September
14

Moneyball – Ricardo Vaz Te

Filed under: Members - Posted by: Chris Glover

In a new series of articles for members, we explore those unfashionable, unwanted and unexciting players who don’t necessarily come with You Tube clips or Armani ads but deliver that all important quantity which drives the “Moneyball” strategy: comparative value.

The term “Moneyball” found its way across the Atlantic for many with the arrival of John Henry, whose Fenway Sports Group added Liverpool to their holdings list alongside Henry’s great pride: the Boston Red Sox. Henry’s Red Sox failed in a bid to hire Billy Beane, the general manager of the Oakland A’s and chief proponent of the so-called Moneyball strategy but, using Beane’s approach to player acquisitions, went on to deliver their first championship in 86 years. Henry’s attempts to replicate his success on Mersyeside by applying certain principles to player analysis under Damien Comolli failed to have the desired effect, however.

Despite popular opinion, the lessons of Moneyball do not start and end with saving money or looking for one particular attribute in players, but rather looking for players discarded by the wider market, either because they succeed in an uncommon way or because they do so in a particularly unfashionable manner.

Given that most Fantasy managers spend a large portion of our money on just a handful of players, we, too, are forced to invest for value at the bottom end of our squad and in that arena we have to accept imperfection if we’re going to achieve success. Finding the right assets to fill the budget gaps in our squads can prove vital; the Moneyball series is here to help – to investigate the lower end market and attempt to find diamonds in the rough.

Using the Moneyball concept and the data available to our Members, we’ll attempt to identify and analyse players who perhaps appear “imperfect” solutions but, in fact, offer strong potential for those with limited funds.

This content is restricted to Members. Click here to register as a Member.

About The Author

“Creator of the plfantasy blog, providing a stats focused approach to fantasy football. Exiled to Canada but still prefer my sports played on grass rather than ice.”

Chris Glover @plfantasy

> See all posts by this author

  1. Hello.

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Evening!

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. So we're in the 'hideout' again :)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Welcome good sir the the FFS alley. What happens in this article, stay in this article ;)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  2. Going away from Football for a minute, I see Ricky Hatton is making a comeback with a face like his cant look any worse with a few more punches lets face it, but if he was to cross paths with Amir Khan who do we think would be victorious?

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Hatton.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Well that went well didn't it I thought that would stoke up a bit of a debate :)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Hatton. Definitely Hatton.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  3. Has anyone seen GF recently?

    Or did Now Back to Me scare him off?

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. The latter I suspect :)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. On twitter. Girlfriend trouble again ...

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Did he headbutt her again? Cant believe he was proud of that

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Dunno. Didn't really pay attention ... she seems a handful, though.

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Can't defend violent behaviour though...:?

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
            1. No. But she seems to instigate a fair bit.

              • 2 years, 8 days ago
  4. About to hit the button on getting Snodgrass in for N'Zog on a 1 week punt.

    Has the two week break sent me totally mad?! :)

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. I'd get Nolan. Good form and nice fixtures coming up.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
        • 2 years, 8 days ago
          • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Less of a threat minus Carroll.

        I want Morrison but don't fancy them this GW, probs would be better to go straight to him but Snodgrass has tempted me.

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Morrison also looks good. I'd bring him in this week because you don't want to waste two transfers going from N'Zog :arrow: Snodgrass :arrow: Morrison.

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. My head says that sounds like the right thing to do, I could even save the transfer and just play Cuellar this week.

            But I've just got a hunch that Snodgrass will deliver the goods this GW! I shouldn't need the transfer next week for anything else bar injuries, and I've had enough of them to last a season!

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Yes. Morrison ftw. ;-)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. +1242434343567880

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
      2. See above.

        I want Morrison but from next GW. And I can't go 2 weeks without a transfer, I just can't!

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Two old drunks can't be wrong ... ;-)

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Is that what you tell yourself?!

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
            1. Nope. It is what I know ... ;-)

              • 2 years, 8 days ago
        2. Patience Grasshopper... patience.

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Never! I wan't to 'hop' from N'Zog onto Snodgrass!

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
  5. Evening all. Just how much of a mistake am I making with my wildcard team?

    Cech (Jaask)
    Vermaelen-Baines-Bertrand (Demel-Figueroa)
    Pienaar-Michu-Cazorla-Hazard-Yaya
    Fletcher-Tevez (Vaz Te)

    Van Persie's been giving me nightmares, including him unbalances the team too much IMO. Any thoughts appreciated.

