[sbu_large_image] Scout Notes
21 February 2016 3543 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Saturday’s FA Cup ties provided some clarity on Gameweek 30’s postponed league fixtures, as Everton and Watford booked their passage to the last eight. However, Arsenal’s failure to dispose of Hull City’s challenge at the first time of asking creates a pile-up of epic proportions, leaving us hanging on the fate of the Gunners’ Gameweek 30 fixture. Here’s the notes on Saturday’s events.

Tigers Hold Firm To Earn Unwanted Replay

Arsenal paid the price for fielding a weakened side in their FA Cup tie with Championship Hull City, as Steve Bruce’s high-flyers held the Gunners to a 0-0 stalemate, generating an unwanted replay date for both teams. Arsene Wenger’s men fired in 24 efforts on goal but saw Hull’s stopper Eldin Jakupovic register 11 saves, more than any other keeper against Arsenal so far this season.

With Tuesday’s midweek Champions League encounter with Barcelona beckoning, Wenger was prompted to make nine changes. Laurent Koscielny recovered from the dead leg he sustained against Leicester City and partnered Per Mertesacker in central defence, while Mesut Ozil was allowed the afternoon off along with full-backs Hector Bellerin and Nacho Monreal. Olivier Giroud and Alexis Sanchez weren’t called upon until the 67-minute mark, so Theo Walcott was tasked with leading the attack.

The draw means that Arsenal’s status is Gameweek 30 is still in flux. While their opponents in that week, West Bromwich Albion, were knocked out by Reading in their own fifth round tie, we must likely wait until the eve of Gameweek 30 to know whether Wenger’s men will book a place in the Quarter-Finals and therefore miss their league fixture with the Baggies.

Given that the Gunners have midweek cup matches for the next fortnight, the replay with Hull at the KC Stadium will fall in the week beginning March 7: reports suggested that Tuesday March 8 will be the likely date. That would force Hull to postpone their Championship fixture with Brentford. More significantly, it would follow Arsenal’s headline encounter with Tottenham Hotspur just three days earlier, with a potential FA Cup Quarter-Final date to follow immediately after.

Such an eventuality would afford us little time to reshuffle our squads if the likes of Ozil (50% ownership), Bellerin (15% ownership) and Sanchez (14% ownership) face blanks in the wake of Arsenal’s progression. A confirmed date for the replay is expected on Monday.

Baggies Slip To Royals Defeat

West Brom’s indifferent form continued as they followed a fine 1-0 win at Goodison with a miserable FA Cup reverse at the hands of Championship Reading.

Tony Pulis enacted just two changes from the XI that triumphed at Goodison. Craig Dawson was omitted from the matchday squad due to injury – rendering him a doubt for West Brom’s home encounter against Crystal Palace next Gameweek – so James Chester occupied his berth and Chris Brunt slotted in at left-back.

Darren Fletcher opened the scoring courtesy of a Salomon Rondon assist. The Venezuelan frontman scored the West Midlanders’ only two goals in their previous five league outings and, along with Fletcher, remains the stand-out attacking asset in the West Brom camp. Despite this, West Brom’s appeal continues to be limited to Dawson and the Baggies’ questionable potential for clean sheets.

As mentioned above, Pulis’ men must likely wait until the week of March 7 before they know if their Gameweek 30 fixture at Arsenal remains intact.

Wootton Gaff Seals Hornets’ Progress

Scott Wootton’s horrendous own goal sent Watford into the quarter finals with a 1-0 victory over Leeds United. The Hornets retained just five players from their league win against the Eagles, with Odion Ighalo among those that were demoted to the bench. Watford’s leading scorer entered the fray in the 67th minute, while Troy Deeney lasted the distance at Vicarage Road.

In a knock-on effect of Watford’s passage through to the last eight, their Gameweek 30 road tie against West Ham United will be postponed. This will have a major influence on FPL squads for that round of fixtures, with Dimitri Payet’s growing ownership the most concerned. The Frenchman is currently the third-most transferred-in player (63,000) this week and the most transferred-in midfielder. Although Payet’s new owners will feel justified in their move ahead of the Hammers’ tantalising home clash against Sunderland, West Ham’s subsequent pair of challenging match-ups (TOT, eve), together with the Gameweek 30 blank, will likely act as a deterrent for further investment.

Despite a surge in sales (over 40,000 this week) Ighalo remains the fourth-most popular forward (35% ownership) on the FPL market, underlining the impact of this forthcoming blank. Beyond Bournemouth’s visit next weekend, Watford embark on a pair of testing fixtures (mun, LEI) before Gameweek 30. That’s likely to trigger accelerated sales should Ighalo fail to find the net for the seventh start in eight.

