[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
17 October 2015 1890 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual Saturday morning trawl for some overlooked Fantasy options sees us place our faith in a couple of hot-headed frontmen with favourable home encounters on their agendas. Southampton’s playmaker also earns a nod as Ronald Koeman’s men embark on a very kind run of fixtures.

Diego Costa

In the same way that Sergio Aguero and Alexis Sanchez silenced their critics in emphatic fashion with explosive Fantasy returns, one would imagine that Diego Costa’s undoubted class will eventually shine through and spark a much-needed hot streak. To that end, Chelsea’s home tie against Aston Villa this Gameweek could provide the perfect antidote for the Blues’ ailing offense, considering that Tim Sherwood’s men shipped eight goals in their last trio of road clashes.

Costa’s most prominent failing this term has been a lack of goal attempts; Radamel Falcao has mustered as many shots on target (four) as the combative frontman, despite being afforded less than half his pitch time (231 minutes compared to 540). It bodes well, then, that only Leicester and Norwich City surrendered more shots inside the box (22) than Villa during the last two Gameweeks.

With a large portion of Sergio Aguero’s ownership pinpointing Graziano Pelle – who’s the most transferred in player this Gameweek – as the most viable replacement, the 10.9-priced Costa (6% ownership) could be an impactful purchase. If he can rediscover his groove against the West Midlanders, Chelsea’s excellent run through to the New Year – which includes a quartet of strong home encounters (NOR, BOU, SUN, WAT) – plays right into Costa’s hands.

Dusan Tadic

Beyond Graziano Pelle (three goals and four assists in three) and Sadio Mane (two goals and three assists in three), Dusan Tadic (three goals in five) makes the most cogent argument for investment among Southampton’s attacking contingent. Priced at 7.0, the Serbian playmaker serves as a cheaper route into a Saints outfit that netted eight goals in their past four match-ups and is buoyant in the wake of a 3-1 victory over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge.

From a statistical standpoint, Tadic has excelled over the past four Gameweeks. Aside from tallying six attempts, he ranked joint-fourth among his counterparts for key passes (14). Moreover, taking the campaign as whole, Mesut Ozil (one every 19.5 minutes) and Erik Lamela (20.2 minutes) are the only midfield starters to boast superior key-pass frequencies (23.1 minutes) than Tadic, underlining how pivotal he is to Southampton’s build-up play.

The Saints’ next match-up finds them hosting a Leicester City side that ranked second for goals against (10) and shots inside the box conceded (44) across the previous four Gameweeks, exposing their paucity of defensive resolve. With three more favourable home encounters (BOU, STO, AVL) and a trip to Sunderland also to follow in the next seven Gameweeks, the 6%-owned Tadic could be a real contender in the mid-price bracket.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Notwithstanding their 6-1 mauling at the hands of Manchester City last Gameweek, Newcastle United will take solace from Aleksandar Mitrovic’s first goal of the campaign. Fantasy managers will understandably be wary of recruiting from the Tyneside outfit – given that no side has chalked up fewer goals (six) this campaign – but it’s worth bearing in mind they’ve already squared off against six of last season’s top six teams and now embark on an agreeable schedule (NOR, sun, STO, bou, LEI, cry) through to Gameweek 15.

Despite facing off against Chelsea and Man City in the last two Gameweeks, the former Anderlecht marksman managed to rack up six shots inside the box – only five forwards carded more. Next on the agenda for the Magpies is Norwich – who’ve conceded the most shots inside the box (48) and second most big chances (11) over the last two Gameweeks – which suggests Mitrovic will have an easier time fashioning chances.

Valued at 6.2, Mitrovic is certainly friendly on the budget, though the real problem up until this point has been his temperament. If he can curtail the aggression that’s resulted in two yellow cards and a sending off in just over 300 minutes with the Magpies, his predatory eye for goal looks key to steering Steve McClaren’s outfit up the table.

1,890 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Larry Legend
    11 years, 7 days ago

    This AOA chip isn't much help, in fact it's annoying. Good luck getting the stars to align so when you only have 2 nailed on defenders you also have a full suite of 8 attackers. :-/

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      11 years, 7 days ago

      This.

