[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
11 December 2010 605 comments
Mark Mark
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Another week in the Champions League offered us few surprises, save Tottenham’s top spot achievement in the “group of death”. Back on the domestic front, us Fantasy Managers can continue to grumble at mounting injuries and suspensions but our Christmas wishes could at least bring Fabregas, Lampard, Gerrard, Torres and Rooney back to the fore and firing – that could make for a memorable festive period.

For now at least we’re still scratching around, banking on mid-price prospects to fire our Fantasy points tallies. Let’s see if Paddy is also backing the underdog and the unfashionable in their weekend prices…

Who Will Keep a Clean Sheet?

  • Everton 2.00 (WIG)
  • Fulham 2.40 (SUN)
  • Man City 2.50 (whm)
  • Stoke 2.62 (BLP)
  • Liverpool 2.70 (new)
  • Bolton 2.75 (BLA)
  • Man United 2.75 (ARS)
  • Wolves 2.87 (BIR)

Once glance at the clean sheet odds and it’s clear that this is a ropey one for defensive returns. Everton find themselves top of the rankings, and by a country mile. Conceding in each of their last five outings, it’s hard to find reason enough for Paddy to offer this price, until you delve into the statistics offered by their opponents. Wigan have struggled for goals all season, and perhaps in accordance with Everton’s own achievements, they’ve failed to find a cutting edge up front. Charles N’Zogbia will be a threat, as will the returning Hugo Rodallega, but the steel offered by Phil Jagielka and Sylvan Distin should be more than enough to reduce keeper Tim Howard to spectator and Wigan will have to be at the unpredictable best to spoil the home cleanie.

Man City find themselves without talisman Carlos Tevez, but that won’t impact on their defensive qualities. With resolute stone wall performances under Mancini, cleanies have been well won thus far this season. As for West Ham? They’re bottom of the table and fewer goals scored than games played. If this game was played out in Manchester rather than London, I’d wager Paddy would price City as very short odds, as it is, City are still a strong bet to return a shut-out.

Fulham and Stoke both have favourable home fixtures, however Paddy has been conservative with their prices. Steve Bruce’s Sunderland will be looking to increase Fulham’s run without a clean sheet to four matches and have the weapons in Bent and Welbeck to inflict damage. Blackpool meanwhile, take a record of scoring a brace in five out of their last six games to the Britannia.

It all looks a little shaky then. Clean sheet prices look long and appealing for the gambler, which equates to risky week for the Fantasy Manager shopping for defensive returns.

Anytime Goalscorer

  • K Jones 1.90 (BLP)
  • Rooney 2.10 (ARS)
  • F Torres 2.10 (new)
  • L Saha 2.25 (WIG)
  • T Cahill 2.25 (WIG)
  • R Fuller 2.30 (BLP)
  • M Balotelli 2.30 (whm)
  • Drogba 2.40 (tot)
  • Berbatov 2.40 (ARS)
  • J Beckford 2.40 (WIG)
  • Yakubu 2.40 (WIG)
  • J Elmander 2.40 (BLA)
  • J Walters 2.50 (BLP)
  • T Sanli 2.50 (BLP)
  • A Carroll 2.62 (LIV)
  • E Adebayor 2.70 (whm)
  • D Bent 2.80 (ful)
  • J Defoe 2.87 (CHE)

A little quiz before we continue perhaps? Can you name the player in the top five of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorers this week that has scored more than 5 goals this term? There is only one and it’s Everton’s Tim Cahill with a tally of eight. In fact, if you look at the stats, Louis Saha has achieved zero goals in over 550 minutes played this term and yet he’s fourth in Paddy’s predictions here. That surely emphasises how injuries and fixtures conspire to make this a very tough Gameweek.

With Everton’s assets so highly fancied by Paddy, it seems they’re backing a goal spree for David Moyes’ side against Wigan, even though there are only two points dividing the teams. The clamour for Cahill as FPL captain looks justified on this evidence then.

Beyond the simmering Wayne Rooney, Fernando Torres is the first big gun to feature that offers at least some justification behind the odds. Although he’s drawn blanks in his last couple, his Fantasy potential is strengthening as Liverpool’s fixtures soften up. His Paddy price will go on dropping, particularly if he can find the net at St James’ this week.

