Fixtures

Fixture Analysis – Rotation Pairs – Stoke and Swansea

Having kicked off our series of rotation articles with a look at the basic principles involved, we now turn our attentions to the most favourable pairings in accordance with the 2014/15 schedule. To get thing underway, we take a look at Stoke and Swansea:

The Fixtures

The Potters and Swans offer Fantasy managers a perfect home/away rotation over the entire 2014/15 campaign. Crucially, both sides have also been handed some very kind opening home fixtures for the first few months – by alternating for every home fixture, you’d face just one of last season’s top seven in the first 14 matches (Swansea’s Liberty clash with Arsenal in Gameweek 11, when Stoke travel to Spurs) in a run that reads (AVL, BUR, WBA, LEI, SOT, NEW, NEW, SWA, LEI, WHM, ARS, BUR, CPL, QPR).

Further analysis of the season ticker shows that over the course of the upcoming campaign, there are only three occasions where both sides face two of last year’s top eight in the same Gameweek (11, 28 and 36). Essentially, then, even where your home keeper has a tough task, the away stopper will offer a decent alternative, which makes this pairing a very enticing option from start to finish.

The Defence

Stoke
In their first season under Mark Hughes, Stoke conceded just a mere 17 goals at the Britannia – the fourth best home defence in the Premier League. The Potters produced seven of nine clean sheets in front of their own fans, keeping out the likes of Arsenal and City, whilst conceding more than one goal against only two opponents – Chelsea and Liverpool.

On their travels, though, it was another matter. Stoke’s backline shipped 35 goals – a tally superior to only the three relegated teams – and conceded at least three times on no less than seven occasions. With just two shut-outs away from home (at West Ham and Hull), it’s easy to see why a rotation partner is vital here.

Between the posts, Asmir Begovic was Stoke’s top scoring player in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game last term. The keeper racked up 136 points – 28 more than any defender – thanks to an extra 25 save points but bearing in mind that Stoke ultimately suffered a drop in clean sheets in the first season of the post-Tony Pulis era, you’d expect him to come in around 5.0, with a maximum 5.5.

Elsewhere at the back, Ryan Shawcross earned bonus points for six of those clean sheets – indeed, a total of 16 bonus points was more than any Potters player. Nailed-on under Hughes, he missed just one of last term’s matches but managed just a single goal, though if Robert Huth proves his fitness, the big German’s aerial menace in the opposition box could be another option. The arrival of Phil Bardsley places question marks over the full-back positions in the meantime, though the upcoming summer friendlies should shed some light on Hughes’ intentions.

Swansea
While Stoke’s home stats afford us plenty of optimism, it remains to be seen whether Swansea will be worthy of our defensive investment under Garry Monk. Last term, the Welsh outfit served up six clean sheets in 24 matches (four at home, two on the road) under Michael Laudrup before the Dane was dismissed in early February – Monk managed just two shut-outs, both at the Liberty against relegated pair Cardiff and Norwich, in the remaining 14 league fixtures.

With 54 goals against last term, you’d expect Swansea’s main assets to remain around the 5.0-mark and Michel Vorm, with save points accrued in 14 of his 26 appearances, looks the ideal partner for Begovic. The arrival of Lukasz Fabianski from Arsenal, however, perhaps places enough question marks over the Dutchman’s security of starts – indeed, the former Gunner may well be the cheaper option and prove a better value option if he can secure the number one spot.

Chico Flores earned more bonus points than fellow-centre Ashley Williams, despite playing four less matches, and also chipped in with a couple of goals last term – the Spaniard averaged 3.2 ppg in FPL, more than any Swansea backline option. Monk’s more attack-minded approach may suit the raiding runs of Angel Rangel, who’ll be looking to improve upon his two assists last term, having notched three times in the season before. On the other side of the back-four, Ben Davies has now scored twice in each of the last two campaigns but with rumoured interest from the likes of Tottenham and Liverpool, Neil Taylor could be one to watch if Davies leaves the Liberty.

The Attack

Stoke
Last season’s top two scorers, Peter Crouch and Charlie Adam, look far from certain starters this time around. Crouch notched eight times for the Potters but his style of play seems more suited to the club’s previous tactics under Tony Pulis – the arrival of Mame Biram Diouf affords Stoke more speed and power through the centre and, bearing in mind Hughes has been on his trail since arriving at the Britannia, the former United man seems the likeliest to lead the line.

