Transfers
21 November 2017 961 comments
Nick and Tom WGTA Nick and Tom WGTA
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Another dramatic weekend saw the midfield firmly reassert itself as a target for big Fantasy investment.

The surprise, explosive return of Paul Pogba, another big score from Mohamed Salah and a Gameweek-high tally from Eden Hazard has meant that Fantasy managers are putting their five-man midfield under scrutiny. And, for once, Manchester City’s assets are not on the agenda.

Harry Kane’s failings and the continued rotation in Pep Guardiola’s frontline helped ensure that midfielders were the main focus.

However, there was at least a resurgence in the cheap striker bracket, with Oumar Niasse and Callum Wilson showing form and submitting their CV’s as perfect enablers for midfield investment.

Meanwhile, at the back, the inexorable rise of Stephen Ward continues, thanks to another Man City asset suffering sales.

Continuing our series of weekly articles, we at whogottheassist.com are reviewing and commenting on trends and behaviours in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) marketplace, looking at common themes and giving our view on the viability of the transfers taking place.

Pogback with a bang

Last season many Fantasy managers turned to 3-5-2 as the go-to formation, with big-ticket midfielders Alexis Sanchez, Eden Hazard and one or both of Spurs duo Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen squeezed into line-ups.

Savings came in the shape of Josh King as a cheap but hugely productive asset in midfield, with Victor Anichebe doing his bit as an enabler up front.

This season, the early prominence of premium defenders and strikers distracted Fantasy managers from a big spend in midfield.

However, we’re now seeing a shift, with that trend exploding into focus this week.

Paul Pogba’s 12-point comeback performance for Manchester United in just 69 minutes has sparked a rush to invest in the Frenchman.

His 8.0 price tag appears locked for seven days post-injury, meaning that his 224,000 investors so far have yet to impact on his valuation. But with his ownership continuing to climb as we approach Friday’s deadline, we will doubtless see one, or even two, increases ahead of Gameweeks 14 and 15.

Clearly, many see Pogba as a bargain and are swooping with Brighton due at Old Trafford on Saturday and a trip to Watford to follow soon after.

By contrast, team-mate Henrikh Mkhitaryan – whose form has dipped as dramatically as his price – is also back to his original 8.0 valuation as he continues to be sold in droves. Over 96,000 managers have parted ways with the Armenian, with almost 60,000 making the straight swap to Pogba.

Interestingly, Manchester City’s midfield options also appear to be suffering from Pogba’s return to prominence.

The tactic of doubling up on Pep Guardiola’s free-scoring options appears to have temporarily lost its appeal, with both Raheem Sterling (8.1 and 20,000+) and David Silva (8.4 and 14,000+) shedding owners directly to Pogba.

Salah maintains momentum

Mohamed Salah (9.6) gave us another virtuoso performance, with his brace against Southampton eliciting 16 points for his ownership, which now hovers around the 40% mark. His bandwagon shows no sign of slowing as managers cave in to his charms after back-to-back hauls and a seemingly relentless consistency.

More than 100,000 managers have brought the “winger” in so far despite a tough match-up with former employees Chelsea up next.

A major casualty of the rush for Salah is Christian Eriksen (9.5), who, astonishingly, is without an assist since Gameweek 2. Despite a kind looking run to come, another blank against Crystal Palace proved the final straw for many, with 80,000+ selling him on so far – 25,000 as part of a direct trade to Salah.

Wilson and Niasse pounce on Tammy setback

Gameweek 12 has also signalled a major shift in the budget striker market.

Just as Fantasy managers potentially lost one cut-price option, so another two compelling candidates stepped up to fill the potential void.

Oumar Niasse (5.0) at Everton and Callum Wilson (6.0) at Bournemouth were the only two strikers to hit double figures at the weekend, coinciding with Tammy Abraham’s (6.0) injury in Swansea City’s 2-0 away defeat to Burnley.

Abraham has since sustained 94,000 sales and 35,000+ of these have been trades to Niasse, while over 25,000 have moved to Wilson.

There are several twists in this particular tale, not least the fact that Swansea seem confident on Abraham’s return to face Bournemouth this weekend.

Secondly, Niasse has had his short-term appeal dented by the FA only this morning.