Didier Drogba’s eight game dry spell came to an end last week with a penalty against Everton. In the face of Totenham’s form, and albeit leaky defence, Paddy is still confident he’ll be the goal threat he was at the start of the season. Interestingly Paddy prefers Scout Pick Mario Balotelli however, as he looks set to take the limelight against West Ham in the absence of Tevez.

Johan Elmander and Ricardo Fuller have been influential in both their clubs successes thus far this campaign, both looking likely to net with favourable home fixtures. Fuller’s team-mate, Kenwyne Jones finds himself at the very pinnacle of the goalscoring odds though and that, more than anything, demonstrates that this is a Gameweek that finds us relying on rough diamonds.

Paddy’s Scout Specials

This week’s Clean Sheet Accumulator with Paddy offers odds of 11/1 on Everton, Stoke and Man City all claiming shut-outs in the Gameweek. If you fancy a bet on some individual players meanwhile, you can check out our Scout Picks accumulator bet that has odds of 14/1 on one or more goals for Johan Elmander, Tim Cahill and Clint Dempsey. Those looking for a gamble on some longer odds can back Somen Tchoyi and Zolten Gera to both score in the Gameweek in our Fantasy Island Risks bet that carries odds of 25/1.

Paddy’s Money Back Special

The clash between Spurs and Chelsea at White Hart Lane is the chosen match in this weekend’s Money Back Special. If there are more than four goals in this game, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Bet £10 Get £20

If you’re new to this betting lark and new to Paddy Power then you can take up any of these odds and offers and get yourself a bonus. You can sign up via this site and get a free £20 when you register and bet a tenner.

Finally of course, we should state that all these offers are only available to those aged 18 and over and are subject to Paddy Power’s terms and conditions.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

605 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. RedNev
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    come on Nani!

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      +1

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      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        You capt Nani Tm?

        Congrats btw...

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Aye, wanted a last game captain.

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          1. RedNev
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Now that I've captained Nani he'll score 2 points 🙂

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          2. Christina.
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Always a good move. Any trades TM/MT/Leo?

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              Got Cahill in for VDV.

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              1. Christina.
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 4 months ago

                Nice. Next week should be interesting with gerrard/Lamps/VDV/Fabregas potentially back in the mix.

                Will HAVE to take my first hit of the season! Money burning a hole in my pocket.

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                1. Evs
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 4 months ago

                  Thats good will power Inalize or.... "jammyness" with injuries 🙂 !!!

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            2. DementedFlamingo
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              How 'bout you Inalize? You only opts behind so I hope you did something bold/crazy 🙂

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              1. Christina.
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 4 months ago

                Nah, boring I'm afraid. Dumped ACole-->Kyrgiakos.

                Next week potentially my first week without any Chelsea Players since Gw1(ala Popeye/Damn_Dan)

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                1. Cheggers
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 4 months ago

                  me too but im gona get drogba back for Bolton at home (or maybe fat frank)

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                  1. Christina.
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    Frankfurter will be in my team(if fit)from gw20-->

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          3. Cheggers
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Superstition eh?

            Gone Cahill so when he inevitably gets 2 points ill have to wait all weekend with it on him

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              Just an ugly week for captains. Didn't have great emergency captain options so Nani got the nod as we are both Portuguese.

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              1. Cheggers
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 4 months ago

                lol - i reckon im more portuguese than u and im irish.

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              2. DementedFlamingo
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 4 months ago

                Hey TM. You into you cricket though yeah? How big is cricket in Portugal? 🙂 Or did you start following when you came to Aus.

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                1. TorresMagic™
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 4 months ago

                  I was both in Australia. Have Portuguese parents & speak the language. Not sure about cricket in Portugal. I'll probably make captain there.

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                  1. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    born*

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                  2. DementedFlamingo
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    Haha. Well that makes ya fully Aussie if ya born hear mate. Just Portugese heritage 😉

                    Will ya be heading to Brazil for WC... I travelled 6months around South America a few years back and keen as to go to Rio.