Adam, meanwhile, delivered eight goals and four assists in the season gone by but failed to start any of Stoke’s last 10 league games. Instead, Marko Arnautovic and Peter Odemwingie were key figures in a run that saw the Staffordshire outfit lose just three times in the last 15 Gameweeks. After a slow start to his debut season, the Austrian found his feet and produced three goals, five assists and eight bonus points in the final nine league games – with a share of set-pieces and, potentially, spot-kicks, he looks a real under-the-radar option this term. Odemwingie’s classification looks key to his appeal. Listed as a forward last time around, he was utilised as a right winger by Hughes but still produced five goals, two assists and nine bonus points in the last nine fixtures – if he comes in as a midfielder, that sort of form is surely worth monitoring.

Snapping up a Stoke midfielder or attacker doesn’t come without its frustrations, though, particularly on the road. Hughes’ side managed 27 goals in front of their own fans but netted only 18 times on their travels – whilst the upside is that none of their main assets will be afforded a premium price tag, Fantasy owners can anticipate a few blanks away from the Britannia. With three of their first four road trips away to Hull, QPR and Sunderland, though, Hughes’ side have the chance to rectify the form that blighted their displays on the road during his first season in charge.

Swansea
With 13 goals to his name from January 1 onwards, Wilfried Bony’s form in the final few months of his debut season was exceptional. The Ivorian bagged braces against the likes of City and Liverpool last term and with goals also plundered against Everton, Spurs, Arsenal and United, he showed he’s more than capable of delivering in the bigger fixtures – crucial, given that Swansea are away to United and Chelsea in the first four Gameweeks. Having started at 8.0 in FPL last time around, a price hike seems inevitable – a cost of 9.0 seems likely for this season but, with the suitors circling for his signature, whether Monk can persuade him to remain at the Liberty is another matter entirely.

Bony’s potential departure could bring new boy Bafetimbi Gomis onto our radars, though – the former Lyon man notched double figures in each of his last five seasons and would surely be installed as the lone striker if the Ivorian seeks pastures new. Encouragingly for Swansea, Monk’s installation improved their attacking potential over those final few months – they notched 25 goals in the final 14 league games, compared to just 29 strikes in 24 games under Laudrup. Indeed, Swansea scored two or more goals in eight of Monk’s 14 matches – a feat they managed in only nine of Laudrup’s 24 games in charge.

As rumours gather over the potential departures of Michu and Pablo Hernandez, Jonjo Shelvey could be poised to push on from a campaign that delivered six goals and seven assists for the Welsh outfit last term. An explosive Fantasy option in the centre of the park, the former Liverpool man produced double figures on four occasions in 2013/14 but will be looking to improve his consistency – Shelvey managed attacking returns in only nine of his 32 appearances and with 122 points to his name, can be expected to remain in the mid-price bracket.

1,144 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gooner Kebab
      1 year, 11 months ago

      When will fpl reopen for next season?

      There will be WC withdrawal, fpl website will help!

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      1. Atwood
          1 year, 11 months ago

          Hopefully as soon as the final whistle goes on Sunday

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        • TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          1 year, 11 months ago

          Next week.

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          1. #ProteaGoals - Thomass DM10
              1 year, 11 months ago

              How do you know?

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              1. Rgyhyhyh
                  1 year, 11 months ago

                  Because he is best friends with the owner of the site.

                  Wednesday 16th 4am confirmed

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          2. Atwood
              1 year, 11 months ago

              First go at a team for the last round. Currently have a 67 point lead in my McD's mini league. There's cash at stake, so I really want to play it as safe as possible. Thoughts on this lineup?

              Neuer
              Luiz / Boateng / Hummels / Garay / De Vrij / Rojo
              Di Maria / Kroos / Lahm / Mascherano
              Muller / Messi

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              1. Tommytour
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                1 year, 11 months ago

                It's certainly safe

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                1. Atwood
                    1 year, 11 months ago

                    That's what I like to hear

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                2. bunnyrampage
                    1 year, 11 months ago

                    Not sure if Di Maria is starting though...

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                    1. Atwood
                        1 year, 11 months ago

                        Really? I've got 1.5 in the bank, so I can change him to anyone really. Ozil? Oscar?

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                  • TLK42- Dutch Wolfhound
                      1 year, 11 months ago

                      I'm getting a "Football Manager style" vibe about this transfer window. Way too much business being done

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                      1. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
                          1 year, 11 months ago

                          new tv deal

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                          1. TLK42- Dutch Wolfhound
                              1 year, 11 months ago

                              Ah, that'll be it

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                        • Atwood
                            1 year, 11 months ago

                            Also (apologies for clogging up the page)...

                            I know McD's on iPhone is notoriously lethal for making accidental subs, but what's it like for transfers? I won't be able to access my laptop when the lineups are announced for tomorrow's game, but would be able to make them on my phone. Is it relatively simple? There's no points at stake so I'm guessing nothing can go wrong.

