[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
28 November 2015 2403 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With the luxury of several hours to contemplate our Saturday transfers, we’ve longer than usual to assess Paddy Power’s reckoning ahead of Gameweek 14.

Before we peruse Paddy’s latest odds for Anytime Scorer and Clean Sheets, those of you who fancy indulging in a flutter should get up to speed with the latest range of specials lined up for the weekend.

Firstly, Saturday’s big top of the table clash at the King Power comes packaged with a Paddy Power offer for new customers that presents odds of 7/1 on a United win, together with the chance to get a £10 free bet voucher each week when you make a weekly £10 wager.

On Sunday, Paddy have lined up a European acca, with big odds of 16/1 on wins for Arsenal (at Norwich), Liverpool (vs Swansea), Juventus (at Palermo) and Borussia Dortmund (vs VFB Stuttgart. While if you fancy sticking to bets on home soil, you can get a massive 8/1 on Harry Kane to score anytime against Chelsea in the noon kick-off at the Lane.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.61
Sturridge LIV 1.83
Benteke LIV 1.83
De Bruyne MCI 2.10
Bony MCI 2.10
Giroud ARS 2.10
Sanchez ARS 2.29
Iheanacho MCI 2.29
Lukaku EVE 2.37
Origi LIV 2.40
Sterling MCY 2.50
Jelavic WHM 2.60
Kane TOT 2.62
Firmino LIV 2.62
Vardy LEI 2.70

Paddy are taking no chances with the fit-again Sergio Aguero (1.66), again handing the City striker the shortest odds ahead of a home tie against Southampton. Although the 13.1-priced forward is unlikely to be afforded much beyond 60 minutes in light of his run-out in midweek, that’s ample time for the league’s premier marksman to exert his influence. Despite the fact that Saints boast the joint-best road defence in the league (four goals conceded), Kevin De Bruyne (2.10), Wilfried Bony (2.10) and Kelechi Iheanacho (2.23) also rank in the top eight. De Bruyne is therefore the most fancied midfield goalscoring option according to Paddy.

In all likelihood, Liverpool will line-up without a recognised striker when they play host to Swansea City on Sunday, but Paddy have still elected to price Daniel Sturbridge (1.83), Christian Benteke (1.83) and Divock Origi (2.40) as a response to their dominant attacking display at the Etihad last time out. Roberto Firming seems the most likely to lead the Pool attack against Swansea – the Brazilian is placed at 2.62 in Paddy’s reckoning, third behind De Bruyne and Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez when it comes to the midfield goalscoring rankings.

Sanchez (1.90) has drawn four successive blanks in the league but reaffirmed his explosive potential with a brace for Arsenal in their midweek Champions League clash. The favourable nature of the Gunners’ trip to Norwich City also finds Olivier Giroud – who’s netted in four of the last five Gameweeks – backed at 2.10.

With four goals in his previous three outings, Romelu Lukaku looks under-priced at 2.37. The Belgian frontman will certainly fancy his chances against a Bournemouth rearguard that charts top for goals conceded (27) across the entire campaign.

Elsewhere, Jamie Vardy’s odds of 2.70 are of interest – clearly Paddy feels that Man United’s steely rearguard will restrict the Leicester striker’s bid to extend his goalscoring run to a record-breaking 11 matches. Similarly, despite scoring 7 goals in his last four league outings, Harry Kane is currently priced out at 2.62, with City’s Raheem Sterling more fancied to find the net against Southampton than the Spurs striker in his clash with Chelsea. This is somewhat surprising given Kane’s outstanding record in London derbies: he has notched 12 goals in 14 derby matches and fired a brace against Chelsea when the two sides met at the Lane last season.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 14

Team Odds
Liverpool 2.00
Crystal Palace 2.40
Manchester City 2.40
West Ham 2.50
Arsenal 2.60
Stoke City 2.70
Aston Villa 2.80
Watford 2.87
Manchester United 2.87

Pitted against a Swans outfit that failed to score in three of their last five outings, Liverpool (2.00) are the deemed the favourites to bag a clean sheet in the Gameweek. Arguably, the Reds are a surprise entry at the summit of this table, given that they’ve carded just a single shut-out at home and in the last 10 Gameweeks.

