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Navigating The Chelsea Options

While many strategies abound during this Wildcard period, one thing is for certain; you’d better have some Chelsea players on your team. For many, that means maxing out. With almost any other team, it would be an obvious top three. Of course the league leaders couldn’t make it that easy, offering up multiple players who could all make a case for their inclusion in Fantasy squads.

Specifically, it looks like six players in particular have risen to the top points wise (ownership in brackets) –  Hazard (33.5%), Fabregas (42.1%), Costa (59.6%), Ivanovic (23.7%), Terry (17.7%) and Oscar (5.3%). As of Gameweek 22, all sit at over 100 points, and with the exception of Oscar, a place in the top three of their respective positions. So, how do you pick between six arguably undroppable players?

To buy into the back line or not, this is the question. Terry and Ivanovic both offer great opportunities for clean sheets, and as the race for the trophy nears its end, the rear guard is only going to tighten up. However, they are expensive. At 6.7 for Terry and 7.2 for Ivanovic, you are placing a lot of cash in limited returns. Cash that might be better off in the Blue’s attack.

Hazard sits at the summit of the Chelsea attack. He has the most points at 131, followed by Fabregas at 120 and Costa at 119. Oddly, ownership numbers do not follow the point spread and instead show the exact reverse, as you can see above. This trend points towards a philosophy of  reliability. Costa has been Mr. Reliable, averaging almost a goal a game. Hazard, though outscoring Costa, has been the exact opposite. He pulls in big numbers here and there, never reaching consistency. Reliability also explains Fabregas’s high ownership with his steady stream of assists. However, with fewer appearances “in the hole,” his points could see a drop.

Of these three top scorers, then, Hazard and Costa seem the most likely to fetch high returns. It would be wonderful to keep both, then, but of course they are quite expensive. This is where Oscar makes a case, sitting only 14 points behind Costa. He is less expensive then Fabregas and shows a much higher chance for goals. It is never easy, is it?

While Costa is reliable, I still think he will wind up scoring less than Hazard by Gameweek 38. If Oscar continues his performances, he might end up equalling or outscoring Costa. As I mentioned in my previous article, the midfielders have dominated this season. I really like the upside an Oscar/Hazard pairing can offer with the reliability of Terry in the backline. It might cause a lot of stress week to week, but in the long run, I think you will like the results. What do you think?

31 Comments Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    It's getting tougher and tougher to pick three Chelsea players. Hazard/Terry and Oscar are those that are my current three, but its hard to argue against Costa currently. The league cup could play a part. Chelsea and three other teams are likely to miss gwk 27 so I wonder how those with three Chelsea players will do that week.

    1. The Gambler.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      GW27?

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        League Cup final then - the finalists always have a blank game week - Here's more on it and those that may miss that week. http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/01/14/scout-scribbles-adrian-the-hammers-hero/?hc_page=1#hc_comment_9486558

    2. Turkish United
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Based on numbers below: Terry - Oscar - Costa

      Chelsea Top 8 - Points per Game:
      1) Costa 6.3 (Aguero 6.3)
      2) Hazard 6.0
      3) Oscar 5.8
      4) Fabregas 5.7
      5) Ivanovic 5.1
      6) Terry 4.9
      7) Azpilicueta 4.2
      8) Cahill 3.8

      Chelsea Top 8 - Value (season):
      1) Terry 16.1
      2) Ivanovic 15.6
      3) Oscar 12.7
      4) Fabregas 12.4
      5) Cahill 12.3
      6) Hazard 12.2
      7) Matic 10.9
      8) Costa 10.6 (Aguero 8.6)

    3. Ruth_NZ
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      If Liverpool beat Chelsea in the LC semi-final then Man. City rather than Chelsea will have a blank weekend in GW 27. That was also a good reason to hold on to the wildcard until now.

      1. J0E
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Massive if looking at how Chelsea are playing at the moment.

        1. Ruth_NZ
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 months ago

          Rodgers and Liverpool will be desperate to win. It's maybe their only chance of silverware.

          Chelsea will be professional and Mourinho hates losing but they do have bigger fish to fry. Some rests prior to the City game are possible. That's the game that really matters.

  2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Bloody |Hell. Another headache ... 😀

  3. A.T
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    I've gone with Terry, Ivan and Hazard.
    No Fabregas so hoping another big hitter outscores him.
    No Costa so counting on the budget forwards to try and keep up.

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      really like this, was seriously considering - but if I'm getting two premium defenders the other has to be bainsey...

    2. Le Limpar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      I've had these 3 since November ish and it's been good. My only regret is Hazard over Oscar.

    3. Ruccells
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Interesting choice. Who else are you taking in your midfield?

      1. A.T
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Sanchez Walcott Hazard ADM Boyd

  4. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    yeah this - I was thinking I could maybe cope with just terry/hazard and say santi/silva/angel until gw 27 then swap one for oscar after league cup

  5. Le Limpar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Nice article. I like Oscar pick 2nd half of season.

  6. Del Monte
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    RMWCT

    Begovic Foster

    Terry Fonte Wisdom Van Aanholt Duff

    Sanchez Hazard Sigurdsson A.Johnson Boyd

    Costa Falcao (C) Kane

    GW24 will do Falcao > Aguero
    Got 0.2 ITB if Sturridge comes back with a bang so can do Costa > Sturridge

  7. dmhomag
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone worse than me?