Niasse harvested a 10-point return at Crystal Palace and is currently the second most bought player, with 129,000 managers rushing to exploit his potential to free up funds. However, with the FA’s charge revealed earlier today, those owners will likely have to do without the Senegalese for the next two matches. It will be interesting to see if that reverses the market trend, with Niasse’s 5.4% ownership suffering a dip.

Elsewhere, Wilson’s warming return to FPL relevance after injury arrived via an explosive 17-point hat-trick. That treble against Huddersfield Town rewarded the intrepid 3,393 managers who acquired his services ahead of the Terriers clash.

With a very favourable run of short-term fixtures, Wilson has prompted 80,000 to swoop ahead of his away trip to a vulnerable Swansea defence.

Morata in vogue

Despite the top five strikers being placed just 10 points apart, a goal and an assist at West Brom has seen Alvaro Morata (10.5) continue to soar as the market’s forward option of choice.

A promising run of fixtures after Saturday’s trip to Liverpool has urged another 113,000+ to snap up the Chelsea striker, with Spurs’ Harry Kane (12.8) and City’s Sergio Aguero (11.7) predictably the players shedding owners.

That pair suffered significant blows to their stock in Gameweek 12. Kane blanked for the first time in a north London derby on Saturday, while Aguero recorded yet another no-show in an away fixture.

The uncertainty surrounding Aguero’s starting role has seen many of his owners take action, with his price falling as a result of more than 94,000 sales – over a third of which have been trades to Morata.

While a trip to Huddersfield is up next, Pep Guardiola’s statements in yesterday’s Champions League press conference appeared to confirm that Aguero remains in a job share with Gabriel Jesus. The Brazilian has started all of Man City’s away matches so far, which would suggest that Aguero will again have his minutes cut against the Terriers.

As for Kane, he has been sold off by 50,000 with managerless West Brom up next.

Despite causing despair following his recent failures as captain, the fear factor remains a consideration with Kane.

Capable of punishing a beleaguered Baggies, his Gameweek 13 potential will doubtless be slowing sales. However, a lack of convincing alternatives – aside from Morata – has also helped his cause and urged many to ignore recent disappointments and show patience.

Dropping like Stones

A hamstring injury sustained against Leicester City has ruled Man City centre-half John Stones out for the Christmas period.

Heavy sales have inevitably followed and he’s the most discarded asset ahead of Friday, with 102,000 managers showing him the exit.

More than 20,000 have so far swapped for his defensive partner Nicolas Otamendi, who returns from suspension for Gameweek 13. Arsenal’s Sead Kolasinac and Bournemouth’s Charlie Daniels are the other two key targets benefitting from the Stones fallout.

However, his injury has also helped to maintain the meteoric rise of Burnley’s Stephen Ward. He is now the top-owned defender in the game (21.2%) and has attracted another 61,000 managers this Gameweek. Ward has also risen from his initial valuation of 4.5 to a princely 5.0.

Sales of early-season favourite Ahmed Hegazi and the crocked Phil Jones have also benefitted Ward. Some 7,500 have made the direct Jones to Ward swap.

Those seeking Burnley representation in their backlines, but now baulking at Ward’s inflated price, are considering Nick Pope in goal. He earned two bonus points against Swansea despite registering just a single save.

Pope is surpassing David de Gea for transfers in (17,000 vs 13,000), while some (8,000+) have downgraded the Man United stopper in another bid to free up investment funds.

In conclusion

We are now careering into a period of intense Fantasy activity, with Gameweeks coming thick and fast – nine of them between now and New Year’s Day.

Accordingly, the market could pick up pace.

This Gameweek, only 5.7 million transfers were made, the third lowest so far. Will this number be sustained, or will the quick turnover in rounds catch out those less attentive?

There are two notable trends to monitor: the move towards midfield investment to set up a 3-5-2 formation and the drive to acquire an active bench ahead of the Christmas schedule.

Pogba as a potentially cheap heavy-hitter, along with the emerging cut-price options in attack, can only help facilitate matters.

The movement away from Man City assets is also of interest.

The fact that Leroy Sane is the only significant riser among City’s squad indicates that rotation concerns may be reducing confidence and encouraging managers to consider alternatives. The trades from Silva and Sterling to Pogba illustrate this and could continue, depending on Gameweek 13 performances.

Nick and Tom WGTA We're Individual and Matamatics on FFS, and started our own site to add our voice to the FPL community and for FFS in particular.

