie
RVP, Tevez, Lambert
.1 in bank
Foster/Begovic rotate very well, as do Boyce/Cuellar and Davies/Gorkss. Baines has the fixtures to play every week until GW15. Guthrie sits on the bench every week.
September 14 at 11:28 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
All set. Good luck.
September 14 at 11:31 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
I like.
I’m not sure about rotating Boyce/Cuellar as they just seem too expensive for that. I’ve gone for Baines, Rafael/Gibbs and Davies, Cuellar, Demel
September 14 at 11:32 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
Very good. Something is putting me off Southampton but Lambert has looked good
September 14 at 11:35 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
LOVE IT. It;s very nice, would you not prefer Demel over Gorkss though? He seems to be rather attacking
September 14 at 11:35 pm
Milanista says:
Maybe but Gorkss has perfect home/away rotation with Davies and Reading have a DGW at some point (though probably not for quite a while).
I actually have nothing in the bank, not the .1 I said above, so can’t afford Demel anyway.
September 14 at 11:37 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
It’s very nice. What is your team value?
September 14 at 11:40 pm
Milanista says:
Currently 103.1m. The amount of .1m rises that I’m going to lose is very annoying though. There’s also a couple that, had I decided on this a week ago, I could have got in a before .1 rises.
September 14 at 11:44 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Tell me about it. I’ve had to sacrifice a few, i’m still on 103m…
September 14 at 11:29 pm
Hate that rotation says:
If you guys are interested there is a Spot the differential article up, the pages are moving a little slower too.
September 14 at 11:32 pm
Milanista says:
But its so nice here!
September 14 at 11:36 pm
Sean says:
+1 I’m getting cosy
September 14 at 11:33 pm
CABAYE4 says:
Succumbed to the temptation, Snodgrass into the side!
Will be lovely sitting on 20 points before the 3:00′s even kick off!
Night all
September 14 at 11:32 pm
Milanista says:
Night
September 14 at 11:33 pm
Sean says:
Fool of a Took!
September 14 at 11:44 pm
Danapussy. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgrim says:
That’s my line!
September 14 at 11:34 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Ha! Good night & good luck!
September 14 at 11:38 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
2nd and last question of the night
Who will score more?
A Podolski (SOU)
B Tevez (stk)
September 14 at 11:38 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
No f-ing idea. If I did, I’d be brilliant at this game.
September 14 at 11:39 pm
Sean says:
Neither (helpful
)
September 14 at 11:42 pm
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Long term Tevez, Short term Pod, so Pod this week.
September 14 at 11:43 pm
Milanista says:
Great minds…
September 14 at 11:43 pm
Milanista says:
Pod this week, Tevez most weeks.
September 14 at 11:43 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Podolski
But surely it won’t be done to one game, unless you’re wildcarding next week .
September 14 at 11:47 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
September 14 at 11:46 pm
Herr Vets - Die Rothosen says:
Ok… am on my last legs here. All the very best for tomorrow.
See you on the other side
September 14 at 11:47 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Night. Good luck
September 14 at 11:47 pm
Milanista says:
Night 4vets
September 14 at 11:48 pm
The Light Knight " I don't have tactics, I have Tic Tacs and that's how I stay fresh" says:
Night Vets
September 14 at 11:49 pm
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Night Vets.
September 14 at 11:51 pm
Giggs Boson - Gw6: The Battle for Jenna-Louise Coleman says:
Night 4Vets, good luck
September 14 at 11:48 pm
Yossi: The Jewish Iniesta-Real Sociedad. "Quotation is a servicable substitute for wit" - W Somerset Maugham says:
Wait, so the consensus now is that Davies will start, or do we just think that at 4.0 he’s worth a punt?
September 14 at 11:51 pm
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
I think it’s his to lose, he’ll miss the odd game but overall he’ll be decent value at £4.0m.
September 14 at 11:55 pm
Milanista says:
See the scout scribbles earlier. Its sounds like its his to lose.
September 14 at 11:59 pm
Yossi: The Jewish Iniesta-Real Sociedad. "Quotation is a servicable substitute for wit" - W Somerset Maugham says:
Alright, cheers guys, he’s back in
September 14 at 11:52 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Bego/Jussi
Cashley Cuellar Hughes Clyne Jenkinson
Yaya Pienaar Michu Noble Hazard
Tevez RVP Graham
Thinking of WCing tomorrow, anyone against me using the WC?
September 14 at 11:53 pm
tomtrubadur says:
Doesnt look like you need to change much.
September 14 at 11:57 pm
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Yeah, need to reshuffle my defense, and get Graham out, and noble maybe.