Crystal Palace and Man City are both tipped at 2.40 ahead of their respective home match-ups. The Eagles face off against a Newcastle United side that’s scored one goal in four outings, while the Sky Blues lock horns with a Saints outfit that lacked bite in their 1-0 defeat at Stoke. Given City’s capitulation against Liverpool and the fact that they are again without their injured skipper Vincent Kompany, Paddy’s odds look a little on the skinny side.

Elsewhere, West Ham United (2.50) will attempt to rebuff the advances of West Bromwich Albion – who place bottom for attempts (118) and shots inside the box (69) – when they roll up at the Boeyln Ground. Meanwhile, Norwich City rank second-bottom for goal attempts (34) over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for Arsenal’s (2.60) clean-sheet prospects at Carrow Road.

Stoke City (2.70) and Manchester United (2.87) round off our assessment. The Potters could be the pick of the bunch in the lead up to their road clash against Sunderland, considering they registered five clean sheets in the last six Gameweeks. The Red Devils have surrendered just one goal since Gameweek 9 but will do well to silence a Leicester City team that’s scored in every fixture so far this term.

2,403 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Cak Juris
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Please choose 2 for bench:
    A. Kolarov (SOT)
    B. Sagna (SOT)
    C. Moreno (SWA)
    D. Bellerin (nor)
    E. Richards (WAT)

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B and E

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B and e

    3. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Richards & Sagna

    4. #WinterIsNotComing
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B and E

    5. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A/B and E

    6. RangerMouse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B and E.

    7. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lasagne and Richards

    8. Lucky_Z
      10 years, 11 months ago

      C & E for me

    9. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Pretty much a full house

  2. Jafooli
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Is it true Jonty's been banned?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    2. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Email him to discuss further.

      1. Jafooli
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I did but it bounced and was redirected to Daniel.....

        1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 11 months ago

          don't start that again

    3. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yep

      #breadbinsrevenge

    4. Optimus.
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yep for hot topic spamming

    5. Every Dog Has Its Day
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah, you banned him didn't you?

    6. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Yup

  3. Ten Season Wonder
    10 years, 11 months ago

    2pm deadline today!!!!!

    is this normal?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      10 years, 11 months ago

      No

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      10 years, 11 months ago

      The deadline is an hour before kickoff so on days with no early kickoff it is at 2pm

    3. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      12.45 kick offs (11.45 deadline)
      3pm kick offs (2pm deadline)

      not hard to understand.

  4. Every Dog Has Its Day
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Right that's it Kane (C).

    Last 4 games - 17, 8, 8, 13.

    Very good records in London derbies and his statistics are wonderful.

    Tottenham have not lost at home this season whilst Chelsea have only won 1 away.

    1. Mull
      10 years, 11 months ago

      It's still Mourinho's Chelsea though. Pick someone with a bit more upside.

      1. Every Dog Has Its Day
        10 years, 11 months ago

        No idea who - Sánchez is a risk and Lukaku is up against a tight home defence but Agüero is someone I ain't sure about.

        1. Niemi
          10 years, 11 months ago

          A tight home defence doesn't concede 5 goals in a game like Bournemouth did against Spurs.

        2. Mull
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Bournemouth are about as 'secure as a hymen in a South London comprehensive'.

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Stats for London derbies please

      1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        played 14, scored 47

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          10 years, 11 months ago

          😆

      2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Don't have them at hand but they did say he has the best record in pl history

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Thanks Bemba you are right I found them it's 14 in 12 matches

        1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Cheers

    3. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 11 months ago

      He will be to sleepy to score.

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        0-1 chelsea

        1. KOLASINA(C)
          10 years, 11 months ago

          pls this

  5. Samwise the Brave
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Igalo captain over Sanchez/ozil - am I mad?

    1. gruffyboy
      10 years, 11 months ago

      IMO yes

    2. Captain Blanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Bonkers

    3. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Only if you think Sanchez will outscore him.

  6. RangerMouse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I am starting to regret not putting Aguero in my wildcard. I am very happy with my team, but the lack of Aguero is worrying. I am considering maybe getting Silva instead of Aguero due to value, but I have 4.9mill ITB, so he is still possible to get on my wildcard,

    Butland
    Rose - Bellerin - Moreno
    Ozil - Sanchez - Firmino- Mahrez
    Kane - Lukaku - Ighalo

    Subs: Henessey, Gosling, Zouma, Simpson

    I realise I could lose Zouma, but think the fixtures for Chelsea are promising, so like by 4 defenders. Also like the midfield, with Firmino and Mahrez being the two i'd change, and my front three is great due to Ighalo's value. What should I do with this team? Go with this for my wildcard and consider my options next week for Silva or Aguero, or get Aguero in asap?

