Moving Target

Moving Target – Nathan Ake

Bournemouth continued their summer recruitment drive this morning with the signing of Chelsea defender Nathan Ake for a club-record fee, believed to be in the region of £20 million.

The 22-year-old, who spent the first half of last season on loan with the Cherries, put pen to paper on a long-term deal after failing to break into the first team picture at Stamford Bridge.

Speaking to the club’s official website, Bournemouth manager Eddie Howe expressed his delight at being able to attract Ake to the club on a permanent basis:

“He is someone we know all about, having had a very successful loan spell here last season. Nathan is an outstanding young player with a fantastic attitude and a great desire to learn and develop. He has a very bright future ahead of him, and I’m very pleased to say that future is here.”

The History

After beginning his youth career at ADO Den Haag and Feyenoord in his native Holland, Ake moved to Chelsea in 2011 at the age of 16.

He was handed his Premier League debut a year later, coming on as a late substitute against Norwich City in December 2012, and made five other appearances in all competitions during the rest of the 2012/13 campaign.

Ake’s progress stalled over the next few seasons, with a loan spell at Championship outfit Reading in April 2015, when he played five matches, his only prolonged spell of first-team action.

The Dutchman was then sent out on loan to Watford for the 2015/16 campaign and gained valuable experience in the top flight, making 24 league appearances, registering one goal and one assist playing almost exclusively at left-back.

Last season, Ake joined Bournemouth on loan and, after initially struggling to break into the starting XI, impressed when given a run of matches at centre-back.

He made 10 league appearances for the Cherries, scoring three goals, before returning to parent club Chelsea in January to feature twice for the Blues during the final weeks of the season.

Ake represented Holland at all age groups from U16s to U21s, scoring 11 goals in 63 matches, before making his senior debut in a 2-1 friendly win over Morocco in May.

The Prospects

Given the strong impression Ake made on the south coast during his loan spell, it came as little surprise to see Bournemouth pursue a permanent deal.

Ake’s insertion into the starting XI coincided with some of the Cherries’ best performances of the campaign, with his athleticism, tackling and understanding of the game making a real difference to the Bournemouth rearguard.

But it was Ake’s goal threat which proved pivotal during that spell, helping the defender average 6.1 points per start in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) for Howe’s side.

He isn’t alone in terms of Cherries’ defenders who offer a significant attacking threat, however.

Steve Cook sat seventh among FPL defenders for shots last term with 29, scoring twice, and the centre-back also produced four goals and two assists back in 2015/16.

Charlie Daniels, meanwhile, was the sixth highest-scoring defender in FPL with 134 points, thanks to four goals and three assists, while Adam Smith (one goal and five assists) also supplied a tangible end product.

That quartet could be Howe’s first-choice back four this season, with club captain Simon Francis appearing in danger of losing his starting place in central defence to Ake.

No FPL defender made more errors leading to a goal (three) than the Bournemouth skipper and, at 32 years of age, he may have to settle for a back-up role unless he can usurp Smith at right-back.

Intriguingly, Howe may also consider pushing the forward-thinking Smith into midfield on occasions or become the latest manager to look at a three-man defence, utilising Smith and Daniels as wing-backs. Certainly, this possibility and the Cherries defensive selection warrant close scrutiny over the pre-season.

In terms of comparing Cook and Ake’s defensive statistics, Cook had the edge in terms of minutes per clearance, blocks or interception (CBI), averaging one every 7.18 minutes, slightly superior to Ake (8.84).

The combination of Cook’s set-piece threat and his strong CBI numbers saw him register 17 bonus points in FPL last term, with only three FPL defenders managing more.

However, Ake won 63% of his tackles – more than any Bournemouth defender last season – suggesting that he could help improve a backline that conceded 67 goals. However, at 5ft 11in tall he does lack height and won just 55% of his aerial duels – this may be exploited in a Cherries defence that was exposed at set-pieces over the campaign.

Only four teams let in more goals than the Cherries last term, while they also ranked fourth bottom for big chances against (72), highlighting the need for improvement despite keeping a respectable 10 clean sheets.

