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3 March 2017 45 comments
TopMarx TopMarx
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The stand out headline ahead of Double Gameweek 27 is that number one Ville Ronka has taken a hit. This is his first of the season, which shows how important these lucrative moments in the fixture schedule are to elite players.

He’s not alone in our career Top Five either. Transfers and hits as it stands ahead of the first double of the season are:

Name & HoF RankVille #1Marlen #2Peter #3Steve #4David #5
Transfers DGW 2723332
Points Hits-4-8-4-8-4

Call me Mystic Meg but I expect a few Manchester City players might now be residing in their teams.

In Gameweek 26 Ville was the only manager in the Top Five to have Tottenham’s hat-trick hero Harry Kane in his team. Even though he didn’t captain the Spurs Star he saw his overall FPL rank rise to a season-high 18,047. The only other manager to see a green arrow was David Meechan. He crept back towards the Top 10K and currently sits at 11,674.

Marlen Rattiner remains the only manager to have been in the Top 100K all season but only just. His rank of 96,360 is a season-low that has seen him take an 8 point hit ahead of DGW 27. Also making three transfers ahead of the deadline are Peter Kouwenberg  and Steve Poulsom. Gameweek 26 proved disappointing for them both as their Liverpool midfielders failed to deliver against a reinvigorated Leicester City.

This article focuses on the moves and strategies employed by the elite managers who grace the top five positions of this site’s career Hall of Fame, which does not include this season’s results. Members can see the latest top five via our Live Hall of Fame update.

For this article I have also deployed Fusen’s FPL Statistico tool to gain an extra insight into their thinking.

Before we look at their teams in more detail, here’s why they are the best FPL managers:

Lowest rank in the last three seasons for any of the top five4,324
Highest rank in the last three seasons for any of the top five49

POINTS, RANK, VALUE

Name & HoF rankSquad Value (1 MAR)ITB

(1 MAR)

Point after GW26FPL rank GW26Best FPL rank 16/17*Worst FPL rank 16/17*
Ville #1£99.7£4.31,47318,04718,047 (GW26)135,324 (GW19)
Marlen #2£103.9£0.01,41796,36013,561 (GW20)96,360 (GW26)
Peter #3£103.3£4.21,4968,0936,126 (GW25)243,702 (GW07)
Steve #4£105.0£0.81,394168,328140,958 (GW06)845,911 (GW17)
David #5£102.0£2.21,48611,6745,615 (GW21)73,858 (GW09)

*from GW6 onwards

Only one of this quintet  qualified for the cup (#5), they went out in GW19.

They all still have their wildcards and the only chip that has been played is AOA.

CAPTAIN

Everton’s Romelu Lukaku was the unanimous pick from the Top Five in Gameweek 26. However it wasn’t quite the points bonanza Peter experienced when the Big Belgian put Bournemouth to the sword. I imagine his 12 points weren’t much comfort given Harry Kane’s haul.

Over the season Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez has been picked as captain 34% of the time, averaging 14.9pts when chosen. Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero follows in popularity having been handed the armband 26% of the time, averaging 14.5pts as captain, with Tottenham’s Harry Kane chosen 10% of the time and averaging 11.4pts, the third most popular.

How important is it to get your captain choice right?

Name & HoF rankVille #1Marlen #2Peter #3Steve #4David #5Ave. (c) pointsAs % of score
Total (c) Points34635438230033834424

To answer this question we need look no further than the 42 points gained by Peter in Gameweek 24 when he was the only one of the Top Five to choose Everton’s Romelu Lukaku as his captain. Such foresight is reflected in the Total Captain Points table above, which almost entirely explains why he has amassed over 100 points more than fourth-placed rival Steve.

TRANSFERS

Hits takenTwo hits taken, all teams made at least one transfer
Players inMané x2, Barnes, Barkley, King, Funes Mori, Maguire
Players outSanchez x3, Stanislas, Francis, Anichebe, Ake

As expected Sanchez was the most sold player amongst the Top Five, Merseyside providing the replacements in the shape of Liverpool’s Sadio Mané and Everton’s Ross Barkley. Bournemouth’s Junior Stanislas was also shown the door after disappointing in recent weeks, replaced by teammate Josh King in Marlen’s team.