Lukaku & Barkley Combine to Pick off Cherries

Everton fielded an unchanged side as they ran out 2-0 victors over Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium. Ross Barkley – who hasn’t scored from open play in the league since the Toffees’ 3-3 draw against the Cherries back in Gameweek 14 – delivered the first blow with a deflected strike, while Romelu Lukaku doubled the visitors’ advantage 14 minutes from time. On the creative front, Tom Cleverley and Gareth Barry claimed the assists.

From a Fantasy perspective, the Merseysiders’ success on the south coast means their trip to Sunderland in Gameweek 30 will be pushed back, creating two blanks within the space of four Gameweeks for the popular Lukaku (37% ownership) and Barkley (39%). Everton’s high-profile duo already rank among the top-four most transferred-out players by virtue of their Gameweek 27 blank and this additional postponement will only accelerate their ownership and price decline.

Bournemouth Defeat Preserves Swansea Clash

Eddie Howe opted to rest the majority of his first-teamers as Bournemouth crashed out of the FA Cup. Joshua King and Junior Stanislas were named in the starting XI, but the likes of Benik Afobe, Andrew Surman and Harry Arter were absent from the matchday squad.

Charlie Daniels spurned a golden opportunity to fire the hosts into the lead in the first period when he saw his penalty saved by Joel Robles. The 4.7-priced defender has scored two out of two penalties in the league this term, yet his 6% ownership will now be concerned that Howe will consider relieving Daniels of spot-kick duties from this point on.

However, Bournemouth’s FA Cup exit is likely to see Daniels’ owners hold tight: it guarantees that their home tie against Swansea City in Gameweek 30 will go ahead. As such, the likes of Daniels, Afobe (three goals in five), Andre Ayew (two goals and assists in five) and Gylfi Sigurdsson (five goals in seven) will emerge as profitable differentials during a round of fixtures that will test the strength in depth available to FPL managers. Indeed, the Swansea duo’s case for inclusion is bolstered by their favourable home ties (NOR, AVL) either side of their Gameweek 30 match-up.

3,543 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jay_
    10 years, 4 months ago

    GW 30 will be easy if Spurs are out of cup, chance of applying skill and clever management will be gone now

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      This

    2. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      This is so true

    3. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Its just a numbers game mate, even if Spurs make it, I'm stil well short of a XI without hits.

    4. Del Griffith
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      casuals season marches on...

    5. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      in other words if i dont get my way then i will take the moral high ground

      1. Clump
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        No. Just that most off the masses will own Spurs and be unaware of the 30 blank.

    6. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      That is why i simply dont get all the effort that people spend to plan (i appreciate their effort of course)... Why not just wait and see how it spans out rather then keep coming up with excels and probability analysis. Save FTs tactically and wait for facts to surface...

      1. Woy of the Wovers
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        The main conclusion of the work was encapsulated in one simple word: WAIT.

    7. tm245
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Posted a contrary view below. Might work out okay.

  2. Clump
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Spurs loss will help the masses the most.

  3. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Sullivan looks a bit parky. Too far North for his East End arse!!! 😆

  4. Jay_
    10 years, 4 months ago

    ✔ï¸âš½ï¸

  5. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    GOALLLLLLLLLLA PAYET!!!

  6. tm245
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Payet.

  7. DGWjegy
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    another goal payet

  8. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    PAYEEET!

  9. Ziro Becomes One
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Payet essentially non-differentially essential

  10. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bringing in payet before any of these games were played not looking like the worst idea 😛

    1. F_Ivanovic
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Except most of us Payet owners are probably getting rid after this next GW... their run of fixtures is horrible: Everton, Spurs, Blank, Chelsea, Palace, Arsenal, Leicester, United

  11. Costa in Wengerland
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    2 goals and An assist !

    1. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Still no FPL points 😉

      1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        But loads on TFF

  12. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    10 players for GW30 as it stands with Spurs winning

    11 if Chelsea beat City

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Spurs losing*

      1. Clump
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Exact same boat. Think I d like Spurs to win though. I d have 10 starters in 30. Most would be worse off.

        1. Bøwstring The Carp
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Especially against Villa

  13. tm245
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Would just like to suggest that a host of blanks in Gw30 and then a massive DGW might not be the advantage we think since the more teams that have them in 34 or 37, the more likely the masses as a whole will be able to field a squad full of DGW players.