    1. jackluhg
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I don't think it's an issue at the moment, maybe have an escape plan in case he hits form

      1. There's Always One!
        10 years, 11 months ago

        When he hits form!

    2. There's Always One!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Aguero is a must on a wc

      1. RangerMouse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I totally agree, but fancy Kane and Lukaku's fixtures, and then the only other option is Ighalo, but the huge price gap is hard to make up. Would need to find an extra 3mill which makes my overall team far worse

  7. BecAuse79
    10 years, 11 months ago

    bench 1 :

    A)Barkley(A) vs Bournemouth
    B)Lanzini(H) vs WBr

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. RangerMouse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      b)

    4. BecAuse79
      10 years, 11 months ago

      yeah well thats great guys im already on 50/50 🙂

    5. Lucky_Z
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Neither bu I'd bench Lanzini from two

  8. Billy Gilmore
    10 years, 11 months ago

    On WC would you rather have?

    a) Sanchez and Vardy
    b) Eriksen and Kane

    1. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      a)

    2. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Probably A because I'd rather not have Eriksen.

    3. Every Dog Has Its Day
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B.

    4. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

    5. Billy Gilmore
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks guys, that basically mirrors my thoughts the last few hours.

    6. Jafooli
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

  9. gruffyboy
    10 years, 11 months ago

    a. Hennessy or
    b. Butland?

    Thanks

    1. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      b)

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      B

    4. BecAuse79
      10 years, 11 months ago

      a

    5. Volley127
      10 years, 11 months ago

      A

    6. gruffyboy
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks all - seems tight. I have Henn currently but had Butters on my sodding bench last few weeks and missed out on a shedload of points. Baaaah......

  10. goran
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Will play Lingard?

    1. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Sources say not he play

      1. Mr. Grv
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I don't have link but demi posted that he and darmian are not fit

        1. The Hindu Monkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 11 months ago

          woah woah darmian not fit either?? thought it was rojo??

        2. Numb
          10 years, 11 months ago

          And Rojo

        3. goran
          10 years, 11 months ago

          ok, thanks

    2. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      DDG
      Darmien Smalling Blind Young
      Bastein Morgan
      Mata Rooney Depay
      Martial

      that's basically the only first eleven they have fit!

      1. Numb
        10 years, 11 months ago

        Yep

      2. ILOVEBAPS
        10 years, 11 months ago

        I might C Vardy then.

    3. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      No, he's out.

      1. The Hindu Monkey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        ffs

    4. Jax
      10 years, 11 months ago

      english?

  11. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Kompany, Redmond > 13m

    Who to buy?

    1. Optimus.
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Aguero

      1. Jafooli
        10 years, 11 months ago

        13.1m

  12. AgentRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Bottomed. Front 8:

    Mahrez-Ozil-Sanchez-KDB (Deulofeu)
    Lukaku-Vardy-Ighalo

    Vardy > Kane for free? Or save?

    1. fickle
      10 years, 11 months ago

      save

    2. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      real coin flip, for free, I'd probably do it - but I wouldn't really advise anyone to either!

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Save

    4. gruffyboy
      10 years, 11 months ago

      yep do it

  13. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Eriksen and benteke

    Or

    Firmino and Kane?

    1. gruffyboy
      10 years, 11 months ago

      The latter

  14. fickle
    10 years, 11 months ago

    never thought i would captain lukaku over aguero and sanhez...

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Neither did I and I'm not.

      1. fickle
        10 years, 11 months ago

        who are you captaining?

        1. Epic Fail
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Mr Aguero.

  15. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    I have darmien and I'm starting to think more and more united will keep leicester out

    I'm considering playing mvilla (home to stoke, been my unused sub for about six weeks now) instead of vardy or mahrez...

    this is mad right?

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Correct.

    2. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Mad IMO

      1. The Hindu Monkey
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        mad inspired mad... or mad... mad

        what about playing him over KDB

        I just have this niggle sunderland will easily beat stoke today - I can't explain it

        1. AgentRed
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Well go with your gut, but the stats favour KDB and Leicester have been free scoring so far, so I'd be nervous to bench either Vardy or Mahrez.

    3. Royal5
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Leicester always score. United looked poor at the back last weekend.

