Fixtures
10 July 2016 1428 comments
Paul Paul
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Having started our series of budget rotation articles with a look at what’s on offer from Burnley and West Brom and Hull and Middlesbrough, we now focus on the merits of a Bournemouth and Watford pairing that alternates home/away over all 38 Gameweeks of the upcoming campaign.

The Fixtures

Both sides survived the step up from the Championship last season, with the Hornets’ defence proving far more impressive.

Watford racked up eight clean sheets at home, on a par with Tottenham and bettered only by United, Arsenal and Leicester in 2015/16.

Their defence was breached just 19 times at Vicarage Road, which was the fifth-most resilient home record, though on their travels, it was a different matter altogether – Watford kept just three away shut-outs and shipped 31 goals by comparison.

The departure of Quique Sanchez Flores will force a re-assessment of their main men, though, as the Hornets become used to the tactics of new manager Walter Mazzarri.

Bournemouth, it’s fair to say, struggled at the back in their first year in the top-flight. Eddie Howe’s men managed just seven clean sheets all season – four at home and three away – and ultimately conceded 67 goals in 2015/16, a tally superior only to relegated Villa. If they are to be seriously considered as a potential rotation option, the Dean Court club will need to step up their level of resilience.

Nonetheless, the duo have potential as a rotation option. By selecting the side with the “easier” fixture, you’d face just four of last year’s top eight all the way up to Gameweek 20, when the second wildcard of the season will be available.

The fact that this occurs three times in the first five fixtures (including two home encounters with United and a visit from Chelsea) may deter many from initially eyeing up this combination but, aside from a home match against Leicester in Gameweek 16, the schedule still looks promising in spite of the fact that only seven of the remaining 16 matches (cpl, WBA, bur, BOU, HUL, swa, HUL, SUN, sto, STO, wba, bur, sun, CPL, swa, sto) would be at home.

Indeed, this combination looks like one to bear in mind for the second half of the season. From Gameweek 21 onwards, the more favourable fixture is considered at home in 16 of the 18 cases (MID, WAT, CPL, BUR, MCI, wba, SOT, WHM, SWA, SUN, WBA, CHE, SWA, MID, sun, STO, BUR, MCI).

If you’re looking to research further on rotation pairs, as mentioned in a previous article, we’ve introduced a new feature for members this season to help analyse potential fixture pairings via the Season Ticker. By selecting any team and hitting “sort by rotation”, the ticker now ranks those teams most appropriate for rotation with the highlighted team over the Gameweek range you choose to display. You can apply this using both the attacking and defence filters to analyse rotation pairings at both ends of the pitch.

The Defence

Watford
Heurelho Gomes looks nailed-on between the sticks. The Brazilian made more saves than any keeper in the top-flight, including a trio of penalty stops, and may well be in line for a slight price rise up to 5.0 this term.

Our assessment of Watford’s defenders may ultimately be determined by Mazzarri’s tactical approach. Should the Italian operate with a 3-5-2 formation, the likes of Jose Holebas and Allan Nyom could be utilised as wing-backs, which should benefit their prospects of attacking returns.

Holebas, in particular, could be one to watch – his frequency of both shots and key passes was far quicker than Nyom’s last term and the Greek international could have the chance to prove himself, with former loanee Nathan Ake no longer at the club.

Elsewhere in defence, Flores’ chopping and changing meant that Craig Cathcart was the only Watford defender to start more than 30 league matches in 2015/16 and therefore led the way overall for Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions.

Both Miguel Britos and Sebastian Prodl will also be looking to resurrect their careers under Mazzarri though the arrival of Christian Kabasele looks ominous for their prospects unless Watford move to three at the back. The new boy seems poised to become a regular in the upcoming campaign and carries a much-need goal threat from the back that may well see him leap onto our radars – he netted four times for Genk in the Belgian top-flight last term and his aerial menace is clearly worth monitoring.

Bournemouth
Whereas Gomes led the way for saves between the posts, Artur Boruc sat just twelfth in the pecking order. The Pole missed six matches through injury and remains Eddie Howe’s number one for the season ahead – although he made a couple of spot-kick stops, he looks a far less enticing option than the likes of Gomes, Vito Mannone and Tom Heaton for save point potential.

Howe’s tendency to name a settled back-four whenever possible lessens the likelihood of rotation in the Bournemouth defence. The versatile Simon Francis started all 38 matches last year, with Charlie Daniels (37 starts) and Steve Cook (36 starts) not far behind and all three are expected to retain their roles next time out.

