[sbu_large_image] The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

6,689 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Mr Smith
    12 years, 10 months ago

    So how many their using their WC straight away and how much 'dead wood' have you for got to replace? Anyone happy with their teams and holding?

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Holding till the last GW.. Every year i wish the jan WC did not exist.

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Hey Valar, reckon the below is worth a shot? Having a mare of a run of late....

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    2. EverydaySuperhero
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Im happy with my team. Holding till the last week to see the potential line up changes. Just need to get rid of Ramsey but have two FTs to do that

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    3. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Trying to hold out til the deadline, but a recent run of bad luck may require early intervention.

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    4. A.T
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I will waiting till the last gw if I can. Pretty happy with my team anyway. Aguero back around that time is the main reason for me.

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      1. Mr Smith
        12 years, 10 months ago

        These are my thoughts exactly.

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    5. The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Holding until there is a DGW,
      If no DGW announced, then might change thinking

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  2. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Hardly taken any hits all season and now I'm really tempted with this 12 pointer....thoughts?

    Clyne, Mirallas, Ramsey & Hazard -> Kolarov, Walcott, Silva & Barkley

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    1. Clean Bandit
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Fortune favours the brave

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    2. Valar(Keith)
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Mirallas could well be back(Check Demi hot topic).. Hazard is looking fantastic, Kolarov will always be a rotation risk.. Any way you can just swap Ramsey for Wally? Maybe do Mirallas to Barkley IF you have to to free funds

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Well, I've already done Ramsey & Mirallas -> Barkley & Wally (4 points) and was think I could do with more City. Hazard has 2 tough games up next and he's a renowned flat track bully. Clyne is dropping in price and if he doesn't start then id have to play MOlsson (MUN).

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        1. Werkself
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          12 years, 10 months ago

          I wouldn't take that 8 pt. hit. Free transfer window opening next GW.

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    3. EverydaySuperhero
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Step at a time. Do Hazard to Walcott right now. Ramsey wont fall much till window opens. Then rid him for Barkley. Hits not worth it so close to the window imo

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    4. GunsnRoses
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Keep hazard

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  3. fifs
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Ozil, Ramsey, Silva -->> Hazard, Walcott, Nasri

    -4

    Surely yes right?

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    1. andres
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Why would you sell silva?

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      1. fifs
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Just to free up funds for the other two improvements

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        1. Let's Talk about Cesc …
          12 years, 10 months ago

          dont sell silva, otherwise its fine

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    2. FPLord
      12 years, 10 months ago

      surely a big no

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    3. Rolls-Royce
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I think this GW it might pay off big time! I currently hav all three and thinkin of givin arm band 2 nasri

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      1. 4-4-who?
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Short term thinking does not apply in this game. Consider fixtures over next 4 GWs.

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  4. Cobby
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Hi guys need a little help please.

    Ruddy
    Bardsley,Gabbidon,Terry,Coleman
    Fer,Ozil,Yaya,
    Lukaku,Suarez,Rooney

    bench:Bacuna,Morrison,Distin

    Take out Bardsley or Gabbidon and put Distin in?
    Please any thoughts are welcome.
    Thanx.

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  5. andres
    12 years, 10 months ago

    So how bad do we think city's rotation will be against palace?

    Hope silva plays both remaining games

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    1. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Remember he was out with an injury for five games, was eased back and now needs game time.

      I think he'll start.

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  6. King Kohli
    12 years, 10 months ago

    How do you begin to sort this mess out?

    Howard / Lewis
    Distin / Ward / Clyne / Burner / Wilson
    Ramsey / Hazard / Özil / Walcott / Whittingham
    Lukaku / Negredo / Suárez

    1 FT, £0.8m in the bank.

    A) Ramsey + Howard ----> Silva + Mannone (-4)
    B) Howard ----> 6.7 gk, bench Ramsey and play Whittingham
    C) Anything else

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      12 years, 10 months ago

      C) howard to chesney, ramsey to cabaye.

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    2. FPLord
      12 years, 10 months ago

      D)Özil, Lewis > Silva, Mannone

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      1. King Kohli
        12 years, 10 months ago

        That will mean keeping Ramsey, who I just got in at 7.5 and taking a hit on replacing my non-playing GK.

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  7. Rolls-Royce
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Well how many of u r keeping ramsey??

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    1. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Thinking about it. Do we know how long he's likely to be out for?

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      1. Rolls-Royce
        12 years, 10 months ago

        may be 2weeks

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        1. Jafooli
          12 years, 10 months ago

          Cheers Wiz

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    2. Perthite
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I think I'll keep him

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    3. Drogba "Unstoppable, U…
      12 years, 10 months ago

      keeping here

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    4. 4-4-who?
      12 years, 10 months ago

      No, he will go today.

