Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.33
SturridgeLIV1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
BentekeCRY1.83
WalcottARS2.00
SanchezARS2.00
GiroudARS2.00
CostaCHE2.10
NolitoMCI2.10
De BruyneMCI2.10
FirminoLIV2.10
OrigiLIV2.10
ManeLIV2.10
LukakuEVE2.20
KaneTOT2.29
ToureMCI2.29
RondonWBA2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.72
Liverpool1.90
Manchester United2.20
Stoke City2.25
West Bromwich Albion2.29
Crystal Palace2.40
Everton2.62
Middlesbrough2.62
Arsenal2.75
Leicester City2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. PaulParker
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Costa to Kun? Or save?

    Foster
    Ake - Alonso - Nyom
    Hazard - Lallana - Sanchez - Phillips
    Carroll - Costa - Ibra

    Mannone - Friend - Holgate - De Roon

    Reply
    0

  2. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Who to start?

    a. Carroll
    b. Ramirez

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A

  3. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    No route to Aguero without hits so best to just save my 1 FT this week and think again after this GW?

    Foster
    Nyom - Jones - Alonso
    Sanchez - Pogba - Eriksen - J Rod
    Benteke - Ibra - Costa

    Heaton - Allen - Holebas - Amat

    1FT, 0.5 ITB

    1. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      good team

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Agreed

    2. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      It is a good team, I think 1 hit for Aguero is ok if you captain him for burnley but I wouldn't want to ruin your nice set up.

  4. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Ive a strong feeling we are entering Ozil time. Three after this week made for a flat track bully

  5. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Chances of alonso starting?

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      73.8%

    2. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Better than not

  6. Nesvy
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Only for GW20

    a/ Toby > Valencia
    b/ Cedric > Brunt (i have Foster)
    c/ Eriksen > Phillips (i have Rondon)

    1. Sjaugen
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      b

  7. Duck Dickworth
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Do we expect a high,standard or low average score this GW?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Quite low imo. Lots of Tired teams

      1. Duck Dickworth
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Agree!

    2. Demel
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Creeping towards 50.

  8. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    llorente > benteke (-4)

    Yes/no?

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      yes

    2. Legomane
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yes good risk reward pick

  9. John Nerdelbaum
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    boruc
    walker friend brunt
    hazard sanchez eriksen phillips
    kane ibra origi

    pick/fletcher/holebas/amat

    1.9m ITB 1 FT

    a) save
    b) kane > kun
    c) holebas > bellerin
    d) anything else

    1. Pompel
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Liking either B) or C) personally - maybe B for the most upside

      1. John Nerdelbaum
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        cheers - it's a toughy

    2. OLB
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I like C

      1. John Nerdelbaum
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        thanks - i like c as well, just not completely sure if it would be the best week for it

    3. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      a)

    4. Legomane
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      B or save

  10. Le _ Professeur
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    ( Bottomed )

    GTG 🙂 ?

    Foster
    Brunt - Pieters - Martina*
    Sanchez (v) - Siggy - Lallana - J. Rodriguez
    Ibra - Aguero (c) - Lukaku

    Bench: Jaku* - de Roon - Francis - Amat*
    1FT - 0.1 itb

    I was thinking of doing Martina ► Friend for free .. Should I do it or save 🙂 ?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      G2G

      1. Le _ Professeur
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  11. Still Unsure
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Does Boro-Leicester have 0-0 written all over it?

      1. Pompel
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Hope so - as I'm playing Friend 🙂

      2. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        could well be a 0-0, looks definitely low scoring.

      3. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Yes - worried about Slimani though - playing well without Vardy.

    • smix
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Get in Bellerin or Brunt for this GW ? Cash is not a problem.. already have Evans

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Bellerin

      2. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Bellerin looks good for the next weeks.

    • CelticBhoy1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      How much game time do you think Giroud will get over the next 4 GW'S?

      1. Siva Mohan
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        90*4

    • Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Who to start lads?

      A) Jones
      B) Williams

      Cheers

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        A

      2. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        B

    • FPL ElasticO
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Which of these transfers worth doing??? Need some advise Guys....

      A. Costa > Kun
      B. Siggy > Phillips
      C. Siggy > Lallana

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        C

      2. CelticBhoy1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        B or C

      3. Legomane
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        They're all worth doing 🙂

      4. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        C

    • Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Heaton
      Bellerin, Alonso, Evans
      Sanchez (C), Hazard, Sigurdsson, Phillips
      Ibrahimovic, Costa, Rondon (VC)

      Pickford | Capoue, Ake, Amat

      3x West Brom 😀
      If they have a bad game I'm looking at another red arrow. Also 3x Chelsea away to Spurs maybe not ideal.