  2. Snapes on a Plane
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Thoughts on my WC team?

    Begovic(Butland)
    Davies--Cedric-galloway-dawson-monreal
    Sanchez-YYT-Hazard-Payet-Drinkwater
    Pelle-Vardy-Bony

    Planning to replace dawson +drinkwater +bony > Williams+Cabaye+Mitrovic
    or
    Should i stick to my current team?

    1. Larry Legend
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Look at all the injuries at the moment. You are exposing yourself to several possible our likely rotation risks. I wouldn't do that on a WC, because bang goes your security blanket.

      It's a cracking team for the next few weeks though.

  3. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Wc team good to go? The clock is ticking

    Begs
    Dawson bellerin janmaat
    Haz Sanchez. KDB (c) Mane
    Pelle. Vardy ayoze

    .1 itb
    Set up so I can downgrade haz to Wally if needed and vardy to lukaku

    Also a 2 move kun back option

    Is it looking OK?

    1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Sub's Mahrez Berty Simpson

    2. Numb
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Yeah, looks good - no obvious holes. I could make suggestions but they would only be about personal preference so I won't.

      1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Thanks numb. Definitely interested to hear them.always appreciated

        1. Numb
          11 years, 7 days ago

          I am not keen on Janmaat but he might be a good punt to be honest. I also thinks there's better value than Hazard.

          1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Absolutely agree with hazard ..its kind of a last chance saloon with Walcott not certain to start.. Janmaat is a punt really

            Appreciate the feedback mate..good luck this gw

    3. Takedog1
      11 years, 7 days ago

      great team.

      1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Thanks mate and good luck

  4. Sponge-worthy
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Planned on keeping Berahino for today, but with the injury and all, should I do Bera -> Vardy for a hit?

    1. Numb
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Yes

    2. Big Col
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      With WBA at home against Sunderland, I'd stick

      1. Big Col
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Sorry didnt realise he was injured, in that case take the hit.

    3. Rolls-Royce
      11 years, 7 days ago

      No

    4. Sponge-worthy
      11 years, 7 days ago

      If I'd know for sure, he'll play, I wouldn't even think about this.

  5. Evasivo
    11 years, 7 days ago

    What would you do?!

    Schmeichel Gomes
    Cresswell Kolarov Francis Martin Muniesa
    KDB Payet Mahrez Sanchez Westwood
    Gomis Ighalo Aguero

    £5.5ITB & 0FT

    1. Woy of the Wovers
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Aguero > Pelle

      1. Evasivo
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Oops sorry, I forgot to change. That moves already been done. That was my freebie

        1. Woy of the Wovers
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Lucky boy. Could do Westwood > Mane and bench Ighalo. On balance, I'd keep the points.

          1. Evasivo
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Thanks Woy! Think I'll stick for the moment, makes sense

  6. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    On WC, Should I switch Mahrez for Wijnaldum or is this good to go?

    Hennessey
    Azprilicueta, Bellerin, Jagielka
    Hazard (c), KDB, Sanchez, Mahrez
    Pelle, Vardy, Lukaku

    Butland, Wanyama, Moreno, O'Shea

    1.1ITB for future transfers

    1. Mark-O
      11 years, 7 days ago

      G2G

    2. Evasivo
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Payet over Mahrez as you already have Vardy?

      1. Big Col
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Unfortunately thats not an option as I have had Mahrez from the star, selling value is only 6.0

        1. Evasivo
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Azpi >Bertrand and Mahrez>Payet

    3. Dormer
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Why Azpi over say Betrand? Chelsea are still untrustworthy this year

      1. Big Col
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Expecting Chelsea to come good, starting today.

        1. Dormer
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Why are you expecting that Lardy?

      2. Sponge-worthy
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Hi George!

        1. Dormer
          11 years, 7 days ago

          haha

  7. Rolls-Royce
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Hazard Captainers, group HUG.

    \o/

    1. Valar(Keith)
      11 years, 7 days ago

      just shifted my team around to become an owner and captainer 🙂 ...
      Hopefully we dont need a hug post game 🙂

    2. Woy of the Wovers
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Picture of drowning man?

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Yeah I'm with you.

