Spot the Differential
3 February 2018 1682 comments
James H James H
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Our selection of Theo Walcott paid off handsomely in midweek, so now we go in seek of more differentials who can get close to his explosive 15-point return.

We’ve opted for two more midfielders with promising home fixtures, while a Crystal Palace striker is backed to build on his recent run of form.

Mesut Ozil

Fresh from signing a new three-year contract with the Gunners, and given his outstanding home form, Mesut Ozil gets our seal of approval for today’s late kick-off against Everton.

The Arsenal midfielder has produced three goals and five assists in his last eight matches at the Emirates Stadium, only blanking against Manchester United and Chelsea.

He is creating a chance every 22 minutes at home, compared to every 30 minutes on the road, and faces an appetising match-up against the Toffees.

Sam Allardyce’s side conceded four goals on their last trip to London, when they lost 4-0 to Tottenham Hotspur, and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight matches.

Indeed, over the last four Gameweeks, they have conceded more big chances (13) than any other team.

Ozil, who is owned by just 2.6% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, will be starting alongside Henrikh Mkhitaryan in the attacking midfield positions for the Gunners, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang could make his Premier League debut if he recovers from illness.

The new faces should help provide fresh impetus to the Arsenal attack, and Ozil, who costs 9.3 in FPL, is expected to be a central figure in another strong home performance.

Christian Benteke

A favourable home fixture against Newcastle United on the back of a goal and three assists over the last four Gameweeks leads us to believe that Crystal Palace’s Christian Benteke can deliver in Gameweek 26.

The Belgian was on the scoresheet in the 1-1 draw with West Ham United in midweek and will carry that confidence into Sunday’s encounter.

There is also the fact that he now has competition for his place following the arrival of Norwegian target man Alexander Sorloth, giving the former Liverpool striker no room for complacency.

Benteke tops the forward ranks for big chances (five) over the last four Gameweeks. And with Andros Townsend and Wilfried Zaha manning the supply line, he should continue to get the opportunities to build on Tuesday night’s goal.

Certainly Newcastle don’t appear to have the defensive resolve to deal with the Palace threat. They arrive at Selhurst Park with just one clean sheet from their last 10 away matches and only three teams have conceded more big chances than the Magpies (nine) over the last four Gameweeks.

Rafa Benitez’s men also sit fourth for the most headed attempts (10) conceded from those four fixtures, which is certainly an area that Benteke can look to exploit.

Sat in just 2.4% of FPL squads and available at 7.6, the Eagles striker looks the ideal gamble for Fantasy managers seeking a one-week punt.

Junior Stanislas

It’s easy to see why Bournemouth’s Junior Stanislas has made the cut this week.

The Cherries midfielder registered a goal and an assist in Wednesday night’s outstanding 3-0 victory over Chelsea and has a plum home fixture against Stoke City this afternoon.

No team has conceded more goals away from home than the Potters (30), although they are yet to concede in two matches under new boss Paul Lambert.

But Stanislas’ track record against Stoke further enhances his appeal.

The midfielder totalled a season-high 13 points when the two sides last met in Gameweek 9, registering a goal, assist and maximum bonus.

He also produced a goal and an assist across the two matches against the Potters during the 2016/17 season.

Injuries have restricted Stanislas to just 10 starts this season, but he boasts an impressive goal involvement rate of 50% when in the side.

Matches against Huddersfield Town and Newcastle over the next three Gameweeks mean he also has the platform to maintain form beyond today’s clash.

Team-mate Callum Wilson has been attracting all the investment ahead of the Gameweek 26 deadline, while Stanislas resides in just 0.3% of FPL squads.

Priced at 5.9 in FPL, Stanislas can provide a worthy differential and perhaps a natural replacement for Shaqiri in our squads once Stoke’s fixture stiffen up.

  1. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Couple of quick questions
    1) Idea when heaton is back? need to plan when to ship out pope
    2) Pogba or Son or Mkhitaryan for next few gw's?
    3) Captain Hazard or Aguero

    1. machickenz
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Schmeichel would be nice
      Pogba probably most consistent assuming he doesnt blank this gwk
      Aguero safest option

    2. Reuser
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Heaton is with the U23s at the moment - Dyche said he hasn't set a timeline yet, but I guess in the next few weeks he will be competing - especially as there is 2 week break coming up soon.

      Captain Aguero IMO. If Hazard plays false 9 he'll likely blank.

  2. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    My team is :

    Pope
    Azpi - Gomez- Dunk
    Albrighton - Son - Salah(vc) - Sterling
    Aguero - Kane - Wilson (c)

    Elliot - Kelly - TCarroll - Masuaku

    I have 0m itb and already -4

    I'm am thinking I should be playing Kelly (Newc - H) over Gomez (Tot - H)

    A - Gomez
    B - Kelly

    Leading all my ML so maybe Wilson (c) is too risky?

    1. FC nelo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Deffo play Kelly. Newcastle H is a way better fixture than Spurs H.

      1. FC nelo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Also, everyone will captain different players, not any certainty that Kane or Salah will do well this week. Or Sterling for that matter, so Wilson is a great shot.

        1. Bubbles1985
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 29 days ago

          Cheers dude

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Kelly probably won’t play with Sakho back

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        He was only an enabler but hoping for one more week from him!

  3. Boey Jarton
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Bench one:
    A) Milivojevic (WHU)
    B) Robertson (TOT)

    Mili is in the squad for purely for his penalty potential. However, I haven't seen enough attacking returns from Robertson to be confident he scores enough points even if Liverpool concedes.

    1. Boey Jarton
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      And yes, Milivojevic of course plays Newcastle at home, not West Ham.

