Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
Share:

Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    The 9m deal has been accepted by #Rennes for #Grosicki so he will sign for #HullCity! @ed_aarons@Jon_LeGossip@RBairner@premierIeagueFR
    — Romain Collet-Gaudin (@RomainCG75

    1. Kroosin'
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Decent player.

    2. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Amazing Deal!
      Remember him at the Euros,
      Class Player!

    3. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Wow, that's awesome

      If they get Nani as well..

    4. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I'm very happy for him, his dream is to play in PL 😀

    5. Clifford☯
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Was a Great pick during Euro fantasy.Decent player.

    6. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Hull can bounce back with new manager and these signings

      1. TheTinman
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Dawaj Grosicki

        1. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Dokładnie TurboGrosik 😀

    7. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Straight in my team

    8. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Finally, curious to see his pricing.

  2. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Anyone know why lloris isn't in the squad? Injured?

    1. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Illness mate.

    2. Demí
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Ill

    3. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Cheers lads

  3. Demí
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Charlie Daniels absence explained:

    itsBlowey 24m24 minutes ago
    Clashed knees during training and is resting for game on Saturday

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Gone in the morning

      1. Business Cat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Like a Bat out of Hell?

    2. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Too much dancing does that.

    3. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Demi you used your second wild card yet 😉

      1. Demí
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        😉 You shouldn't worry about me. I've already given up hope. 3rd place at best

    4. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Thanks for this. With any luck Holgate will plug the gap for me.

  4. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    No Jrod in the squad. #transferimminent

    1. Lawrø
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      *adds to watchlist*

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Have him at Spurs

    3. TheTinman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Injured

    4. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Inj

  5. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Should have done Daniels to Coleman, worst purchase ever, haven't even got a sub to come off the bench.

    1. Bunk Moreland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Horrible! 1,1, 0 his scores.

  6. Chris_White
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Looks like 3-5-2 for Palace.

    PvA wingback and Zaha up front 😮

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Big changes at Palace

    2. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Didn't BFS just play PvA as a LM last year?

      1. Chris_White
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        They might have played 352, can't remember

  7. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Daniels transfer tonight?

    Any idea where? Southampton?

    Sold to fund Ake?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      Palace

      They're reverting to 3-7-1 with four wing-backs

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        😀

      2. Chris_White
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        ...and obviously no GK 😛

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          😆

          BFS in goals

      3. Business Cat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Like an X-Wing?

  8. Kitman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    I haven't got a scooby do who I finally made captain before he gameweek locked down

  9. A.T
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    Thanks to Chris, Bemba and Ziro for the teams 🙂

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      You're welcome

    2. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      😀

  10. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 hours ago

    PvA and Ward wing backs?

  11. AA33
      9 years, 3 hours ago

      I am so relieved that the captaincy dilemma got over 😉

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        hope you kept it on Benteke!

        1. AA33
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            😉

      2. Sanchit
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Bellerin -.-

      3. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        The game is being updated.

        The game is currently being updated.

        Please try again later when the updated scores / teams will be available.

        So slow 🙁

        1. Business Cat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Reticulating splines...

          1. Jafooli
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            This 😛

      4. JJeyy
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Hope the last minute Sanchez (C) ---> Kane (C) pays off!

      5. mocky666
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        FACK it , i missed the deadline 🙁

        1. Sponge-worthy
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          So how's your squad doing?

      6. InSaneMan-e
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Anyone know why Daniels isn't in that lineup?

        1. InSaneMan-e
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Never mind! Just read it
          Clashed knee

        2. JabbaWookiee
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          THIS!!! Grrrrrr

      7. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        In all the excitement I somehow managed to start Marney

      8. Ziro
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 hours ago

        Liverpool: Mignolet, Clyne, Matip, Lovren, Milner, Can, Henderson, Wijnaldum, Lallana, Firmino, Coutinho,
        Subs: Mané (19), Klavan (17), Origi (27), Leiva (21), Karius (1), Sturridge (15), Moreno (18)

        Chelsea: Courtois, Azpilicueta, Luiz, Cahill, Moses, Kanté, Matic, Alonso, Willian, Costa, Hazard,
        Subs: Zouma (5), Terry (26), Rodríguez Ledesma (11), Chalobah (29), Batshuayi (23), Fàbregas (4), Begovic (1)

        1. I Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Pedro 🙁

        2. Ziro
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Normal service resumed?

        3. 4. Arsenal FC
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          No Pedro!!!

        4. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Forgot about this 😆

        5. UVac
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Cheers!

        6. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          No Mane

          1. UVac
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            No Hane

        7. Demí
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Alonso against his parent club. Go well son

        8. AA33
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            No Ake even in subs! Bournemouth transfer imminent???

            1. Jafooli
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              😮 good spot....

            2. UVac
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              This would be great!

            3. Pompel
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Friend -> Aké shoo-in

        9. Jono295
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 3 hours ago

          Whys everyone mentioning the Sanchez captaincy?! Is there a problem with him?!

          1. MTPockets
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Dashed hopes of Giroud not starting.

            • Viper
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              No problem at all

            • KUN+10
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Problem is Alli, Ibra, Kane all have decent fixtures

          2. Clifford☯
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Chelsea team tonight: Courtois; Azpilicueta, David Luiz, Cahill (c); Moses, Kante, Matic, Alonso; Willian, Diego Costa, Hazard

          3. dhamphiir
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Chelsea team tonight: Courtois; Azpilicueta, David Luiz, Cahill (c); Moses, Kante, Matic, Alonso; Willian, Diego Costa, Hazard. #LIVCHE

          4. UVac
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Going balls out with bench boost.

            Heaton Jaku
            Baines Yoshida Brunt Holgate Alonso
            Alli Coutinho Sanchez Stanislas Fletcher
            Costa Kane(C) Ibrakadabra

            Let's see what happens 😀

            1. 1zverGGademN
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Good Luck!

              1. UVac
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 3 hours ago

                Thank you sir, and good luck to you too!

          5. FPL Maldini
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Pedro benched

            1. UVac
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Is that your face on the avatar after you noticed this? 😀

          6. Viper
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Such a great feeling coming home from work with the majority of a game week been played out.

            Glorious.

            For now.

          7. gagasrbija10
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Any news for Andy Carroll injury today?

            Thanks.

            1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
              • 16 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              He's good to go apparently

            2. Viper
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              He's fit and ready (playing tomorrow)

          8. Arteta
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            This Pedro/Willian rotation is mental.

            1. Wilshere Knowledge
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Fingers crossed Costa gets decapitated by Henderson.

          9. The Overthinker
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Come on don't take so long to update.
            Have to kick bellarin out .

          10. VS10_
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            No Ake in the squad, hopefully the move goes through.

          11. TheTinman
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 3 hours ago

            Ake to Bournemouth would be hilarious tbh

            1. Slartibartfast
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              Still in my team 😎

            2. Reedy
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              I'd love that! Never did get round to shifting him since his shirt turned blue

            3. MTPockets
                9 years, 3 hours ago

                Just having bought/sold him.

                1. Reedy
                  • 15 Years
                  9 years, 3 hours ago

                  🙁

            4. makaveli123
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 3 hours ago

              No Ake on the bench = actual interest from Bmouth?