[sbu_large_image] Preamble
24 May 2015 3813 comments
Mark Mark
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What a difference a year makes.

Just under twelve months ago I was lamenting my worst ever campaign in eight years of playing the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. I’d limped over the line, recording a rank of 192,837 – a pretty miserable result for someone who sleeps with the fixture list etched onto the back of his eyelids.

While there was no obvious excuse, it’s fascinating to reflect on the lessons I’d identified back then. It’s even more enlightening to see if I’ve really learnt anything from those struggles, and whether that’s helped me turn things around.

React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
The stubbornness which prompted the slow reaction to the form of Aaron Ramsey and Yaya Toure last season was well documented. This term I’ve been fortunate in that there have been no real equivalents.

I got on Harry Kane in Gameweek 15 and he scored 17 goals in the following 14 weeks. I guess I can take some credit for that. Other than Kane, it’s difficult to identify a bandwagon that got close to surprising us by maintaining form over a long spell. Charlie Austin is probably one I missed for a while – more on him in a moment.

It would have been interesting if, for some reason, I’d resisted Kane, missed the early goals and then allowed my stubborn nature to keep me from acquiring him. That might still be a weakness of mine – this season didn’t really test that too much, although the Austin situation hints that I’ve still got work to do.

As for hits, I’ve certainly used them sparingly, taking just three all season. I’ve no doubt that they can be effective and, as I wrote last weekend, coupling them with a banked transfer to make three changes will be a tactic I will definitely take into next season.

Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
I have had more conviction with my hunches. I backed Sadio Mane the moment he arrived and, while it took me some weeks to acquire him, once he was in, he stayed in. We know how that worked out.

Similarly, I adopted his team-mate Dusan Tadic off the back of his impressive early season statistics and held him long enough to ride out that Gameweek 8 haul.

These were both major turning points in the season but behind all that, my conviction that Eden Hazard would eventually surpass Cesc Fabregas and faith in Branisalv Ivanovic, Diego Costa and early investment in Kane, meant that I ticked over.

I still bought Aleks Kolarov for one Gameweek – just as a Christmas treat.

Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
For a few weeks, I thought I’d made the wrong decision on Fabregas but Hazard did, by Christmas, emerge as the better option.

I missed some opportunities but, in the main, I jumped on bandwagons around the right time and never really suffered from missing huge hauls.

Charlie Austin hurt me for a while – I was slow on that one, mainly because I felt that, eventually, he and QPR would be worked out. I was right to an extent, but I still missed out on some value hauls that would have probably benefited my season.

I’m not convinced I’ve learnt this lesson yet, then.

Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
I think this made an impact. The Gargatron tells me that I used just 10 different captains this time around, indicating that I’ve been more cautious.

For weeks I kept the armband with Diego Costa, lured in by his consistency. It hurt me on occasions and benefited me on others. Following his departure, I’ve largely turned to Sergio Aguero and Eden Hazard.

I think I’ve taken risks two or three times with the armband – it’s hard to say if that’s been a factor in the turnaround. Despite lacking the Luis Suarez option, I’ve been surprised that the captaincy has seemed to be a straightforward decision in the main. With Hazard around, it may well be even easier next season.

Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers
Sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
These two combine and, in many ways, highlight how a subtle change in rules can change the FPL landscape.

For a good part of last season, I’d backed the attacking full-back over the dominant centre-back and was punished by the bonus system which clearly favoured the latter. I actually doubled on Southampton (Calum Chambers and Luke Shaw), only to eject that tactic when it was clear it was failing miserably.

A year on, the double Southampton full-back has undoubtedly been one of the key strategies when forming our defences. For a good portion of this season, having both Nathaniel Clyne and Ryan Bertrand proved a mini-league game changer.

Overall, the bonus point system was tweaked, raiding full-backs no longer suffered heavily from failed dribbles and, suddenly, there was bonus balance at the back.

I didn’t have to adjust my tactics – the FPL put things right on my behalf.

There’s the new lesson to consider: if there are rule changes for next season, don’t underestimate how they can influence our strategies – however subtle they appear to be.

Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
Defenders scored 104 goals last season, which has declined to 90 so far this term.

The Chelsea pairing of John Terry and Branislav Ivanovic have benefited most from their attacking menace at set-plays and, by owning the latter all season, I guess I put this one straight.

By prioritising full-backs last season, I turned my back on the points earned from set-piece threat. Given that Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines have declined in goal output this season, there’s good reason to say that this has been more important than ever.

Arguably I made the right choice. Ivanovic has had that threat at set-plays, whilst also being an attacking full-back providing crosses. With Terry ageing, the Serb will be one of the first names in my 2015/16 squad.

If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.
I need to remind myself of this one over the summer: my Diego Costa habit almost de-railed my season at one point. Eventually, the Chelsea man repaid my faith but, at several stages, I questioned whether I was making a fatal error by holding him too long. I got away with it. Just.

I’ll resist Costa next season. I certainly won’t touch Daniel Sturridge.

