Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
Share:

All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. tm370
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any news on Sterling guys?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      He trained yesterday so thats gotta be a good sign I think?

      1. tm370
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers man - I'd say so.

  2. Queens of the South Age
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2g? Any lineup changes or hits?

    Foster
    Alonso VVD Bavies
    Salah Mane Mahrez Son Choupo
    Kane Wilson

    Elliot Shawcross Depoitre Mbemba

    1. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      nope, your all set.. I have wilson too which is my only concern as he hasn't done anything for the last 3 weeks and I feel I'm carrying deadwood with him just so as to have a player for gw31.

  3. CRO KLOPP
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play one
    A) Kenny ( bur)
    B) Ogbonna ( swa)

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  4. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    DDG
    Mee / Robertson / Fernandez
    Mahrez / Sterling / Salah / Shaq / Willian
    Kane / Firmino

    Elliot / Wilson / Ota / Kenny

    1FT, 0.5ITB

    any thoughts would be greatly appreciated peeps?

    1. Queens of the South Age
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Looks good to me.

    2. CRO KLOPP
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save

    3. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      looks good, keep transfer to have two next week. love the willian pick as he is on fire and a real good differential. I don't own mahrez and it worries me as he should have had lots of points last week but was just finding his shooting boots, think he could haul today with a goal and assist...

  5. Lone Wolf FPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    RP. Most points over next 2:

    1. Sterling* (che), Sterling (stk), Ayew (hudd) + def extra for gw31
    2. Vardy (bou), Vardy (wba), Shaq (city) + Milivo extra for gw31
    3. Mahrez (bou), Mahrez (wba), Ayew (hudd)

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      3

    2. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      any chance you could simplify this, it does not read well..

  6. In Carrick we trust
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is everyone backing salah for captain?? Y not kane???

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      i'm on kane

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      ownership

    3. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

    4. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Im on Salah for the 5th GW in a row. Paid off so far but Im bias being a REDS fan!

    5. Queens of the South Age
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane for me.

    6. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah. Put it on him 2 weeks ago and after too many capo failures this season it's staying on him for now.

    7. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm on Salah, both should do well today, but salah scores more for a goal which could have the edge..

  7. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    will wilson start today or defoe???

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      defoe for me, much more experience

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gut feels that defoe will start...

    3. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think they both do. King drops out.

  8. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A/ Chilwell home to BOU
    B/ Walcott away to BUR
    C/ Mariappa home to WBA

    1. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  9. Mesh
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which 1 lads?

    A. Hazard to Eriksen
    B. Sterling to Mahrez
    C. Bring in a GW31 player (currently only have 4)

    1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’d just save that transfer

  10. Firmino
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Eriksen or Mahrez in for Sterling?

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Eriksen

    2. Mesh
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Eriksen

  11. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Guys need help
    Pope adrian
    Ogabonna alonso ota vvd dunk
    Son salah shaqri sterling lingard
    Aguero Kane quaner

    2ft 0.3itb

  12. Gizmo13
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope Elliot
    VVD Danilo Zanka Maguire Jones
    Salah Alli Sterling Stanislas Deulofeu
    Kane Firmino DCL

    1 FT, 0.0 ITB - Save FT for next week? Still have free hit and WC for GW 31 and 32 respectively. Want to transfer Deulofeu because of the Sterling risk - any opinions?

  13. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is it worth doing Sterling -> Mahrez for my free transfer? (I have no Leicester player)

  14. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench 1
    A) Fernandez (WHU H)
    B) Chilwell (BOU H)

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Bench? Fernandez (biased West Ham fan).

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Fernandez

    3. CRO KLOPP
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  15. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    play bauer or ogbanna?
    thanks

  16. DeadStarComing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A lot of Championship games are now getting postponed. Bit weird that no Prem have gone yet. Surely it's the same conditions for most.

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Better pitches I suppose?
      Not that the PL care about fan safety either.

    2. kennethrhcp
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      £££££ is my guess. more resources to make access routes saver?

      1. kennethrhcp
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        *safer

        1. Stockport Hatter
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          This. Posted similar on previous page.

  17. fkmzcgp
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will Son start

    1. Pancake
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Got subbed first on 67m mid week whereas lamela played whole match so good chance

  18. AVFCChris1984
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    How many mins will Davies get in the next 2 GW, thinking of swapping out Otamendi for him

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Having the same issue.

