[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
23 January 2016 960 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We call upon the services of three overlooked Fantasy options this Saturday morning as the minutes tick down to the Gameweek 23 deadline. Newcastle’s lone frontman earns the nod away to Watford, whilst we turn to Sunderland and Everton’s midfield ahead of plum home clashes with Bournemouth and Swansea respectively.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Despite carding just one win over the last four Gameweeks, Newcastle have upped their level of performance game by game, culminating in a 2-1 victory over West Ham United in the previous round of fixtures. Excluding Georginio Wijnaldum, Aleksandar Mitrovic (6.2) has arguably been the biggest catalyst for the Magpies’ improvement in the final third.

The Serbian frontman lays claim to a solitary goal in six outings, yet his underlying statistics highlight his latent potential. Since Gameweek 19, only Harry Kane has chalked up more attempts (18) than Mitrovic (17), while the Toon recruit ranks top – ahead of Sergio Aguero (14) – for shots inside the box (15) and joint-top for shots on target (eight). Added to that, only three forwards recorded more key passes (eight) during that timeframe, illustrating his creative qualities.

Considering that the Tyneside outfit ranked second for shots inside the box (41) and top for shots on target (24) over the last four Gameweeks, they’re well placed to punish a Watford team that’s reeling in the wake of four straight defeats. Beyond the Hornets clash, Newcastle travel to face an Everton unit that’s conceded more home goals (20) than any team in the league.

Adam Johnson

Having failed to make any noise on the Fantasy scene since the 2013/14 season, Adam Johnson (5.8) has thrust himself back into relevancy with four assists in three outings, putting him well on course to surpass a career-best haul of assists (nine). Although Sunderland continue to ship goals at an alarming rate, they rank joint-top for goals (eight) since Gameweek 20, paving the way for cut-price differentials like Johnson to emerge.

Over the last four Gameweeks, only seven midfielders tallied more key passes than Johnson (nine) and only three recorded more through balls (three), underlining his pivotal role in the Black Cats’ build-up play. Certainly, if Jermain Defoe can maintain his purple patch (five goals in three), there’s every chance Johnson will be the man delivering the crucial final ball.

Next up for the Wearsiders is a home clash against Bournemouth, who rank joint-fourth for goals conceded in road fixtures (21). Moreover, only Norwich City have surrendered more big chances (35) on their travels than the Cherries (32), which suggests that Sam Allardyce’s troops will be afforded their fair share of scoring opportunities at the Stadium of Light.

Kevin Mirallas

In light of Gerard Deulofeu’s rise to prominence and Roberto Martinez’s propensity for rotation in wide areas, Kevin Mirallas (6.8) struggled for pitch time in the first half of the season, managing just two starts.

However, the illusive winger looked close to his best against Chelsea last Gameweek, expertly lashing home his second goal in three outings and employing his lively dribbling skills to outfox a dazzled Blues’ rearguard. Indeed, during yesterday morning’s press conference, Roberto Martinez lavished praise on the Belgian’s recent showings, raising hopes that he can nail down that left wing berth from here on in.

Illuminating the Belgian’s rich potential for attacking returns, Philippe Coutinho was the only midfielder that racked up more attempts (12) than Mirallas (nine) across their last two outings. Furthermore, the former Lille recruit ranks fourth for shots inside the box (five) and joint-top for shots on target (five) from that perspective. Taking the campaign as a whole, Mirallas possesses the third-best shot frequency (one every 22.1 minutes) among midfielders who’ve recorded 20 or more attempts.

For all the Toffees’ defensive travails, they netted seven goals in their last quartet of match-ups and rank second for home goals (23) ahead of a home encounter against Swansea City, who’ve posted just one clean sheet on their travels. Everton then welcome a Newcastle side that’s allowed the joint-fourth-most goals in away fixtures (21), so the stage could well be set for Mirallas to grace the scoresheet and help fire the Toffees up the table.

960 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. conorbon
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Hi All,

    Who should I bench? Mahrez (form dipping) or KDB (generally poor away).

    Other mids are Ali, Payet and Ozil.

    Cheers!

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Former

    2. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Riyad

      1. conorbon
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks.

    3. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      bench riyad so you can hide behind the sofa when he plays

  2. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Would you play Smith over any of Toby, Bellerin or Dawson?

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      No

    2. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      nope

    3. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      No

  3. Acquafresca
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Play Bellerin(CHE) or Simpson(STO) ??

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Bellend

    2. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Bell

    3. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Bellend

    4. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Simpson.

      Again...

      1. Acquafresca
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Seems like its Evs vs the community 😉

        1. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Both games look low scoring for me, bell basically for the odd chance of an assist really

    5. Numb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Bell

  4. Cornholi0
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Play Lingaard, Willian or Kyle Walker?

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Willian.

  5. Evs
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    This is me then....

    Myhill
    Simpson, Bellerin, Toby
    Ozil, Mahrez, Payet, KDB
    Lukaka, Aguero, Kane.

    Subs: Henessey, Gosling 🙂 , Wolly, Williams.

    All correct ?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Looking good Evs

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers buddy.