Name & HoF rankVille #1Marlen #2Peter #3Steve #4David #5Average
Total Transfers243139353533
Total Points Hits02864444436
Total Immediate Points Gained from Transfers127185217199192184
Minus Points Hits127157153155148148
Value (m)£103.8£103.7£107.3£105.6£104.1£104.9
Total Benched Points259121199214146188

Despite seeing his rank slip to a season-low Marlen was the only manager to get a double figure immediate points return. Josh King and Everton’s Funes Mori bringing in 7 points each.

PATIENT vs STUBBORN

– How long do you hold onto a player who is not scoring well in FPL?

Below is a table of stubbornness. Looking at the outfield players who have played more than 10 GWs and have low average points when they’ve played/started.

Players whose names are in bold currently feature in their teams.

HoF rank teamPlayerGWs in teamAve. Points (Played)
#1Allen102.5
#1Williams193.5
#1Pieters113.9
#1Benteke213.7
#1Firmino104.5
#2Lovren153.7
#2Hazard105.2
#3Valencia183.8
#3Firmino124.9
#3Hazard105.0
#4Ibrahimovic135.5
#4Firmino215.0
#5Evans103.1
#5Lovren153.2
#5Hazard105.1

West Brom’s Gareth McAuley has been removed from the list this week as he is clearly no longer underperforming. He now averages over 4 points when he starts, which for a defender is not a bad return.

FORMATION

Three teams4-4-2 formation
One team5-4-1 formation
One teams3-5-2 formation

Defenders are all the rage at moment. 4-4-2 has been the popular choice over the past three weeks, and this week David even opted for a 5-4-1 formation. Rotation played a key part in that decision with managers benching expensive non-playing assets such as Ibrahimovic and Sanchez, who remains in two teams.

Over the course of the season 3-4-3 has been favoured 60% of the time by the career Top Five HoF, with 3-5-2 second with 21%. 4-4-2 is the third most popular on 9%.

PLAYERS

Players in 5 teamsIbrahimovic, Lukaku, Alonso
Players in 4 teamsAlli
Players in 3 teamsEriksen, Sigurdsson, Phillips, Coleman, Brunt, McAuley, Foster, Heaton, Pickford
Attacking players under 6mPhillips x3, Stanislas x2, Snodgrass x2, Barnes x2, King, Anichebe, Fletcher

The attacking players under 6m in value continue to frustrate with popular choices Matt Phillips, Junior Stanislas, Robert Snodgrass and Ashely Barnes all leaving owners infuriated. Josh King at least provided some comfort to Marlen.

TEMPLATE

In defence Everton and West Brom provide the majority of players, Alonso remains the settled Chelsea option.

Spurs players Eriksen and Alli occupy two berths in the centre of the park. They are joined by Swansea’s Gylfi Sigurdsson and a Liverpool midfielder in the template. Roberto Firmino the alternative to Mané. Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Romelu Lukaku the expensive options up top.

But with so many transfers made ahead of Gameweek 27 it seems likely all have brought in at least Aguero and one City midfielder, with Raheem Sterling the likely candidate. This is likely to mean that Lukaku may have been jettisoned, perhaps for just a week.

Meanwhile, with no Gameweek 28 fixture and a tough home tie against the Toffees, one of their Tottenham assets may also have departed. For those with cash in the bank they may also have used their hits to discard injury doubt Matt Phillips.

Goalkeepers – Foster / Heaton

Defenders – Alonso, Coleman, Brunt, McAuley, (Chambers)

Midfielders –Alli, Eriksen, Sigurdsson, Mané / Firmino, (Phillips)

Forwards – Ibrahimovic, Lukaku, (Barnes)

I apologise if it freaks any of them out seeing their moves analysed in this way, but for us lesser mortals I hope it provides insights on how to play the game successfully.

 

TopMarx Fan of Fantasy Football and Monty Python. "Archimedes out to Socrates, Socrates back to Archimedes, Archimedes out to Heraclitus, he beats Hegel. Heraclitus a little flick, here he comes on the far post, Socrates is there, Socrates heads it in! Socrates has scored! The Greeks are going mad, the Greeks are going mad! Socrates scores, got a beautiful cross from Archimedes. The Germans are disputing it. Hegel is arguing that the reality is merely an a priori adjunct of non-naturalistic ethics, Kant via the categorical imperative is holding that ontologically it exists only in the imagination, and Marx is claiming it was offside. Follow them on Twitter

45 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Brilliant analysis. Shows how important doubles are when even Ville dusts off his hits button to take part.