    • Weilong7
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      repost

      1) siggy to lallana or sterling better choice?
      2) deeney to rondon?
      3) both for -4?

      will be doing zaha to philips for GW21 or should i bring philips in against Hull?

      cech
      alonso cedric mcauley (amat,3.9)
      sanchez firmino siggy zaha (fletcher)
      ibra costa deeney

      thanks!

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        1) and Lallana

        1. Weilong7
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          had firmino as well.. was thinking of getting sterling as city cover

    • Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez | Lallana | Eriksen | Allen | Capoue

      for FT..

      A. save FT
      B. Allen >> Phillips
      C. Capoue >> Phillips and bench Carroll

      Please suggest, thanks.

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        C

      2. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        B

      3. John Nerdelbaum
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        watford looked/look completely - keep allen

        a for me

        1. John Nerdelbaum
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          abject*

      4. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Actually, C.

      5. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        C

    • FFFoxy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Guys This GW only? Will appreciate responses

      A) ibra & lallana
      B) sturridge & mane
      C) giroud & Kdb

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        A

      2. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        A

    • Dont give a fuchs
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Foster - Heaton
      Ake - Pieters - Alonso - Friend - M.wilson
      Sanchez - Hazard - Lallana - M.Phillips - De roon
      Costa - Aguero - Gray

      G2G team?

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        G2G - Aguero (C) I'm assuming

        1. Dont give a fuchs
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Yes. Aguero.

      2. Dont give a fuchs
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        De roon & gray for Zaha & Anichebe?

    • Butcher
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Dann or Brunt? Have Foster in goal.

      1. Make United Great Again
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Brunt.

      2. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Brunt

    • Butters_lfc9
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Have 2FT, any help as to how I should use them?!
      Foster
      Alonso-Lovren- Holebas
      Sanchez--Walcott-Hazard-Allen
      Costa-Ibra-Carroll

      Pickford-Capoue-Amat-Pieters
      0.1ITB

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Walcott and Hazard to Lallana and Alli.

      2. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Walcott ---> Phillips

    • dillydally1982
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Friend or Chambers???

    • FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Loris, Heaton
      Alonso, Holebas, Cedric, Friend, Amat
      Sanchez (c), Hazard, Phillips, Antonio, de Roon
      Ibra, Kane, Defoe

      1 ft, 1.8 itb.

      0.1 short of doing Kane -> Aguero.
      A) Just save,
      B) take a -4 to do Lloris --> Robinson to fund the Kane / Aguero trade?

    • cruzex
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Predictions for my team:

      De gea
      Morgan Williams Evans
      Hazard Lallana De bruyne (c) Sanchez
      Origi Kane Rondon

      bench: Jaku Roon Francis Chambers

      ty

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Enjoy the points

    • justmatt
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Thinking I'll just keep it simple this this, Siggy to Phillips. G2G?

      Heaton
      Alonso, Baines, Evans
      Sanchez, Hazard, Lallana, Phillips
      Ibra, Kane, Carroll

      Pickford*, de Roon, Holebas, Amat*

      1. CelticBhoy1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Yes Siggy to Phillips what I did!

    • Kibas
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      WC Ready to Go?

      Grant | Jaku
      Monreal | Brunt | Friend | Aké | Holgate
      Aléxis | Alli | Lallana | Phillips | de Roon
      Aguero | Ibra | Costa

      0.1 ITB

    • HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Benching Eriksen!

      Wish me luck

      1. fedolefan
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Because you have that good a team?

    • Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Hey lads what you think

      Foster
      Evans Williams Pieters
      Sanchez Lallana Eriksen Hazard
      Costa Ibra Carroll

      Jaku Jones Capoue Amat 1 FT 0.5 ITB

      A) Save
      B) Eriksen --> Zaha/Phillips

      Cheers

    • diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Who will score more points over the rest of the season?

      (i) Costa - Ibra - Lukaku; or
      (ii) Aguero - Costa - Benteke; or
      (iii) Aguero - Ibra - Rondon.

      Siding with (i) myself

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Why would you want any for the "rest of season"?

        1. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Price rises make this game difficult. I bought Costa cheap so I can't afford to sell him and buy him back over and over. For me it is about choosing a good solid base and then tinkering around the edges with the midfield and defence.

      2. william prunier
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Easily 1