[sbu_large_image] The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Mr Smith
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So how many their using their WC straight away and how much 'dead wood' have you for got to replace? Anyone happy with their teams and holding?

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Holding till the last GW.. Every year i wish the jan WC did not exist.

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Hey Valar, reckon the below is worth a shot? Having a mare of a run of late....

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    2. EverydaySuperhero
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Im happy with my team. Holding till the last week to see the potential line up changes. Just need to get rid of Ramsey but have two FTs to do that

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    3. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Trying to hold out til the deadline, but a recent run of bad luck may require early intervention.

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    4. A.T
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I will waiting till the last gw if I can. Pretty happy with my team anyway. Aguero back around that time is the main reason for me.

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      1. Mr Smith
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        These are my thoughts exactly.

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    5. The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Holding until there is a DGW,
      If no DGW announced, then might change thinking

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  2. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Hardly taken any hits all season and now I'm really tempted with this 12 pointer....thoughts?

    Clyne, Mirallas, Ramsey & Hazard -> Kolarov, Walcott, Silva & Barkley

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    1. Clean Bandit
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Fortune favours the brave

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    2. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Mirallas could well be back(Check Demi hot topic).. Hazard is looking fantastic, Kolarov will always be a rotation risk.. Any way you can just swap Ramsey for Wally? Maybe do Mirallas to Barkley IF you have to to free funds

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      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Well, I've already done Ramsey & Mirallas -> Barkley & Wally (4 points) and was think I could do with more City. Hazard has 2 tough games up next and he's a renowned flat track bully. Clyne is dropping in price and if he doesn't start then id have to play MOlsson (MUN).

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        1. Werkself
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          I wouldn't take that 8 pt. hit. Free transfer window opening next GW.

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    3. EverydaySuperhero
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Step at a time. Do Hazard to Walcott right now. Ramsey wont fall much till window opens. Then rid him for Barkley. Hits not worth it so close to the window imo

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    4. GunsnRoses
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Keep hazard

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  3. fifs
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Ozil, Ramsey, Silva -->> Hazard, Walcott, Nasri

    -4

    Surely yes right?

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    1. andres
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Why would you sell silva?

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      1. fifs
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Just to free up funds for the other two improvements

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        1. Let's Talk about Cesc …
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          dont sell silva, otherwise its fine

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    2. FPLord
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      surely a big no

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    3. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I think this GW it might pay off big time! I currently hav all three and thinkin of givin arm band 2 nasri

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      1. 4-4-who?
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Short term thinking does not apply in this game. Consider fixtures over next 4 GWs.

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  4. Cobby
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Hi guys need a little help please.

    Ruddy
    Bardsley,Gabbidon,Terry,Coleman
    Fer,Ozil,Yaya,
    Lukaku,Suarez,Rooney

    bench:Bacuna,Morrison,Distin

    Take out Bardsley or Gabbidon and put Distin in?
    Please any thoughts are welcome.
    Thanx.

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  5. andres
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So how bad do we think city's rotation will be against palace?

    Hope silva plays both remaining games

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    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Remember he was out with an injury for five games, was eased back and now needs game time.

      I think he'll start.

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  6. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    How do you begin to sort this mess out?

    Howard / Lewis
    Distin / Ward / Clyne / Burner / Wilson
    Ramsey / Hazard / Özil / Walcott / Whittingham
    Lukaku / Negredo / Suárez

    1 FT, £0.8m in the bank.

    A) Ramsey + Howard ----> Silva + Mannone (-4)
    B) Howard ----> 6.7 gk, bench Ramsey and play Whittingham
    C) Anything else

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    1. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      C) howard to chesney, ramsey to cabaye.

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    2. FPLord
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      D)Özil, Lewis > Silva, Mannone

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      1. King Kohli
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        That will mean keeping Ramsey, who I just got in at 7.5 and taking a hit on replacing my non-playing GK.

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  7. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Well how many of u r keeping ramsey??

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    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Thinking about it. Do we know how long he's likely to be out for?

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      1. Rolls-Royce
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        may be 2weeks

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        1. Jafooli
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Cheers Wiz

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    2. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I think I'll keep him

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    3. Drogba "Unstoppable, U…
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      keeping here

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    4. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      No, he will go today.