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        have to blank sometime. next week?

    4. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lei will win.

      1. Jax
        10 years, 11 months ago

        draw.

  16. Alittude
    10 years, 11 months ago

    play one

    Smalling
    dawson
    alderwield

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      dawson

      I'm calling nil nil on that match

    2. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Dawson or smalling

    3. Jazz!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Alder I'd say

  17. Maarrrr17
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Crazy to captain Ighalo while still having sanchez and lukaku ?

    1. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      You think he will score high right? That;s how I choose.
      I wouldn't pick Ighalo, but if that's who I expected to score the highest I would have no problems.

      1. Maarrrr17
        10 years, 11 months ago

        your logic is undeniable.

    2. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      not at all - captain lottery this week for me

  18. alfast1c
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Sagna or Kolarov?

    1. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Lukaku brace incoming

  19. #WinterIsNotComing
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Captain Lukaku [Done]

    1. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Kolorav

    2. FPL Daniel
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Looks like he is prime contender. Still not convinced myself. He trolled me so many times in the past or so

  20. Danstoke82
    10 years, 11 months ago

    KDB > Ozil -4?

    It would enable me to do Vardy > Kane next week

    1. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Nope, save

  21. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    The spurs full backs getting praise on Sky sports atm. Also praising Alli for finding space in the pockets. Shame he misses out.

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Praise for Danny Rose?

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 11 months ago

        More praise for Walker but they mentioned Rose too.

        1. Billy Gilmore
          10 years, 11 months ago

          So typical that they would praise him the week after he scores 😆

          1. Eden Hazardous
            10 years, 11 months ago

            This^

        2. Jazz!
          10 years, 11 months ago

          Well rose is better

      2. Billy Gilmore
        10 years, 11 months ago

        And on the third day Danny Rose?

    2. Jafooli
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Alli a scouser?

    3. stilicho
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 11 months ago

      They've both been brilliant last two games, absolutely rock solid in the air too

  22. FPL Daniel
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Comeeeeon Mark. We want Pre am ble
    We want Pre am ble !! 🙂

    1. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 11 months ago

      This

    2. Beautiful Game
      10 years, 11 months ago

      This

    3. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Prepares tissues.

  23. Bøwstring The Carp
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Team Sanchez (c) 😎

  24. Mull
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Wildcard completed. It doesn't look too good but it seems flexible enough to adjust it in the next few weeks. If the Vahrez train keeps on rolling I'm screwed.

    Hennessey
    Mertesacker, Moreno, Evans
    Sanchez, Ozil, Barkley, Lanzini
    Aguero, Kane, Lukaku(c)

    Lloris, Stanislas, Walker, Bennett

    1. Deep Sea Amphipod
      10 years, 11 months ago

      I'd want Mahrez in there, possibly at Ozil's expense, and upgrades elsewhere. Good luck though

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 11 months ago

      The anti Leicester train!

  25. Deep Sea Amphipod
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Against sound advice and logic, my heart was set on Mane -> Firmino. I got drunk last night and as such missed the price changes - don't you hate it when socialising gets in the way of real life?

    Anyway I've taken Mane's fall and Firmino's rise as a warning; I'm too frustrated to make that move knowing I've lost 0.2 on it overnight. Instead I've gone for a nice dullard Davies -> Toby instead.

    That said, I'm spicing it up with Ighalo (c). FPL Gods, please don't smite me.

    1. There's Always One!
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Real life! Lol

  26. ThatAsianGuy17
    10 years, 11 months ago

    quick poll
    who should i captain?

    Lukaku or Sanchez

    1. FootballFanatic365
      10 years, 11 months ago

      luckaku

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      10 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez

  27. Eden Hazardous
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Please make sure that your captain is not playing against his parent club. 😉 😛

  28. stojanovzr
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Giroud for captain?
    What do you think?

    1. FootballFanatic365
      10 years, 11 months ago

      might be good

    2. Epic Fail
      10 years, 11 months ago

      One of a host of decent options.

  29. FootballFanatic365
    10 years, 11 months ago

    1) start 1

    a) kola

    (b)ellerin

    2) bench 1

    a)sterling
    b)mahrez

  30. Lord Flashheart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 11 months ago

    Firmino (c) will be the ultimate differential.
    I wish I would have grown a pair.

    1. Numb
      10 years, 11 months ago

      It's still not too late. 2pm deadline