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  8. Clean Bandit
    12 years, 10 months ago

    If you were chasing (really chasing) rank as I am, which player(s) is an absolute necessity over next (few) gameweek(s)?

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    1. EverydaySuperhero
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Walcott no doubt

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    2. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Walcott, Silva, Rooney, Suarez, Hazard, Coleman, Ozil.....

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      1. Clean Bandit
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Just got him in cheers. have all the rest.

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  9. Just A Hat
    12 years, 10 months ago

    I hope Baines is back this weekend, taking a -8 point hit for him this week may have been a bit over zealous - Chester saved my rash decison

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    1. 4-4-who?
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Or just stupid?

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  10. Jude Rooney
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Will there be any pressers today?

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    1. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Hopefully.......a few clues would be very useful right now.

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      1. Jude Rooney
        12 years, 10 months ago

        That's what I was hoping

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  11. FORCA INTER
    12 years, 10 months ago

    i am seriously confident in wilshire punt

    wont forget that UCL game where he scored twice

    without Ramsey his creativity will be great as well

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    1. Jude Rooney
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I think you've made your point........be fresh as a daisy though so not the worst

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    2. Nabs Kebabs
      12 years, 10 months ago

      i like it

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    3. A.T
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Good luck with that one Forca.

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    4. 4-4-who?
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Form, position, fixtures.... I'm not sure about this decision. Walcott is the way to go.

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  12. Jafooli
    12 years, 10 months ago

    % chances of starting the GW:

    1. Ravel
    2. Vlaar
    3. Negredo
    4. Silva
    5. Lukaku

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    1. Ole Gunnar Kush
      12 years, 10 months ago

      1 50%
      2 50%
      3 75%
      4 100%
      5 100%

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  13. HellasLEAF
    12 years, 10 months ago

    So.

    Burn a transfer on Ozil to Walcott

    Yes or no. Have two by the way

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    1. Just A Hat
      12 years, 10 months ago

      yes, easily

      Walcott is the most devastating FPL player after Suarez for me...he did almost nothing last night and could have come away with a hattrick - the perfect FPL player

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    2. Let's Talk about Cesc …
      12 years, 10 months ago

      if you can get significant improvements elsewhere by doing this, then do it. if not, then dont

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    3. A.T
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I think that's a splendid idea.

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      1. Jafooli
        12 years, 10 months ago

        This.....

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    4. Perthite
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Did the same with one of my FTs.

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  14. Valar(Keith)
    12 years, 10 months ago

    All us Kolarov suitors.. does zab out really imply Kolarov startin? Could be Boyata and Clichy no

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    1. Just A Hat
      12 years, 10 months ago

      do you have the link to Zab being out? Saw it last night but didn't save it

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Hot topics.. Demi i guess. Saw it last night too

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        1. Just A Hat
          12 years, 10 months ago

          is Ian Cheeseman reliable?!

          Seems odd that the manager would just come out and state Zabelta won't be playing

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    2. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I'll be getting Zabs back with my WC. Great having him for the long run in....

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Yup.. gonna go with terry and zab in jan

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  15. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Last Man Standing down to 343 after 39 got knocked out.

    Safety score was 37.

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  16. Mak_Gold
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Mignolet,
    Koscielny, Coleman, Chester, Chico,
    Hazard, Silva, Morrison,
    Suarez, Rooney, Lukaku.

    4.0, Clyne, Brady, Ramsey.

    2 FTs, £1.2m in the bank.

    Kos -> Burner, Ramsey -> Walcott for free. Yay or nay? Also, will Morrison start? I can bench Chico if he does.

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  17. Nabs Kebabs
    12 years, 10 months ago

    McGregor

    Coleman Sagna Burner

    Hazard Walcott Cabaye Mirallas

    Rooney(c) Suarez Lukaku

    Migs, Ravel, Williams, Ward

    0.3ITB, Save FT?

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    1. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Ya.

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  18. Siva Mohan
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Trailing the leader by 105 points..

    Lukaku >> Dzeko/JRod/Agbonlahor?

    Please suggest..

    Thanks!

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Dzeko most explosive

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      1. FPLord
        12 years, 10 months ago

        +1

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    2. GunsnRoses
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Delete your team. you won't make up

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    3. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Hooper?

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      1. Siva Mohan
        12 years, 10 months ago

        vs Man Utd next.. and only once Norwich scored more than 2 goals.. the other 3 options look better.. no?

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        1. Jafooli
          12 years, 10 months ago

          Yeah true......JRod then.

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  19. Shane Ferguson 4.0
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Gerrard will be back in Liverpool line-up instead of ________________?