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  8. Clean Bandit
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    If you were chasing (really chasing) rank as I am, which player(s) is an absolute necessity over next (few) gameweek(s)?

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    1. EverydaySuperhero
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott no doubt

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    2. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Walcott, Silva, Rooney, Suarez, Hazard, Coleman, Ozil.....

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      1. Clean Bandit
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Just got him in cheers. have all the rest.

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  9. Just A Hat
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I hope Baines is back this weekend, taking a -8 point hit for him this week may have been a bit over zealous - Chester saved my rash decison

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    1. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Or just stupid?

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  10. Jude Rooney
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Will there be any pressers today?

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    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Hopefully.......a few clues would be very useful right now.

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      1. Jude Rooney
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        That's what I was hoping

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  11. FORCA INTER
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    i am seriously confident in wilshire punt

    wont forget that UCL game where he scored twice

    without Ramsey his creativity will be great as well

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    1. Jude Rooney
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I think you've made your point........be fresh as a daisy though so not the worst

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    2. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      i like it

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    3. A.T
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Good luck with that one Forca.

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    4. 4-4-who?
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Form, position, fixtures.... I'm not sure about this decision. Walcott is the way to go.

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  12. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    % chances of starting the GW:

    1. Ravel
    2. Vlaar
    3. Negredo
    4. Silva
    5. Lukaku

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    1. Ole Gunnar Kush
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      1 50%
      2 50%
      3 75%
      4 100%
      5 100%

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  13. HellasLEAF
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    So.

    Burn a transfer on Ozil to Walcott

    Yes or no. Have two by the way

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    1. Just A Hat
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      yes, easily

      Walcott is the most devastating FPL player after Suarez for me...he did almost nothing last night and could have come away with a hattrick - the perfect FPL player

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    2. Let's Talk about Cesc …
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      if you can get significant improvements elsewhere by doing this, then do it. if not, then dont

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    3. A.T
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I think that's a splendid idea.

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      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        This.....

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    4. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Did the same with one of my FTs.

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  14. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    All us Kolarov suitors.. does zab out really imply Kolarov startin? Could be Boyata and Clichy no

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    1. Just A Hat
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      do you have the link to Zab being out? Saw it last night but didn't save it

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Hot topics.. Demi i guess. Saw it last night too

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        1. Just A Hat
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          is Ian Cheeseman reliable?!

          Seems odd that the manager would just come out and state Zabelta won't be playing

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    2. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I'll be getting Zabs back with my WC. Great having him for the long run in....

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Yup.. gonna go with terry and zab in jan

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  15. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Last Man Standing down to 343 after 39 got knocked out.

    Safety score was 37.

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  16. Mak_Gold
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Mignolet,
      Koscielny, Coleman, Chester, Chico,
      Hazard, Silva, Morrison,
      Suarez, Rooney, Lukaku.

      4.0, Clyne, Brady, Ramsey.

      2 FTs, £1.2m in the bank.

      Kos -> Burner, Ramsey -> Walcott for free. Yay or nay? Also, will Morrison start? I can bench Chico if he does.

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    • Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      McGregor

      Coleman Sagna Burner

      Hazard Walcott Cabaye Mirallas

      Rooney(c) Suarez Lukaku

      Migs, Ravel, Williams, Ward

      0.3ITB, Save FT?

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      1. Werkself
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Ya.

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    • Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Trailing the leader by 105 points..

      Lukaku >> Dzeko/JRod/Agbonlahor?

      Please suggest..

      Thanks!

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      1. Nabs Kebabs
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Dzeko most explosive

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        1. FPLord
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          +1

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      2. GunsnRoses
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Delete your team. you won't make up

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      3. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Hooper?

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        1. Siva Mohan
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          vs Man Utd next.. and only once Norwich scored more than 2 goals.. the other 3 options look better.. no?

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          1. Jafooli
            • 14 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah true......JRod then.

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    • Shane Ferguson 4.0
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Gerrard will be back in Liverpool line-up instead of ________________?

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      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Allen

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      2. EverydaySuperhero
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Allen or Henderson

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        1. Jude Rooney
          • 13 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Can't see it being Henderson - very versatile

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      3. Jude Rooney
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Allen or Sterling with a bit of rotation mixed in.......

