Paddy Says
26 November 2016 1251 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Frankie says ‘Relax’, Paddy says ‘Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds to tempt you – and that’s before you factor in enhanced offers for new customers’.

That’s why Paddy remains a bookie, not a popular eighties beat combo, but you could end up going to Hollywood or anywhere else you fancy if you win big on his odds this week.

We’ll start with those new customer tempters.

Man City have won twice in a row on the road, so a tricky trip to Burnley will hold no fears and you can get 4-1 on City dining out on that particular Lancashire hot pot.

Liverpool have put eight past the last two visitors to Anfield and although Sunderland are in the midst of a mini-revival, 3-1 on the Reds to win looks about right.

You’ll get 4-1 on Man United to beat West Ham which, if Mourinho’s men can get anywhere close to their Feyenoord form, is decidedly doable, while Chelsea to turn over Spurs looks just as likely, and Paddy’s offering 6-1 on that very occurence.

That match is a derby though, so don’t bet against Tottenham springing a surprise. Do bet on it and you can get a mouth-watering 12-1 for your troubles.

And over in accumulator corner, 12-1 is also the price on Leicester, Liverpool and Chelsea all winning. The Foxes are at home to Middlesbrough, for your information.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 13

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.36
IbrahimovicMUN1.66
ManeLIV1.72
CoutinhoLIV1.72
FirminoLIV1.72
SanchezARS1.72
WalcottARS1.72
GiroudARS1.72
CostaCHE1.80
AustinSOT2.00
BentekeCRY2.00
De BruyneMCI2.20
HazardCHE2.20
RashfordMUN2.20
ToureMCI2.37
VardyLEI2.37
DeeneyWAT2.50
RooneyMUN2.50
LukakuEVE2.50

Top of our captaincy poll and the shortest of the Anytime Goalscorer odds – reports of a foot problem haven’t dampened the enthusiasm of Fantasy managers, or Paddy, when it comes to Sergio Aguero (1.36).

A trip to Burnley is not exactly the stuff of dreams for a striker this season – the Clarets have kept two clean sheets and conceded more than one goal just the once at Turf Moor – so tipping Sergio looks like a longer shot than his price would have you believe.

There’s a trio of Liverpool players at 1.72 to score against Sunderland. Philippe Coutinho is being favoured by more of us for armband duties, with Roberto Firmino also well backed and Sadio Mane a distant third. Five of Sadio’s six goals this season have come at Anfield, though…

It usually requires a hot day in Hull for Fantasy managers to pile in on Sunderland strikers, but this week not one but two of them are in the top four for new acquisitions.

Form and fixtures are the reason behind the Black Cat bonanza, with Jermain Defoe (3.75) on a three-match scoring streak and Victor Anichebe (6.00) netting three goals from his last two starts.

Liverpool kept a clean sheet last time out – only the second time they’ve managed that all season – and their single Anfield shut-out came courtesy of a United team who spent the match checking the mirrors while they parked the Mourinho bus in Gameweek 8.

Those odds on the Sunderland duo look decidedly reasonable as a result.

Harry Kane is at 2.87 to be the first person to score against Chelsea since late September. It’s a tough call, but Harry has a knack of making his mark in London derbies and how often in this life are you going to get shorter odds on Frazier ’24 minutes of league action all season’ Campbell scoring than Kane?

Gylfi Sigurdsson has been catching our Fantasy eye this week. He scored last time out for an improving Swansea (although they couldn’t have got much worse) and is priced at 2.62 for a repeat showing at home to a Palace side without a clean sheet all season.

The Eagles have also shipped six goals over their last two trips, so Sigurdsson should at least get a decent opportunity to shine for the Swans once again.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 13

TeamOdds
Liverpool1.90
Manchester City2.00
Manchester United2.20
Arsenal2.25
Leicester City2.37
Chelsea2.50
Southampton2.62
West Brom2.70
Watford2.87

Six clean sheets on the spin, a home match with a Spurs team that hasn’t won away in their last three league attempts and yet Paddy is offering a very generous 2.50 on Chelsea shutting down their seventh consecutive opponent? Grab it now before he changes his odds-swamped mind.

The Fantasy Premier League money is certainly on a cleanie for the Blues – three of the four most transfered-in defenders this Gameweek are Chelsea players.