The arrival of Ake, along with the signing of experienced goalkeeper Asmir Begovic, should certainly boost their shut-out potential. And with all members of the Cherries’ rearguard also offering an attacking threat, they appear capable of producing healthy Fantasy returns.

Value looks critical in terms of who may hold the edge, with Ake likely to warrant a price tag of 5.0 based both on his goalscoring exploits last term and the fact that Bournemouth now have to be viewed as a solid mid-table team following their ninth place finish.

Daniels and Cook both started last season valued at 5.0, and Daniels, in particular, may be in line for a price hike up to 5.5 this time around. That may even leave us considering Begovic as the value route with a 4.5 price tag a possibility.

The fixture list for Howe’s men is mixed over the first seven Gameweeks. They have favourable home clashes against Watford, Brighton and Hove Albion and Leicester City, along with an opening day trip to West Bromwich Albion, combined with three tough match-ups (MCI, ars, eve).

The addition of the talented Ake, who while expected to start in central defence, offers cover at left-back and as a defensive midfielder, should help shore up a Cherries backline that has at times been a soft touch in the top flight.

The underlying statistics suggest that Cook may hold a slight edge over Ake as a Fantasy prospect though, with the pair perhaps set to be favoured over Daniels if the left-back is subject to a price rise.

Choosing the right Bournemouth defender looks to be a challenge for Fantasy managers. Pre-season and an analysis of the statistics over the opening Gameweeks appears crucial to guiding our hand.

Further Reference

Nathan Ake Wikipedia

Nathan Ake Transfer Markt Page

Nathan Ake YouTube

414 Comments Post a Comment
  1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    All Blacks still a class above the Lions with a man down...won't get a better chance to beat them though.

  2. Dreams
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Tour de France lovers, anyone interested in playing a longer version with 30 transfers etc. etc.?

    1. CloudSky
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Our country has TDF fantasy with 2 transfers per stage. No budget limit. First 30 in stage get points. So Im playing that.

      1. Dreams
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        I've seen that there are a lot of local leagues out there.

        1. CloudSky
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          Its actually pretty decent. Normally more than 1k players.

    2. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Sorry, no for me...the attraction of the other one was the simplicity. Supporting the Brit guys and therefore Sky and Cav for the most part, the league is a bit of hassle free fun.

      1. Dreams
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        I know. Thought of posting an article around it.

        1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 9 months ago

          Me too but I'm in lazy mode atm! As per Wakey's post [and Andy's comment], whomever does one will create a nice TDF page for comments over the next few weeks.

    3. Ramboros
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      I play tourmanager.tv2.no

      Basically you pick 12 riders and 1 director for a budget of 100m. You can make 25 changes throughout the tour.

      You pick them based on their categories. 2x captains, 2x sprinter, 3x water carrier, 2x climbers, 1 TT, 2 youth and 1 director.

      Their base points are multiplied by 2(Captains + sprinters), 3(TT + climbers) or 4(youth + water carrier).

  3. CostaCoffee
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    New Chelsea kit is very boring..similar to the United kit back in 2008, was hoping for a better effort by Nike
    https://m.nike.com/ie/en_gb/pd/2017-18-chelsea-fc-vapor-match-home-football-shirt/pid-11597539/pgid-12170053

    1. Az
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Agreed. Yawn.

  4. CostaCoffee
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Faletau!!

    1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Hopefully the extra man will tell in the closing stages

      1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 9 months ago

        Well done British Lions ... beating the All Blacks !

  5. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Has the Optimal Dead Team Squad analysis come out for last season?

  6. Dr Dream
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    50,000 entries into the TdF game now on velogames.

  7. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    Afcamden says Arsenals first game of the season vs leicester might be on a friday

  8. Dreams
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 months ago

    I'm about to post an article on Tdf. What should I include?

    1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Main contenders in each of the categories of course, strongest overall teams, a scatter of differentials and maybe if you can be bothered a bit of background context to the race design and route this year ... it appears to have been designed to try and nulify Froome and team Sky in particular

    2. Dr Dream
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 months ago

      Favourites for each category and spot the diff for cheap domestiques. That's the most important at this stage.