Differentials

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 23

With forwards still struggling to bring in the points, we’ve chosen a pair of midfielders and a budget defender as our first trio of differentials for 2018.

A Bournemouth winger who has quietly been producing sensational numbers in recent weeks takes centre stage. A Chelsea stalwart with kind fixtures also catches the eye, while the prospect of a double-figure score has drawn us back to a West Brom defender favoured heavily in the early season.

Jordon Ibe

Bournemouth’s Jordon Ibe is emerging as a fresh budget fifth midfielder option on the back of some fine recent showings.

Setting us back just 4.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the winger has impressively registered more shots (17) than any other midfielder over the last four Gameweeks.

Indeed, only Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah (seven) has produced more efforts on target than Ibe (six) over that spell.

The Cherries winger notched his fourth assist of the season in the 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion in Gameweek 22 and has also impressed with his creativity.

He has registered 13 key passes over the same four-match spell, which is bettered only by Brighton’s Pascal Gross (14) among midfielders.

Ibe is benefitting from a sustained run in the side.

The signing from Liverpool has started the last five, having previously only been selected in the starting XI for seven of the opening 17 matches.

It remains to be seen if Ibe can retain a starting role on the right flank, though Ibe’s convincing recent form could force the returning Junior Stanislas to compete with Ryan Fraser for a role on the left.

Eddie Howe’s men entertain Arsenal tomorrow, colliding with a Gunners rearguard that has shipped eight goals in their last four encounters.

Arsene Wenger’s side, who will be without key defenders Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal, have also allowed 46 shots from inside the penalty area over their last four matches. Only West Ham United (47) have conceded more.

Ibe, meanwhile, has helped the Cherries fire 50 shots from inside the box since Gameweek 19, more than any other side.

With the fixture list (whu che STK hud NEW) also kind for some time to come, the 0.4%-owned winger looks an enticing option for those getting frustrated by the injury-prone Ruben Loftus-Cheek.

Cesc Fabregas

A home fixture against a Leicester City side that has managed just a single clean sheet on their travels this season brings Chelsea’s Cesc Fabregas into our thinking.

The Spain international has registered a modest one goal and four assists so far but is impressively creating a chance every 22 minutes – more frequently than any player who has made at least two starts.

Fabregas is currently benefitting from playing as the most advanced of the three central midfielders for the champions, pulling the strings behind Eden Hazard and Alvaro Morata.

Chelsea’s upcoming schedule remains favourable over the coming weeks (bha BOU wat WBA), so the 3.4%-owned playmaker could also provide a longer-term solution.

Available at just 6.8, Fabregas can be a cheaper option from the Blues attack at a time when Morata and, to a lesser extent, Hazard are struggling to justify their premium price tags.

For those Fantasy managers who need to find differentials capable of double-figure hauls, the Chelsea midfielder looks worthy of serious consideration over these next five Gameweeks.

Ahmed Hegazi

Although the West Bromwich Albion defender is nominally part of 18.9% of FPL squads, a high proportion of those are doubtless unmanaged ‘ghostship teams’, ensuring that the Egyptian is now a differential of sorts among active managers.

It is fair to say that this afternoon’s home clash against Brighton has all the hallmarks of a 0-0 draw – both sides have had four goalless draws this season, more than any other teams.

The centre-back, who has now returned to his original starting price of 4.5, has picked up bonus points on three occasions when the Baggies have kept a clean sheet.

He has registered an eye-catching 219 clearances, blocks and interceptions, which is 102 more than any team-mate and third overall among defenders.

Hegazi also boasts a significant set-piece threat – only three defenders have had more big chances (four) than the three for the Baggies centre-back.

Most significantly, Brighton have conceded more goals (14) from set-plays than any other side this season and also rank first for the most set-piece chances allowed, with 112.

With the potential to produce points at both ends of the pitch, Hegazi is finally back on the radar as an option – albeit in the short-term.

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1,378 Comments Post a Comment
  1. 8ball
      3 months, 13 days ago

      play Otamendi (liv) or Tarkowski (cpa)?

      1. Prof
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 13 days ago

        Never bench Ota

      2. Scout
          3 months, 13 days ago

          ota

      3. stewlynz
          3 months, 13 days ago

          On a WC. Never played 4-5-1 before but what do you think?