Liverpool defenders Dejan Lovren and Nathaniel Clyne are also in the top ten transfers-in table. The Reds have kept two clean sheets in their last four home matches while only Burnley have scored fewer than Sunderland’s four goals on the road.

All that goes a long way to explaining why Jurgen Klopp’s men are 1.90 for a shut-out, although the Blacks Cats are finding some form at last, as mentioned above.

West Brom’s 2.70 price is rather more tempting. Shutting down Burnley at The Hawthorns last week was to be expected and doing the same to Hull away isn’t that much more of a stretch.

The Tigers have the league’s joint-worst home record of five goals scored, while only two teams have kept it tighter than the Baggies on the road, where they’ve conceded just six times.

No-one’s put more than one goal past the Middlesbrough defence since Gameweek 6 and they’ve kept two of their clean sheets this season away from home.

What price another one at Leicester this afternoon? 4.33 as it happens.

  1. bigwig
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Paddy gives Lukaku the same odds of scoring as Rooney, interesting.

  2. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Play Gundogan or Capoue?

    1. Puyol Self Together
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Capoue I'd say. Guaranteed start at least.

  3. Puyol Self Together
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Benteke or Deeney for this GW?

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      B

  4. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Ah glad the PP odds have help clear up the captain debate for Firmino, Coutinho & Mane.

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      coin with 3 sides

  5. The Curse of Falcao
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    is Walker or Koscielny > Alonso a good move or waste of a FT?

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      5 weeks ago it was borderline genius.

    2. Liber
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      I would def keep Kos.

  6. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Hi all!

    Got 2 FTs.

    Shaq to Siggy but how to afford it?

    A) Kun to Kane
    B) Lukaku to Giroud
    C) Morgan to Chambers
    D) Cech to Heaton

    Whole squad here:
    Cech Pickford
    Lovren Morgan Holebas Pieters Amat
    Sanchez Cout Firm Shaq Carrick
    Kun Lukaku Deeney

    Any thoughts appreciated!

    1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      A could be Kun to Costa as well.

    2. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      B

  7. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Better option?

    A) Lovren

    B) Cedric (Rotation risk during congested games?)

    Appreciate your thoughts!

    1. Cocky Spaniel Alves
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. some witty pun
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      A) , Moyes claimed to be parking the bus

  8. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Yes or No if you think this will happen today?
    1. City win and BTTS
    2. Liverpool win and BTTS
    3. WBA win to nil
    4. Leicester/Boro draw at halftime
    5. Swansea and Palace over 3.5 goals
    6. Chelsea win to nil

    1. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      1 yes
      2 no
      3 I really hope so (so yes ;))
      4 yes
      5 no
      6 no

    2. Dog and Fox
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      6

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      I wish I knew what BITS meant.

      1. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        Both teams to score

  9. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Kun 1.36 to score and still lots had sold him

  10. Liber
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Play Blind or Evans?

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Blind

  11. Cracked Egg
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Chaps,

    Am I right in putting this average bunch out this weekend?

    Fancy Siggy for gundo and benching Capoue, but in essence it's a bit pointless. 1 FT

    Grant
    Holebas McAuley Clyne
    Sanchez Capoue Firmino Coutinho
    Aguero Lukaku Austin

    Jaku Gundo Amat Walker

    1. Loker Joker
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      why not start gundo ahead of capoue??

      1. Cracked Egg
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        The fear of a 20 minute cameo...

  12. Kalou
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone else thinking cap Aguero with Firmino vice could be genius:)

    1. Clayton_3
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      That's what I have for now but not happy.... don't have the confidence to cap anyone else though!

    2. Winks Club
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Could be

    3. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Why not...both could score

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Yes if Kun doesn't play it's genius. If he does play your sunk.

      1. Kalou
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        If he does play and start, ide fancy him to outscore Liverpool mids!

    5. Ninja Fury
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      I've done this as well...

      But if he doesn't start, i can see him doing a 10-20min cameo...

  13. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero...injured or not?

    Captain Firmino or Sanchez?

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Not
      Firm

    2. some witty pun
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      No one knows

      Firmino any day

  14. bejahajen
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Bench Stones, Gündogan or Matic?

    1. some witty pun
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Do you think Gund starts? If yes, bench Matic, he has his hands full with Spurs attack

    2. bejahajen
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Cap Mané for differential?

      1. some witty pun
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        Sure, hes as good as Cout/Firm imo.