    1. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Thank you Jonty for such quick and succinct editing. An exciting gameweek ahead!

  2. Viper
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    I'd love to know how many of them will Tcaptain Aguero

    1. J0E
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Looking forward to the post doubles analysis on them.

      I would say at least half will given their hit taking ahead of the double.

  3. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Rank these three. One to start and bench order for the other two:

    A - Matt Phillips
    B - Coleman
    C - Josh King

  4. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Any one know what their ID is? Would be good to check out their teams

    1. McQueen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Hof has IDs listed.

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

    2. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      their teams are linked, just click on their names in the opening section

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks

  5. Pep bites Kun
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Nice post and timely too - this is fast becoming my favourite post of the week. - Well done and keep up the good work!

    1. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Thank you, a little rushed this week but I'm excited to see so many transfers already ahead of the gameweek deadline. Clearly big things expected! How many will use their TC chip?

      1. Pep bites Kun
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Hot off the press as they say ... Looking forward to the follow up next week to see if TC's were played or who went where.

    2. The Mighty One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      +1 Fave post of the week.

  6. Gubbins94.
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Hi guys, long time no see.

    Doing Ibra > Aguero, to fund this I need to sell either Alli or Eriksen, opting to keep Alli atm for either Sané or Lallana.

    Currently have 6 for GW28. I'm favoring Alli > Sané atm, thoughts?

    1. Gubbins94.
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      That should read opting to sell Alli atm.

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Ibra playing Bou - personally I would hold - anyone else you can transfer?

  7. My Pretty Pony
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    I'll be on properly later (post footie pint beckons) but yeah, after careful planning I caved and got three City. Undecided on Triple Captain but will ramble on later.

    1. Pep bites Kun
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Good to know. Did you score? - enjoy the pints 🙂

      1. My Pretty Pony
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. Wasn't a proper game (that's weekend fodder), just a teachers vs Learning Support game. We lost on penalties as per plan.

        1. Pep bites Kun
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 months ago

          Thanks for the insight (wasn't expecting a reply) - have a nice pint and see you on here tomorrow for the usual - 'I shoulda done ...' Cheers!

    2. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Enjoy your pint sir! Look forward to hearing your TC ramble later on 🙂

      1. My Pretty Pony
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Hi again, TM and Pep,

        So, just like most FPL managers, my thinking went something like this...

        1. If there is a DGW, I've two frees and can get Ag in without a hit and with a lovely exit strategy all the way through GW28 and 30. After all, Pep is bound to rotate given that he has even put his best team out (pretty much) vs Huddersfield reserves.

        2. Wow, that was an impressive performance (against Huddersfield reserves!) Everyone else is getting all the City boys in so let's ignore all future issues and the threat of rotation and get Sane, Sterling and Aguero for a -4 this week but forcing multiple hits in future. There, done.

        3. Mmmm, triple captain or not? (Unresolved)

        Ramble over...

        1. TopMarx
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 months ago

          Playing the TC chip earlier than planned feels odd, especially because this DGW has come about relatively suddenly. If Man City were in form, with these fixtures, coming into a DGW34 for example, somehow that would feel safer. Not only that but we would also know what the other options are. Will Sanchez or Ibra get better DGW fixtures? It would be nice to make a more informed decision.

          If I use TC I will think only about Aguero's explosive potential and ignore the potential rotation risk! I think even if the other two had equally appealing fixtures I would still go with Aguero.

          Also very decent of the teachers to lose on penalties! A few weeks ago I hosted a pub quiz for a PTA evening, there was a team of teachers who came last by some distance. The joy the parents felt at beating the teachers, they turned into a mob of unruly teenagers! It was very funny and all in (fairly) good humour. Teaching must be a thankless job I thought, suffering at the hands of the kids during the day and then their parents in the evening. Guess the summer holidays must be needed!

          1. My Pretty Pony
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers, TM, I agree with all of that. The only thing I'd add is that I was one of the Carroll Triple Captainers last season, so barring a sending off (!), Aguero couldn't do much worse than him. I'm still 50-50% on it though.

