Spot the Differential
3 February 2018 1682 comments
James H James H
Share:

Our selection of Theo Walcott paid off handsomely in midweek, so now we go in seek of more differentials who can get close to his explosive 15-point return.

We’ve opted for two more midfielders with promising home fixtures, while a Crystal Palace striker is backed to build on his recent run of form.

Mesut Ozil

Fresh from signing a new three-year contract with the Gunners, and given his outstanding home form, Mesut Ozil gets our seal of approval for today’s late kick-off against Everton.

The Arsenal midfielder has produced three goals and five assists in his last eight matches at the Emirates Stadium, only blanking against Manchester United and Chelsea.

He is creating a chance every 22 minutes at home, compared to every 30 minutes on the road, and faces an appetising match-up against the Toffees.

Sam Allardyce’s side conceded four goals on their last trip to London, when they lost 4-0 to Tottenham Hotspur, and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight matches.

Indeed, over the last four Gameweeks, they have conceded more big chances (13) than any other team.

Ozil, who is owned by just 2.6% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, will be starting alongside Henrikh Mkhitaryan in the attacking midfield positions for the Gunners, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang could make his Premier League debut if he recovers from illness.

The new faces should help provide fresh impetus to the Arsenal attack, and Ozil, who costs 9.3 in FPL, is expected to be a central figure in another strong home performance.

Christian Benteke

A favourable home fixture against Newcastle United on the back of a goal and three assists over the last four Gameweeks leads us to believe that Crystal Palace’s Christian Benteke can deliver in Gameweek 26.

The Belgian was on the scoresheet in the 1-1 draw with West Ham United in midweek and will carry that confidence into Sunday’s encounter.

There is also the fact that he now has competition for his place following the arrival of Norwegian target man Alexander Sorloth, giving the former Liverpool striker no room for complacency.

Benteke tops the forward ranks for big chances (five) over the last four Gameweeks. And with Andros Townsend and Wilfried Zaha manning the supply line, he should continue to get the opportunities to build on Tuesday night’s goal.

Certainly Newcastle don’t appear to have the defensive resolve to deal with the Palace threat. They arrive at Selhurst Park with just one clean sheet from their last 10 away matches and only three teams have conceded more big chances than the Magpies (nine) over the last four Gameweeks.

Rafa Benitez’s men also sit fourth for the most headed attempts (10) conceded from those four fixtures, which is certainly an area that Benteke can look to exploit.

Sat in just 2.4% of FPL squads and available at 7.6, the Eagles striker looks the ideal gamble for Fantasy managers seeking a one-week punt.

Junior Stanislas

It’s easy to see why Bournemouth’s Junior Stanislas has made the cut this week.

The Cherries midfielder registered a goal and an assist in Wednesday night’s outstanding 3-0 victory over Chelsea and has a plum home fixture against Stoke City this afternoon.

No team has conceded more goals away from home than the Potters (30), although they are yet to concede in two matches under new boss Paul Lambert.

But Stanislas’ track record against Stoke further enhances his appeal.

The midfielder totalled a season-high 13 points when the two sides last met in Gameweek 9, registering a goal, assist and maximum bonus.

He also produced a goal and an assist across the two matches against the Potters during the 2016/17 season.

Injuries have restricted Stanislas to just 10 starts this season, but he boasts an impressive goal involvement rate of 50% when in the side.

Matches against Huddersfield Town and Newcastle over the next three Gameweeks mean he also has the platform to maintain form beyond today’s clash.

Team-mate Callum Wilson has been attracting all the investment ahead of the Gameweek 26 deadline, while Stanislas resides in just 0.3% of FPL squads.

Priced at 5.9 in FPL, Stanislas can provide a worthy differential and perhaps a natural replacement for Shaqiri in our squads once Stoke’s fixture stiffen up.

  1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Just reading through the captaincy suggestions here I'm wondering if there's a lot of "book/team talking going on".. when did the narrative become that Burnley were a soft touch at home defensively? There's a reason so many people have Pope. Because Tarkowski's not there they are going to roll over and City score a hatful?

    I don't think I've ever had a captain vs Burnley. They don't concede, especially at home.

    Posted wrong place before... wish there was a delete button..

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Aguero scored 16 in this exact fixture last season, Burnley was full strength. It's not like they've been particularly solid recently.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Kane did but as I recall it was a massive surprise. And it still looks like an exception rather than the rule. And it's Kane.

    2. Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      kane scored 3 there

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        and it was considered a big shock. Who's done it since?

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Agreed. But then we saw what Kane did out of the blue.
      Could happen again but I'm hoping Che rebound.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Think you nailed it there Baps... it was out of the blue. i.e. something totally unexpected. And I don't think it's happened since?

    4. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Kane didn't mind the Burnley defence

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        And it was a massive shock. Nobody captained Kane that week after weeks of watching him toil. And I don't recall anybody filling their boots vs Burnley since.