961 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. King Sheep
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    I have Jones @ 5.2, ... he's currently worth 5.5 so why is it when I go to remove and replace him in transfer I am only getting 5.2 TV on him?

    I have 0.4M ITB but when I remove him only have 5.6 to spend on a replacement?

    1. Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      u must be mistaken somehwere

    2. HashAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      because you bought him for 5M ... you only get 1/2 the profit, rounded down to the nearest 100K

    3. MTPockets
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Are you sure? Check the transfers page - list view - for purchase price.

    4. Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      did u get him at 5.0?

      1. King Sheep
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks guys, I guess that means I got him at 5.0, and can now sell him at 5.2 for a 0.2 profit?

        I assumed I bought him at 5.2 ... which would have meant I could've sold him for 5.3M right?

        1. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Right.

        2. HashAttack
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          that would be correct ... its best to monitor your players using the list view on the transfer pages ... both for increases and decreases ... i.e. it is irrelevant to you if Jones drops to 5.4 as you would still get 5.2

          1. King Sheep
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 7 months ago

            Muchos gracias people! 🙂

    5. Fingerspitzengefühl
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      You bought him for 5 and can therefore only cash in 0.2. Luckily you can handle a price drop without affecting your sale value

  2. hurrrrr
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Jones and Aguero for a hit a few weeks back is one of the worst fantasy decisions I've ever made.

    Decision now is whether to do Jones -> Mustafi or Jones -> Burnley Def and use the cash elsewhere.

    1. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Depends on what you can do with the saving with a Burnley defender . if you don't have 1 or Pope then would go for one

  3. Mikey44
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    With Jones out...

    A- Bench for Ward at home to Arsenal and save FT
    B- Jones out for Daniels as my FT
    C- Jones and Murray out for Daniels and Wilson (-4)

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      I am doing B

  4. I Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    A) Sane + Mustafi
    B) Pogba + Azpilicueta

    1. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      B I think

  5. marquinhos
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    With Jones out, will United be able to keep those CS?

    1. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      If Lindelol is playing then I doubt it

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Lowers DDG's stock a bit.

  6. GuyIncognito
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Otamendi or Kolasinac in for Jones? Leaning towards Kola right now because Arsenal's fixture spacing over Christmas looks more reasonable, + they play the reserves in Europe.

    1. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Go Kola

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Both good options. I'm doing Stones to Otamendi as I only have 0.1 itb so don't have the luxury of choice.

  7. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Ryan Babel here starts the woodwork

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Hits the woodwork*

    2. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      *coming out of the woodwork

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      What's he making?

  8. Debauchy
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Jesus owners , can't second guess Pep but if on the bench tonight are you holding for Hudders ?

    1. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      yes

    2. UnitedFan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    3. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Holding regardless

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        This.

      2. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        May do too, out for Morata next though

    4. I Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Definitely.

    5. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers guys , yep way to go for me too

  9. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Jones to Yedlin? Would mean i have 2 4.4's but would let me do Choupo to Pogba

  10. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    DDG
    lowton smalling simpson (moreno mbemba)
    salah hazard richarlison choupo (atsu)
    kane jesus niasse?!
    (itb 3.4)

    a) otamendi --- mbemba
    b) pogba --- atsu
    c) sane --- choupo/richarlison
    d) daniels zaha -4 --- atsu mbemba

    1. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      All decent moves , your call Im afraid

      1. n-doggg
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        D

      2. Nightf0x
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        couldnt resist not getting sane

  11. n-doggg
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Choupo got that assist yet?

  12. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Keep DDG? Brought in for a hit last week.

    1. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      yes

  13. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    So guys is it advisable to make Jones to Daniels transfer todayas free transfer

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      No reason to do it today.

    2. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure what's happening in the price market but would wait if you can

    3. HashAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Daniels has already gone up this week .. no chance of him going up again before Friday

    4. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Was thinking the same - but then seeing Bournemouths fxtures over xmas , not so sure I fancy it

  14. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    My Jones to Smalling move last week looking better and better.

  15. KLOPPTOMANIA
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Jesus and Gross to Niasse and Hazard?

    1. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      wait till we find out what will happen with niasse

      1. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Hes banned already.

    2. HashAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      It's a shame to sell Gross but I am faced with the same dilemma ... that said, I have always played Gross first sub - which was needed when playing Kun or Jesus etc. Without a city forward, I have less need of Gross

  16. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    What would you do with these lot?