            Teaching, in my view, is not a great place to be at the moment, and the students are the least of our worries. I was in law for 8 years before moving to teaching (again 8 years) and I can confirm without a shadow of a doubt that teaching is way, way harder. I won't say too much more on here, but I think it's a unsustainable profession unless things change.

            1. TopMarx
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 2 months ago

              The very fact you tripled captained Carroll and still finished in the top 1K makes me feel a little more relaxed - it's not necessarily a make or break decision.

              I have heard mixed things about teaching, a friend left the profession a couple of years ago and won't go back. Having said that the lawyers I know all work incredibly hard long hours. Didn't Paul Clement start out as a teacher? Perhaps a switch to real football management could be your next career move!

              1. My Pretty Pony
                • 12 Years
                9 years, 2 months ago

                Haha, dream job! I've played a bit of football but only at county level and I now player-coach a Vets side, so I'm just coming round to the possibility that my chance at either playing or managing professional football may have past. When I hit 50 (in 10 years) I'll accept that fact as a reality. Maybe.

                Off for a run now without signal, so fyiw Triple Ag is effectively locked in.

                1. My Pretty Pony
                  • 12 Years
                  9 years, 2 months ago

                  *fwiw

                2. TopMarx
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 13 Years
                  9 years, 2 months ago

                  Well I guess it depends - if someone buys you a UEFA coaching course as a (late?) 40th birthday present, who knows? Lack of decent coaches in this country compared to France, Spain, Italy, Germany etc. At the very least your Vets team will benefit! I'm still pursuing my dreams approaching 40, plenty of time left yet.

                  Best of luck this week, also gone TC on Aguero, it was irresistible.

              2. HVT
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                9 years, 2 months ago

                Fwiw I tripled c Carroll too last season 814 OR in the end, if only!

                https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/entry/425/history

  8. Fuchs Mane Kante
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Ronka going all out maverick with a hit. Lol

    1. Sir Edo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      First hit of the season is crazy..

    2. Hibbo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      He doesn't know what he's doing.

  9. Philman
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    I love these kind of articles. It is fascinating to see how they compare to how you are playing the game.

    Jonty, did you know the Live HoF does not include GW26 yet?

  10. John wick
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    News on kane....he is showing flagged....twist in the tale

  11. Bezzer
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    Would be great to analyse team value to know which City players Ville has brought in!

    1. Philman
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      I heard that he probably sold Ibra and Stan to get in Aguero and Sterling.

      1. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Those moves would make sense looking at sale values of those players. Very surprising if true, selling Ibra at home to Bournemouth.

      2. Balance
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 months ago

        Kane and Stanislas instead

        1. TopMarx
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 2 months ago

          Yes could work if he got Aguero and Sane

  12. souleil
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 months ago

    This may be a very stupid question, but how do you know how many transfers they made before the deadline?

    1. TopMarx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 months ago

      Simply by looking at their Gameweek history on FPL, for instance follow this link https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/entry/30327/history and look under Transfers and Finance.

  13. TopMarx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero has been Triple Captained by four of the top five. Only David Meechan has saved his TC chip. They all have Aguero and Sterling, only Peter and Steve also have Sané. Ville took a hit (yes you read that right!) and is the only manager out of the top five to have sold Ibra. He kept Kane.

    1. My Pretty Pony
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Amazing call by Ville - must have known it was a gamble to bin Ibra but it really paid off! Half way through the GW (as far as City are concerned), Alli (and Lukaku) out proved a terrible shout, but at least all 3 City players have scored me points. Barring an Aguero sending off I'm up on last season's Triple Captain Carroll!

      1. TopMarx
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        It seemed nuts with so many planning to keep Ibra for the Bournemouth match, he must have an in with the Fantasy Football Gods!

        Sané proving a worthwhile hit for you, good move. I thought about getting him in for Eriksen... oh well! I've sold Aguero for Llorente already this week and now my dilemma is who to sell Sterling for? Firmino or King the options. It would be for a hit but would allow me to field 10 excluding Amat.

        Fingers crossed for a good showing from Aguero against Stoke. Hoping for news that Iheanacho picks up a minor knock in training before the match 🙂