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. I've seen worse. RVP ... is RVP.

      Here: Gibbs, Baines, Assou-Ekotto, Demel, Clyne

      Send me a nice bottle of wine.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. You must have some serious firepower up front.

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. RVP, Adebayor ... and Ruiz! ;-) I have Vermaelen. He is not the threat I hoped for.

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Yet.

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
            1. He will not be, this Season. Mr. Bould says so. :-)

              • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Too much money invested in defence there for my likening, although the defenders you have are good for attacking returns, with clean sheets at a premium I think I would lose Verm and keep Baines, Arsenals fixtures are pretty dire apart from this week for the foreseeable future, then would upgrade Vaz Te a decent forward will always over the course of the season tend to outs core a decent defender.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Hmmm, Verm has tricky GW 5&6 agreed but I think he'll outscore Baines over the season. Food for thought though, ta.

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
  6. Evening all,
    If you had to pick one, would you have Fletcher or Berbatov in your team?
    Cheers

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Fletcher

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Fletcher, just.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Berba! :D

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    4. Fletcher by a Country Mile... and that's a long one!

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. You escaped the ffs uefa relagation zone!

        Lucky P**ck ;)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Did I? I have been so woeful so far.... still, plenty to play for and i'll be thrashing your sorry arses soon! :)

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Ok I'll bite.....
        Depends on what, Doosra-san?

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Whether you have enough firepower elsewhere.

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. I'm afraid I don't follow. If you are wondering if I have too many punts it is far too late to worry about that. I just want to know who you think is better

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
              • 2 years, 8 days ago
                • 2 years, 8 days ago
                1. and thanks to everyone else too

                  • 2 years, 8 days ago
                  1. From insomnia to I'm late, but I too say Berba, though Fletch does seem like the intuitively safer pick.

                    • 2 years, 8 days ago
                  2. Ta Cole
                    I'm going Berba. I can always be safe (and boring) later on in the season when I'm trying to salvage a decent rank ;)

                    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    5. Berba

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  7. A or B, i'm very drunk so hopefully ths maes sense :)

    Team A
    Foster Begovic
    Baines Boyce KOLAROV Demel Davies
    Harard Cazorla MORRISON Michu Guthrie
    RVP BERBATOV Tevez

    Team B
    Foster Begovic
    Baines Boyce Demel Davies GORKSS
    Hazard Cazorla BALE Michu Guthire]
    RVP Tevez VAZTE

    A. Kolarov, Morrison, Berba
    B. Gorkss, Bale, Vaz Te

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Rate my reply:

      B

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. - too much ;)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
      2. Only because I refuse to accept the berbatov regime

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Agreed.... but I'm quite pissed too! :)

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
            • 2 years, 8 days ago
        2. But Fulham's stats...

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. They will do well... like Totty & Bale and his awesome stats. It's just that I should have had Hazard instead....

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
          2. Don't try,I'll go off on a rant ;)

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. A but there are better options. imho.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. A.
      What are you high on? ;)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Unfortunately nothing. I guess Kolarov is a risk, but he IS temporary until i get Sagna :D

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Yeah, I'm not too sold on Kolarov, but A looks better.
          High on nothing? :D

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. This is what i wanted to hear :D

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. ... but with Fletcher & Rafael :)

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Fletcher? i rate him as a VERY good striker. But Sunderland have been creating few chances compared to Fulham, and Berbatov is a very good player,

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
  8. Ok I'm off to bed guys running on empty now, good luck to everyone tomorrow

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Night, good luck to you too :)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Night.... all the best!

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Night

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  9. Ok, how is this:

    Foster, Begovic
    Baines, Boyce, Cuellar, Davies, Gorkss
    Hazard, Cazorla, Yaya, Michu, Guthrie
    RVP, Tevez, Lambert

    .1 in bank

    Foster/Begovic rotate very well, as do Boyce/Cuellar and Davies/Gorkss. Baines has the fixtures to play every week until GW15. Guthrie sits on the bench every week.

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. All set. Good luck.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. I like.

      I'm not sure about rotating Boyce/Cuellar as they just seem too expensive for that. I've gone for Baines, Rafael/Gibbs and Davies, Cuellar, Demel

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Very good. Something is putting me off Southampton but Lambert has looked good

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    4. LOVE IT. It;s very nice, would you not prefer Demel over Gorkss though? He seems to be rather attacking ;)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Maybe but Gorkss has perfect home/away rotation with Davies and Reading have a DGW at some point (though probably not for quite a while).