    For the careful planners on here, the advantage might come from fewer DGW teams at a time so there are not as many clear paths to loading up for the DGWs.

    1. Mark-O
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      This

    2. tm245
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Plus, if there are tons of blanks in gw30 and you manage to scrape together 11 players, the ceiling on your week is much lower since they would likely face each other.

      Beating the average by 40-25 might make for a nice GW rank but doesn't do much for OR.

      1. Jimmers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        For a lot of people their own min-league is their focus rather than the OR

  14. Mark-O
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I love Payet. Muacks!

    I love Palace so that I don't have to sell my cheaply bought Toby, Kane and Alli. I hate to rebuy at expensive prices if I sell.

    😆

    1. Crouch Potato!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      It's only half time.

  15. Hy liverpool
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    (if) spurs have a game @GW30 who'd you like

    a. Wimmer (may be not nailed)
    b. Walker ( rotation risk)
    c. Rose ( Rotation Risk)
    d. Dier (8 YCs)
    E. Eriksen (Triple up with Alli/kane)

    1. Studgie G
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Kane Alli Alder

    2. FPL Daniel
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Why Wimmer might not be nailed..??

  16. Santi sensei
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    I might captain Payet again next week

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      You should

  17. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Wow Payet 2 goals and 1 assist?? And I sold him..? In for a hit?? Or they have blank in gw 30 so don't bother..??

    1. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Take a -8/if needed.

      1. Chenku╰☆╮
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        This... Never bench never sell payet...

  18. Eden Hazardous
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Bootifulgame ‏@bootifulgame · 1m1 minutes ago

    Ronaldo misses a penalty for Real Madrid.

    Should have passed it, the greedy pr1ck

    😆

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      😀

    2. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      😀
      I hope that doesn't become a trend now

  19. Studgie G
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    all that chat about preparing for gwk 30 for nothing

    1. Jimmers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Spurs goal would change all that

      1. Studgie G
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        so would city winning

  20. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Leverkusen 0-1 Dortmund

    Aubameyang

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Shock

      1. Costa in Wengerland
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        😀

      2. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        😀

  21. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Payet is amazing. What a player West Ham have!

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      If he's there next season, I'll eat my hat.

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        What sauce would you like with that? 🙂

        1. Fred54
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          House red.

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            I'll order plenty.

          2. Make United Great Again
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Doubt he'll leave tbh. It would take crazy amounts of money to lure him away, due to his age I don't think that'll happen.

        2. internal error
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 4 months ago

          Any chance Emenike starts next weekend?

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 4 months ago

            Depends on Valencia. Will certainly get minutes, now.

            1. internal error
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 4 months ago

              Cheers. Loving watching west ham this season 😉

    2. Licious Lizard
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah he is amazing. Surprised West Ham got him - no offence to WH. A lot of big teams will probably try to steal him this summer

  22. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    What a fool I am for never having Payet. Joy to watch all the same.

  23. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    2 goals and assist for Payet?

    1. Costa in Wengerland
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yes 18 points

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah

      Potentially 18 points in the bin ðŸ™

  24. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    F eck GW 30..., COYS.....

  25. Wilshere Knowledge
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Omg! Red has walked off the pitch in Germany. 😆

    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Ref*

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Wtf

    2. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Why ?

      1. Studgie G
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        he's a momma's boy

    3. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Roger Schmidt was having a go at him and he lost it. 😆

      1. Wilshere Knowledge
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Hilarious!!! 😆

    4. Just send players/managers off - last time this referee gets a game again. Twonk.

  26. Crouch Potato!
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Should be noted that Backburn are a very poor side to put it mildly. Sunderland will be a far tougher test for Payet and co.

    1. Crouch Potato!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Blackburn

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Strange comment. 🙂

      1. Costa in Wengerland
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Ignore that please 😉

      2. Crouch Potato!
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Honest one really they are very poor. I fancy Sunderland to get something from their clash with the Hammers. 😉

    3. Esraj
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Okay. 1 goal and 1 assist. Still take that.

  27. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Eriksen or Alli..??
    Which of these 2 would you buy if Spurs go out?

    Eriksen rising tonight it seems.

    1. Esraj
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      Still Europa league match left. Eriksen imo.

  28. Esraj
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    How did Lanzini play?

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 4 months ago

      23 minutes. Tidy.

      1. Esraj
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks.

  29. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Referee took himself off and ordering all the players off the pitch at the BayArena, after 67 minutes....

  30. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 4 months ago

    Having said all that, if spuds lose I could get Payet in for Sanchez and to hell with gw30.