        I'll ponder the (c) deciosn whilst in the shower.

        Life's best deciosns are made in the shower... 😉

        1. La Roja
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Hahaha

          1. Evs
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Still Luakakaaaaa for you ?

            1. La Roja
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 5 months ago

              Will tell u after a quick shower, cheers for the tip

    2. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Wolly before Gos for me, I notice you've no (c) in there Evs?

      1. Acquafresca
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        It's Aguerooooo

      2. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        ^

    3. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      nice, skip?

    4. Acquafresca
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      How dare you tell me to bench Bellerin and play him!! 😉

      1. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        ^

      2. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Your question was regards tho playing him over Simpson, I however are playing both 😆

        1. Acquafresca
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          I know 😆

        2. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Fwiw, add Baines in and those are my 3.

    5. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      same team here except for butland

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Wish I had Buttyland 🙁

        1. The Mandalorian
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          KDB to Silva and you can have any keeper

    6. Jebiga
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      almost the same team as mine 🙂

    7. Longtermsufferer
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Who you skippering? Very impressive history fair play.

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Torn mate....

        Head Lukaka, heart Aguero.

  6. Mr Alex
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    How's she looking for this fine winter's gameweek?

    Butland

    Bellerin - Toby - Jagielka

    KDB - Ozil - Mahrez - Alli

    Aguero - Kane - Lukaku

    Bench- Henessey - Ward - Stanislas - Bennett

    1. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Perfect

      1. Mr Alex
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Glad you think so. Only slight concern is I ignored my gut in buying Evans, and instead went with reason and chose Jagielka. Hopefully that move won't be punished.

        1. Evs
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          I would I have done the same.

          1. Mr Alex
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Cool nice one. Cracking fixtures for a long time, here's to many clean sheets...

  7. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Does anyone think that Walcott will play a good game?

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      No, there are far better Arsenal options.

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Doesn't seem to be at his best this season, but might turn up in a big game.

    3. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Who is Theo?

    4. The chocolate leg
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Think he'll score!

  8. Jebiga
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    think both kun and lukaku will score big !!!
    kun because first game was 2-1.
    and lukaku because first game was 0-0.

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      ok

  9. VS10_
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Last week I did a last minute C switch from Kun to Kane.

    This week the armband is currently on Lukaku, who has delivered every time I have captained him so far this season : 24, 12, 16. Ignoring Kun two weeks in a row just doesn't feel right though...

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Forget last week, captain who u think will score the most this week

      1. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        I know, I know...

        1. FPL_Liger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          It's a real arser this week

          1. VS10_
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 5 months ago

            Every week 😀

  10. clarkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Butland
    Kos Dawson Evans
    KDB Ozil Ramsey Mahrez
    Aguero (c) Kane Ighalo

    1FT 0.1itb

    G2G?

  11. asif316uk
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Butland

    Moreno, Walker, Baines

    KDB, Payet, Firmino, Mahrez

    Kun (c) Kane, Lukaku

    Subs: Hennesey, Alli, Wolly, Targett

    Am i Good to go? thoughts plz..

  12. keano
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Play bellerin or targett

  13. President John F. Keninnsie
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Right, I'm captaining Kane. I won't captain Lukaku when Mirallas is in the team and West Ham have been very impressive in games against the big teams this season. Kane on the other hand is the focal point of an in-form Spurs team who play Palace who are very low on confidence.

    See you all on the other side 🙂

    1. Puyol Pants Up
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I'm surprised many aren't considering Kane (C)

      Although I can't not have Aguero (C)

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I did Kane ➡ Lukaku (C)

      One of us will be fecked

    3. Jay_
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Good move, I wish I had the guts to do it, last time his numbers were like this he come good away to Bournemouth

    4. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You just know that Hennessey is gonna have a blinder today to save his spot though which will result in a Kane blank and Hennessey double digit haul 🙂

      1. President John F. Keninnsie
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Hennessey will either have a blinder or a shocker... I'm just praying it's the latter!

    5. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Over Aguero ?

      1. President John F. Keninnsie
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Aye aye! I don't think City will score more than one goal, whereas I expect at least 2 from Spurs...

    6. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Brave Innsie tho not without foundation, I think Wham are a little more open with Payet in there, and Silva back unlocks some of city's away form, Lukaku I reckon will score at least 1 too.
      GL!

      1. President John F. Keninnsie
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks HVT 🙂

    7. HammersFan
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Out of the 3 its the move i would do.

      Rooney(c) for me though

  14. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Pick 3 to play?

    1. Bellerin (CHE)
    2. Alderweireld (cry)
    3. Simpson (STO)
    4. Smith (sun)
    5. Jagielka (SWA)

    1. Drogo
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      1
      2
      5

    2. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      123

  15. Drogo
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Should I play Willian even though I got Koscielny at the back. Or play stoke defender Wollschied instead?

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Willian as I can see Chelsea scoring and Stoke will concede.

      1. TeamSteam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        "Stoke will concede".Pretty biased statement as Leicester have 1 goal in their last 5 games and Stoke have the most CS in the league.