        I actually have nothing in the bank, not the .1 I said above, so can't afford Demel anyway.

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. It's very nice. What is your team value?

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Currently 103.1m. The amount of .1m rises that I'm going to lose is very annoying though. There's also a couple that, had I decided on this a week ago, I could have got in a before .1 rises.

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
            1. Tell me about it. I've had to sacrifice a few, i'm still on 103m...

              • 2 years, 8 days ago
  10. If you guys are interested there is a Spot the differential article up, the pages are moving a little slower too.

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. But its so nice here!

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. +1 I'm getting cosy :)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
  11. Succumbed to the temptation, Snodgrass into the side!

    Will be lovely sitting on 20 points before the 3:00's even kick off!

    Night all

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Night

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Fool of a Took!

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Ha! Good night & good luck!

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  12. 2nd and last question of the night
    Who will score more?
    A Podolski (SOU)
    B Tevez (stk)

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. No f-ing idea. If I did, I'd be brilliant at this game.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Neither (helpful ;) )

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Long term Tevez, Short term Pod, so Pod this week.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Great minds...

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    4. Pod this week, Tevez most weeks.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    5. Podolski :D But surely it won't be done to one game, unless you're wildcarding next week .

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    6. :oops: This was a captaincy question not a transfer question. But Podolski is getting the votes anyway so cheers :D

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  13. Ok... am on my last legs here. All the very best for tomorrow.

    See you on the other side :)

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Night. Good luck ;)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Night 4vets

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Night Vets.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    4. Night 4Vets, good luck :D

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  14. Wait, so the consensus now is that Davies will start, or do we just think that at 4.0 he's worth a punt?

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. I think it's his to lose, he'll miss the odd game but overall he'll be decent value at £4.0m.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. See the scout scribbles earlier. Its sounds like its his to lose.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Alright, cheers guys, he's back in :)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  15. Bego/Jussi
    Cashley Cuellar Hughes Clyne Jenkinson
    Yaya Pienaar Michu Noble Hazard
    Tevez RVP Graham

    Thinking of WCing tomorrow, anyone against me using the WC?

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Doesnt look like you need to change much.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Yeah, need to reshuffle my defense, and get Graham out, and noble maybe.

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. No need at all to WC

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. I know, but I don't know why I am tempted to WC already. :|

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Nothing wrong with that, maybe Noble and Jenkinson, Cole is a bit of a problem, a few hits and all looks fine! :D

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. I can take hits though. Thinking of going Jenk to Baines and Graham to Lambert for a hit, I have 3.5 in the bank, so I can get Baines for Jenk easily. Then the following week, I can downgrade Cashley to McAuley/Saylor/Shawcross and it'd be all fine?

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. That would be fine, is there any chance of saving some cash for Yaya to Cazorla GW7?

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Yeah, getting in Cazorla for Yaya won't be a porblem at all, I'd still have around 2 mil after doing Cashley to a 5-er. Cheers Parm. :)

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
            1. No trouble :D

              • 2 years, 8 days ago
    4. Definitely save the WC. There are changes I'd make to the team but nothing major, its fine as it is.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    5. Thanks for talking me out of using the wc guys! The hit I was talking about looks fine? Or shall I just save the hit and get Baines in straight for Jenk? Thanks again. :D

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  16. Any glaring holes?

    (Not a WC team)

    For the cooler kids: http://i.imgur.com/9IYEr.png

    For the old folks: http://i.imgur.com/405mr.png

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Yay im a cool kid!
      (Team looks good tho)

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. I just spared a thought for some of the elderly around here. ;)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. It looks good, though you are light in midfield and it would look better with Torres downgraded and a second big hitter in midfield.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Well.....

        GW5: Torres to Lambert.
        GW6: Rafael to Saylor/Ridgewell/McCauley/Shawcross
        GW7: Noble to Cazorla 8-)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. I can see you going up the ranks each week with that team. Cheers!

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
        2. Good stuff

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. As always! :D

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Lovely for a non WC..

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. Mark Noble would be nowhere near my team if I had used the WC! :D ;)

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
  17. On wildcard, I'm thinking I should go McAuley over Boyce for a few weeks as West Brom's fixtures are better in the short term and to capitalise on the prices rises. Have Foster as well.