Of course, as I also stated this time last year, every season hands us a set of different challenges that will ultimately decide the fate of our campaigns.

Sometimes single transfers like Mane and Tadic can make a major difference, sometimes it’s having conviction in a player like Ivanovic or Hazard that tips the balance. Alongside this, we have to enjoy some fortune – the right injuries at the right time, penalty saves, points from the bench. These can all conspire for and against us and sometimes, they just fall in place.

I’m not sure how much of my season has been down to this luck over my own judgment. I do know that it’s followed on from my worst ever campaign and that, in some ways, that may have helped. Perhaps this will come as some comfort to those who look on this season’s rank and flinch.

While I’ve spent this morning reflecting on the story of my own campaign, much of my focus today will be on the very top of the FPL rankings. Once again, we’re blessed with seeing members of our community competing for the top prize.

Simon March, aka “Dufflinks”, looks well placed to seal the title as he seeks to protect a 34-point lead. The likes of Kev Gleave, Jack Wain, Jon Sumner, Stuart Greenacre and AbuBakar Siddiq give chase – all either members of the FFS Leagues, posters on our pages or both.

It’s this that makes me most proud and convinces me that 2014/15 has been a season to savour.

I’ll be pre-ambling your way again in August.

Good luck to all.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

3,813 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Getting rid of Bellerin in GW34 was silly.

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Agreed

      Rotation prone they said

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Also meant I got Ospina instead and benched Schmeichel..... a lot!

      2. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Debuchy getting re-injured really didn't help. If I'd known that I would have kept him.

        Plus at the time I wanted 3 Arsenal attackers. When it came round to it I got Koscielny

      3. Hyperion
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        I expected Chambers to see more action but Bellerin has been playing too well.

    2. Hyperion
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Even sillier: I had to waste a transfer because I went for Debuchy in my GW34 WC!

  2. PlayON
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Killian here from PlayON,

    To celebrate the last day of the season, there's £2,500 in GUARANTEED POTS and £200 in FREE ENTRY games on offer today at http://www.playon.co

    Enter up to 3x teams in each game before the 15.00 deadline at:

    https://playon.co/en/premier-league/weekly-gameweek-38

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Gonna have a go. One last hurrah 🙂

  3. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    I'm sorry lads but Walcott is going off with a niggling injury for giroud I'm the 10th min

    1. Jay_
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Drogba off for Costa after 10 would be nice

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      What's that, Mane's record lasted just 8 days?

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Nope. Hatrick 😉

      I got rid of Cazorla for him so hope it doesn't backfire!

      1. Nobodinho
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        +42

        Got rid of Hazard for him.

  4. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Hazard playing = Broken furniture

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Probably not 100% after surgery.

      Someone will slap him hard and that will mess him up.

      1. The Mandalorian
        • 13 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Too late I've already smashed up a chair!

  5. AIRMILES
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Kept Hazard. Only cock-up was bringing and captaining Costa. Hope he either stays on the bench or comes on and scores.

    Apologies - completely pointless comment

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      He will come on its nailed on

      1. AIRMILES
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        I'd really have thought Drogba would be brought on to finish the match, as presumably he won't play the full 90(?)

        1. Rhinos
          • 12 Years
          11 years, 1 month ago

          No way he plays 90 the whole point is for the standing ovation when he comes off

          1. AIRMILES
            • 14 Years
            11 years, 1 month ago

            Oh yeah, true

    2. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      That's a massive cock up you may aswell go the pub and drown yourself in beer.

      1. AIRMILES
        • 14 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Tempting.

  6. Rhinos
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    So after last week shambles of taking out Mane rather than getting PVA this week's shambles is a 16pt hit yo get Costa 😎

    1. Captain Peacock
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe just play it safe next year

      1. Rhinos
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Nah not my style hence don't usually do that we'll outside of mini leagues

  7. Venom Snake
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Should of taken a hit for a defender..

    1. Captain Peacock
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      I did! Go Terry, get that record number of goals!

  8. Tomeister
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    who will score more, kane or ivanovic?

    1. Give us a smile
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Ivan

  9. Optimus.
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    I'm thankful for that "Hazard trained on Saturday" tweet this morning,it restrained my knees

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      I did my transfers about 10 minutes earlier.

      1. Optimus.
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        I'm surprised I waited 😀

      2. Nobodinho
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Same 🙁

        Got rid for Walcott though.

    2. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      I saw it before making the transfer but it was 4 minutes before deadline. Couldn't be bothered researching too much!

      Rivals got rid anyway so not too bad

    3. Nabs Kebabs
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      when did u see it? i saw the one that in the comments on here that popped up 30mins befoere deadline, minutes after i traded haz for a hit...

      1. Optimus.
        • 15 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        11ish like yourself

    4. TheCurseOfRaheem
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Did my moves a few hours earlier as I was sleepy. Frustrated is not the word.

  10. da Beeeez
    • 16 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Help ME. Different game and deadline not up yet.

    BENCH ONE!