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    • Grounderz
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      With Suarez only blanked at City, 448 overreacted managers have already taken him out. What in the world?

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      1. Big_Andy_GAWA
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Lol, I noticed that. Was -500 a minute or two ago there. 😆

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      2. GunsnRoses
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        May be they are the geniuses

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      3. Jude Rooney
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Maybe left their team logged in and got fraped....

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    • Cole-man of the Ca-hill
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      500 teams have sold Suarez today.. Shocking!

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      1. Ole Gunnar Kush
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        good

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    • EverydaySuperhero
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Is it a good decision to get Ozil if I already have Walcott?

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      1. A.T
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I don't think so. Better options out there IMO.

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      2. Ole Gunnar Kush
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        no ozil is going to be rested

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    • Cole-man of the Ca-hill
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Strange.. Three of us posted about the same at almost the same time.

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    • Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Wats time in ur place Right now? Mine 1:30 pm

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      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Where are you?

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        1. Santi sensei
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          at home 😀

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      2. GunsnRoses
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Where are you? Nepal?

        1: 15 pm

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      3. A.T
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        07:46 am. Not the must interesting of times I'll grant you but at jest I've got breakfast to look forward to. Bacon butties if I play my cards right. Get in 😀

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        1. Big_Andy_GAWA
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          7:51AM. On the train to Belfast to work from my folk's house. Fairly depressing 🙁

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      4. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        11:52 pm in los angeles

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        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Whereabouts in LA?

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      5. GTS
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        3:54pm

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    • Shane Ferguson 4.0
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Ramsey OUT, who IN?

      A - Cabaye - ARS, wba, MCI, wha, nor

      B - Lallana - eve, CHE, WBA, sun, ARS

      C - Sterling - che, HUL, sto, AVL, EVE

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      1. 4-4-who?
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Lallana

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      2. Werkself
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        C.

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    • Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Anyone tried to get Suarez, Aguero, Rooney, Walcott, Siva & Hazard in the same team?

      Bet the rest don't look too great........

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      1. The Shoonchy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I had all of them until Aguero got injured
        Now changed to Negredo

        So I still have Suarez, Rooney, Walcott, Hazard, Silva
        Plus rest is Coleman, Mertesacker, Caulker, Debuchy, Cabaye and Whittingham

        So not THAT bad

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      2. The Gravless Sheik of Dream…
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I can fit in all of them if I want, dont know if this is considered bad though I nv do this as I have Lukaku now instead of Aguero

        GK is Mannone and 4mil
        Def is Fonte Chester Coleman Flanagan Coleman but Coleman has to downgrade to Gabbidon

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      3. reshardo
        • 16 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Have them all and my team still looks good
        http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/25154/history/

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    • Graziano
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Who is now a safer short-term bet for West Ham defense - McCartney or Rat?

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      1. Santi sensei
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Westham defence is not safe probably

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        1. Rolls-Royce
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Highest clene in the league, safe bet at home!

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        2. Graziano
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          They have more clean sheets this year than all Bundesliga teams together...

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    • The Shoonchy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I have the worst 5th defender in the game
      Plays almost every game
      Points per Game of 1.8
      Can't waste a transfer to get him out
      Can't play him unless I want a 1-pointer

      Sigh, Will probably stay until the WC

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      1. The Shoonchy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I forgot to name him
        Nathan Baker

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      2. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        At least he can give you a 1-pointer.

        My 5th def is Faye.

        And to rub salt into wound, during the 2 games that he got 7 & 6 points, i benched him.

        Try beat that.

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    • The Gravless Sheik of Dream…
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Hi when will the date for the Jan WC be till ?

      Have a FT this week wondering should I use it or save?

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      1. A.T
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Don't quote me but I think it's 1st January.

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        1. A.T
          • 15 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Oops sorry didn't read that right. It actually starts at the beginning of January and finishes at the end of January.

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          1. Mr.B
            • 13 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            Isn't it usually the first GW in February

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    • I am not a smart guy
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Chance of Negredo not starting? Wanna do a Chico + Ramsey + Lukaku -> Chester + Walcott + Negredo + a hit although I already have Yaya.

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