  8. aleksios
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Good morning to everyone Your opinions are welcomed .My team is:

    Hart, Cech
    Sagna, Kompany, Coleman, Smaling, Clyne
    Mahrez, Pedro, Coutinho, Sako, Ayew
    Pelle, Diouf, Lukaku.

    Would you:
    a)change Diouf to Vardy , pedro to kdb, sagna to souare for -4
    b)change pedro to kdb , coutinho to mane , sagna to souare for -4
    c) play wc
    2 transf, 1.3 MITB
    thanks to all

    1. Del Griffiths
      11 years, 7 days ago

      A, I think. Coutinho might have the new manager factor.

  9. Hip_HipToure
    11 years, 7 days ago

    WC team, thoughs?

    Howard Elliot

    Janmaat Kompany Bertrand Dawson Simpson

    Hazard Sanchez KBD Mane Mahrez

    Pelle Mitrovic Ighalo

  10. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Gomes @4.6 with poor fixtures but save points and Bap potential
    Fabianski @5 with good fixtures, better team, same amount of save points but less bap potential.
    Got 0.4 lying around and wondering if it's worth using it to upgrade Gomes(on WC)

    1. Numb
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Don't think so. And who knows when you'll need that 0.4...

      1. Valar(Keith)
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Cheers numb.. i checked some stats and Fabianski actually has more save point potential than Gomes and plays for the better team. 0.4 does not seem all the much for an upgrade like that 🙂 .. though i will probably rue not having money in the bank in a few weeks 🙂

    2. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I reckon so Valar.

      1. Valar(Keith)
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Cheers mate..

    3. LewanGOALski
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Fab

      easier swap to Howard when EVE nice fixtures come around too

    4. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Yes, rotation, single striker, no bonus

      1. Valar(Keith)
        11 years, 7 days ago

        ummm.. 🙂

        1. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Lol, too fast

    5. Big Col
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Save the cash for a rainy day, dont go in with nothing in the bank

  11. Stats Don\'t Lie
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Which one would U prefer to play lads?

    A) mahrez + huth (worried of mahrez rotation risk)
    B) mahrez + any defender to replace kolarov (-4)
    C) Costa/pelle (-4) + huth

  12. LewanGOALski
    11 years, 7 days ago

    should I play Mahrez (sou) or Hoolahan (new) ??

    *I have Vardy too

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Hoolahan or aoa

      1. LewanGOALski
        11 years, 7 days ago

        AOA used already 🙁

      2. Stats Don\'t Lie
        11 years, 7 days ago

        This

    2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Hoolahan for me.mahrez got back late..not worth the 1 pointer risk

      I have benched him so I'm backing it up..playing ayoze instead

  13. The Suspended One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Only fielding Huth and Gabriel, Saylor out for (-4) and which 5.4 in?

    A) Bertrand
    B) Williams
    C) Janmaat
    D) Fonte

    (Myhill/Henneseey keepers, Dier and Kolorov on bench)

    1. KeepCalm
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Janmaat if your the adventurous type. Bertrand safe choice

    2. Fumi
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Berty

  14. Leeds-Utd
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Start Ighalo or Redmond today??

  15. Jax
    11 years, 7 days ago

    One of my friends did -20 after having done -8 before all of these injuries started cropping up. hate that!

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Wc time

      1. Jax
        11 years, 7 days ago

        he's used it already!

  16. Hazardous Liege '76
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Kolarov to Kompany or Gomez to Janmaat?

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Sounds reasonable.

    2. Art Vandelay
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I prefer K to K apart from the slight doubt over him starting today. Janmaat would be more fun though.

    3. Zimppa
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Kolarov to Kompany. I'm steering clear of that Newcastle defence

    4. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      11 years, 7 days ago

      I have sneaky feeling kompany come on later in game..janmaat for me

    5. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Neither for me. Kolarov only out for 1GW and has the same fixtures as does Kopmany. As for Janmaat....you getting in a defender from a defense that's leaky and hoping his attacking returns justify getting him in. Seems like a tall ask IMO.