    GW17 Costa (c) - 2
    GW18 Giroud (c) - (-2)
    GW19 Austin (c) -2
    GW20 Silva (c) - 2
    GW21 Hazard (c) - 3
    GW22: Kane (c) - 2

  8. M4d_H4tt3r
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Interesting article. But what it failed to mention is that there are many different options for a strong mid (Sanchez, Silva, Di Maria, Yays, maybe Cazorla/Walcott and cheaper ones: Downing, Eriksen, Chadli, Tadic and budget ones: Puncheon, Mane, Elia - less reliable...maybe i missed a few), so there is a competition for a spot. While up from, except Aguero before the injury there has never been a consistent one. That is my reasoning for getting Costa and filling in with in form/good fixtures cheap strikers (Austim, Kane, Berahino, Ings...)

    1. Ruccells
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      A good point. However, your argument seems to actually support investment in a Chelsea midfield/back line option. Replace Costa with Aguero and keep the budget strikers. Aguero offers much more BPS on top of a City team that desperately needs to increase the attack. With budget mids aplenty, picking up Hazard and Oscar plus three other quality options is very possible. This then begs investment in the back line.

  9. A-VB
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    I am inclined towards taking Oscar.

    Not attracted towards Fabregas, who clearly lacks stuff when it comes to scoring goals, and Costa is way too expensive, especially with Aguero already in the team.

    About the GW27 issue that Jonty raised, I think we can offload Oscar, to book profit too and take him in the week where Chelsea will be having two matches if Oscar still remains enticing enough.

  10. Ruth_NZ
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    It's a fair analysis. Oscar is more likely to be rested in a PL game than Costa of course.

    To my mind it all comes down to whether you want Costa as a captain option. I do (I captained him this week) and therefore I'm keeping him. If you are sure you'll never want Costa as captain your suggestion of Terry/Hazard/Oscar could also be a realistic option.

    One thing with Oscar (and I see Chelsea a lot live) is that, like Eriksen, he could be frustrating for FPL managers. He's not a typical No. 10. In some games Jose gives him a role where pressing in front of Fabregas/Matic is emphasised. In other games (especially when Chelsea are dominating) his role is freer.

    He's the kind of player you'd need to stick in your team and forget about. He'll go a few games without scoring many FPL points and then have a couple where he does. If you get frustrated easily then, like Eriksen, Oscar is probably not the player you want. If you are happy to average his points over, say, 10 games then he's a good choice.

    One last thing - watch out for any injuries in the Chelsea midfield. Andre Schuerrle is over his illness now and in full training. If he starts games on any kind of regular basis he will score goals.

    1. Ruccells
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      I was reading a lot of comments that pointed towards the Oscar/Eriksen comparison. While frustrating, it seems it could be lucrative in the long haul. Captain wise, I think Aguero is a more formidable choice. He gives you everything Costa does with a higher chance for BPS. In light of this, I find it difficult to include Costa. I like budget forwards with the heavy hitting Aguero and take a chance on the Chelsea midfielders.

      1. Ruth_NZ
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Yes, I get that. I rate Costa higher than you do and I think he is only now coming into his best form. I have explained why before more than once and won't repeat it. That's why we will make a different decision.

        In the end we will only know what the best route was at the end of the season. But I don't dispute the reasonability of your approach.

        If we all took the same route FPL would be very boring. That's why the incessant RMTs bore me really. All it amounts to (in many cases) is one person telling another they should have a team more like their own and seeking to justify decisions they have already made.

        1. Ruccells
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 months ago

          Agreed. Cheers mate and best of luck!

  11. Red Star Toro
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Before this GW I thought WC will be way easier. All comments appreciated.
    Panti - Krul
    Bertrand Jones PVA Wisdom Duff
    Hazard Sanchez Cazorla Puncheon Boyd
    Kun Costa Austin

    0.5 ITB. When I tinkered before I was quite sure about selling Costa but right now I'm not really conviced to do that. Any ideas how to improve this team?

  12. tm245
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Thanks for the article. To add to the discussion, here is something I posted after their match on Saturday.

    Main Chelsea attackers and their frequency of production, for what it's worth.

    Blanks (0-3 pts) - Returns (4-9) - Hauls (10+) - Did Not Play

    Costa 6-9-4-3
    Hazard 10-7-5-0
    Fabregas 7-11-3-1
    Oscar 8-6-4-4

    Make of it what you will, but Hazard owners might just need to take these odd stretches of blanks on the chin since the explosiveness is often right there.

    1. Ruccells
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Agreed. Some weeks I have my finger on the sell button itching to free up his high investment, then he comes out and blows the lid off the place. Mighty frustrating.

  13. Igic97
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Im debating bringing costa and ward prowse in my team should I:
    A) Fab to Ward Prowse and Austin to Costa and 4 point hit
    B) Keep Fab and Austin
    I understand that Austin is being unlucky but Ward Prowse (differential) seems to offer better results at 4.8 and costa seems to be getting in top form and since I already have haz, I should have all the fabregas assists covered.

  14. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    i love oscar because when he doesnt play he plays 0mins

    1. thesilkworm
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Quite often subbed off though.