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                            1. JT's Dog
                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                Think that is all fixed now

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                              • Bubz
                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                  Why don't you go on your phone now and make some transfers and find out?

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                                  1. Atwood
                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                      ...I am not a smart man, please somebody delete my first comment from the internet

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                                • Bowstring The Carp ☘
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                  Setanta Ireland now 😎

                                  C'mon you Saints!!

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                                • applebonkers
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • Has Moderation Rights
                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                  suarez leaving is pretty devestating for penalty gerrard

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                                  1. The Machine
                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                      At least the penalties suarez won last year were genuine. Sturridge on the other hand....

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                                      1. applebonkers
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • Has Moderation Rights
                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                        dont forget sterling, also has a gravity allergy

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                                    • Spineless O'Weasel - #…
                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                        very much so. waiting to see how many casuals jump on board with him this season

                                        13 goals - 10 pens, at least 1 free kick

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                                      • Tommytour
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                        Ashley Young is available

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                                      • Bowstring The Carp ☘
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                        Good question actually, supposing Gerrard misses a few games next year, who will be on penalties?

                                        Agger could leave... Coutinho maybe?

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                                        1. Bowstring The Carp ☘
                                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                          Ah wait, Lambert

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                                        2. The Missing Link
                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                            Sturridge I reckon. Lambert wont be on the park

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                                      • Rgyhyhyh
                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                          I've just heard from a pretty reliable source that FPL will re-open on Wednesday 16th August.

                                          Exact time unconfirmed though.

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                                          1. TorresMagic™
                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                            • Has Moderation Rights
                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                            This should stop people asking now.

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                                          2. Wild Rover
                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                              Lol

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                                            • applebonkers
                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                              • Has Moderation Rights
                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                              convenient

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                                            • Bowstring The Carp ☘
                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                              I heard 4am BST

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                                              1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                  You could be right

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                                              2. Bubz
                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                  You mean July right?

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                                                  1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                      Yeah sorry. Long day at the office. Wednesday 16th July confirmed

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                                                      1. The Sarjeant
                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                        Confirmed by who? You chat shit.

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                                                        1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                            How can you say that ? Unfair. And for that reason I am not disclosing my source

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                                                            1. The Sarjeant
                                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                              😆 point proven.

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                                                              1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                  Ok.....

                                                                  Whatever. You'll see....

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                                                      2. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                          did you kill your sense of humour?

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                                                        • The Machine
                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                            Mcdonalds taking over FPL as well?

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                                                            1. Atwood
                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                Quick, load up on those DMF's...

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                                                            2. The Sarjeant
                                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                              It's funny cuz the season starts on Saturday 16th August.

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                                                              1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                  Sorry :(

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                                                            3. Cluckfuster
                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                Fox game...

                                                                David Luiz - stick or twist?

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                                                                1. Tommytour
                                                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                  Not a bad stick, you may have to swap others that don't start

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                                                              • Tommytour
                                                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                Fox captains?

                                                                Thinking Huntelaar

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                                                                1. Bubz
                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                    Robben if he starts

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                                                                2. Count of Monte Hristo
                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                    Do FPL or FFS plan on bringing an App out?

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                                                                    1. The Machine
                                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                        Isn't there already an app for FPL?

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                                                                        1. Goaltastic
                                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                            There's also a decent mobile site m.fantasy.premierleague.com

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                                                                      • The Machine
                                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                          Fox keeper

                                                                          Neuer or Krul ?

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                                                                          1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                              Neuer

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                                                                            • Cluckfuster
                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                Neuer all day long.

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                                                                              • applebonkers
                                                                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                • Has Moderation Rights
                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                neuer

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                                                                            • applebonkers
                                                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                              • Has Moderation Rights
                                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                              lol my theory was only thiago silva was nailed:

                                                                              "Brazil XI in training: Júlio César; Maicon, Henrique, David Luiz, Marcelo; Luiz Gustavo, Paulinho, Ramires; Oscar, Willian & Jô"

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                                                                              1. Tommytour
                                                                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                He had a knock

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                                                                              2. The Machine
                                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                  @BrazilStats 1m
                                                                                  Thiago Silva was spared from training and did work at the gym, but he will be a starter on Saturday, in the place of Henrique, in principal.

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                                                                                  1. The Machine
                                                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                      Demi, last page

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                                                                                      1. The Sarjeant
                                                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                        Nate, this page

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                                                                                • Wild Rover
                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                    Nice that FPL seems to have finished maintenance, I can now drool once again over my final defs and fwds

                                                                                    Vidic 1 Bardsley 1 Dann 1
                                                                                    RVP 2 Suarez 2 Aguero(c) 2

                                                                                    Do I really want to put myself through this again? 😆

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                                                                                    1. Tommytour
                                                                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                      Well it's a given Aguero C GW1 :)

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                                                                                      1. Wild Rover
                                                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                          I can't help myself, I keep telling myself not to get him this year..

