Spot the Differential
2 December 2017 2220 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez came through for us in midweek with a goal in the 5-0 victory over Huddersfield, and we’re backing two other big-name midfielders to shine as differentials this time around.

Our third selection sees us take a chance on a Southampton striker who proved in Gameweek 13 that he can still find the back of the net when given the pitch time and service.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

Everton’s club-record signing is beginning to make his mark on Merseyside and he looks set for further profit with Huddersfield Town visiting Goodison Park this afternoon.

A goal and two assists in his last three Gameweek starts provide indication that the Iceland international has now settled at his new club, following an indifferent start.

The midfielder’s underlying statistics illustrate a growing influence.

He has registered more shots (five) than any team-mate over the last four Gameweeks, and has also created two big chances. The former Swansea City midfielder has supplied 19 crosses during the same spell, more than double that of any other Toffees player.

Confidence levels in the Toffees camp will have been boosted by the emphatic 4-0 victory over West Ham United, and also by the arrival of Sam Allardyce as manager.

This afternoon’s match-up will be Big Sam’s first game in charge and looks to be a platform to claim back-to-back victories.

No team has conceded more goals than Huddersfield (11) over the last four Gameweeks, while they have also given up more big chances (13) than any other side over that period.

Now down to 8.0 in Fantasy Premier League, having started the season at 8.5, Sigurdsson will be a factor today and could yet feature in our seasons.

Everton’s fixture list for the rest of 2017 remains favourable, and we might see the 2.1%-owned midfielder emerge as an effective differential under Allardyce.

Gameweek 15 looks as good opportunity to take a chance on a player who has been a firm Fantasy favourite in seasons past.

Charlie Austin

After playing just seven minutes in midweek, and with Shane Long an injury doubt, we fancy that Charlie Austin will be handed a start when Southampton travel to Bournemouth on Sunday.

The striker made the most of his first start of the season in Gameweek 13, scoring twice in the 4-1 victory over Everton.

His performance could not have been more impressive. Austin registered six shots, with five coming from inside the penalty-area.

His lack of pitch-time so far this season means the forward resides in just 1% of FPL squads. But given his proven track record, he may well be worth a look as a third striker differential.

He tallied six goals and one assist from just 11 starts last term and produced 18 goals and eight assists back in 2014/15.

His aerial prowess, in particular, could be a major factor against the Bournemouth defence. Only West Bromwich Albion (39) have conceded more headed attempts (36) this season.

Available at just 6.0 in FPL, Austin may be viewed as a possible rotation option, with his historical fitness issues perhaps meaning he won’t be able to start every match over this congested period.

But with a favourable Gameweek 15 match-up, and strong home fixtures against Leicester City and Huddersfield coming up, he could warrant a gamble.

Philippe Coutinho

The forgotten man in the FPL midfield shake-up can be a major game-changer for Fantasy managers.

After being an unused substitute in the 3-0 win over Stoke City on Wednesday night, Philippe Coutinho is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Brighton & Hove Albion.

While it’s been a stop-start campaign for the Brazilian so far, he’s still totalled three goals, two assists and eight bonus points from just seven starts.

Now down to just 8.8 in FPL, he could be a great option to double up on the Liverpool attack, alongside Mohamed Salah, for the favourable run of fixtures heading into 2018.

While today’s opponents Brighton have been relatively solid at the Amex Stadium, conceding just seven goals, there is every chance the free-scoring Reds can prosper.

The Seagulls rank sixth for the most big chances allowed in home matches, with 12, and fifth for shots on target conceded (29).

Meanwhile, Jurgen Klopp’s side currently boast the Premier League’s in-form attack. They lead the way for both goals scored (11) and big chances (13) over the last four Gameweeks.

When he’s been on the pitch, Coutinho has been hugely influential, averaging a shot every 20.5 minutes, which matches the prolific Salah.

While Coutinho mainly relies on efforts from range, he has also created a chance every 29 minutes, superior to both Salah (50) and Sadio Mane (51).

An FPL goal involvement rate of 50% highlights Coutinho’s importance to the Liverpool attack.

If you’re seeking a differential with the potential for a big tally, the 5.2%-owned Reds midfielder fits the profile perfectly.

  1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    made a huge mistake knee jerking in morata last week 🙁

    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      why?

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        We took the click bait 😉

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Why?

    3. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I did the same but think he'll come good. Took aguero out for him. Better than nervously waiting for peps teamsheet every week.

    4. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Indeed

      He might get rested today

    5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      lots of news outlets showing morata on the bench in their predicted lineups

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Hazard false 9?

    6. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Did Davies and Kaku to Morata and Azpi, was a -8 swing last week (including hit) but thinking it will come good long term. Hopefully...