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    1. Jafooli
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Allen

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    2. EverydaySuperhero
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Allen or Henderson

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      1. Jude Rooney
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Can't see it being Henderson - very versatile

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    3. Jude Rooney
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Allen or Sterling with a bit of rotation mixed in.......

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  20. Grounderz
    12 years, 10 months ago

    With Suarez only blanked at City, 448 overreacted managers have already taken him out. What in the world?

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    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Lol, I noticed that. Was -500 a minute or two ago there. 😆

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    2. GunsnRoses
      12 years, 10 months ago

      May be they are the geniuses

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    3. Jude Rooney
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Maybe left their team logged in and got fraped....

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  21. Cole-man of the Ca-hill
    12 years, 10 months ago

    500 teams have sold Suarez today.. Shocking!

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    1. Ole Gunnar Kush
      12 years, 10 months ago

      good

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  22. EverydaySuperhero
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Is it a good decision to get Ozil if I already have Walcott?

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    1. A.T
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think so. Better options out there IMO.

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    2. Ole Gunnar Kush
      12 years, 10 months ago

      no ozil is going to be rested

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  23. Cole-man of the Ca-hill
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Strange.. Three of us posted about the same at almost the same time.

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  24. Rolls-Royce
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Wats time in ur place Right now? Mine 1:30 pm

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Where are you?

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      1. Santi sensei
        12 years, 10 months ago

        at home 😀

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    2. GunsnRoses
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Where are you? Nepal?

      1: 15 pm

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    3. A.T
      12 years, 10 months ago

      07:46 am. Not the must interesting of times I'll grant you but at jest I've got breakfast to look forward to. Bacon butties if I play my cards right. Get in 😀

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      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        12 years, 10 months ago

        7:51AM. On the train to Belfast to work from my folk's house. Fairly depressing 🙁

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    4. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      11:52 pm in los angeles

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Whereabouts in LA?

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    5. GTS
      12 years, 10 months ago

      3:54pm

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  25. Shane Ferguson 4.0
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Ramsey OUT, who IN?

    A - Cabaye - ARS, wba, MCI, wha, nor

    B - Lallana - eve, CHE, WBA, sun, ARS

    C - Sterling - che, HUL, sto, AVL, EVE

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    1. 4-4-who?
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Lallana

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    2. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      C.

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  26. Jafooli
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone tried to get Suarez, Aguero, Rooney, Walcott, Siva & Hazard in the same team?

    Bet the rest don't look too great........

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    1. The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I had all of them until Aguero got injured
      Now changed to Negredo

      So I still have Suarez, Rooney, Walcott, Hazard, Silva
      Plus rest is Coleman, Mertesacker, Caulker, Debuchy, Cabaye and Whittingham

      So not THAT bad

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    2. The Gravless Sheik of Dream…
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I can fit in all of them if I want, dont know if this is considered bad though I nv do this as I have Lukaku now instead of Aguero

      GK is Mannone and 4mil
      Def is Fonte Chester Coleman Flanagan Coleman but Coleman has to downgrade to Gabbidon

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    3. reshardo
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Have them all and my team still looks good
      http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/25154/history/

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  27. Graziano
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Who is now a safer short-term bet for West Ham defense - McCartney or Rat?

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    1. Santi sensei
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Westham defence is not safe probably

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      1. Rolls-Royce
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Highest clene in the league, safe bet at home!

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      2. Graziano
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        12 years, 10 months ago

        They have more clean sheets this year than all Bundesliga teams together...

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  28. The Shoonchy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    12 years, 10 months ago

    I have the worst 5th defender in the game
    Plays almost every game
    Points per Game of 1.8
    Can't waste a transfer to get him out
    Can't play him unless I want a 1-pointer

    Sigh, Will probably stay until the WC

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    1. The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      12 years, 10 months ago

      I forgot to name him
      Nathan Baker

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    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      12 years, 10 months ago

      At least he can give you a 1-pointer.

      My 5th def is Faye.

      And to rub salt into wound, during the 2 games that he got 7 & 6 points, i benched him.

      Try beat that.

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  29. The Gravless Sheik of Dream…
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Hi when will the date for the Jan WC be till ?

    Have a FT this week wondering should I use it or save?

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    1. A.T
      12 years, 10 months ago

      Don't quote me but I think it's 1st January.

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      1. A.T
        12 years, 10 months ago

        Oops sorry didn't read that right. It actually starts at the beginning of January and finishes at the end of January.

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        1. Mr.B
          12 years, 10 months ago

          Isn't it usually the first GW in February

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  30. I am not a smart guy
    12 years, 10 months ago

    Chance of Negredo not starting? Wanna do a Chico + Ramsey + Lukaku -> Chester + Walcott + Negredo + a hit although I already have Yaya.

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