September 14 at 11:57 pm
Yossi: The Jewish Iniesta-Real Sociedad. "Quotation is a servicable substitute for wit" - W Somerset Maugham says:
No need at all to WC
September 15 at 12:02 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
I know, but I don’t know why I am tempted to WC already.
September 15 at 12:03 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Nothing wrong with that, maybe Noble and Jenkinson, Cole is a bit of a problem, a few hits and all looks fine!
September 15 at 12:06 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
I can take hits though. Thinking of going Jenk to Baines and Graham to Lambert for a hit, I have 3.5 in the bank, so I can get Baines for Jenk easily. Then the following week, I can downgrade Cashley to McAuley/Saylor/Shawcross and it’d be all fine?
September 15 at 12:12 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
That would be fine, is there any chance of saving some cash for Yaya to Cazorla GW7?
September 15 at 12:13 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Yeah, getting in Cazorla for Yaya won’t be a porblem at all, I’d still have around 2 mil after doing Cashley to a 5-er. Cheers Parm.
September 15 at 12:14 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
No trouble
September 15 at 12:08 am
Milanista says:
Definitely save the WC. There are changes I’d make to the team but nothing major, its fine as it is.
September 15 at 12:11 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Thanks for talking me out of using the wc guys! The hit I was talking about looks fine? Or shall I just save the hit and get Baines in straight for Jenk? Thanks again.
September 14 at 11:57 pm
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Any glaring holes?
(Not a WC team)
For the cooler kids: http://i.imgur.com/9IYEr.png
For the old folks: http://i.imgur.com/405mr.png
September 14 at 11:56 pm
tomtrubadur says:
Yay im a cool kid!
(Team looks good tho)
September 15 at 12:04 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
I just spared a thought for some of the elderly around here.
September 14 at 11:58 pm
Milanista says:
It looks good, though you are light in midfield and it would look better with Torres downgraded and a second big hitter in midfield.
September 15 at 12:02 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Well…..
GW5: Torres to Lambert.
GW6: Rafael to Saylor/Ridgewell/McCauley/Shawcross
GW7: Noble to Cazorla
September 15 at 12:07 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
I can see you going up the ranks each week with that team. Cheers!
September 15 at 12:08 am
Milanista says:
Good stuff
September 15 at 12:08 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
As always!
September 14 at 11:58 pm
Yossi: The Jewish Iniesta-Real Sociedad. "Quotation is a servicable substitute for wit" - W Somerset Maugham says:
Lovely for a non WC..
September 15 at 12:01 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Mark Noble would be nowhere near my team if I had used the WC!
September 15 at 12:00 am
Milanista says:
On wildcard, I’m thinking I should go McAuley over Boyce for a few weeks as West Brom’s fixtures are better in the short term and to capitalise on the prices rises. Have Foster as well.
September 15 at 12:04 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Yeah, if you can get him straight in for Boyce.
September 15 at 12:05 am
Yossi: The Jewish Iniesta-Real Sociedad. "Quotation is a servicable substitute for wit" - W Somerset Maugham says:
Wouldn’t say the fixtures are that much better, I’d go Boyce to spread the risk, but then again, West Brom are better at the back…
September 15 at 12:09 am
Milanista says:
I’m only really looking at the next 4 weeks. Not massively better I agree, but the home games are RDG, QPR for West Brom which is a step up from Wigan’s FUL, EVE
September 15 at 12:10 am
Yossi: The Jewish Iniesta-Real Sociedad. "Quotation is a servicable substitute for wit" - W Somerset Maugham says:
Yep, I can see 2 clean sheets in the next 6 for both, but I agree West Brom are probably a better shout…
September 15 at 12:13 am
Milanista says:
Yeah, I’m thinking I switch to Boyce GW9 (WHM). In the meantime I think McAuley can outscore him by at least 4 and make me a little money as well. If Wigan do crap in the next few weeks I can change my mind about backing them too.
September 15 at 12:06 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Yep, good idea.
September 15 at 12:15 am
Milanista says:
Time to go back to the current post I think. Its a lot quieter in there now… and too quiet in here!
September 15 at 12:15 am
Anurag Khetan - Ain't Got A Kalou says:
Its still nice in here. I dont wanna go back and see 20 RMWCT posts on 1 page really.
September 15 at 12:17 am
The Parmtree-The Bottom 7 league is now open... Code- 2310409-487597 says:
Lets go….
September 15 at 10:46 am
Norro says:
Someone has been watching Sky Movies this week!! Funnily enough though, this is the way I pick my team and I already had Vaz Te, great minds think alike, eh?