Wisdom Of The Crowd – Gameweek 13

Each week we are reviewing the aggregated predictions on Superbru’s Premier League Predictor game, using the collective Wisdom of the Crowd predictions to guide our fantasy football thinking.

Please join the FFS league here and add your own predictions to the data – the more there are, the more accurate the crowd should be (in theory).

GAMEWEEK 12 REVIEW

In the main Gameweek 12 was slightly more predictable than usual, although it says something about Arsenal’s topsy-turvy season that only 23% expected them to win at home against Tottenham.

Here are the Gameweek 12 results in descending order of predictability:

Well done to Ian Norris from the UK for winning the Yellow Cap in the FFS pool. He correctly predicted that Arsenal win, and the Everton draw.

Mr Crowd Wisdom – using the aggregated predictions of the crowd – dropped again to 72nd (with the crowd having backed Spurs to win, plus a few other draws) but remains well above average.

The aggregated predictions of the community are making better predictions than most individual players in the game, suggesting that there is credibility in the Wisdom of the Crowd concept.

GAMEWEEK 13 PREVIEW

Here is the Expected Goals chart for each fixture in Gameweek 13

And here is the ranking of teams in order of Expected Goals Scored and Conceded:

Whilst many people are backing Harry Kane for the captaincy, both Manchester sides are predicted to score more goals by the Superbru community.

Taking your luck with the rotation-prone City attack, or handing Red Devils striker Romelu Lukaku the armband could prove profitable.

The crowd are clearly concerned about Tottenham’s recent form at Wembley against weak opposition, which has seen them take only third spot in terms of predicted goals scored in spite of facing managerless West Brom.

But there is no such worry when it comes to the Spurs’ backline, who the crowd predict have the best chance of a shut out. Jan Vertonghen’s security of starts makes him a sound bet for clean sheet points, according to the crowd. Ben Davies could also earn a start and prosper, given he was rested for the London side’s midweek Champions League victory over Borussia Dortmund.

Here are the aggregated predictions that we’ll enter into the game for Mr Crowd Wisdom in the FFS pool.

Is there anything else that catches your eye in these crowd predictions?

Don’t forget to join the FFS league on Superbru and make your predictions each week so that they are included in these data – the more knowledgeable people there are, the more accurate they should be in theory.