Howe’s use of Francis (who earned four assists last year) could influence how we assess the best route into the Cherries’ backline. Having started last season at right-back, his appeal was diminished by a shift to centre-half, though the return from injury of Tommy Elphick late in the campaign allowed Francis to revert back to the flank. Elphick’s summer departure to Villa has been offset by the loan arrival of Nathan Ake, who is versatile enough to be stationed at centre-half, allowing Francis to take up the right-back berth again. Ake could also be fielded at left-back or central midfield and may also be one to keep an eye on.

Daniels, meanwhile, arrived on our radars midway through last season and went on to serve up three goals and five assists. Callum Wilson’s recovery from injury will likely deny him spot-kick duties, though, which is something to consider bearing in mind that two of his strikes were penalties in 2015/16.

Cook could prove a real under the radar option. Second only to Virgil van Dijk for successful headers last season, he found the net on four occasions and also finished runner-up for Clearances, Blocks and Interceptions (CBI) amongst all Premier League defenders – if Howe’s side can step up their resilience, then, Cook could emerge as their key defensive asset.

In terms of FPL prices for the year ahead, Watford’s total of 11 clean sheets – bettered by just six other sides and on a par with Liverpool, West Brom and West Ham – could potentially see their backline regulars slightly rise to 5.0. The likes of Cook and possibly Daniels could also be subject to a price hike in line with their attacking output, though you should still be able to snap up a budget combination at 9.0 or 9.5.

The Attack

Watford
As the only two players to net more than twice for the Hornets last term, Odion Ighalo and Troy Deeney are the standout candidates in the final third.

After scoring 14 times in the first 19 Gameweeks, Ighalo netted just twice in the second half of the season, whereas Deeney seemed to settle more as the campaign unfolded and ended with 13 goals to his name. Both will be set for a price hike to around the 7.5 mark in 2016/17, with Deeney’s spot-kick duties perhaps swaying the interest in his direction.

New signings Isaac Success and Jerome Sinclair will be tasked with bringing more goal threat to a side that tucked away just 9% of their chances last season – the fourth-lowest conversion rate in the top-flight.

The latter is unproven at this level, whilst Success arrives on the back of six goals for Grenada last year and is expected to be stationed out wide if Watford opt for a 4-2-3-1 set-up. If listed as a forward, though, his appeal looks limited, whilst the first five fixtures (sot, CHE, ARS, whm, MUN) is likely to deter most from eyeing up the Hornets attack at the outset.

Bournemouth
Reports on Thursday indicate that Howe has had a bid accepted for Jordon Ibe, which certainly underlines his willingness to compensate for the loss of Matt Ritchie to Newcastle, given that the Scot sat first for attempts on goal and second for key passes last year.

Despite a lack of dead-ball duties, Ibe bettered Ritchie for minutes per key pass (63.3 to 74.5), though was slightly slower (43.7 minutes to 40.6) when it came to frequency of attempts on goal.

Ibe would be favourite to be stationed on the right, with Max Gradel expected to line up on the opposite flank. The Ivorian arrived at Dean Court on the back of 17 strikes for Saint Etienne but his campaign was disrupted by a serious knee injury last time out and limited him to just a single strike. On the upside, he should be no more than 6.0 and is one to monitor in the mid-price bracket.

The recent acquisition of Lewis Cook from Leeds adds to Howe’s options in midfield, though a goal and two assists over 43 appearances in the Championship last season is far from persuasive.

In terms of frequency of shots and key passes, Junior Stanislas was quicker than any Cherries attacker last year, though having started just 17 times last term – mainly as a result of Gradel’s absence – he may struggle to find a place in Howe’s XI.

Like Gradel, Callum Wilson was also stuck on the sidelines for much of last season. After scoring five times in six matches, the frontman succumbed to a cruciate ligament injury that kept him out of contention until April. With a full pre-season behind him, the former Coventry man will be looking to prove himself again and, with spot-kick duties in hand, looks one of the front-runners for the budget forward slot.

Josh King and Benik Afobe are likely to battle it out for a starting berth, depending on whether Howe opts for a 4-4-1-1 or 4-4-2. King, in particular, could be handy option if classified as a midfielder again, though, like Stanislas, he may have to rely on injuries to others to nail down a regular role in Howe’s XI.

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1,428 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Blurryface
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    3-4-3 or 4-3-3?