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Yeah, if you can get him straight in for Boyce.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Wouldn't say the fixtures are that much better, I'd go Boyce to spread the risk, but then again, West Brom are better at the back...

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
      1. I'm only really looking at the next 4 weeks. Not massively better I agree, but the home games are RDG, QPR for West Brom which is a step up from Wigan's FUL, EVE

        • 2 years, 8 days ago
        1. Yep, I can see 2 clean sheets in the next 6 for both, but I agree West Brom are probably a better shout...

          • 2 years, 8 days ago
          1. Yeah, I'm thinking I switch to Boyce GW9 (WHM). In the meantime I think McAuley can outscore him by at least 4 and make me a little money as well. If Wigan do crap in the next few weeks I can change my mind about backing them too.

            • 2 years, 8 days ago
    3. Yep, good idea.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  18. Time to go back to the current post I think. Its a lot quieter in there now... and too quiet in here!

    • 2 years, 8 days ago
    1. Its still nice in here. I dont wanna go back and see 20 RMWCT posts on 1 page really.

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
    2. Lets go....

      • 2 years, 8 days ago
  19. Someone has been watching Sky Movies this week!! Funnily enough though, this is the way I pick my team and I already had Vaz Te, great minds think alike, eh?

    • 2 years, 8 days ago

Scout Picks

For Gameweek 5

  • Lloris
  • Caulker
  • Williams
  • Baines
  • Sterling
  • Ramsey
  • Chadli
  • Mirallas
  • Adebayor
  • Diego Costa
  • Rooney
  • Trippier
  • Sigurdsson
  • Lukaku

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Fixture Ticker

The Watchlist

Goalkeepers

Last updated: 23 Sep, 2014 4:30pm
Player Club Factors
No Change Forster SOT A, Vs
No Change Begovic STO B, Vs
Up Mannone SUN B, £
Up Heaton BRN B, Vs, £
Up Schmeichel LEI B, Vs, £
Up Fabianski SWA B, Vs
Down Mignolet LIV C, Vs
Down De Gea MUN B
Up Szczesny ARS C
Down Speroni CPL B

Defenders

Last updated: 23 Sep, 2014 4:33pm
Player Club Factors
No Change Ivanovic CHE A, VsX
No Change Bertrand SOT A, Vs
Up Baines EVE A
Up Van Aanholt SUN B, £
Up Chambers ARS B, Vs, £
Up Trippier BRN A, Vs
Up Taylor SWA B, £
No Change Shawcross STO B, Vs
Up Kompany MCI C
No Change Morgan LEI B, Vs, £
Down Moreno LIV C, Vs
No Change Ward CPL C
Down Dier TOT A
Up Wisdom WBA B, £

Midfielders

Last updated: 22 Sep, 2014 4:30pm
Player Club Factors
No Change Sterling LIV A, Vs
Up Di María MUN A
No Change Fábregas CHE A, VsX
Down Sigurdsson SWA B
Up Tadic SOT B, Vs
Down Ramsey ARS B, Vs
Up Hazard CHE B, VsX
Up Downing WHM A, VsX, £
Up Silva MCI B
Down Mirallas EVE B, Rest
Down Sánchez ARS B, Vs, Rest
Up Moses STO B, Vs, £
Down Chadli TOT B, £
Down Larsson SUN B, £
Up Herrera MUN A
Up Puncheon CPL B, £

Forwards

Last updated: 22 Sep, 2014 4:28pm
Player Club Factors
No Change Diego Costa CHE A, VsX
Up Pellè SOT A, Vs
No Change Aguero MCI B
Up Ulloa LEI A, Vs, £
Down Rooney MUN B
Up Welbeck ARS A, Vs
Up Lukaku EVE B
Down Balotelli LIV B, Vs
Down Adebayor TOT B
Down Bony SWA B
No Change Wickham SUN C, £

Selection Factors

A, B, C Current Form
Vs Favourable Fixtures
VsX Unfavourable Fixtures
Rest Rotation Risk
Inj Injured/Returning from Injury
OoP Out of Position
£ Potential Bargain
Sus Suspended/Near Suspension

“Petr is an amazing goalkeeper, but the difference between them is ten years and we think we have to make a decision about the future of the club and to give the goal to Courtois”

Jose Mourinho Chelsea Manager