          Elliot

          Jones, Mustafi, Alonso, Ota

          Son, Sterling, Lingard, Salah, Arnie

          Kane

          Pope, Duffy, Ayew, Crouch

          £2.2 ITB

          1. Yogi_mike
              3 months, 13 days ago

              G2G, Nice staring 11

              1. Scout
                  3 months, 13 days ago

                  gtg

              2. JK-R9
                  3 months, 13 days ago

                  Strong. Just missing Haz IMHO.

                  Alonso will tear Leicester a hole or two though!

                • stewlynz
                    3 months, 13 days ago

                    Thanks for the reassurance chaps.

                • seanpauldcu
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  3 months, 13 days ago

                  Captain dilemma! Spot the haul...

                  Kane v Everton @Wembley - Kane has 5 goals in 7 appearances but Everton haven’t conceded more than 2 in PL under Big Sam.

                  Hazard v Leicester @SBridge - Hazard known for home form, 2 goals 2 assists against Foxes over 8 games in his career but Puel got team well drilled and has some big scalps already plus not conceded more than 2 in PL away. Notably Puel has singled Hazard out in pressers.

                  Rom v Stoke @OldTrafford - Rom has 5 goals in 11 appearances and Stoke are managerless + abysmal away from home.

                  Decisions. Decisions. Decisions.

                  1. Patch
                      3 months, 13 days ago

                      Singled Hazard in what way?

                    • Borriello
                        3 months, 13 days ago

                        Drilled or not, they are yet to keep a CS on the road... Chelsea will seek goals from the onset considering Man City's showdown... Goalfest hallmarks + Hazard is the main man in Chelsea. Captain.

                        1. Patch
                            3 months, 13 days ago

                            We need Powell to say if Hazard will be benched

                      • JK-R9
                          3 months, 13 days ago

                          Most going with Jones, is Shaw not a dead cert cheaper option this week?

                          Using Free Hit this week BTW.

                          Thoughts?

                          1. Scout
                              3 months, 13 days ago

                              would go for jones

                          2. Sun Jihai
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            3 months, 13 days ago

                            Madness to consider playing Murray (WBA) over Firmino (MCI)?

                            1. Fozzyb34r
                                3 months, 13 days ago

                                It's a tough one, I'd go Murray...just

                              • Scout
                                  3 months, 13 days ago

                                  firmino help below please

                                • Borriello
                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                    Haha!! Nah, it ain't that far fetched an idea... I've been mulling over him all week too... But Firm edges him considering the has Goal fest tendencies...

                                • Fozzyb34r
                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                    Anyone else captaining Pogba?

                                    1. JK-R9
                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                        Nah. Kane or Haz.

                                      • Scout
                                          3 months, 13 days ago

                                          I'm going for Kane

                                        • Somalion
                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                            Between him or Kane for me

                                        • Scout
                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                            repost: got no answer
                                            team a or b

                                            A
                                            DDG
                                            VDD otemendi Alonso jones bellerin
                                            silva salah son sterling
                                            kane

                                            b
                                            DDG
                                            otemendi Alonso jones kenny
                                            silva salah son sterling
                                            kane rooney

                                            team a will be -4pts or could use wildcard

                                            1. JK-R9
                                                3 months, 13 days ago

                                                No Hazard given the fixtures they have coming up? If you're using the WC get him in!

                                                1. Scout
                                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                                    can't get hazard and not using wildcard would take the hit instead? what team you thinking

                                                    1. JK-R9
                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                        A but over the two weeks downgrade on defence it's £££ and make room for Haz.

                                                        1. Scout
                                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                                            you think worth the -4pts? only leading in the league by 8pts. I think defenders get points though clean sheet and 6points? haz hasn't been doing much either

                                                            1. JK-R9
                                                                3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                After Leicester they have:

                                                                Brighton (A)
                                                                Bournemouth (H)
                                                                Watford (A)
                                                                West Brom (H)

                                                                I'll let you work it out...

                                                                1. Scout
                                                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                    who would I take out for hazard? silva?