  16. For Fuchs Sake
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    So those with both Luk and Kun, who's your captain?

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Lukaku

    2. asif316uk
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Im going Kun, because it s Kun and mainly cos no one else in my ML has him yet so hoping to hit it big

    3. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Kane

  17. Pringle
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    What do you prefer?

    A. Buy Targett and play Bellerin
    B. Buy Daniels and play him

  18. Camp No No
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Is there a chance that swapping a midfielders to Mirallas could actually be a better choice than swapping a forward to Lukaku?

    1. Camp No No
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      hmm... Lukaku's stats, in fact, are quite depressing.

      1. TeamSteam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        His stats the last few games have been poor when Everton have been up against top teams. Against weaker opposition this season Lukaku has been absolutely amazing, he almost always gets a goal at home and Swansea are really not good. Mirallas isnt awful, either.

    2. Camp No No
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      But on the other hand, Mirallas is just awful.

      1. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        See demels quote last page, Mira to be rotated?

        1. Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks. There's a chance. However, he doesn't say he'll rotate the wide players in particular (although he has done so before) and you'd imagine that having hardly played this season, Mirallas is one of those least in need of rest.

  19. MJFainty
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Morning all, got the following team ready to go but with 2FT and a bit of cash in the bank I'm wondering if it's time to bring Aguro in:

    Cech
    Moreno
    Cresswell
    Walker
    Alli
    Ozil
    Mahrez
    Payet
    Lukaku
    Kane
    Ighalo

    Bench
    Butland
    Arnautovic
    Kolarov
    Bellerin

    Was looking at Kane and Kolarov > Aguero and a cheap defender... Just seems wrong taking out Kane. Thoughts appreciated

    1. Eden Azzzar
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Star studded squad

    2. For Fuchs Sake
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Might be OK for one more week, maybe do one transfer this week to set up Kun in this week. Your forwards have good fixtures

      1. MJFainty
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        So would you be inclined to get rid of Kolarov and put in a real cheap defender to free up the funds for next week?

  20. Puyol Pants Up
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Ready for a red arrow.

    Lloris
    Walker, Dawson, Nyom
    KdB, Ozil, Payet, Mahrez
    Aguero(C), Kane, Ighalo

    McCarthy, Bellerin, Surman, Williams

    1. HammersFan
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Not as ready as me:

      De Gea
      Pva Alderweireld Jagielka
      Mirallas Sanchez Alli Payet
      Aguero Kane Rooney(c)

      Elliot Wijnaldum Daniels Targett\

      Good luck mate

  21. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A) Alli
    B) Mahrez
    C) Kdb

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Depay Time
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Mahrez

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers!

  22. Fifa las vegas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Do I need Aguero his week? Would mean ditching Kane...

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Not if you have Silva or KDB.

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        I dont

    2. European Bob
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Yes but no, tough one

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        😐 ??

    3. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Would give me this team,

      Butland
      Monreal, Azpil, Walker
      Ozil, Barkely, Mahrez, Alli, Payet
      Aguero, Lukaku

      Subs: Schmeichel, Vardy, VvD, Ward

      Not sure benching Vardy is the best idea either 😐

      1. conorbon
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Keep Kane, Palace are woeful at the moment and City have a tough game.

    4. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Let it go this week FIFA, what's the worst he can do?

      1. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Alright shur, thanks

  23. European Bob
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Hi all, would appreciate some advice on the following:

    1) transfer Sagna to Dawson for free Y/N
    2) play A) Willian or B) Arnie
    3) play C) Dier or D) Ward

    Thanks!

    1. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      C

  24. hillbillypete
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    do we know what gw we can expect the first dgw or is it still up in the air?

    1. European Bob
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Can't come too soon for me, I hate these good winters. Got a wildcard and bench boost ready for that 15 match gameweek that may never happen

    2. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Could be 1 before the Cup final, next week will tell a lot.

  25. Depay Time
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Which two should I bench?
    Wolly bellerin dann fuchs iva

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Ivan and Dann

    2. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Wolly, Dann.

    3. Depay Time
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      You guys just gave me the same headache I had previously
      I was between iva, dann and wolly

  26. asif316uk
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Play Alli or Mahrez?

    I have Kane

    1. FPL_Liger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Alliiii

    2. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Ali.

  27. FPL_Liger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    There's always a clever money captain choice when everyone is looking the other way (ie to Lukaku or Aguero). This week it's surely either Kane or Ighalo

    1. Filthbomb
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah it has been a tricky choice.Is everyone really that certain that Ighalo will score less than Luka and Kun?

  28. mojoindojo
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Play Toby Bellerin Dawson and bench Moreno Francis

    Right call?

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Moreno over Bellerin imo.

  29. McQueen
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Safest CS prediction for This GW guys?

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      I think WBA

    2. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      Spurs

      1. TeamSteam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 5 months ago

        Spuds are never a safe cs prediction lol

    3. Del Griffith
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      doesnt exist this season

  30. KISSES
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 5 months ago

    Play Bellerin or KDB?

    1. Whazza
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      KDB

    2. conorbon
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 5 months ago

      KDB.