    2. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      B by a mile

    3. Claudio555
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      I would say bigger chance Pool keeps a clean sheet than Mil to score. So bench Mil imo

  4. jack149331
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Who to play duffy or hegazi

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Duffy

      1. jack149331
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        why ahhhh

    2. Magic Box
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Duff

  5. Rossaldinho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Captain Lingard? Is this mad?

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Very risky but he looked very good against Spurs

      1. Rossaldinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        I agree - the first half particularly

        1. Teror
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 29 days ago

          Apparently he's much better away, though. Maybe too risky.

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Crazy

    3. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Yes

  6. machickenz
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    a) Bring in Stanislas for RLC for a -4 hit
    or
    b) Play J.Ayew and save hit

    1. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      b

  7. Teror
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Captain Pogba or Martial ?

  8. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Salah or Hazard for (c)?

    Decided Im not going with Aguero

    1. The Rock
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Aguero!

  9. The Rock
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Start Grob or Ibe?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Ibe

    2. Teror
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      It's Gross. ß in German is a double s

      1. The Rock
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        It's certainly not Gross. You can't translate someomes name!

  10. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Leicester or Stoke more likely to score this GW? :/

    1. The Rock
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Leicester

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        THanks

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Leicester but I think both will score

      1. Ibralicious
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Alright, cheers.

    3. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Use the Ladbrokes odds.
      https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/football/english/premier-league/leicester-v-swansea/226260271/

      They have player odds as well, an objective way to settle this sort of decision.

  11. Pino
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Would you have:

    A) Alonso
    B) Jones + 1.6 ITB

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      A

    2. Ibralicious
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      B

  12. allaboutthemagic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 29 days ago

    Chasing the leaders... captain Kun for safe pick who they all have. Or take gamble with Sanchez who none have?!

    1. Magerost
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Cap Kane if you got him!

      • The Rock
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Kun. Surely not all of them have him. Utd arent free flowing right now.

      • shotgunnufc - MANIAC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Sanchez has like a 1% ownership on top 10k and is at home to hudds. why did you get him in if not for this situation?

      • Rash
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        If I had Sanchez this would be the week to captain him

    2. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Seriously, is triple city (aguero, bernardo silva, sterling) and captain aguero too much??

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Yes

      2. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Probably not. They’re up for it like no other team this season. Extremely consistent.

    3. UnitednationsXI
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Any suggestions? Got 1ft and 0m

      Adrian -- pope
      Alonso jones Duffy -- Cedric Gomez
      Salah Sterling Hazard Son Ibe
      Kun Firmino - Quaner

      A: save FT
      B: son >> pogba/mkhi/martial/Wally

    4. Forever In Our Shadow
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Play milivoj or J ayew?

      Redt of team is;

      Pickford
      Alonso Ota Jones
      San(c)hez Salah Sterling Shaquiri
      Kun Firminho

      Adrian Dunk Kenny

    5. Sim Simma
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Any further news on Aubameyang yet ?

    6. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      who else is punting this week on Wilson for captain?!

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Too risky for me

    7. Foozeball
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Pickford
      Alonso - Stones - Jones
      Eriksen - Shaqiri - Salah (C) - Sterling - Lingard
      Wilson - Kane (VC)

      Elliot, Dunk, Mee, Depoitre

      Gtg? I want to play Dunk this week, but I can't figure out who to bench for him :/

    8. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Pleaaaaaseee Help A or B to get More pts

      A- Kane & Walcott & Daniels -8 pts

      B- Sanchez & Wilson -4 pts

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        A because there’s an extra player...

      2. Runaway
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        B for this GW, A long term

    9. Gearoid
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Bench Robertson out of Robertson, Mee, Daniels? Right?

    10. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      2 hours left

      Would you rather play Lingard or Richarlison

      Pls don't say neither

      1. BigBarn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Lingard. easily.

      2. Teror
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Definitely Lingard. Richarlison has been pants for ages and Lingard has poxy Hudds at home.

        1. Patch
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 29 days ago

          Thanks both yep have it on Lingard...just worried by all these minimal minutes stuff...which Richarlison is often nailed harder than Jesus for the most part

      3. Runaway
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Lingard

    11. sk018
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Lingard -> Stanislas stupid?

      1. Ask Yourself
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Not imo looking at it next week

      2. Magic Box
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Looks like a decent move.

    12. The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Am I crazy to captain hazard over Salah or Kane?

      1. Teror
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        No.

    13. Magic Box
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Thoughts on Wilson as a captain punt?

    14. Teror
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Bench Niasse or Milivojevic ?

      1. Mulla
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        Niasse

    15. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Struggling for a Captain lads...

      A) Kun (bur)
      B) Sterling (bur)
      C) Alonso (wat)
      D) Kane (luv)
      E) Salah (TOT)
      F) Lingard. (HUD)

      Tempted to go Alonso tbh, or Lingard if he was certain to play

    16. Kasper the ghost keeper
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Mahrez and Quaner -->> Walcott and Wilson (-4)?

      1. mir
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 29 days ago

        No brainer I reckon. Two not starting for two long term picks

    17. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      What's the point of worrying about who to captain, you're going to get it wrong anyway. 😀

    18. Butters_lfc9
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      How do I use my FT's? Is Aguero essential? Thinking Shaqiri > Walcott or Robertson > Maguire?

      Pickford
      Alonso- Otamendi-Jones-Robertson
      Salah-Sterling-Son-Shaqiri
      Kane-Firmino

      Elliot-Ogbonna-Sako--Quaner

      2FT, 1.2ITB

    19. borispkpk
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 29 days ago

      Why not many ppl owning Kane + Aguero + Firmino ? Not good?