                                                                  • Scout
                                                                      3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                      can't get hazard would have to downgrade a lot on def

                                                                      1. JK-R9
                                                                          3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                          Definitely need to. Too much focus on defence in my opinion. No other striker but Kane? If you go back to the drawing board you need to downgrade on def. Keep Alonso, Ota and Jones. Perhaps cheaper keeper then downgrade other two defenders. Should make room for Haz and more..

                                                          • burkeyoa
                                                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                                            Any RLC news will he play?

                                                            1. stewlynz
                                                                3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                No

                                                            2. sharbee
                                                                3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                Take (C) off Kane and onto Alonso.

                                                                Somebody talk me out of it?

                                                                1. Old Man
                                                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                  3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                  As a Foxes fan with double Chelsea defence I'm not sure what to say, but I have a hunch that we'll score.

                                                                2. Scout
                                                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                    keep on Kane. Leicester likely to score

                                                                  • JK-R9
                                                                      3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                      Stick with 'arry!

                                                                      1. sharbee
                                                                          3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                          did i mention I'm chasing? :p

                                                                      2. @FPremscout (liverpoolfanta…
                                                                          3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                          I was debating it also, but its not worth the pain. Plus I like to watch my captain play and Spurs is on TV.

                                                                      3. Sun Jihai
                                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                        Am I benching the right defenders?
                                                                        Alonso (LEI H)
                                                                        Ota (LIV A)
                                                                        Dummett (SWA H)
                                                                        Bench: Ogbonna (HUD A) Zanka (WHU H)

                                                                        1. JK-R9
                                                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                            Yer

                                                                          • stewlynz
                                                                              3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                              I reckon

                                                                          • @FPremscout (liverpoolfanta…
                                                                              3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                              Pick a letter and a number to play this weekend:

                                                                              A) Elliot
                                                                              B) Fabianski

                                                                              1) Ogbonna
                                                                              2) Dunk

                                                                              1. sharbee
                                                                                  3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                  b2

                                                                                • stewlynz
                                                                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                    A2

                                                                                  • Borriello
                                                                                      3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                      1 & 2...

                                                                                    • Borriello
                                                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                        1&2...Elliot injured and Fabianski CS ain't happening...

                                                                                    • RickiH077
                                                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                        What do you think to my team?

                                                                                        Lossi
                                                                                        Yoshida Otamendi Duffy
                                                                                        Lingard(vc) Sterling Carroll Salah
                                                                                        Firmino Kane(c) Aguero

                                                                                        Subs
                                                                                        Elliott Mee Surman Daniels

                                                                                        1. Red Card Rockets
                                                                                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                          3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                          Could do well. I like Mee over Yoshida

                                                                                      • Red Card Rockets
                                                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                        Play Ogbonna or Surman?

                                                                                        1. @FPremscout (liverpoolfanta…
                                                                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                            Ogbonna

                                                                                        2. Ray85
                                                                                            3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                            Play A) Christensen, Arnie Alonso

                                                                                            B) Alonso, Son/Pogba Firmino

                                                                                          • michhhh
                                                                                              3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                              Any news on Shaw? Will he start this gw?

                                                                                              1. Ghost Gooner
                                                                                                  3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                                  Young still suspended so he should play

                                                                                                  1. michhhh
                                                                                                      3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                                      Thx

                                                                                                • michhhh
                                                                                                    3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                                    Start Adrian or Elliot?

                                                                                                  • Borriello
                                                                                                      3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                                      Hey guys... Mulling over Brighton's attacking capability... Are they worth a double up?? If not who to replace them with... Gross and Murray.

                                                                                                    • H-Over United
                                                                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                                        Hazard or Sterling for Coutinho?

                                                                                                        If Hazard there is 0.0itb for next GW...

                                                                                                      • tearunner
                                                                                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                                                                                        3 months, 13 days ago

                                                                                                        Have a luxury problem this week. Thinking Carroll might be a differential, but dont see who to take out...

                                                                                                        Benching: Otamendi (vs liv), Carroll and Masuaku (vs hud) and Elliot (vs SWA)

                                                                                                        Playing:
                                                                                                        Foster (vs BHA)
                                                                                                        Alonso (vs LEI), Dummett (vs SWA), Jones (vs STO)
                                                                                                        Son, Lingard, Arnautovic, Salah, Sterling
                                                                                                        Morata, Firmino

                                                                                                        Thoughts?