Spot the Differential
30 January 2018 810 comments
James H James H
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Manchester United’s Anthony Martial was the only one of our differential trio to deliver in Gameweek 25, so we’ll be hoping for a better return from our latest selection.

We’re again focusing on the value on offer in midfield, with three promising home match-ups also a key factor in our thinking.

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

For those Fantasy managers working on a shoestring, Stoke City’s Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting looks a great option once again, not only for this Gameweek but also for the upcoming period.

The Potters midfielder, who has registered four goals and five assists this season, is available at just 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) and faces Watford, Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion over the next three Gameweeks.

He shone in Paul Lambert’s first match in charge, producing an assist in the 2-0 win over Huddersfield Town, and takes that confidence into tomorrow night’s home meeting with the Hornets.

Watford arrive at the bet365 Stadium having managed just a single clean sheet from their last ten away matches in the league.

Only the Potters themselves have conceded more goals (50) than Watford’s 44 this season.

They do have a new man at the helm, though, with Javi Gracia taking charge of his first league match as head coach.

Despite having seen his production drop off over the past few months, Choupo-Moting’s underlying statistics have remained impressive.

The Stoke attacker is ranked fourth among FPL midfielders for shots inside the penalty area, with 37. That’s more than double that of team-mate Xherdan Shaqiri (18).

Sat in just 3.9% of FPL squads, Choupo-Moting looks primed to be among the leading budget midfield options over the next month.

Bernardo Silva

Injuries often provide opportunities for FPL managers, and with Manchester City’s Leroy Sane set for a spell on the sidelines with ankle ligament damage, team-mate Bernardo Silva suddenly looks a viable option.

The Portuguese international has had to bide his time for first-team opportunities, but has racked up three goals and six assists in his last 13 appearances in all competitions.

Indeed, his underlying statistics really catch the eye.

The midfielder has created a chance every 36 minutes, which is superior to team-mates David Silva (39), Sane (43) and Raheem Sterling (49).

He is expected to replace Sane in the front three for tomorrow night’s home encounter with West Bromwich Albion, starting alongside Sterling and Sergio Aguero in attack.

Although the Baggies travel to the Etihad Stadium in confident mood following their 3-2 victory over Liverpool in the FA Cup, they have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 away matches.

Having dropped to 7.4 in FPL, Silva could now provide the cheapest secure route into the prolific City attack.

Owned by only 0.7% of FPL managers, he could prove a powerful short-term differential.

Theo Walcott

A former Fantasy favourite is our final selection this week.

Everton’s Theo Walcott got his Toffees career off to a bright start with an assist in the 1-1 draw with West Bromwich Albion. Perhaps most significantly, he also completed the full 90 minutes.

The England international’s proven pedigree makes the prospect of him playing regular first-team football a fascinating one.

Last season, he found the back of the net every 192.5 minutes, which was bettered by only eight FPL midfielders with a minimum of 1,000 minutes.

Indeed, his average of a shot every 31 minutes last term ranks him alongside some of this season’s most expensive Fantasy assets.

As examples, Sterling has had a shot every 30.3 minutes, while Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has done so every 30.6 minutes.

Sam Allardyce’s side take on Leicester City at Goodison Park tomorrow night, while their schedule over the medium to long-term is pretty favourable.

Although the Foxes have recorded shut-outs in each of their last three league encounters, they have only kept one clean sheet from their last eight away trips.

Walcott’s ten goals and three assists from just 23 starts last season underline his potential as an asset.

Currently priced at 7.1, and with an ownership of just 1.5%, he could become a “template breaker” over the second half of the season.

810 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. RubberDucky
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Does Mahrez not playing have a negative impact on Vardy' s ff pts?

      1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Vardy doesn't need Mahrez playing to fall over in the box and win a pen.

      2. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I would say it affects all attacking returns.

    • Atwood
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Start Jones or Mee?

      1. palace ash
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Mee

      2. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Hmmm... tough one. I'd play both. Who else have you got?

    • chaser123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Do Sterling, Mahrez and Bernardo Silva all favour the right wing?

      If so, would the Mahrez transfer be a bad thing for Sterling as well as B. Silva?

      1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Can't see Sterling losing gametime anytime soon. He can play on the left too.

        1. chaser123
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Busy schedule coming up and so I think they will all rotate.... and I think that Sterling will be played on bigger games (FA Cup and Champions League)....

    • How Mina You
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ridiculous how Giroud's only going for £18 million! Surely the club should have demanded David Luiz in exchange too. Arsenal's negotiators are absolutely terrible!

      1. Rash
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Even more ridiculous knowing that Leicester managed to get more out of chelsea for drinkwater!

      2. Give The Todd Some Love
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        He's 31 ffs

        They were originally demanding £35 mil apparently! Ludicrous

        1. How Mina You
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Considering Chelsea were willing to pay £25 million for a 32-year-old Dzeko who is also cup-tied for the Champions League, £18 million for Giroud is ludicrous!

          1. Give The Todd Some Love
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Bigger picture man. Getting the Aubameyang deal over the line is more important than saving a few pennies. Arsenal have been doing that for years and it hasn't got them very far.

            1. How Mina You
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              It's not the saving the pennies argument - it's the fact that Giroud offers us a great Plan B and his link-up play is excellent. Would rather get rid of Welbeck, who is utterly useless!

