[sbu_large_image] The Knee Jerk
26 December 2013 6689 comments
Mark Mark
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Boxing Day confirms the arrival of one heavy-hitting Gunners midfield asset, only for their star middle man to suffer an injury that threatens to trigger a wave of transfer activity. While thousands of Fantasy managers will be occupied by that particular pairing, a certain Saints striker remains largely ignored as he goes on providing ample points for a paltry sum.

The Game Changer

Theo Walcott’s impact on his return from injury has been almost instant. His brace at Upton Park turned the game Arsenal’s way and confirmed that Walcott is back amongst the top-level Fantasy assets available.

In truth, we’ve been crying out for Walcott’s arrival in our season. His record of 14 goals and 13 assists last season pointed towards great things this campaign but, derailed by injury, Walcott’s Fantasy potential has been tempered as the midfield has failed to keep pace with the output of our forwards. Until now.

Four goals in his three league starts suggest that Walcott can compete with the very top midfield assets, surpassing the scoring rate of his much-vaunted team-mates Mesut Ozil and Aaron Ramsey through sheer goal power. With David Silva and Eden Hazard also showing some consistency, focus is back on the expensive midfield targets.

Owned by just 5% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, a state of alert was declared with Walcott’s previous brace, mentioned in this article. Today’s returns will heighten that initial interest into a frenzy which is likely to accelerate significantly as January wildcards are laid down.

The Underused

The Gameweek drew focus on our Fantasy forward lines, as we contemplated the gamble of overlooking the devastating form of Luis Suarez. The likes of Wayne Rooney and Romelu Lukaku tempted the armband with so many Fantasy managers boasting one or both in their squads. Indeed, despite the recent injury to Sergio Aguero, few have considered dismantling their “template” strike force – it’s meant that Southampton’s Jay Rodriguez has struggled to get the Fantasy recognition he deserves.

Rodriguez notched a brace and an assist in Southampton’s fine 3-0 win at Cardiff to take him to eight league goals from his last 12 starts. That kind of strike rate, for an FPL fee of just 6.0, allows him to top the “value” rankings on 13.6, ahead of Luis Suarez.

Just as there is no doubt about the established pool of players that make up the typical forward line, there can be little argument on which player offers the best value for those who choose to risk plunging the price brackets.

Right now only 6% have dared cheapen their forward line and take up the Rodriguez option. With further heavy-hitting midfield options opening up, it will interesting to see how the January wildcard changes that particular statistic.

The Selection Poser

Aaron Ramsey’s rise to near essential status has been slowed of late thanks to a harsh fixture list and the potential return of Theo Walcott. Today’s events not only underlined Walcott’s appeal as an explosive alternative to Ramsey, it also saw the Welshman suffer an injury that could signal the first significant bout of sales.

Arsene Wenger has announced that Ramsey’s thigh injury suffered in the second-half at West Ham today, will rule him out for the rest of the Christmas programme. While some will wait for scans and further details, the news will mean Ramsey will sit out matches with Newcastle and Cardiff in the next four days. A Gameweek 21 return on January 13 could be on the cards, although the nature and severity of the injury is not yet clear.

Significantly, the injury comes off the back of a spell that has seen Ramsey return goals in just one of his last eight league matches. While a pair of assists has calmed any panic, that dip in form, coupled with today’s injury, will likely prove the catalyst for sales.

Having risen to 7.6 form an initial value of 5.5, Ramsey has a long way to fall, with thousands set to sacrifice funds when the decision to sell on is made. Again, the January wildcard will bring the Ramsey situation into focus. There’s little doubt that if Ramsey goes into the New Year sidelined, as expected, we will see a lot of movement away from the season’s stand-out midfielder, heading in the direction of Walcott. Current transfer statistics in the FPL already confirm such a trend, with Walcott and Ramsey topping the transfers in and out tables just a few hours after the final whistle.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Sheldon420
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Negredo (c) not a bad idea after all. Got me a 59k GW rank.

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Nice! mine Lukaku(c) was a big time fail

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      1. Crystal Pulis
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        dbl my (c) Suarez points though.. Not regretting it though. Cheers

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  2. Van Dal
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Why is everybody so sure Negredo wont start?

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      They aren't.

      Pure speculation.

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      1. I am not a smart guy
        • 13 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I would say a natural rational logical thinking.

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        1. SPorting
          • 14 Years
          12 years, 2 months ago

          Ah, you mean specualtion.