  2. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Any changes needed? 0.2 ITB, 1 FT

    DDG
    Otamendi, Daniels, Hegazi
    Salah, Sterling, Richarlison, Gross, Hazard (VC)
    Morata, Kane (C)

    (Elliot, Mee, Mariappa, Quaner)

    ...DDG -> Courtois?

    Cheers.

    1. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Nice team, only change i would do is get rid of hegazi.

      1. Catastrophe
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. Yeah he needs to go but palace at home this week

        1. iveseenitall
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Keep for this one then and see who pardew fancies. Then id swap out for a everton defender

  3. iveseenitall
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Chances of eriksen being rested?

    Need him out but always had more pressing issues the last few weeks

  4. MFPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    GTG?

    Pope
    Alonso Otamendi Daniels
    Hazard Salah Silva Richarlison
    Kane Vardy Niasse

    Elliot Simpson Ward RLC 0FT

  5. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Captaincy back on Salah! This is a nightmare! 🙁

    1. Jam0sh
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Unnecessary drama. Just make your decision

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        All 3 are ripe for the captaincy. So tough.

        1. andymck
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          If you have Hazard Salah and Kane and can’t pick them just play the numbers game and pick Salah. Hazard in particular still has low ownership so just having him is enough of a differential

        2. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          I assume you are talking about Hazard, Salah and Kane. All are really good options and I'll captain one of them

          1. TheAbear53
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 3 months ago

            Who you going for ?

    2. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      At Fortress Falmer? 😆

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Yep, they have a better defence than Newcastle and Watford, but Liverpool's attacking stats are better. And I think Coutinho being back makes a difference in terms of chance creation.

    3. jia you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Get three pieces of paper, write Salah on one, Kane on one & Haz one one and do a lucky pick! Could be lucky when undecided like you seem to be 😉

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        😆

    4. MUFASA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I have the same dilemma. I have moved between Salah, Hazard an Kane all week. But thinking about it now Hazard is not highly owned - so big score wont hurt too much. So that leaves 2...
      Salah has the higher ownership and so based on that i would captain Salah and play the numbers game.

    5. Meltens
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I’m going with Salah (C). Tired of not enjoying his goals!
      Love captaining a midfielder for the extra points.

  6. Hurricane Gilbert
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Start Zaha or Niasse?

  7. Uncle Gamst
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Mustafi > Christensen? Thanks

  8. Fernando Torres
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Niasse or DCL?

    1. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Wait a week

    2. Coaly
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Dcl

  9. dark91
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Just wanted to discuss that phrase "Hazard poor at home"
    So far this season he has only played 4 Home games with 3 of them being against top 6 teams
    Even Watford was among the top 6 earlier this season

    Arsenal (played 20 mins) Manchester City
    Watford
    Man United

    So i would say these matches so far can't serve as a representative sample. However, i am undecided myself who to captain between him, Kane and Salah but just wanted to share this with you guys and see what you think

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      He’s bang in form, but I’m going with Kane, Watford play attacking football and it will suit us

      1. TheAbear53
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I am also going with Kane - we do play attacking football and it will suit you ! You need a response...

  10. pjomara
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Best 5m or less goalie for December??
    Thinking Gomes based on fixtures, agree or disagree?

    1. Rash
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Pickford

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Pickford

    3. Sloopy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Gomes is not a bad choice imo

  11. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    What would you do?
    Begovic[Elliot]
    Kola Davies Gomez [Dann,Rosenior]
    Salah Sane Mahrez Gross[TC]
    Kun Kane Rondon
    1ft 0.2

    A)Kola->Christensen
    B)Save

  12. Afghanistanislas
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    I've captained Kane for each of his blanks (+ last GW) and captaining him again this GW, in case anyone needs a reason to decide against him

  13. jia you
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Way too busy on here, catch ye later & good luck!

  14. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Subs order:

    a. Wilson
    b. Daniels
    c. Ward

    Right order?

  15. Yozzer
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    The pain of a hazard blank knowing you have to sit through salah and kane is the main reason I'm not even considering it. Madness I know

    1. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Similar mate.....

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Mark called Hazard the villain of the season last year, Pumps.

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        He was, i owned him a few times and he blanked every time I had him then he would haul

        1. andymck
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Bigger troll than Lukaku

      2. Yozzer
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I got on hazard the right time with captaining his explosion last season. Odd how one man's villian is another mans hero 😉

    3. Spurred_On
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Don't do it bc he's playing the early game. My second best captain choice all year came from Kane in the early fixture against Huddersfield, and that was the week where all the other strikers blanked.

      1. Spurred_On
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        *Don't not captain him bc...

    4. TheAbear53
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I actually find it more exciting to watch the game with your Captain in live... he also has the midfielder bonus - Kane might lose some mins this week ?

  16. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    If morata is rested then hazard starts up front.

    That surely makes him a better capt option than Kane.. ..