      Kompany out of the two if you must.

      1. Camp No No
        11 years, 7 days ago

        2GW's according to current knowledge. Clichy is back by then.

        1. Mata-Is-The-Juan
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Fair enough. I guess Komapny wins cos of fixtures over Janmaat for me. Though I'll admit to not being a fan of the NEW defense .

          1. Camp No No
            11 years, 7 days ago

            I think Kompany is odds-on to start this GW, in fact, so there's a big difference between him and Kola.

            1. Camp No No
              11 years, 7 days ago

              Also nailed-on when fit, unlike Kolarov.

  17. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Mahrez played my game today?

    A - Yes

    B - No

    1. NATSTER
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Owner, so A

  18. The Man Pastore
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Is Sturridge fit? Will he play?

    1. Jax
      11 years, 7 days ago

      yeah

    2. Meinhoff
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Reports say no

      1. Camp No No
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Which reports? Source?

        1. Jax
          11 years, 7 days ago

          no sources are correct.

  19. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Mahrez to Hazard for Aston Villa last season would have been a no brainier!

    Yet this season I'm debating it to unhealthy levels.

    Make the move and move on or hold your horses?

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      You do it, I do it. Been sitting here for 18 hours with my finger hovering.

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Ha ... Go on then let's do this ... Green arrows for us mate!

        1. Forever In Our Shadow
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Doing it now. Play hard or go home is my motto !

          1. Forever In Our Shadow
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Done. Mine was for -12. :-O

            1. Gideons Rolling Another One
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              11 years, 7 days ago

              Boom. Hazard in. -12

              Comforting to know that there is someone else out there who is equally as clever or as stupid as me!

              1. Forever In Our Shadow
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                11 years, 7 days ago

                Good chap and good luck. Rolling by name rolling by nature. 😉

                1. Gideons Rolling Another One
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  11 years, 7 days ago

                  Good luck mate. It's done down!!!

              2. Forever In Our Shadow
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                11 years, 7 days ago

                Mine was -12 too lol

      2. Fumi
        11 years, 7 days ago

        This. I think I might take the plunge too.

    2. Rolls-Royce
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Keep mahrez

      1. Forever In Our Shadow
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Can I ask why? I am nervous of his game time.

      2. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Your not the only one to say that to me this morning!

  20. Jax
    11 years, 7 days ago

    So will have 10 players this week unless Targett makes a rare appearance form the bench. Had 9 last gameweek and still scored over a tonne. meh!

    1. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      take a hit then!

      1. Jax
        11 years, 7 days ago

        I have done -4

  21. Flynny
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Hi.....Who should I captain out of

    Pelle, kdb, yaya

    Had armband on pelle most of the week....

    Stick with him?

    Thanks

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Pelle for safety. KDB for a punt. Yaya is a really risk too far.

  22. AleksanderVN
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    A: Gomez, Pedro, Kolarov, Mahrez
    ->
    B: Janmaat, Hazard, Bellerin, Wanyama

    Do you fancy B to beat A by more than 16 points?
    Tbh I think it could happen this week alone.

    1. Fumi
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Yeah thats close

  23. Takedog1
    11 years, 7 days ago

    WC activated! final draft! all help appreciated!!

    bego / henn

    bellerin / cedric / kompany / dawson / cameron

    sanchez / yaya/ walcott / kbd / mahrez

    vardy / ighalo / pelle

  24. NATSTER
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Another -12 Gameweek then.

    Dawson - Richards - Simpson - Targett - Kolarov*

    Do Kolarov -> Bellerin

    Yes or No ?

    1. Zimppa
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Hmm, not sure about doing it for a hit. Depends on the rest of the team you are fielding

      1. NATSTER
        11 years, 7 days ago

        I have 7 to play upfront.

        KDB - Mane - Alexis - Payet - Mahrez
        Pelle - Vardy (Kun)

        1. Zimppa
          11 years, 7 days ago

          I would wait. If Bellerin gets his clean sheet you only gain 2p, compared to -2p if Arsenal concede a goal.