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          1. Gaz Downright
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 15 Years
            12 years, 2 months ago

            😆

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    2. mookie
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I'm not sure but i wouldn't captain him.

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    3. pompeyfan
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      nobody knows, but everyone is desperate to know - the perfect storm

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  3. Couti & the Below5th
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Already done Ozil > Walcott for my FT but I have £2.0 in the bank and am loathe to spend on GK/DEF so close to the wildcard. Stick or twist? Was toying with Jaaskelainen to Hart for a hit.

    Jaaskelainen, (Speroni)
    Coleman, Turner, Williams, (Lovren, Gabbidon)
    Hazard, Walcott, Whittingham, Barkley, (Januzaj)
    Lukaku (c), Suarez (vc), Rooney

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  4. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    My Current midfield:
    Oscar-Walcott-Silva-Ramsey-Jedinak

    Rival who I'm chasing has:
    Hazard-Silva-Ramsey-Livermore-Pozuelo

    Should I do?
    A) Oscar/Ramsey -> Hazard/Henderson(?) -4
    B) Oscar/Ramsey -> Yaya/Henderson(?) -4
    C) Hold and make the transfers free for the next gw

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    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      You want to be stuck playing Jedinak?

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      1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        I can play Chester. Jedinak remains on the bench in any case.

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    2. Couti & the Below5th
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Just shift Ramsey? Depends how much you have to spend

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      1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
        • 14 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        ,4 in the bank and selling value of 7,3m. But I think I must upgrade Oscar to either Yaya or Haz.

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  5. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Dzeko (c)

    Lukaku to get chopped?

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    1. HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      thinking the same

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    2. Crystal Pulis
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Please don't go there. Thinking the same...lol

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    3. pompeyfan
      • 16 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      I might also do this

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  6. Siva Mohan
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Ramsey + Lukaku >> Walcott + Dzeko

    Yay or Nay?

    Thanks!

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  7. Bastien
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    A. Howard & Walker & Ramsey > Manone Chester Yaya (-8)
    or
    B Non-playing 4.0GK to Harper(if McGr out) or Gazzaniga? (FT)

    id 161, if anyone wants to have a look

    cheers

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  8. Crystal Pulis
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    -4 to get Kompany or play Ward vs MCI?! grrrrr!!!!!

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    1. I am not a smart guy
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Which do you think is more likely to happen?

      A. City keeps a CS at home.
      B. City scores at home.

      Act accordingly 🙂

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  9. My name is an echo
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    what are the chances of yaya being rested?

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    1. rnrd001
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      that might be a concern indeed.

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  10. super zlatan
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on my team for -4?

    Szcz
    Coleman. Distin. Burner
    Hazard. Yaya. Walcott. Cabaye
    Suarez. Rooney. Lukaku

    Subs. Whitt. Clyne. Ward

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    1. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Looks delicious!

      Who will you (C)?

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      1. super zlatan
        • 15 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Probably Rooney

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  11. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Xmas rotation is getting the site paranoid.

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    1. Breadbin
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Need more Bemba scaremongering to push people over the edge.

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  12. Hay Number 2
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    I hate to say I told you so with the Rooney vs Suarez debate! I'm glad I stuck by my guns and chose Rooney for the (c). Thats 9 green arrows out of 10 🙂

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  13. Mr.B
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Have no ManC players so Lukaku/Ramsey to JRod/Silva worth a punt? Other option is to Negredo/Sterling or Januzaj. Silva a definite starter right?

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  14. New Post
  15. Cooper123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Sorry to repost but the family are arriving imminently so I'm in a bit of a hurry!

    Play Gabbidon away at City, or bring in Cabaye for a hit?

    Cheers all, much appreciated.

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    1. Mr.B
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Cabaye

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    2. Crystal Pulis
      • 15 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Do not play Gabbidon. -4 but not for Cabaye....

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  16. purav
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Is this team good enough to cross atleast 60 points coming game week?
    Marshal(harper)
    Distin Zabeleta Gabiddon (turner,fonte)
    Hazard Walcott Silva Yaya toure (Lucas)
    Suarez(c) Rooney Lukaku
    I am thinking of Lukaku>Rodriguez and with the saved money may me Turner>terry/mertesacker?
    yes or no?

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  17. l@sp0
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Should I transfer out Ramsey? I had him from the beginning of the season so I can sell him for 6.5.
    Seems like a bad deal when I have to buy him back at 7.6...

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      If in future you wanna buy back Ramsey..then don't sell him and if you don't sell him you made a good profit..