    5. Four Letter Wirtz
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I can see both sides of the argument. A few weeks ago I sold Kane partly because Burnley away was such a tough fixture...

    6. IRBOX ⚽
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Kane (c) for me when he scored 3 was nice.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        You were a massive differential and congrats to you because nobody else saw that coming. I remember the pod conversation.

    7. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      See my reply - and other’s here - that put some weight into a MC Captain this week. They will score at least a few.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        cheers, will check out the other thread.

    8. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Burnley have been conceded loads of shots in the box recently. Read the articles on here.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        I've read the articles thanks which is why I posted this. But I think there is often a massive Jamie Redknapp style misinterpretation of stats on here a lot of the time. Az himself was talking on the Pod about how he looked at strikers shots in the box but it doesn't tally with performance. Because they are an indication, not a definitive proof. Same as XG.. look at City XG and they are massively outperforming and thus expected to return to mean but this is nonsense because XG is based on the average player and their delta is simply telling one that they have much better than average players.

    9. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      still give up a lot of attempts at home.
      lost last 3 at home.

      1. Big Mac 24
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        They've conceded 3, 2 and 1 the last 3 home games, BUT, that was against Spurs, Liverpool and United who are the 3 highest scoring teams after Man Citeh - make of that what you like I suppose. I've had at least one Burnley defender all season and will keep.

        1. tisza
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 29 days ago

          so odds are City will score at least a couple which recently suggests Kun will be involved

  2. Dacra
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Captain has gone Vardy > Sterling > Salah this week.

    How dull.

  3. That Was Easy!
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Captaincy woes? Check my post on Pg. 13 - I hope you will be happy have you did!

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      too hard

    2. That Was Easy!
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Mods - any chance at a quick hulk? I couldn’t care less about the publicity; if it helps one person I have been successful.

  4. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Best of this bunch?

    a. Francis
    b. Chilwell
    c. Van De Hoorn (swa)
    d. Martina
    e. Other at 4.4 or less?

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      d i guess

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Any names to go with that?

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      a

    3. Four Letter Wirtz
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I'm probably getting Martina next week - rotates well with Burnley until the WC.

  5. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Still at a loss as to who to captain:

    A) Kane
    B) KdB
    C) Wilson
    D) Sterling

    1. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      C

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      C

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Have to admit Wilson was my original gut instinct pick. Ok. Mind made up. Cheers fellas

    3. Pino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I went for KdB

  6. anish10
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Aguero or Salah(c)?

    1. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      A

  7. ralfb
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Lingard and Richarlison to Walcott and jwp?

    1. CoffeeBean
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      No, not this gw

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      No

    3. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      No

  8. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Start Duffy or ogbonna?

    Captain who?
    Aguero
    Salah
    Hazard

    1. CoffeeBean
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I’m on Dunk in the same situation

    2. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Aguero

  9. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Can’t believe I’m benching Son for Ogbonna

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Shocking

    2. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Really.

    3. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

    4. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Don't

    5. IRBOX ⚽
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      You deserve a red arrow if true

    6. Pedaso Pirates
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I wouldn't do that if I was you

    7. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Agreed

    8. Dacra
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I have both. I'm not.

    9. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Son is poor away and I think West Ham have more chance of a CS than Son doing anything. An hour to change my mind

      1. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Since when has Ogbonna ever let you down against easier opposition?

        Oh....

        1. Defcons are for Kinnear
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 29 days ago

          😆 it was gut feeling but the reaction on here is making me reconsider

    10. Reuser
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Nor can I.

    11. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      can't believe you're posting your embarrassing decision

    12. And nothing else Mata'…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Son is pair with Hazard with shots and efforts inside of the box, if games opens early there could be 5+ goals match easily. WHU did not save CS for 7 games in the row. You're welcome.

  10. Forever In Our Shadow
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Play 2 of these

    A Milivojevic
    B Ayew
    C Shaquiri

    Thanks

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      AB

  11. Chrisirwin01
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    So tempted to go with Wilson as Captain over Augero....Thoughts?

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      If chasing yes

    2. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      You'll feel pretty stupid if it doesn't work...?

  12. Railwayman
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    1 FT, Lingard to Pogba or Niasse to Wilson ?

    1. Pedaso Pirates
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Pogba was poor over 90min at Wembley this week

  13. drughi
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    So jones is out for huddersfield lol

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Maybe

    2. Sim Simma
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      huh ?

      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        not with the squad apparently

    3. Digital-Real
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      He's not injured so why would Mourinho leave him out the squad altogether? Surely, he would go on the bench just incase they need him to come on as a sub?

      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Nah, just rested

      2. Sims
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        not really, they have enough cover and with the size of the squad, even players on the bench need to be decided. probably just wants to dive him the whole weekend off

    4. Railwayman
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Not the first time that a player didn't show up in the hotel and then starts the match.