  2. Ten Season Wonder
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Gru or Nani?

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Gru if leading
      Nani if Chasing

      1. Backup Dancer
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Don't agree with that. Greezy will be the most captained player so Gru would work chasing.

  3. @FPLMason
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Let's get another general opinion. Final score predictions for tonight's game?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      0-0

      Portugal wins penos

    2. Swanny18
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Hoping for a french win but fear Portugal might nick it 1-0!

    3. KingNidge
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Tipped France from the start and think they should have too much but with Ronaldo in your team anything is possible and would love to see Portugal do it

    4. SUAREZ_MESSI_COUTINHO
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      1-0 France

  4. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    F5 F5 F5 F5 F5

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Yes it will open any minute now or at least within an hour and a half.

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Great news!¬!

  5. Wunnu
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Ranked 33 Overall .. Aim is to finish 1st 😀 .. What punts do you guys suggest ?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Someone ahead of you will have the same team and captain 🙁

      1. Däzzy
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        This, pretty much no chance of actually finishing first

    2. Däzzy
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Sissoko maybe? Not many options from just two teams.

  6. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Hi all.

    I've been working on a spreadsheet to collect stats for strikers and midfielders of seasons gone by.

    Sheet 1: Compares midfielders by career goals + assists per 90 metrics since 2013/2014 season. You can view the average scoring in terms of combined goals + assists for these players in the purple columns by the tables - Non PL Average, PL Average and 15/16 Average. You can also view the rankings (descending) of these players in the blue columns by the the tables - Non PL Ranking, PL Ranking and 15/16 Ranking.

    Sheet 2: Compares strikers using minutes per non-penalty goals + assists throughout their career and season 2015/2016. I have discounted penalty goals + assists (although they count as FPL points) to help find the strikers who have the best raw stats i.e. the most dependable and most likely to return points per 90 minutes.

    Link: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fXoK3AdrqxRMjyCQgsHgp5x2a6gNGUBgEF6pTaOFzZY/edit?usp=sharing

    🙂

    1. Jamie_GAWA
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Keep up the useful work, thanks

    2. Lovren an elevator
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Excellent again berbs cheers!
      Mirallas and fischer very interesting. You think Mirallas could be good again this season?
      And how do you think fischer will adjust? Wasn't he dropped at ajax last season tho....He could be another Eriksen but worried he could easily be another Depay!

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Mirallas usually returns points when he plays, as is the same with Deulofeu. I'll be keeping a close on how Koemann lines up in pre-season as Everton have a good start to the season.

        Fischer is a really good player but as you said with Depay, it's always a bit harder to transfer statistics from league to league - only the top players can do it.

    3. Vlekz
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Thank you

  7. 420king
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    3 pts behind ML leader, pretty sure he won't go with 5 french in the back so I think here's my chance:

    Lloris
    Guerreiro Sagna Evra Kos Umtiti/Rami
    Payet _______
    Ronaldo Griezmann(c) _______

    I'm not sure if he's going with Giroud or Nani but I think Nani would be a solid differential to own with that defence incase Portugal does score.
    However I am scared of not owning Giroud...what do you guys think?

    A) Pogba & Nani
    B) Sanches/Jao Mario & Giroud

    1. Swanny18
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      5-3-2 should be a big enough differential so I'd play it safer and go for B.

      1. 420king
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        True, if its 1-0 France with Giroud involvement I still lose if he has him and 4 French in the back. Thanks.

    2. Rowse
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      B

      1. 420king
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Thanks.

    3. 420king
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Could also risk he only goes with 3 French in the back and go:

      C) Fonte, Pogba & Giroud (and lose Evra) ?

  8. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Who is everyone captaining?

    I'm chasing and going for Evra (c) 😀

    1. Wunnu
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Good luck .. Ronaldo

  9. Blurryface
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Nani cap anyone?

  10. mipola
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Is there any hints FPL is opening tomorrow or is it pure speculation?

  11. Henning
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Hi all im 12 point behind in our minileague.

    Is it stupid to go all in with French player?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Depends on leaders team.

  12. Psycho
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Lost on last page...

    I'm 30 point clear in my private league. Number two will have to take hits to have an full XI. Number three is 41 point behind.
    Should i go with 6 France and 5 Portugal to safe it in?

    Lloris
    Fonte - Umtiti/Rami - Guerreiro
    Pogba - Nani - Payet - Sanches
    Ronaldo - Griezmann (C) - Giroud
    * If all starts, deadline is 21:00 so i'll wait.