    2. najk
      11 years, 7 days ago

      No. Kolarov is back soon

  25. Paramaribo
    11 years, 7 days ago

    Guys, what do you think are the chances for Zouma to play today?

    1. Camp No No
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Team news say he starts as CB, if not chances are he'll start on right, and if not, there's still the DM spot available.

      1. NATSTER
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Seriously ?

        Sound like a good to invest.

        1. Camp No No
          11 years, 7 days ago

          If you can trust Chelsea. That's the big problem.

          1. NATSTER
            11 years, 7 days ago

            They were, so they might be trustable again soon.

      2. Ziro Becomes One
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Too many ifs? 🙂

        1. Camp No No
          11 years, 7 days ago

          It's not. There are too many ifs, if a player will play _if_ several conditions are checked, say, if another player is injured, and some other player is dropped, etc. But for Zouma it's rather that there are two backup plans: even if he would be dropped from CB, there's a good chance he'd play as RB, and even if that plan would fail too, he can still feature on midfield.

          I see it like this: a normal regular will play if a certain condition is checked, and a uncertain starter if several conditions are checked, but Zouma will play if _any_ of several conditions are checked.

      3. Paramaribo
        11 years, 7 days ago

        What if the 4 at the back are Rahman, Cahill, Terry and Azpi and Chelsea play with no DM?

        1. Camp No No
          11 years, 7 days ago

          You mean Mou will be sacked before the match? unlikely.

          1. Paramaribo
            11 years, 7 days ago

            Last match he played without a DM. Zouma was not on the field. If Ivanovic is replaced by Baba Rahman I see no reason why would Zouma play as DM.

            1. Camp No No
              11 years, 7 days ago

              True other than that they had a DM. Ramires played lower than either lateral defender, almost at level with Terry-Cahill.

              But true in that Zouma did not play. See how well that went. 😉

              And now there's no Ivan on right.

        2. KeepCalm
          11 years, 7 days ago

          then he is fecked

          1. Camp No No
            11 years, 7 days ago

            But you see how much has to happen before he gets dropped. For me, he's the most or second most nailed on (after Azpi) player in their defence.

    2. Mata-Is-The-Juan
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Unconfirmed reports suggest Jose would rather play him as a fullback than play Baba so there's that.

      1. Paramaribo
        11 years, 7 days ago

        Do you have some link to this information? I kind of find it strange as otherwise when will Baba play - never?

        1. Camp No No
          11 years, 7 days ago

          Against Tel Aviv.

  26. NorwichCityLad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 7 days ago

    0FT 5.0 itb any hit needed or just save

    Butland

    Dawson Azpilicueta Bellerin

    Sanchez De Bruyne(C) Mahrez Payet

    Pelle Vardy Gomis

    Ruddy Richard,Prodl,Surman

  27. Zimppa
    11 years, 7 days ago

    WC team finalized:

    Butland
    Dawson, Bellerin, Martin
    Mané, Sanchez, Ayew, Payet, De Bruyne
    Pelle, Vardy

    Subs: Gomes, Lukaku, O'Shea, Alderweireld

    Not sure about benching Lukaku though...

    1. Costa in Wengerland
      11 years, 7 days ago

      Great team but u should start Alderweireld

  28. Butthead
    11 years, 7 days ago

    How many point hits gave you taken. I've done a mental 24. Red arrow for me! My team was nearly 100% red i.

    1. NATSTER
      11 years, 7 days ago

      This week only ?

      Will be -12 soon.

    2. Ziro Becomes One
      11 years, 7 days ago

      What was your team?

    3. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 7 days ago

      7 trades?? Link your team.

  29. Paramaribo
    11 years, 7 days ago

    So you think he will anyway start? What about playing without a DM maybe?

  30. aleksios
    11 years, 7 days ago

    thank you DEL GRIFFITHS for your answer.I am somehow denied to give away coutinho .Would you take ighalo instead of vardy and sanchez instead of kdb?i save the hit this way