    5. Yordan Letchkov
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Source?

      1. Digital-Real
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Pogba earlier in the season

    6. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Where did you find that?

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Some on here mentioned it

    7. Superflymonk
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      What's this about jones not in the hotel?

      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        That’s exactly it

    8. Visionaries
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Erm?

  14. Butters_lfc9
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    How do I use my FT's? Is Aguero essential? Thinking Shaqiri > Walcott or Robertson > Maguire?

    Pickford
    Alonso- Otamendi-Jones-Robertson
    Salah-Sterling-Son-Shaqiri
    Kane-Firmino

    Elliot-Ogbonna-Sako--Quaner

    2FT, 1.2ITB!

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Sweet ses i Skanstull

      1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        The reply fail to end all reply fails

    2. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Two out of the 3 (Kane, Kim, firm). You'll be fine

  15. Can’t beat em so&hell…
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Bottomed (I've got a real skill for that)

    Gtg here and save the FT?

    Courtois
    Alonso/ Chilwell/ Jones
    Lingard/ Salah/ Sterling/ Pedro
    Kane/ Aguero (c)/ Ayew

    Adrian/ Kenny/ Schindler/ Carroll

  16. COLLIN QUANER
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Pogba (c). First time I've owned him let alone captained him. I like a punt now and again.

    1. Dacra
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      It's the week for a c punt. I've wimped out for Salah though..

    2. Digital-Real
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      you like backing losers going by your grav and username!

  17. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Start Ayew (lei) or Richarlison (CHE)?

    1. Yordan Letchkov
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Ayew

    2. Dacra
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Ayew for me.

    3. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      A

  18. Dacra
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    I have Van Dijk, Salah(c) , Firmino, Son, Kane all in 1 game, also a Liverpool fan.

    I'm not expecting a good week!

    1. Sim Simma
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      All you need is for all of them to score or assist

      1. Dacra
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Quite likely in a Liverpool game.. 4-3 win would be good!

  19. Yordan Letchkov
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Really need some advise here please:

    Courtois, Adrian
    Jones, Stones, Christensen, Mee, Duffy
    Salah, Sterling, Shaqiri, Gross, RLC
    Kane, Firmino, Vardy

    A) Christensen -> Daniels
    B) Christensen, Firmino -> Francis, Lukaku (c) -4

    1. Can’t beat em so&hell…
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      A. Comfortably for me

      1. stamboy
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        A

    2. Dacra
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Very much a.

  20. Gearoid
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    2ft, 3.2itb
    DDG (Elliott)
    Ota Mee Robertson (Holgate Marriappa)
    Salah Sterling Lingard Son Shaqiri
    Kane Firmino (Quaner)

    Son to KDB and
    A. Holgate to Daniels and bench Mee or
    B. Robertson to Maguire and play Mee

    Thanks

    1. Gearoid
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Or just do Son to KDB?

  21. Tomcooper9
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Captain KDB or Salah?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Salah

      1. Tomcooper9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Thanks was in KDB but have changed now. Have applied my rough rule of when stuck between two options go with the player that is playing at home.

  22. Sim Simma
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Is Stones now a rotation risk ?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Yes

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      he spins right round like a record

  23. Dead Lift
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Will D.Silva start? Which is the best replacement for 9m?

  24. Luton_Fan
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    It happens again. Transfsr in a playerand he doesnt play next game. Has happened with dann, kiko among others. Infuriating. Think i may take another hit doing kenny to daniels now

  25. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Mahrez, Quaner -> Wilson, Walcott (-4) ?

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I would

  26. To infinity and beyond
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Mawson or Dunk in starting 11?

  27. Marcos Alonso is god
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Hi lads want a new refreshing team so I'm gonna wildcard
    Problem is I think I've forgot how to play this game I'll show you what I got now could you let me know if there are any problems or any people I should add

    Pope Fabianski
    Jones VVD hegazi Dunk Clark
    Theo Salah Sterling xxxx xxxxx
    Firmino xxxxxxxx

    30 mil budget thanks

    1. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Not enough time to sort that.

  28. tiger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    I'm captaining De Bruyne, so be warned...he will do nothing this gameweek.

    1. Tomcooper9
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Ha thanks, just changed from KDB to Salah

      1. tiger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Good move...I was going to do Salah, but decided to put my curse on De Bruyne 😀

  29. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Right I've left myself with a bit of a benching headache this week. Will sort it next week but who do I bench?

    Salah Sterling Lingard B.Silva Walcott
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Lingard or Silva

    2. stamboy
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      walcott as tougher game

  30. Sim Simma
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Stones,Son out to bring Aubameyang ? Yay or Nay

    1. stamboy
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      no, save

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Doubts over his availability this week isn't there? Wait and see I think