                    Would be handy to have a fellow Aussie / Soccer fan / fluent Portugese speaking travel buddy *lol*

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                  3. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    WC? Alot can happen in 4 years. Brazilian is slightly different as they have a South American accent etc.

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                  4. DementedFlamingo
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    Ha.... Like when I first went to Scotland... I couldn't understand anyone for atleast a week in Glasgow...

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                  5. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    Where are you currently in Sportal? About to do my trades now before I go to bed as todays games aren't worth the effort.

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          4. Evs
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Rightio.

            Oi, I am flying on oz epl when i remember to do it ;-)?

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            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              Next season mate, get the practice in.

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              1. Evs
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 4 months ago

                I would have been fine If I dint leave team on "random" picks day 1 😥

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                1. TorresMagic™
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 4 months ago

                  Possibly but you would have still missed some weeks.

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                  1. Evs
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    15 years, 4 months ago

                    Fair point...

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  2. TO
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Thinking of balotelli (c) but the dude is crazy...
    he can punch the linesman for calling offside

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  3. Gubborr
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    Jarvis -> Silva as a last minute freebie ?

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  4. trisonetwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    probably

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  5. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    play brunt or nzogbia???

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    1. Grimmaldi - Send in the Clo…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Suppose Brunt seems slightly more sensible but I never like leaving N'Zog on the bench.

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      1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        i've bench brunty

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  6. trisonetwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    time is uppppppppppppppppppp.

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  7. trisonetwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    put down your pencils.

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    1. thehodge
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      I remember I always kept on writing. 🙂

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      1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        what is your first name hodge?

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        1. Christina.
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          "the"

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        2. thehodge
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Jordan.

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  8. Long ago I drew a walrus
    • 15 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    quuckly, who to captain, nani or torres?

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    1. Smarty Pants
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      too late, man, too late

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      1. Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        had u replied a minute earlier i could have done it

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        1. Long Live King Eric
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Had you a brain then you could take the decision yourself.

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  9. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    15 years, 4 months ago

    screw it. did nani out j.walters in and captained him

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    1. Boom!!!
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      lol

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    2. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      I captained A.Young. I win!

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    3. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      no u didnt

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    4. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Bold. Very bold. 😀

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    5. Mak_Gold
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Playing Samba and Barton(despite having Elmander and Kyrgiakos as well in the starting XI) over Jara and Adam.Hopefully it turns out well.

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    6. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      BOOM!!!

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      1. Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        hey

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        1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Ho

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          1. Christina.
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            ho ho Fanta Claus is in town

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    7. Cheggers
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Come on Marc Albrighton

      Make me proud

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    8. SuperDorrans
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Changed captain from Nani to Cahill before the deadline, lets hope it pays off! 🙂

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      1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Christ, I was wavering on that too! Held firm.

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      2. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        You and me both. Did mine with seconds of the deadline left. Go Cahill!

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    9. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Tevez captain?

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      1. Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        +1

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      2. Smarty Pants
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Torres the baby maker is my captain. Shame on you you don't captain him having such a nickname!

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Might be in my side next week depending on Mr Drogba.

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          1. Smarty Pants
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            You don't even have Torres? That's what Mr Drogba thinks of it: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rlc3BKT57yA

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    10. Zep
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      I came so close to confirming the Torres transfer... but my heart said no... lets hope that's the right decision 😕

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      1. Prhymeate
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        lets hope it's the wrong decision, i got him in for drogs!

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    11. Long ago I drew a walrus
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      sheesh, that was the most frantic deadline ive had all season! did drogba to torres, jarvis to silva for 4pt hit last minute!

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    12. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      no drog in my team for first time since gw1

      welcome mr baby maker

      finally the people at work cannot mock me for not having faith in the team i support and leaving out liverpool players

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      1. Cheggers
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Bad move for this week..

        Torres is this weeks Boselli/Elmander/Torres (v Blackpool)

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        1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          what???

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          1. Cheggers
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            He rarely scores away, Newcastle will have new manager syndrome and a fairly solid defence.