    2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      113.5 minutes

      1. AVFCChris1984
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I'll hold you to this

  19. Urchin
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    No replier on last page, so having another go at it,

    Please help me choose one:
    A. Ramsey
    B. Mkhitaryan
    C. Ozil

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. Urchin
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers guys!!

  20. IRBOX ⚽
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts here? Otamendi > Aurier for free? 1FT 0.0 ITB

    Pickford
    Alonso Otamendi Mee
    Salah Sterling Mane Son
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    Foster Simoson TC Ogbonna

    1. Urchin
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Just save

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tempted to do the same

  21. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Where is the evidence that Kane comes off early once 'the job is done'? I can't see this evidence.

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      There is no evidence that’s why.

    2. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      It's not evidence, it's just logic and it usually happens. No reason to keep playing him when the job is done and their next game is important.

      1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        if it happens then that'd be the evidence, surely?
        what games has it happened in?

        1. Cok3y5murf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          - I meant it doesn't necessarily have to happen every time, but it happens often.

          - Wasn't talking about Spurs specifically. Happens with all teams. When the game is wrapped up, big names get substituted often.

          1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            that's the thing with Kane. in all league starts this season he's only done

            1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 2 months ago

              less than 80 twice.

      2. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Not with Kane

        1. Cok3y5murf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Why? What's the reason?

    3. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      if he gets me a (c) hatty i'll pull him off early doors...

    4. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think he will play most the game. I didn't realise with all this talk about the Juventus game that it's actually Liverpool that play earlier (Tues) than Spurs (Wed). Just because they're 4-0 up I don't think Klopp will heavily rotate.

    5. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Its not true. Not even in the congested Christmas period did Poch manage Kane's minutes. No reason he will start doing it now that the fixture list has eased up.

    6. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      But the job is done only if they're leading 3-0 at least, so there's no harm in captaining him. He could easily be involved if they score 3.

  22. Siggy Azalea
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Quick poll...who to play?
    a) Chilwell (bou, h)
    b) Naughton (whu, h)
    c) Hegazi (wat, a)

    Thanks!

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Chilwell for me personally

  23. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Could Rose play today and Davies is rested for Champions League?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      definitely could happen.

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      it's a possibility

    3. AVFCChris1984
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      This is what i'm worried about

      This game would be so much easier if the deadline was at the start of the game

  24. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Otamendi, Smalling, Naughton
    Ramsey, Salah (c), KDB, Lingard, CM
    Firmino, Vardy

    Pope, Alonso, DCL, Azpi

    I'm thinking;
    A) Alonso > Robertson
    B) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Davies
    C) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Mustafi
    D) Alonso & Azpi > Robertson & Morgan
    E) Other... Please let me know your thoughts.

  25. Lignja
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    who to bech?

    a. Mee
    b. Mariapa

  26. lordkippe
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    so confused... 2.3 ITB though

    Pickford

    VVD - Maguirre - Mee - Ogbonna

    Salah - Mane - Gross

    Kane - Aguero - Wilson

    Elliot - Moting - Daniels - RLC

    A : Aguero & Gross > Aubameyang & Mahrez
    B : Aguero & Gross > Vardy & Ramsey
    C : Other suggestions

    1. Carcetti
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C. Just leave it

    2. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Agüero to Firmino and gross to Shaqiri.

  27. SuperMario
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    0.7 bank and 1 FT

    Adrian (Elliot)
    Alonso - Mee - VVD (Fernandez - Kabasele)
    Salah (vc) - Shaqiri - Lingard - Hazard - Sterling
    Kane (c) - Wilson (Abraham)

    A. Hazard & Abraham --> Arnautovic & Firmino (-4)
    B. Sterling --> Mane
    C. Save.
    D. Other

    Option A is appealing as Hazard playing Palace with the Barcelona and FA Cup game is a risk. Would allow me get out from behind the couch for Firmino also and Arnie should destroy SWA.

    Option B is free but means no Firmino for GW 31. It would likely mean Abraham --> Mounie next week for the nice fixtures.

    1. SuperMario
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Any feedback would be appreciated 🙂

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

      1. SuperMario
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        thanks for the feedback. so go ahead without Firmino?

  28. Klaren
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which Everton defender should I get for the next 3 GWs? Price isn't an important consideration.

  29. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Maverick move here

    Wilson to Deeney FT?

  30. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play one
    A) Duffy
    B) Bauer

    I don’t really trust RMT. Too much weight to long distant performances.