[sbu_large_image] Scout Reports
27 January 2012 603 comments
J0E J0E
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Earlier this month, Bolton’s Gary Cahill became Chelsea’s first signing of the winter transfer window. The 26-year-old defender’s £7 million move to London presents an intriguing prospect for Fantasy managers and sees one of the most highly-rated Premier League defenders moving from a perennial relegation contenders to the dizzy heights of Champions League contention.

Chelsea certainly required rearguard reinforcements. Just six clean sheets from 22 games this season is hardly top four form.  In their title winning 2009-10 season, the Blues managed 11 clean sheets by the same stage and finished with 18. Even last term, when cracks in the defence were exposed, Chelsea had notched up 10 clean sheets by Gameweek 22.

Statistics

The appeal of Cahill, who is priced at 5.2 after starting the season at 5.5, is his combination of strong defensive qualities with an added goal threat. Dominant in the air, during the 2010-11 season with Bolton, he was among the top Premier League defenders in terms of winning aerial battles and firing in efforts on goal – notching three strikes over his 36 games played. Since starting as a senior player at Aston Villa in 2004 he has scored 17 league goals, the bulk of these with Bolton.

Cahill has suffered a frustrating season. With injuries exposing the fragility of Bolton’s squad, clean sheets, the bread and butter of a defender, have come at a premium. Despite this, Cahill has maintained decent form. Crucially, he is amongst a select pack of defenders, a group that includes Blackburn’s Chris Samba and Arsenal’s second best striker Thomas Vermaelen, who regularly register efforts on goal each match, posing a potent threat at set-pieces.

Cahill has notched twice this season, most recently in Gameweek 20 away at Everton. His goal, together with a strong defensive display, earned him maximum bonus points. Bolton’s opening game of the season, away to QPR, also saw him rewarded with two bonus points, after scoring and keeping a rare clean sheet. With 13 points in the Gameweek, his highest of the season so far, we saw huge early FPL investment in Cahill. However, Bolton’s following run of fixtures (MCI, liv, MUN, NOR, ars, CHE) led to an unsurprising slump and, week by week, we’ve seen Cahill’s early ownership dwindle away.

Prospects

Back on the radar following his move to London, early adopters drafted Cahill into their Fantasy squad ahead of Chelsea’s Gameweek 22 clash with Norwich and were left disappointed. Not only was he left out of the starting line, Andre Villas-Boas failed to find room for him on the bench.

Despite this omission, the Chelsea boss has indicated Cahill will get his chance; a lack of training time with the team was the key factor sited and Villas-Boas was keen to stress his belief that Cahill has the ability to play his part…

 He has good technical abilities which is important in the way we want to play and to implement our passing philosophy.

There’s every indication that Cahill’s chance will come very soon. There is speculation that he may even start for Chelsea in the QPR FA Cup game this weekend. If selected, it promises to be one of the most important games in his career; an impressive showing could see Cahill established early alongside Terry in defence.

On paper, Cahill looks a shoo-in to partner his fellow England international for the foreseeable future, but regular starts are far from guaranteed. Cahill faces stiff competition from the erratic but athletic David Luiz, with Branislav Ivanović also more than capable as a centre-half. Luiz, who has started the last five Premier League matches, won’t relinquish his starting role easily and, having kept a clean sheet at Carrow Road, Vilas-Boas may be resistant to immediate change. Chelsea have kept shut-outs in the last two matches with Luiz at the back, coincidentally around the time Cahill’s arrival was being hammered out.

Should Cahill impress and cement a starting role, there’s little doubt that he has the qualities to offer Fantasy potential. With Terry firing four goals from the back this term, Cahill will fancy his chances of exploiting Chelsea’s set-piece delivery to add to his own tally. Clean sheets will also be more plentiful and Cahill’s dominant style will likely see him amass clearances and blocks to tempt high EA Sports PPI scores and FPL bonus.

While hasty investment looks risky, once Cahill is established, his price tag will offer a relatively cheap and assured route to defensive returns within a top six side, with a strong goal threat thrown in. That looks a decidedly tempting proposition.