    Hazard - Silva - Sanchez - Walcott - Ozil
    Aguero - Benteke - Vardy

    It's Ozil, right?

    1. Hibbopotamus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah that's what I'd do

      1. da Beeeez
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        thanks

    2. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Correct

      1. da Beeeez
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        thanks, but seems weird

  11. Cojiro
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    It's a nice feeling having Hazard as a differential for once!

    1. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      I know right, first time I've been able to really want him to do well, even as captain he's just been neutralising the rest.

      1. Cojiro
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        My ML rival is winning by 6 points and he sold him for YaYa!

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      3pointer 😀

      1. Cojiro
        • 11 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Probably!

    3. AIRMILES
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      256k transfers out.

  12. Nabs Kebabs
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Tekkers(c) do me proud

    1. Az
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      hell yeah!

    2. Our Man Charlie
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      this

    3. Paganoi
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Please God

  13. CABAYE4
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    First and hopefully only time cheering on Man U today!

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      I'm a Sunderland fan and I'd rather hull go down to be honest. Hate Bruce.

  14. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Kept Haz, sold De Gea, Kos and Fellaini not starting but could be worse. Hopefully get XI out!

  15. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Would you play Kane or Jelavic in UFPL?

  16. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    UFPL

    PVA (che) or Clyne (Manc) 🙁

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      or Lescott (ars)

  17. Game of Stones
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Todays key-points from line-ups:

    No Giroud - Alexis/Walcott up front.
    Koscielny & Ramsey on the bench - Gabriel & Wilshere starts.
    Guzan remain on the bench - Steer starts.
    Ulvestad & Keane starts - Duff on the bench.
    Hazard starts despite dental issues.
    Costa on the bench - Drogba starts.
    Cech in goal - Azpi back at LB.
    Murray on the bench - Chamakh starts.
    No Siggy in Swansea team.
    Di Maria comes in for Fellaini.
    Kompany remain on the bench.
    Aguero lone striker again.
    Cisse & Riviere starts up front - Perez and Cabella on the bench.
    Sakho back in starting XI - Lovren on the bench.
    Sterling benched.

    1. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      ADM in is an interesting one, could murder them on the counter.

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Shelvey benched

      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Shelvey not in 16...on the shelf

        1. Jax
          • 16 Years
          11 years, 1 month ago

          *18

    3. Optimus.
      • 15 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      And none of this affected me 🙂

    4. AIRMILES
      • 14 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Carver's really pushing it with Cisse. I flirted with the idea of bringing him in, but only expected 30 mins, so went for Lukaku. Interesting to see how long Cisse lasts. Hope he doesn't do himself an injury.

    5. Jax
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Naughton starts also...

    6. bigbudgie
      • 11 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Duff arghhh!

      I'm down 1 Koscielny 1 Ramsey 1 Duff

      Smikes
      Terry Ivan PVA
      Hendo Sanchez Haz Albrighton
      Kun Benteke Ulloa

      11. Phew

    7. Captain Peacock
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Good, Pellegrini is smart enough to stick with what works.

    8. World XI
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      thanks so much. Just took out siggy in UFPL.

  18. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    I have Giroud and Kosc who both are not starting! Arghhh. Eriksen and Skrtel first 2 subs

    1. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Boyd and Clyne for me 🙁

  19. The Sarjeant
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Costa (c) fail.

    1. Judas
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      yep. all my rivals captained aguero

  20. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Drogba on pens?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      could be

      1. Jax
        • 16 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        Hazard

        1. Kerz
          • 11 Years
          11 years, 1 month ago

          Drogba's final game in the Prem...

          1. Jax
            • 16 Years
            11 years, 1 month ago

            Doesn't mean anything.

  21. Stimps
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Hazard, you have served me well all season, but as of right now.... i hate you, With a f*cking passion, boliase? go nuts please, yours truely, hazard seller x

  22. Sánchez
    • 13 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Hazard wont play more than 45 mins
    Theo the same.

    1. Salfpilgrimlfc
      • 12 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      Don't mind 45 mins is better than anyone I have on my bench 🙂

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      why start him? might as well bring him on for an ovation at around 60 mins

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        11 years, 1 month ago

        He probably wanted a 100% starting record

    3. BruLee
      • 13 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      lol ok

  23. Yolo Toure
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    No Koscielny and Fellaini for me. Skrtel and King coming in. Disaster.

  24. Hyperion
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Ohh Koscielny and Ramsey benched! Think I've lost my ML, I feel sick.

  25. Tomeister
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Whos up front, sanchez or walcott?

    1. Jax
      • 16 Years
      11 years, 1 month ago

      both

  26. Venom Snake
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Everyone starting for me. Have PvA coming on for Duff though lol

  27. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Not sure about Gomis with Shelvey & Siggy out

  28. Yolo Toure
    • 11 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Did Ramsey to Walcott for a hit 😉

  29. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Ultimate team set, now to watch the carnage unfold...

  30. In Like Flynn.
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    11 years, 1 month ago

    Thank God my bench are all starting.