    • MC
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Have Mahrez, but on WC so could potentially ditch him quickly for anyone under £8.9m. Already have Salah and Martial in the premium mids bracket and chose to ditch Sterling earlier in the week so would be a kick in the teeth to get him back. Options probably as follows:

      Bite the bullet and re-buy Sterling?
      Mkhi?
      Hold on Mahrez?

      Thoughts?

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Re-buy Sterling

    • palace ash
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Which one to bench? (Currently on Kenny - Coleman back...?)

      A) Jones (tot)
      B) Lingard (tot)
      C) Kenny (LEI)

      1. ebb2sparky
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Same here although maybe mahrez news will make me bench lingard. I'm undecided

        1. ebb2sparky
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Personally I'd bench lingard over Jones if you decide to play kenny

      2. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Coleman won't start just yet. I'd bench Jones maybe... Surely you have a worse defender to bench?

        1. palace ash
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Otamendi, Alonso, Jones, Kenny, Mariappa

          1. Essrick
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah bench Jones

    • Do I Not Like Orange
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Is Sanchez eligible to play in UCL? Next week's move was going to be Son > either Mahrez (free) or Sanchez (-4). That decision looks a lot clearer now, but wondering if Sanchez is likely to be rotated for Europe?

      1. Red Dagger ✪
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yes.

    • asif316uk
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Really wanna replace Arnie for Mkhitaryan but not convinced he will start. Best replacement anyone?

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Shaqiri

    • Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why mahrez why????? Can't we cancel out our transfers??

      Feeling absolutely disgusted and betrayed

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Time to just laugh so hard?

        1. Sims
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          🙁 🙁 🙁 🙁 🙁

          Can't belive this even waited for pressers to pass yesterday what an idiot mahrez hope city treat him like sinclair

      2. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Free hit time 😉

    • Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hmm, on a wc. Keep Bernardo with impending Mahrez threat and just pray or just get Theo to be safe?

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Theo

    • Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mahrez out for a hit? (on -4)

      1. Sean.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        think i will, with Duffy only back up and enough for Hazard banked.

      2. palace ash
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Depends if your replacement can outscore your first benched player by 4 points or not...

        1. Sean.
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          with Duffy 5 will outscore him easily 🙂

      3. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Who's first on your bench?

    • The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Anyone considering whether or not Mkhi is worth a punt, remember this is just a game. I've just got him in for a hit. Have some fun.

      1. Over Midwicket
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Poor thing.

    • ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Best Mahrez replacement? 0.6itb.

      1. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Rest of your midfield?

      2. MTPockets
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Mane?

      3. Konig Luther
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Choupo + Firmino
        or
        Bernardo Silva + Wilson

        1. Essrick
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          C+F

      4. BenjaminEJones
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Have Mahrez & Arnie with no FT, feel like Lingard may not play either.

        Take a hit, if so -4 or -8?

        1. Essrick
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Lingard will be fine this week. Take a -4 hit

          1. BenjaminEJones
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Aren't many options at 7.7 or 9.4 that I fancy! Have Sterling & not keen on Spurs' fixtures!

      5. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Out of the office all day for another long day of life. Here’s my team, gtg?

        Pickford
        Jones Stones Azpi
        Son Salah(c) Sterling Shaq Richarlison
        Kane Vardy

        Elliott Ogbonna Kenny DCL

      6. camarozz
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        So is Mahrez more desirable at city or less?? I didn't get him btw.

        1. Essrick
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I'd say less

      7. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Wish I didn't buy Mahrez now

      8. Essrick
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Guys,

        Confirm this for a -4?

        Schindler, Arnie & Son > Alonso, Shaqiri & Mili

        Spreads funds into defence and gives me £1.8m in the bank to upgrade a midfielder or DCL next week.

      9. Give The Todd Some Love
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Lol the amount of panic that transfer request has caused

        1. Patch
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Which one ... mahrez going to Man City shortly one?

      10. Football Heaven
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        If Mahrez goes to city, when he plays he’ll do bits, but when sane comes back, and Bernardo for competition it could be a tough choice. 8.7 for a player who’s not guaranteed to play is a lot. Could it hinder sterling’s minutes. Especially with Jesus coming back as well. Thoughts?

      11. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Another trick missed.

        They should have two more games play tonight, so a better balance over today and tomorrow.

        #Genius?

      12. louisds
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone part of the Hazard (c) crew?

        1. Mingo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah I am, brought him in for a 1 wk punt before he becomes Sanchez.

      13. Drogba Legend
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Captain today?:

        A) Salah
        B) Alonso
        C) Sterling
        D) Bilva
        E) Firm
        F) Kane

      14. Hi I'm Jose
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Allen (c)

        Good luck everyone!!

      15. The Royal Robin
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Sterling or Salah for (C)? That's what I want to know.

      16. spatel2
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        A) Arnie and Son for Hazard & Shaqiri -4
        B) Arnie > B Silva
        C) Arnie > Shaqiri

        1. KUNingas
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Same problem here

      17. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone else got

        Kane - Kun - Bobby 😎

        Rest of my team = shit

      18. KUNingas
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Mad? Would lose two non playing players.

        RLC + Son + Arnautovic -> Choupo + B.Silva + Mkhi (-8)

      19. ebb2sparky
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Would you start lingard away to Spurs or kenny at home to Leicester?

        1. Do I Not Like Orange
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I have the same 2 and am starting J-Lingz.