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe, I'd prefer Morata up top w/Haz.

    2. Coaly
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      If the whole Watford first xi is rested surely that makes Kane a better option?

      1. TheAbear53
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Doesn't really play into the way we've (not) defended this season...

  17. Dannyb
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Lukaku to Jesus for a hit?

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Nor for a hit

  18. beric
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Sane(c)

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Make sure you have a good VC

      1. beric
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Sterling(vc)

        1. Bouncebackability
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          I definitely wouldn't have one as VC. Its not beyond the realms they both don't start.

    2. Spurred_On
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      I don't think he'll even play

      1. beric
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        he will and he'll bang in 2 outstanding volleys

  19. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    2 things I've noticed on here today

    1) why do people think Morata eill be rested when there's no other striker and he can rest midweek?
    2) why would Pep risk Sane getting a yellow and missing the derby? No way he will play

    1. Podge
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Can pep not tell sane to stay on his feet and not risk a card ?

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I think you're overestimating the brainpower of your average professional footballer

    2. jia you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      1. Haz can play false 9 (but yeah seems to be a lot of fear mogering going on today!)
      2. Pep has a good squad, not a huge deal really!

  20. SirStevieG
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Start Gomez or Ward?

    1. Sahil Yadav
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Gomez

  21. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    play Niasse or RLC?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      RLC

      1. Rinseboy
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        for safety?

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          Yes, I'm not sure if Big Sam will pick Niasse to start after winning 4-0.

    2. Spurred_On
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Niasse for me

  22. Spurred_On
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    If D Silva's price keeps dropping I might just get him in

  23. Water_Pink
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Play gross or Okazaki ?
    Or transfer Okazaki to ?

  24. Fernando Torres
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    A) Keep Elliot and Krul
    B) Krul + Wilson -> DCL + Courtois (-8)
    C) Krul -> Pickford/Pope/Ryan (-4)

    First to 2 please guys...

    1. Sloopy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      B after deadline

  25. Bouncebackability
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    I wouldn't have made a transfer this week, but having Sane is annoying.

    Can't say for sure if he is going to start, and if he doesn't, he'll probably plummet by .2 or .3 anyway. It would be horrible watching the City game with just Otamendi.

    Now, I can only afford Silva or Sterling so I'm tempted by Silva for a week (before a switch to Coutinho). Sound reasonable?

    1. Rash
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Just go coutinho now if he's who you want

      1. Sloopy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        This imo!

      2. Bouncebackability
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        I want Mane really but he would be for a hit.

        Not sure what to make of the Brighton game. Could be 0-0 or 0-3 in my opinion, don't think it will be anything in between.

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      sort of, but no

  26. Arn De Gothia
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    I have no goalie. What do you think of Elliot -> Courtois & Morata -> Wilson (-4)

    1. TheAbear53
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Never...

      1. Arn De Gothia
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        thnx

  27. Scout
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Likelihood of salah scoring?

    1. Peggi
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      100%

      1. Scout
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        You reckon triple captain?

        1. TheAbear53
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 3 months ago

          If you back yourself/your boy

          1. Scout
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 3 months ago

            Against brighton you reckon he will get a lot of points?

            1. TheAbear53
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 3 months ago

              He'll definitely be amongst them... not sure he will get a load but you cannot underestimate his form (3 braces in four)...

              1. Scout
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 3 months ago

                But he will score?

                1. Scout
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 3 months ago

                  You reckon a goal at least?

                  1. TheAbear53
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 3 months ago

                    I do, yep

                    1. Scout
                      • 8 Years
                      8 years, 3 months ago

                      Ok thank you

                  2. TheAbear53
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 3 months ago

                    If your gut is convinced then go for him

                    1. Scout
                      • 8 Years
                      8 years, 3 months ago

                      Yeah done thank you

                      1. TheAbear53
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 9 Years
                        8 years, 3 months ago

                        TC ? Good luck bro

  28. Nemanja Vidic
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Rate my WC

    Foster Hennesey

    Moreno Morgan Kolasinac Ward Christiansen

    Salah Hazard Mooy Sterling RLC

    Morata Kane Naisse

    Cheers

  29. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 3 months ago

    Good luck, all! This is me:

    GW 15:

    Ryan
    Otamendi, Trippier, Christensen
    Eriksen, Salah(vc), Sterling, Young
    Kane(c), Morata, Rashford

    Elliot; Gomez, Stephens, Duffy … 0, 0.0 ITB, TV: 102.9, SV: 101.5

    1. Bouncebackability
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Not tempted to start Gomez?

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Not this week. 🙂

    2. mangoputney
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Good luck too

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers!

    3. Disco Pat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 3 months ago

      Doorsa good luck.
      Looks good. Eriksen could be a nice differential if re-finds form