      2. Thiga
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        Yup

  15. xtremesid
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Allen > Philips for -4 ?

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      depends if you have playing 11

      1. xtremesid
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        Heaton
        Coleman-Evans-Alonso-Amat
        Siggy-Sanchez-Firmino
        Aguero-Lukaku-Austin

        Is my line up

        1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 2 months ago

          No need then, do it next week.

          1. xtremesid
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks mate

    2. kumast
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Only if you are in danger of only having three playing mids.

      1. xtremesid
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        My other mid are Matic (whom I wud bench), Sanchez, Firmino,

  16. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero is 11/2 with Paddypower for the Hat-trick

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      They are basing this on the WBA mauling.
      No way Burnley will be duffed at home.

      Burnley 2-6 City incoming.

  17. Conk
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Morning lads,
    Lukaku, Redmond -> Austin, Siggy for free
    Yay or nay?

    1. xtremesid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Yay

    2. Cato Fong 你好
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Yay

    3. Ninja Fury
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Yay!

    4. Conk
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Cheers lads, think I'll go for it

  18. PvA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    I have no idea who I'm going to captain

    A) Coutinho - Moyes to park the bus, but you always have the long shots
    B) Sanchez - not inspired by ARS
    C) Aguero - will he play?
    D) Austin - prone to bein subbed
    E) Lukaku - no form
    F) Snodgrass - hope it doesn't come to this

    1. ameenkw
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      cout from those

    2. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      I'd love to help but i'm struggling myself! On Sanchez at the mo but my pool mid is tempting me.

    3. Professor Abel X
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      C

    4. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      A or B from that lot, i would go A.

    5. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      A) Sunderland have only 1 clean sheet in their last 18 away games, they have no bus to park it seems

  19. moz_1983
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Utterly indecisive today on captaincy. Who would you prefer? Aguero, Firmino, or Sanchez?

    1. ameenkw
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Firmi

      1. svv040
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        Sanchez has done poorly at home, Aguero scores away, so if fit he is your (C). Firmino, not sure -Klopp loves him-

    2. some witty pun
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Firmi

    3. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      On Firmino atm...security of start and form

    4. Conk
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Bobby

    5. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Appreciate your help, good luck all!

  20. PvA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Bingo

  21. Effendi007
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Which 3 defenders to start between Azpili, Stones, Prodl, Mcauley and Cedric ?

    1. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Stones and Cedric for sure.

    2. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Bench Stones & Cedric

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Azpil, Prodl and McAuley for me

    4. Pipermaru
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Azpi, McAuley & Cedric

  22. ianp1970
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Am I missing something, or has the Reply link on the Scoutpicks Challenge disappeared?

    1. ianp1970
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Will post it here then and move later if I can:

      Foster
      Fuchs Alonso VVD
      Sanchez KDB Coutinho Siggy
      Ibra Kane Benteke

  23. xtremesid
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Who to captain ?
    1. Sanchez
    2. Siggy
    3. Firmino
    4. Aguero

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      3

    2. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      1 or 3 for me. Leaning towards 3 now from FFS feedback.

    3. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      3 but Siggy could be massive diff

    4. xtremesid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks all

  24. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    For those who have both Coutinho and Firminho, what are the thoughts on who to captain?

    If there are goals then Coutinho might get more assists given he's on set pieces but is it really just a toss of the coin between the two given that Firm is further forward?

    1. xtremesid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      If I had both, it would be coutinho

    2. Conk
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      All the talk of Sturridge starting has me leaning towards firmino, because studge has quite a negative impact on couts output
      If i knew studge wasnt starting, then coutinho would shade it for me

  25. PvA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Aguero is fit

    But will he play? That's Pep's decision.

  26. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on Walcott to Siggurdson. Too sideways?

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Not sideway at all

  27. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Do

    A)Allen -> Can
    B)Play Diomande
    C)Play Holebas

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      C

  28. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Play Capoue or bolasie?

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Bolasie

  29. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Were saving Allen til next GW but with Kun maybe out im getting second thougths, if Kun doesnt play I'll have to play either Amat or Williams.

    Worth getting Phillips or Zaha in for Allen with a hit (-4)?

    Cheers!

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      No, Amat will do for now

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha would be my choice

  30. Eddie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Are we going to get the Burnley City lineups in before the deadline?

    1. Kolarov Fpl Legend
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      We will, but will it be true or not is a different story