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  18. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Everyone talking about negredo being dropped reminds me of so many times I have overthought things based on speculation.

    A key example is when I was set to captain sturridge but got swayed by bib theory. he got double figures.

    The problem is a lot of 'casuals' in my minileague will captain negredo and I don't want to be crippled by overthinking!

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  19. Andy1
    • 16 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Any advice for the January wildcard ?

    When's the best time to play it? I am thinking after the gw22 deadline

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Depends on how your team is performing...

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  20. Mr. Perfectionist
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Are there Pre-Match Conferences for all clubs today??

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  21. Moin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Lukaku for:

    1. Lambert
    2. Rodriguez
    3. Carlton Cole
    4. Hooper
    5. Give him another shot
    6. Other

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    1. rnrd001
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      5

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    2. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      5

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    3. Mr.B
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Went with 2 to bring in Silva

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  22. rajib_jog
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Pl suggest whom to keep as captain
    (A) Rooney, or
    (B) Suarez...

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    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Rooney

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      1. rajib_jog
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks...

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    2. rnrd001
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      that's a headache indeed.
      I did not captain Suarez yesterday because I thought he would not get any chances because of City's midfield, but I was really surprised how big his chances were.
      So I might reconsider for this Week. Chelsea conceeded a lot of goals home until then.

      Rooney is so consistent though. Norwich defense is so bad..

      I think this will depends on whereas RVP will play some part or not. If he is, I will probably captain Suarez. He is the only player I see here who is nailed on 90 minutes game time.

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    3. BigManBakar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Suarez

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  23. BigManBakar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Hello everyone! What are the% chances of the following starting this gw?

    A) Yaya
    B) Silva
    C) Negredo
    D) Clyne

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    1. rnrd001
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      hum..

      A) 70
      B) 80
      C) 50
      D) 40

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  24. Mr.B
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Rooney or Silva?

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  25. goonerbeatyaa
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Ruddy
    Ivanovic / Zab / Colman / Sagna
    Walcott / Hazard / Barkley / Januzaj / Ramsey
    Suarez / Rooney / Lukaku

    0.5 in the bank
    Current rank; 6270

    Ramsey i have had from the start so if i take him out now he would have to lose 1m before his return for me to get him back for the same price.

    Am feeling not having any MCity players is going to hurt me but city have not been as prolific against the lower clubs at home.

    anyone have the time to offer some suggestions on what i could do with my team over the next couple of game weeks?

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  26. Wirtzle Gummidge
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    As all of my ML have Negredo and will probably give him the armband tomorrow ... it is safe to say... I could not be more excited.

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    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      who would you captain?

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  27. Park the bus
    • 14 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    4 seasons I have been playing this game and each time I have been knocked out of the cup in the first round by a dead team!

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    1. toxik
      • 13 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Me too, but first for me yesterday! Usually do quite well in cup!

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  28. Schürrle Class
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all!
    My team at the moment :

    Marshall ( Harper )
    Coleman Bardsley Mertesacker ( Vlaar and Fonte )
    Walcott Shelvey Yaya Cabaye ( Fer )
    Negredo Suarez

    0 FT and 2.1 in the Bank
    I used my FT bringing in Walcott for Ramsey
    Any suggestions?

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  29. DigitalSpoon
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Right ditching Ramsey and Shelvey for Walcott and __________?

    Got £4.6 Million to spend, I've been looking at Kasami and Mutch, but just seen Joe Allen is available for £4.5 Million and has played 90 minutes for the last 5 matches. Looks as though he's nailed and is playing for a side scoring, worth a punt or are Mutch and Kasami better options?

    Also are there any other potential gems for this price range?

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    1. Sooda
      • 12 Years
      12 years, 2 months ago

      Redmond?

      Got Man U next but thereafter its a decent-to-goodish fixture list

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      1. Sooda
        • 12 Years
        12 years, 2 months ago

        Mutch more likely to chip in with goals than Allen

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  30. Sooda
    • 12 Years
    12 years, 2 months ago

    Just done my transfers, perhaps I should waited till tomorrow but anyway..

    Ramsey and Lukaku out, Walcott and J Rod in...took the hit for it.

    Team:

    McGregor/Gazzaniga- N Baker, Coleman, Sagna- Yaya, Hazard, Walcott, Cabaye- Rodriguez, Rooney (c), Suarez (vc)

    Opinions and thoughts are welcome please

    🙂

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