    Cant see this side looses 30 points+?

  13. King H
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    #FRA XI to play #POR: Lloris; Sagna, Koscielny, Umtiti, Evra; Matuidi, Pogba; Sissoko, Griezmann, Payet; Giroud. #SSNHQ #PORFRA #Euro2016

    1. ★Kuntheman★
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      As expected

  14. Tubayyeb
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Umtiti or pogba?

    Can't have both due to 8 player rule. Umititi would complete my 4 france defense + Lloris.

  15. King H
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    #POR XI to play #FRA: Rui Patricio, Cedric, Pepe, Fonte, Guerreiro, Ronaldo, Joao Mario, William Carvalho, Sanches, Nani, Adrien Silva.

    1. ★Kuntheman★
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      As expected

  16. Jamie_GAWA
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Anyone else think Evans and McCauley are really good fantasy options?

    1. Woeisme
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      obviously depends on price,

  17. Swanny18
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    I'm going with 3 French defenders, which one would you leave out?

    1. Ludo
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Think Umtiti probably has the least attacking threat.

      1. ★Kuntheman★
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        This

  18. :
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    I didn't realise until one minute ago how much France actually own Portugal. Ten victories in a row against them since 1978! Is that a World record?

    I quite fancied Portugal but all of a sudden I'm quite enamoured with France at 11/10. If their most recent encounters are anyrhing to go by they should be nearer 1/10!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      When was the last victory?

      1. :
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Last September, Sure you know that though.

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          10 years, 2 days ago

          Hadn't looked. Anything is possible although France hosting normally = win tournament.

          1. :
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 2 days ago

            Yeah. Think I'll go all in.

  19. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    There are 2 players from Saints in final

    Well played Koeman...

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      There's also a player from Newcastle. Well done McClaren.

      1. BENOIT
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        🙂

      2. Däzzy
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        😀

  20. BananaMan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    If the match is 0-0 after 90 minutes, then a goal is scored in extra time, do the opposing defenders lose their clean sheet points??

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      yes

    2. Planet Jo
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      It's a poor rule, penalising defenders again, but Yes

      1. BananaMan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        It's pretty bad, I'm 8pts behind in my mini league so as a gamble I've gone all Portugal at the back, knowing the leader has at least 3 France defenders.
        It's an all or nothing move, with Ronaldo as Captain.

  21. ★Kuntheman★
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    I'm going to go with honesty and not change my team despite knowing my chaser's team. Hopefully being a good person prevails in a cash league. 🙂

  22. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    matuidi and nani or jao mario and giroud?

    1. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Latter

  23. Micks Heroes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Does anybody know whether the team ratings in the Fixture Ticker are updated as the season progresses?

    Or are the ratings fixed for the entire season?

    Thanks if you are able to help.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Updated if certain teams are over/under achieving. You can always custom them yourself as the season goes.

  24. Blurryface
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Evra or Matuidi

    1. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Evra

  25. BENOIT
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Should I start with....

    A.) Matuidi/Joao Mario

    Or

    B.) A 5th defender

    ???

  26. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Joao Mario or Adrien Silva ?

    1. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Former

    2. Rowse
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      JM

  27. Planet Jo
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    As we have to play three Portuguese (or leftover Germans), I assume it's best to play Mids/attackers rather then defenders?

    1. BENOIT
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      Depends what you think the result will be.

      1. Planet Jo
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 2 days ago

        Trying to max points. Am 186 in World League overall, 37pts behind leader. With French block defence don't want Portugal to score. But assume Mids best way of avoiding potential minus points

    2. Root
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      No

  28. ★Kuntheman★
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Who do you think will score more?

    A) Griezmann(c)+Giroud+Evra+Ronaldo+19 pts
    B) Ronaldo(c)+Nani+Joao Mario+Griezmann

    1. JÆKS ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      A by miles

    2. Rowse
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 days ago

      A definitely

  29. ManUtdFan_UK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 days ago

    Lloris
    Sagna, Kosc, Umtiti, Guerreiro
    Pogba, Payet, Sanches
    Giroud, Griezmann (c), Ronaldo

    Defending a 20 point ML lead, and my rival is known to be a bit of a maverick, so worried he could go all Portugal defence and I won't have sufficient cover if Portugal spring a surprise.

    Play
    A) Umtiti
    B) Pepe