    Foster
    Bellerin-Naughton-Jones*
    Salah-Sterling-Richalison-Tcaroll*
    Morata-Lukaku-Kane

    Subs: Ellioit-Atsu*-Francis*-Long*

    1FT & 0.4itb

    If Jones is declared fit, I could do Atsu->RLC this GW & Bellerin->Azpiliqueta next GW, but if he isn't then I don't know what to do!? Someone help please!

  17. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Kdb to surely play some part tonight. Needs one booking for a ban, as city are through this game would make sense to get the booking

  18. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Can afford one drop on Jones, have Mee on the bench.. Should I just play Mee or take a hit to get Jones out?

  19. DAZZ
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Whats the Jones out news??

    1. le flem
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Moureen said he's out for next prem game

    2. GoonerByron
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Out tomorrow and definitely out weekend

    3. DAZZ
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Jones > Christensen daft???

  20. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    City XI | Ederson, Walker, Mangala, Otamendi, Danilo, Gundogan, Yaya Toure, De Bruyne, Bernardo, Sterling, Aguero (C)

    Subs | Bravo, Foden, Delph, Silva, Fernandinho, Diaz, G Jesus

    1. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Ffs sterling and kun

      Get out my team both of you

    2. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Jesus , relax lad

      1. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Chomping at the bit for Hudders....

    3. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Silva rested 😎

    4. Ode
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Where's Sane?

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Dropped

      2. the snazzy viking
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        probably secretly injured

        1. Debauchy
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          this lol

  21. PepSala
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Why is nobody doing Jones to Davies or Trippier? Seems like they are both preferred in the league

    1. el polako
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Never again Spurs fullbacks for me, having 3 City players is enough roation rollercoaster for one stressed fpl manager.

  22. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    #LFC XI: Karius, Gomez, Klavan, Lovren, Moreno, Wijnaldum, Henderson, Coutinho, Mane, Salah, Firmino.

    #LFC substitutes: Mignolet, Milner, Sturridge, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Can, Solanke, Alexander-Arnold.

    1. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Sturridge rested 😎

      1. Ode
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Or injured during warm up...

      2. Sánchez
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Haha

      3. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        get on Jaf

  23. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Right well selling Kun

    Morata in it is

  24. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    #THFC: Lloris (C), Aurier, Sanchez, Vertonghen, Rose, Dier, Winks, Eriksen, Dele, Son, Kane. #COYS

    1. Sickboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      That’s me keeping Davies then.

    2. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Dembele start this weekend confirmed - Kane hat trick confirmed

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Put your mortgage on it

    3. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Lovely , Davies stays awhile longer

  25. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    City XI | Ederson, Walker, Mangala, Otamendi, Danilo, Gundogan, Yaya Toure, De Bruyne, Bernardo, Sterling, Aguero (C)

    Subs | Bravo, Foden, Delph, Silva, Fernandinho, Diaz, G Jesus

    #cityvfey #mancity https://t.co/XYb7gg1pfD

    1. sillyhilly69
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Does not bode well for Aguero on Saturday.

      Does bode well for Sane.

    2. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Which Silva on the bench Bemba?

      #attentiontodetail

      1. Ronnie Hotdog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 7 months ago

        Bernado's playing, so I'm guessing it's David.

        1. Jafooli
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 7 months ago

          Oh yeah 😀

          #attentiontodetailjafooliyanumpty

    3. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Pretty happy with Jesus and Sané in team for Saturday 🙂

  26. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    LOLguero

  27. sillyhilly69
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Mustafi being 'nailed' scares me now I've brought him in.

    Sanchez was scoring for fun last year up front and the boss persisted with playing G-ru up front instead.

    Do not second guess Wenger.

  28. the snazzy viking
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Jesus on the bench 😎

    Now a captain option for Hudders

    1. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Very much so

  29. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Jammy Davies owners, getting lucky every sodding week, filthy spoon fed casuals.

    1. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      Whats your address ? filthy maybe, but no casual

  30. QuintonFortune25
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 7 months ago

    Evening all. Got the wildcard active; thoughts on this team?

    DDG - Speroni
    Alonso - Otamendi - Mee - Duffy - Moreno
    Salah - Sane - Pogba - Richarlison - RLC
    Kane - Morata - Niasse

    1. King Sheep
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 7 months ago

      DDG>Courtois
      Niasse>Wilson

      if you can