J0E Podcaster and writer. Tweets stats and stuff via @FFScout_Joe Follow them on Twitter

603 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. applebonkers
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 1 month ago

    seriously the world needs to piss off with all the cahill love
    if chelsea want the cahill and terry partnership that almost cost england automatic qualification in montenegro good luck to them. you know, the game which combined with cahill's hilarious club form has seen him frozen out of the england line-up since.
    this article sums up perfectly exactly why he's overrated. only thing mentioned are his goals (facts) and his aerial ability (a myth, last season his aerial duel percentage was only the 4th best IN HIS OWN DEFENCE).
    sorry jonty but this guy winds me up big time. when do you go from a team in the relegation zone to become nailed on in a top four side?

    here's my scout report:

    gary cahill - he costs 5.2mil and he's a big goal threat. if he gets in the team he has a much better chance of clean sheets than at bolton.
    fin

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    1. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 1 month ago

      😆

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    2. Goodfish
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 1 month ago

      I think, therefore I am. I think Cahill would be a decent pick seeing as he's one of the cheapies from a top 4 side.

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    3. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 19 Years
      14 years, 1 month ago

      "his aerial duel percentage was only the 4th best IN HIS OWN DEFENCE"

      A bit unfair given he contested more than double the number of duels than any other defender in that defence. Plus, in Fantasy terms, duels lost don't have any impact. The data shows that Cahill won more aerial duels than any other defender in the Premier League - aerial duels won = clearances = PPI. It won't matter how many headers he loses, there's no PPI penalty for that.

      If he can translate his clearances and blocks to a defence that keeps clean sheets and wins games, he'll gain a higher PPI. That's a big "if" though, presumably he won't be as busy in a Chelsea defence which won't be under as much pressure as Bolton's. Time will tell though, worth keeping an eye on.

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      1. applebonkers
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 1 month ago

        i probably shouldn't comment on cahill as he winds me up that much, well not even him, but opinions on him.
        my aerial duel point was yes he's won the most but then that ignores that he also lost the 3rd most amount in the league last season. you can say that's only because he contested so many which is fair enough, this however also taints the fact he won so many.
        from a fantasy perspective his aerial duel percentage not being the best may harm his chances of nailing down a spot in the chelsea defence, as for clearances it's become very clear that they have little to no impact on bps, otherwise samba and shawcross would get bps every week.
        like most (i'm guessing) i'll be all over cahill if he's a starter at chelsea, 5.2 for a goal threat like his in a top defence is almost unheard of.
        by beef is anyone who thinks he's set to walk into the team ("On paper, Cahill looks a shoo-in to partner his fellow England international for the foreseeable future..."). fair enough we all have opinions, as you can guess i'm baffled as to where cahill got this reputation from, a reputation that would make him going from relegation threatened bolton to the starting line-up of champions league chelsea such a formality.
        i don't get it and i've said why, it frustrates me as it feels like fighting against the tide so much

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        1. christoff
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 1 month ago

          Nope, I think you've just created a new tide for managers who are sharp enough, cheers.

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  2. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 1 month ago

    Please can I have a RMWCT

    Krul, Mignolet
    Kompany, Evans, Simpson, Caulker, Shotton
    Silva, Dempsey, Bale, Valencia, Sess
    Aguero, RVP, Ba

    Still trying to convince myself that having a strong front 8 isn’t a waste of cash and that Lindegaard is too much of a rotation risk.

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    1. N_Fatattack 42
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 1 month ago

      GREAT team tbh. I want to model mine after yours. In a way it's kinda boring as many have similar teams but it's going to reap rewards. I can guarantee it.

      I guess the only painful part will be rotating out players with a minimum price of 6.6/7. Maybe it's better to drop Sess / Valencia and bring in Cahi... I mean, a strong defender. Like Evra or Terry, etc.

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  3. JoeySamSam
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 1 month ago

    RMT please? 🙂 (0.3m in the bank, 1FT)

    Vorm - Sorensen
    Jones - Richards - Cahill - RTaylor - Simpson
    Bale - Dempsey - Sigurdsson - Larsson - Valencia
    Sturridge - RVP - Aguero

    I was thinking this week do Jones > (Taiwo?/Clark?), and then next week rid of Sturridge for Ba.

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  4. merdok04
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 1 month ago

    Should I go Morison or Helguson???

    Krul
    Simpson-Kompany-Assou
    Silva-Dempsey-Bale-Sessegnon
    Adebayor-RVP-Morison

    Vorm-Walters-Naylor-Boyata

    Should I play 5 mids with Walters?
    I like Morison, he scores pretty regularly...but still have 1.5 in the bank

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    1. merdok04
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 1 month ago

      this is wildcard week

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