            Dumb move IMO

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            1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              newcastle will be on a low and torres will be on a high
              nuff said

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    13. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Well, good luck all - may your decisions stay in non-haunting mode ... 🙂

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      1. In Like Flynn.
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        And to you Merry Michael, did my congrats to all only to realise too late its bottom of the page of last link. "Sigh"

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        1. In Like Flynn.
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Thread?

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          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Needle and ... 🙂

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    14. njfsdkffslkf
      • 16 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      Last minute Torres in and (c). Hope it pays off. Probably wont.

      Come on the player revolt at Newcastle.....

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      1. Smarty Pants
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        He is my skipper too. He is due at least one goal to do the 'baby rocking celebration'

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    15. DublinDude
      • 15 Years
      15 years, 4 months ago

      The "Scouts Pick Acc" is worse value than combining the 3 players individually if your thinking about betting on it

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      1. Woy of the Wovers
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        But I don't know if 3 individual bets will get the same result.

        Those sorts of odds could make sense if the chances of the players scoring are not independent.

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        1. DublinDude
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          No i meant if you select them yourself to be put in an accumulator, not singles

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    16. Mak_Gold
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Deadline still an hour away in the Facebook game.Bought both Cahill and Torres.Who would you captain?I've gone for Cahill in the official game as I don't have Torres.

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      • The Wizard of Ozil
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Well, that's my f**king Christmas ruined...

        I ordered my turkey off Ashley Peacock.

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        1. disparate dan - a reasonabl…
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          LOLOLOL

          it will come already cooked

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          1. The Wizard of Ozil
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            hmm good point 😀

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      • Long ago I drew a walrus
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        lol, just seen the BBC page for west ham v man city, the hammers' top scorer has a picture of tevez next to his name, hammer legend indeed!

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      • Adnan Shah
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        I picked Baines as captain. Its a gamble but hopefully it will work.

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        1. Woy of the Wovers
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          I think he might be a good option.

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      • applebonkers
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        NEW POST

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        1. Christina.
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          -1

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      • Tin of Directors
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Just took out Elmo for Coleman and dropped Ridgewell to the bench.
        Silly or not?

        Also, if I put Ridgewell as 2nd sub behind a midfielder on my bench, if Coleman didn’t play does Ridgewell come in or will the midfielder block him? (playing 3 defenders)

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        1. Adnan Shah
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Ridgewell will come in.

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          1. Tin of Directors
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            100%?

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            1. Boom!!!
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              200%

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            2. Epic Fail
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              Definitely.

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              1. Tin of Directors
                • 16 Years
                15 years, 4 months ago

                I just hope it didn't register as I tried to put him 1st before it said the game is being updated etc.!
                GULP!

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                1. Tin of Directors
                  • 16 Years
                  15 years, 4 months ago

                  Saying that, it wouldn't matter would it!

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        2. In Like Flynn.
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          You must have three defenders so if 1 is not playing leaving 2, defence sub will come on wherever they are on your bench.

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          1. Tin of Directors
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Thanks all!

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      • Clarkie
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        (C) Defoe

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        1. Tin of Directors
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          LOL

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        2. DublinDude
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          lol

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      • Boom!!!
        • 15 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        do me proud fuller...

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      • cucumber
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Any 1245 kick offs today?

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        1. Boom!!!
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          no

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        2. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Yeah.

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          1. Boom!!!
            • 15 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            another EpicFAIL

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            1. Epic Fail
              • 15 Years
              15 years, 4 months ago

              Not really. Rangers are playing at 12:45

              Plus it's not exactly hard to look on the net to see what time the games are. Hence the lazy comment.

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        3. GREENDREAMS11
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          no, but there are 2 13:30's

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          1. Tin of Directors
            • 16 Years
            15 years, 4 months ago

            Two 13:30's tomorrow.

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      • Large Hardon Colluder
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        i think we should be allowed to carry the captain over to next week, just like you do with transfers. That way in a poor captain choice week you can have 2 the week after.

        Good idea? 😉

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        1. Tin of Directors
          • 16 Years
          15 years, 4 months ago

          Why you can't pick your 2nd captain is absolutely beyond me.

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      • Cheggers
        • 16 Years
        15 years, 4 months ago

        Albrighton and Coleman, please start

        that is all

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