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                                                                                    2. r0nh
                                                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                        I dont know why people want i low ID number in FPL.

                                                                                        I dont want a low ID number for 2 reasons:

                                                                                        1 - it shows I have no social life whatsoever

                                                                                        2 - it shows that I take the game far too seriously

                                                                                        I want an ID number around the 2 million region, to give the impression that I wasnt even bothered about playing the game 😎

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                                                                                        1. Wild Rover
                                                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                            1 - We don't

                                                                                            2 - We do

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                                                                                            1. r0nh
                                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                I know that, hence the reason why i want the low ID number, so that other people wont know.

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                                                                                            2. Bubz
                                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                My ID was 1554599 last year. Back when I had a life.

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                                                                                              • Rgyhyhyh
                                                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                  I don't care that you don't care.

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                                                                                                • The Machine
                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                    My ID last year: 215137 😎

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                                                                                                  • JT's Dog
                                                                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                      I want exactly 1 million

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                                                                                                      1. Blue SeycheLion
                                                                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                          How do you get that?...I will change my name in tribute to you if you manage to pull that off! 😀

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                                                                                                      2. The Missing Link
                                                                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                          *cue RonH getting number 1

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                                                                                                          1. r0nh
                                                                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                              I really dont want it.

                                                                                                              2 years ago, I was 186 or around that, it meant nothing.

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                                                                                                              1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                  RonH, why did your post about bullying and my reply get deleted?

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                                                                                                            • Wild Rover
                                                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                In all seriousness though, it's shit that Axford takes number 1 when he must know many cherish it. Tosser

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                                                                                                                1. The Sarjeant
                                                                                                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                  Who is this Axford?

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                                                                                                                  1. Wild Rover
                                                                                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                      Head of digital operations at the Premier league

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                                                                                                                    • applebonkers
                                                                                                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                      • Has Moderation Rights
                                                                                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                      head of ID hogging

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                                                                                                                2. Van Klinkert Delarosa
                                                                                                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                  I'm under the impression that you gonna have the same ID because of the re-registration?

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                                                                                                              • The Sarjeant
                                                                                                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                I've just told a 'pretty reliable source' not to open FPL on Wednesday 16th July to prove Grim Reaper wrong.

                                                                                                                Exact time confirmed though, 4am.

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                                                                                                                1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                    :)

                                                                                                                    4am has just been confirmed too

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                                                                                                                2. JT's Dog
                                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                    Hello

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                                                                                                                    1. The Sarjeant
                                                                                                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                      1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                      Hello

                                                                                                                      Open Controls
                                                                                                                      1. JT's Dog
                                                                                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                          Echo

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                                                                                                                          1. The Sarjeant
                                                                                                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                            Echo

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                                                                                                                            1. applebonkers
                                                                                                                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                              • Has Moderation Rights
                                                                                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                              the dolphin

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                                                                                                                              1. Colonel Shoe 肝池
                                                                                                                                  1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                  megadrive.....now ypure goin back

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                                                                                                                                • Bubz
                                                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                    Great game

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                                                                                                                                    1. Wild Rover
                                                                                                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                        It was shit, like being E Honda in Streetfighter

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                                                                                                                                        1. Bubz
                                                                                                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                            I liked swimmin about

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                                                                                                                                            1. Wild Rover
                                                                                                                                                1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                                Well you couldn't do much else tbf :)

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                                                                                                                                                1. Bubz
                                                                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                                    You could also make noises. Think that was about it.

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                                                                                                                                          • Giggs Boson
                                                                                                                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                                            1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                            The start of that game was horrific...

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                                                                                                                                • Rgyhyhyh
                                                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                    Who is more essential next season?

                                                                                                                                    K.Richardson or Jack Colback?

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                                                                                                                                  • applebonkers
                                                                                                                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                                    • Has Moderation Rights
                                                                                                                                    1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                    was just having a poo and the toilet wall said 10pm on 15th July

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                                                                                                                                    1. Rgyhyhyh
                                                                                                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                        Sounds legit

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                                                                                                                                      • TorresMagic™
                                                                                                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                                                        • Has Moderation Rights
                                                                                                                                        1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                        Great source.

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                                                                                                                                      • Bubz
                                                                                                                                          1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                          I had a poo in the shape of 4am the other day

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                                                                                                                                          1. Blue SeycheLion
                                                                                                                                              1 year, 11 months ago

                                                                                                                                              😀

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